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PTC Therapeutics (PTCT)
NASDAQ:PTCT

PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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PTCT

PTC Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:PTCT)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(7.80% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/23/26
The score is supported by a sharp TTM profitability/FCF turnaround and constructive earnings-call guidance (Sephience-driven growth outlook and stronger liquidity), plus a low earnings multiple. These positives are tempered by balance-sheet weakness (negative equity) and soft technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD), which increase near-term risk despite improving fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Cash generation & liquidity
PTC's TTM operating and free cash flow turnaround and near parity of FCF to net income (~0.98) show strong cash conversion. This durable cash generation, plus a much larger cash balance, underpins runway for launches, R&D and optionality to reach cash‑flow breakeven in 2026.
High profitability margins
Exceptionally high gross and operating margins reflect a scalable product cost structure typical of specialty pharmaceuticals. Sustained margin levels support durable free cash flow generation and funding of pipeline programs, assuming the product mix and pricing dynamics remain intact.
Sephience commercial momentum
Rapid global approvals, early uptake (946 on therapy) and strong initial sales demonstrate repeatable commercial execution and payer acceptance. Durable launch traction reduces commercialization risk for Sephience and supports the company's 2026 product revenue growth trajectory.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholder equity
Persistent negative equity constrains conventional leverage metrics and reduces balance sheet resilience. Even with lower absolute debt versus prior years, negative equity magnifies funding risk for expensive trials or commercial scale‑ups and increases reliance on monetizations or external financing.
Evrysdi royalty monetization reduces recurring cash
Monetizing Evrysdi provided near‑term liquidity but materially reduces future predictable royalties, shifting revenue dependence to product sales and pipeline milestones. This lowers recurring cash visibility and increases execution risk if Sephience or other launches underperform.
DMD franchise pressure (generics)
Growing generic penetration in the DMD franchise erodes a historically durable revenue base, forcing PTC to replace income with newer launches and pipeline successes. That structural decline increases revenue volatility until newer products scale globally.

PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PTC Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPTC Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of medicines to patients with rare disorders. Its portfolio pipeline includes commercial products and product candidates in various stages of development, including clinical, pre-clinical and research and discovery stages, focuses on the development of treatments for multiple therapeutic areas, such as rare diseases. The company offers Translarna and Emflaza for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy in the European Economic Area and the United States, as well as to treat nonsense mutation Duchenne muscular dystrophy in Brazil and Russia; commercializes Tegsedi and Waylivra for the treatment of rare diseases in Latin America and the Caribbean; and markets Evrysdi for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy in adults and children two months and older in Brazil. The company's splicing platform includes PTC518, which is being developed for the treatment of Huntington's disease. PTC Therapeutics, Inc. has collaborations with F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd and Hoffman-La Roche Inc., as well as the Spinal Muscular Atrophy Foundation to advance drug discovery and development research in regenerative medicine; and Akcea Therapeutics, Inc. to commercialize Tegsedi and Waylivra for the treatment of rare diseases in Latin America and the Caribbean. PTC Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in South Plainfield, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyPTC Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include both commercially available drugs and those in various stages of clinical trials. The company's key revenue streams come from product sales, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. PTC has established significant partnerships with organizations such as the SMA Foundation and other biotech firms to enhance its research capabilities and expand its product pipeline. Additionally, the company benefits from grants and funding aimed at supporting its research in rare diseases, which further contributes to its overall earnings.

PTC Therapeutics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Shows how much revenue each product generates, highlighting which products are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsTranslarna and Emflaza—the company’s legacy revenue engines—have retreated from mid‑2022/2023 peaks and trend downward into mid‑2025, signaling fading momentum from older franchises. Management is now leaning on Sephience’s early commercial traction ( $19.6M in Q3 and 521 U.S. start forms) to sustain growth and justify narrowed 2025 guidance, but uptake risks remain from slow Medicaid/Medicare policy finalizations and Emflaza generic pressure; ample cash gives PTC runway to commercialize Sephience and pursue pipeline catalysts.
Data provided by:The Fly

PTC Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive commercial and financial story driven by Sephience's rapid global approvals and impressive early launch metrics, revenue outperformance for 2025, a strengthened cash position (~$1.95B), disciplined OpEx, and clear R&D progress (notably votoplam Phase III alignment). Offsetting items include regulatory setbacks for vatiquinone requiring additional study, reduced future Evrysdi royalty exposure following a royalty sale, pressure on the DMD franchise from generics, and some near-term expense increases and geographic concentration of Sephience revenue. Overall, the positives (robust launch, revenue beat, cash runway, and advancing pipeline programs) materially outweigh the negatives, though several development and commercialization risks remain.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Global Sephience Approvals and Launch
Sephience gained approvals in the U.S., EU, Japan and other countries in 2025 and launched globally with strong early uptake. Q4 2025 Sephience revenue was $92M (U.S. $81M, ex-U.S. $11M) and Sephience generated $111M worldwide since launch in 2025. As of Dec 31, 2025 there were 946 patients on commercial therapy and 1,134 patient start forms in the U.S.; >80% of U.S. PKU centers of excellence have prescribed Sephience.
Overall Revenue Outperformance
Full year 2025 total net product and royalty revenue was $831M, exceeding guidance of $750M–$800M (surpassing the upper bound by $31M). Q4 2025 total net product and royalty revenue was $263M and full year product revenue was $587M.
Strong Financial Position and Liquidity
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $1.95B as of Dec 31, 2025, up from $1.14B a year earlier (≈+71% year-over-year), bolstered by disciplined OpEx and monetization activities.
Disciplined Operating Expense Management
Non-GAAP combined R&D and SG&A OpEx for 2025 was $728M, which came in below the prior guidance range of $730M–$760M, demonstrating operational discipline.
Evrysdi Royalty Monetization
PTC sold the remainder of its Evrysdi royalty to Royalty Pharma for $240M upfront plus up to $60M in sales-based milestones while retaining the right to a $150M Roche milestone tied to single-year Evrysdi sales of $2.5B, providing near-term liquidity.
2026 Growth Guidance and Path to Cash-Flow Breakeven
2026 product revenue guidance is $700M–$800M, representing 19%–36% product revenue growth versus 2025 (2025 product revenue $587M). Expense guidance for 2026 is $680M–$720M (non-GAAP R&D + SG&A), and the company expects potential to reach cash-flow breakeven in 2026.
Progress Across R&D Portfolio — Votoplam and Other Programs
Positive Phase II PIVOT-HD results for votoplam; FDA end-of-Phase-II alignment reached on Phase III INVEST-HD design. Novartis will initiate INVEST-HD in H1 2026 (target ~770 participants, 3:2 randomization, planned interim efficacy/futility analysis). Additional programs advancing: RNA splicing candidates, MSH3 development candidate election, NLRP3 Phase I initiation by mid-2026, and progression of ferroptosis/NRF2 programs.
Favorable Payer and Real-World Dynamics for Sephience
Payers have generally supported open Sephience access (few barriers, limited/no step edits, refills up to 12 months). High refill rates and low single-digit discontinuation rates reported; social media and patient advocacy driving awareness and demand, including re-engagement of 'lost to follow-up' adults.
Negative Updates
Vatiquinone CRL and Need for Additional Study
FDA issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) for vatiquinone and indicated that additional study will be necessary to support NDA resubmission; FDA suggested an open-label single-arm study with a natural history comparator. This introduces development delay and regulatory uncertainty; a Type C meeting was held and a Q2 2026 meeting is planned to align on protocol.
Reduced Ongoing Evrysdi Royalty Exposure
Sale of the remainder of Evrysdi royalty provides upfront cash but reduces future recurring royalty cash flows. Company excluded Evrysdi royalty revenue from 2026 guidance (impacting future revenue composition despite retained contingent milestones).
Headwinds in DMD Franchise (Generics and Market Pressure)
Management cited ongoing headwinds for the DMD franchise, including a larger number of generics for Emflaza in the U.S.; DMD franchise revenue for 2025 was $382M (Q4 DMD revenue $66M: Translarna $39M, Emflaza $27M), highlighting pressure on mature product revenue sustainability.
Concentration Risk in Early Sephience Revenue
Near-term Sephience revenue is heavily U.S.-weighted (vast majority expected), with ex-U.S. contributions phased in later in 2026; this geographic concentration creates execution and access risk as global rollout/pricing negotiations proceed.
Rising Near-Term Operating Expenses in Q4
Quarterly non-GAAP R&D increased to $124M in Q4 2025 (excluding $9M stock-based comp) from $116M in Q4 2024, and non-GAAP SG&A rose to $87M (excluding $10M stock-based comp) from $76M in Q4 2024, indicating higher near-term spend in support of launch and operations.
Uncertainty Around Accelerated Approval Timelines
While votoplam (Huntington's) has an aligned Phase III design and potential for accelerated approval pathways, the timing of interim analyses, potential accelerated approvals, and disclosures depend on upcoming extension-study data (24-month readouts) and are therefore uncertain.
Company Guidance
PTC guided 2026 product revenue of $700–$800 million (up 19%–36% YoY vs. 2025), with the majority from Sephience (guidance excludes Evrysdi royalty revenue after sale of the remaining royalty to Royalty Pharma — $240M upfront, up to $60M in milestones; PTC retains a $150M Roche milestone tied to $2.5B single‑year Evrysdi sales). They forecast non‑GAAP R&D plus SG&A of $680–$720M (excluding ~ $95M of noncash stock‑based comp) and said the company has the potential to reach cash‑flow breakeven in 2026. For context, Q4/2025 net product & royalty revenue was $263M and FY2025 totaled $831M (total product revenue $587M), with Sephience contributing $92M in Q4 and $111M since launch in 2025; Q4 DMD franchise revenue was $66M (Translarna $39M, Emflaza $27M); Evrysdi drove Q4 royalty of $79M and FY royalty of $244M. Non‑GAAP R&D+SG&A OpEx for 2025 was $728M (below prior guidance of $730–$760M), cash at year‑end was $1.95B (vs. $1.14B a year earlier), Sephience had 946 commercial patients worldwide (1,134 U.S. patient start forms) as of Dec 31, 2025, and the company expects commercial patients in 20–30 countries by year‑end 2026; gross‑to‑net is modeled at ~15%–25% (starting at the lower end).

PTC Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability and cash generation (very high gross margin, solid EBIT/net margins, and strong operating/free cash flow with good conversion). The key offsets are elevated balance-sheet risk from negative equity and some softness in top-line momentum (recent revenue and FCF slightly down), raising sustainability questions if one-offs fade.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a sharp profitability inflection: revenue of ~$1.73B with very strong gross profitability (~91% gross margin) and robust operating profitability (~49% EBIT margin), driving a solid net margin (~42%). This is a major improvement versus 2020–2024, which were consistently loss-making with negative operating and net margins. The key offset is growth: TTM revenue declined (~-2.7%) and 2024 revenue also dipped, suggesting the earnings surge may be mix/event-driven rather than a clean, steady demand expansion.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Balance sheet risk remains elevated. Stockholders’ equity is negative in TTM and across recent years, which weakens financial flexibility and makes leverage harder to interpret in a conventional way. While total debt in TTM (~$492M) is far lower than 2024 (~$2.47B), the company still carries meaningful leverage against a negative equity base, leaving it more exposed if profitability normalizes lower or if funding needs re-emerge.
Cash Flow
73
Positive
Cash generation improved materially in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with strong operating cash flow (~$711M) and free cash flow (~$699M), a dramatic turnaround from negative operating and free cash flow in 2020–2024. Free cash flow broadly tracks reported earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.98), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is momentum: free cash flow was slightly down (~-2.1% growth), and the multi-year history shows prior cash burn, so durability through cycles remains a key watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.73B806.78M937.82M698.80M538.59M
Gross Profit1.66B749.38M872.34M654.12M506.26M
EBITDA895.32M-120.46M-330.34M-367.78M-368.18M
Net Income682.64M-363.30M-626.60M-559.02M-523.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.90B1.71B1.90B1.71B1.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.95B1.14B876.74M410.70M773.38M
Total Debt398.70M2.47B2.23B1.46B1.27B
Total Liabilities3.10B2.80B2.71B2.05B1.94B
Stockholders Equity-205.31M-1.10B-818.55M-347.09M1.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow702.34M-181.94M-279.04M-509.11M-336.66M
Operating Cash Flow711.20M-107.69M-158.42M-356.65M-251.33M
Investing Cash Flow-861.98M44.18M-176.74M290.18M219.18M
Financing Cash Flow331.09M255.87M646.40M167.95M20.88M

PTC Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price70.50
Price Trends
50DMA
74.90
Negative
100DMA
73.09
Negative
200DMA
61.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.56
Positive
RSI
39.99
Neutral
STOCH
48.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PTCT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 70.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.82, below the 50-day MA of 74.90, and above the 200-day MA of 61.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PTCT.

PTC Therapeutics Risk Analysis

PTC Therapeutics disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PTC Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PTC Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$5.53B8.1797.54%
62
Neutral
$4.64B10.60111.96%100.88%
56
Neutral
$7.97B-11.65-20.83%-5.21%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$5.14B-8.39-30.18%-81.10%-99.21%
40
Underperform
$3.99B-16.98-47.18%-76.96%-425.41%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
68.98
18.62
36.97%
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
30.51
1.30
4.45%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
56.77
12.26
27.54%
PCVX
Vaxcyte
61.35
-18.00
-22.68%
ACLX
Arcellx Inc
113.75
51.10
81.56%

PTC Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
PTC Therapeutics Tops 2025 Revenue Guidance, Boosts Cash
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

On Feb. 19, 2026, PTC Therapeutics reported that full-year 2025 product and royalty revenue reached $831 million, exceeding guidance, driven by the successful global launch of Sephience, which generated $111 million since its second-half 2025 debut and contributed to total 2025 revenues of $1.73 billion. The company strengthened its balance sheet to $1.95 billion in cash by year-end, boosted by a $998.4 million Novartis collaboration on votoplam and the sale of remaining Evrysdi royalties, while advancing its pipeline with FDA alignment on a Phase 3 Huntington’s trial and receiving feedback that an additional study is needed to resubmit vatiquinone in Friedreich’s ataxia, as it guides investors with 2026 product revenue expectations of $700 million to $800 million and higher R&D and SG&A spending.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTCT) stock is a Buy with a $124.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PTC Therapeutics stock, see the PTCT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PTC Therapeutics Withdraws Translarna NDA After FDA Feedback
Negative
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, PTC Therapeutics withdrew its New Drug Application resubmission for Translarna (ataluren), a protein restoration therapy for nonsense mutation Duchenne muscular dystrophy, after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration indicated the data were unlikely to meet its threshold for substantial evidence of effectiveness. The decision halts PTC’s two-decade effort to secure U.S. approval for Translarna in this rare and fatal neuromuscular disease, underscoring regulatory hurdles in rare disease drug development and potentially affecting patient access and the company’s positioning in the DMD treatment landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTCT) stock is a Hold with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PTC Therapeutics stock, see the PTCT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
PTC Therapeutics Posts Strong 2025 Results, Updates 2026 Outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, PTC Therapeutics reported preliminary unaudited 2025 results showing approximately $823.4 million in total product and royalty revenue, above prior guidance, including $587.8 million in product revenue and $112.1 million from its newly launched Sephience, which generated $92.5 million in fourth-quarter sales alone and reached 946 patients worldwide by year-end. The company ended 2025 with about $1.94 billion in cash and securities, completed the sale of its remaining Evrysdi royalty stream for up to $300 million in consideration while retaining a potential $150 million milestone, advanced its pipeline with FDA alignment on a Phase 3 Huntington’s disease trial for votoplam and continued regulatory engagement on vatiquinone and Translarna, and issued 2026 guidance calling for $700 million to $800 million in product revenue and GAAP R&D and SG&A expenses of $775 million to $815 million, underscoring both strong launch momentum and sustained investment in late-stage programs as it moves toward cash-flow breakeven.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTCT) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PTC Therapeutics stock, see the PTCT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
PTC Therapeutics Fully Monetizes Evrysdi Royalty Interest
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, PTC Therapeutics, Inc. entered into a second amendment to its Amended and Restated Royalty Purchase Agreement with Royalty Pharma Investments 2019 ICAV, under which PTC sold its remaining economic interest in royalties on worldwide net sales of Roche’s Evrysdi (risdiplam) and related products. In exchange for its retained royalty stake—representing 9.5111% of the royalty before a specified 2020 royalty cap is met and 16.6666% thereafter—PTC received $240 million in upfront cash and became eligible for up to three additional $20 million payments tied to future annual royalty payment thresholds for 2027, 2028 and 2029, resulting in Royalty Pharma now owning 100% of the Evrysdi royalty stream and PTC fully monetizing this asset to bolster its cash resources but relinquishing future royalty income from the product.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTCT) stock is a Buy with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PTC Therapeutics stock, see the PTCT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 23, 2026