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Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX)
NASDAQ:PCVX
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Vaxcyte (PCVX) AI Stock Analysis

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PCVX

Vaxcyte

(NASDAQ:PCVX)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▼(-8.58% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/17/26
The score is primarily held back by the lack of revenue alongside rapidly widening losses and increasing cash burn, despite a comparatively strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators add a mild downtrend bias, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support. Corporate governance-related shareholder approvals provide only a modest positive offset.
Positive Factors
Low leverage & sizable equity
A low-leverage balance sheet with roughly $3.0B in equity and $3.35B in assets provides durable financial flexibility to fund multi-year clinical programs, reduces near-term refinancing risk, and supports strategic options like partnerships or milestone-backed deals as development progresses.
Negative Factors
No product revenue
As a clinical‑stage company with no product revenue, Vaxcyte must rely on financing, partnerships, or milestone payments to fund operations. This structural absence of recurring sales increases reliance on capital markets and introduces dilution and runway uncertainty over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage & sizable equity
A low-leverage balance sheet with roughly $3.0B in equity and $3.35B in assets provides durable financial flexibility to fund multi-year clinical programs, reduces near-term refinancing risk, and supports strategic options like partnerships or milestone-backed deals as development progresses.
Read all positive factors

Vaxcyte (PCVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vaxcyte Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vaxcyte, Inc. is a biotechnology firm in the clinical development stage, dedicated to creating innovative protein-based vaccines. Its primary objective is to either prevent or manage bacterial infectious diseases. The company's leading vaccine can...
How the Company Makes Money
Vaxcyte is a clinical-stage company and, based on publicly available information, does not have approved products for commercial sale; as a result, it generally does not generate recurring product revenue from vaccine sales. Instead, its funding t...

Vaxcyte Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and clinical momentum story: robust balance sheet extended by a ~$600M financing, completion of a commercial-scale manufacturing facility on time and on budget, initiation of three pivotal/Phase III adult OPUS trials with expected top-line readouts over the next 18 months, completed infant enrollment (900 infants), and resumption of the Group A Strep program. Offsetting risks are mostly predictable near-term impacts from materially higher R&D and manufacturing expenses in 2026, serotype-level regulatory uncertainties (and the idiosyncratic challenge of serotype 3), and a competitive landscape with other PCV developers. Overall, the highlights—particularly cash runway, manufacturing completion, and late-stage clinical progress—materially outweigh the lowlights, which are manageable programmatic and financial execution risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position and Recent Financing
Cash, cash equivalents and investments of $2.4 billion as of Dec 31, 2025, plus a subsequent public equity offering raising approximately $600.2 million in net proceeds; company states cash runway to at least the end of 2028.
Negative Updates
Projected Meaningful Increase in R&D and Total Expenses for 2026
Company expects total expenses, particularly R&D, to increase meaningfully in 2026 relative to full year 2025 and Q4 2025 annualized levels due to manufacturing scale-up, buildup of commercial supply and larger/more clinical trials; no specific percentage guidance provided.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Financial Position and Recent Financing
Cash, cash equivalents and investments of $2.4 billion as of Dec 31, 2025, plus a subsequent public equity offering raising approximately $600.2 million in net proceeds; company states cash runway to at least the end of 2028.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to a busy, capital-intensive 2026–2027 cadence: as of 12/31/2025 Vaxcyte had $2.4 billion in cash, then raised ~ $600.2 million net proceeds and said this funding provides runway to at least the end of 2028; it expects total expenses—particularly R&D—to increase meaningfully in 2026 while capitalized costs trend down. Key clinical and timing metrics: the OPUS Phase III program will enroll ~6,000 adults (≈3,400 receiving VAX‑31) with OPUS‑1 top‑line safety/tolerability/immunogenicity data expected in Q4 2026 and OPUS‑2 and OPUS‑3 readouts in H1 2027; the VAX‑31 infant Phase II optimized cohort enrollment is complete (900 infants dosed) with primary 3‑dose and booster data due by end H1 2027; VAX‑A1 Phase I in adults is planned to start in 2026. Product and regulatory metrics highlighted include a 31‑valent design with 10–11 incremental serotypes versus comparators, analytical plans that allow noninferiority against one comparator for the 10 shared serotypes, roughly 10 serotypes comparing head‑to‑head with Prevnar‑20 and 8 exclusive serotypes versus Capvaxive, and the expectation to meet conventional safety exposure norms (>3,000 subjects); manufacturing progress includes a dedicated large‑scale facility completed on time/on budget, a North Carolina fill‑finish build‑out as part of up to $1 billion U.S. manufacturing investment, and ongoing plans for a manufacturing consistency study.

Vaxcyte Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is strong with low leverage and sizable equity/assets, but the income statement shows zero revenue and rapidly widening losses, and cash flow reflects escalating cash burn and deeply negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-5.85M0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-920.69M-741.77M-448.08M-392.10M-214.03M-96.61M
Net Income-946.53M-766.63M-463.93M-402.27M-223.49M-100.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.35B3.05B3.51B1.41B1.01B324.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B1.56B1.75B1.08B931.38M245.97M
Total Debt116.30M228.84M71.11M29.22M17.94M16.78M
Total Liabilities352.29M360.45M205.50M167.45M52.56M40.32M
Stockholders Equity3.00B2.69B3.31B1.24B953.61M284.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-771.68M-669.29M-475.05M-364.67M-176.44M-127.95M
Operating Cash Flow-769.93M-655.58M-452.63M-296.79M-170.60M-121.39M
Investing Cash Flow80.63M437.35M-2.01B-773.31M74.58M-212.31M
Financing Cash Flow602.84M2.01M2.45B639.81M861.55M17.80M

Vaxcyte Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.35
Price Trends
50DMA
52.76
Positive
100DMA
55.31
Positive
200DMA
49.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.43
Negative
RSI
70.64
Negative
STOCH
94.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCVX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.44, above the 50-day MA of 52.76, and above the 200-day MA of 49.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.64 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCVX.

Vaxcyte Risk Analysis

Vaxcyte disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vaxcyte reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vaxcyte Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$10.96B47.9719.25%25.15%79.56%
61
Neutral
$6.77B-35.1599.84%-53.34%-130.87%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$8.39B-8.52-32.51%-71.33%
45
Neutral
$2.07B-24.29%8.57%35.12%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCVX
Vaxcyte
56.08
22.81
68.56%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
81.35
32.20
65.51%
ZLAB
Zai Lab
19.15
-16.34
-46.04%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
371.58
230.23
162.88%

Vaxcyte Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vaxcyte Announces Board Transition and New Director Appointment
Neutral
Jun 23, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Vaxcyte, Inc. announced that board member Jacks Lee retired from its Board of Directors, with the company emphasizing that his departure did not stem from any dispute and confirming he will continue to support Vaxcyte as a consul...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vaxcyte Shareholders Reelect Directors, Approve Governance Measures
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 15, 2026, Vaxcyte stockholders re-elected three Class III directors — Olivier Brandicourt, M.D., Halley Gilbert, J.D., and Grant Pickering, M.B.A. — to serve until the 2029 annual meet...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2026