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Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
NASDAQ:IONS

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) AI Stock Analysis

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IONS

Ionis Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:IONS)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(8.08% Upside)
Ionis Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, which are offset by financial performance challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic advancements and successful product launches provide a positive outlook, but profitability and cash flow issues remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Breakthrough Therapy Designation
The FDA's designation for zilganersen as a Breakthrough Therapy can accelerate its development and approval process, enhancing Ionis's competitive edge in treating rare neurological diseases.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates successful product adoption and market expansion, supporting long-term financial health and investment in R&D.
Product Pipeline Advancements
Advancements in clinical trials for olezarsen and zilganersen enhance Ionis's pipeline, promising future revenue streams and market leadership in targeted therapies.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting Ionis's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Operating Loss
Persistent operating losses highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could strain resources and delay strategic initiatives.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow indicates liquidity issues, potentially limiting Ionis's ability to fund operations and invest in future growth opportunities.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIonis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. discovers and develops RNA-targeted therapeutics in the United States. The company offers SPINRAZA for spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) in pediatric and adult patients; TEGSEDI, an injection for the treatment of polyneuropathy of hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis in adults; and WAYLIVRA, a treatment for familial chylomicronemia syndrome and familial partial lipodystrophy. It also develops medicines for various indications that are in phase 3 study, including Eplontersen as a monthly self-administered subcutaneous injection to treat all types of TTR amyloidosis; Olezarsen for patients with severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG); Donidalorsen for patients with hereditary angioedema; ION363 for patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; Pelacarsen for patients with established cardiovascular disease and elevated lipoprotein(a); and Tofersen to inhibit the production of superoxide dismutase 1. In addition, the company develops medicines for metabolic diseases, infectious diseases, renal diseases, ophthalmic diseases, and cancer. It has a strategic collaboration with Biogen Inc.; and collaboration and license agreement with AstraZeneca, Bayer AG, GlaxoSmithKline plc, Novartis AG, Roche, Janssen Biotech, Inc., and Flamingo Therapeutics, Inc. Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is based in Carlsbad, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyIonis Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its approved drugs and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. The company earns royalties from sales of its marketed products, such as Spinraza (nusinersen), which is licensed to Biogen for spinal muscular atrophy. Additionally, Ionis forms strategic partnerships with other biopharmaceutical companies to co-develop and co-commercialize new therapies, receiving upfront payments, milestone payments upon achieving certain development and regulatory goals, and royalties on future product sales. These partnerships significantly contribute to Ionis's revenue stream, allowing it to leverage its innovative drug development capabilities while sharing the financial risks associated with bringing new therapies to market.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Shows revenue generated from individual products, highlighting which drugs are driving sales and indicating the company's reliance on specific treatments for growth.
Chart InsightsIonis Pharmaceuticals is experiencing a shift in its revenue dynamics. While Spinraza's revenue has been declining, the introduction of Tryngolza has shown strong early performance, significantly boosting revenue projections for 2025. The earnings call highlights Tryngolza's successful launch and increased revenue guidance, indicating a strategic pivot towards new product launches. However, challenges in patient identification and pricing strategy for other treatments could impact future growth. Overall, Ionis is leveraging its robust pipeline to drive revenue, with potential FDA approvals on the horizon further supporting its growth trajectory.
Data provided by:The Fly

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Ionis Pharmaceuticals demonstrated strong revenue growth and successful product launches, with significant advancements in their clinical pipeline. Despite these achievements, the company faces challenges with operating losses and patient identification for Tringolza. Overall, the positive developments outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported a 17% increase in revenue year over year for the third quarter of 2025, totaling $157 million. The first nine months saw a 55% increase in revenue compared to the previous year.
Successful Launch of Tringolza
Tringolza, the treatment for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), achieved $32 million in net product sales in Q3, a nearly 70% increase from the second quarter.
Regulatory and Market Approvals
Tringolza received European approval, and Donzara was approved by the FDA for Hereditary Angioedema (HAE).
Positive Clinical Trial Results
Olazarsen showed significant reductions in triglycerides in severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG) patients, achieving a 72% reduction in triglycerides and an 85% reduction in acute pancreatitis events.
Advancements in Neurology
Zilgarnason showed the first-ever disease-modifying effect in Alexander disease, achieving a 33% mean benefit in gait speed.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss
Ionis Pharmaceuticals expects an operating loss between $275 million and $300 million for the full year 2025.
Challenges in Patient Identification
Despite the success of Tringolza, the vast majority of the estimated 3,000 people living with FCS in the US remain unidentified, indicating challenges in patient identification.
Company Guidance
During the Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting their strong performance and strategic advancements. Ionis announced an increase in their 2025 financial guidance, projecting total revenue between $875 million and $900 million, a $50 million increase from previous guidance. TRINGOZA product sales are expected to reach $85 to $95 million for the year, driven by a nearly 70% quarter-over-quarter increase in net product sales. The company anticipates an operating loss between $275 million and $300 million, with a planned cash balance of over $2.1 billion by year-end. Ionis highlighted key achievements, including FDA approval and European launch plans for Tringolza, as well as the approval of Donzara for Hereditary Angioedema. Positive Phase III results for Olazarsen and Zilgarnason pave the way for future launches, with olanzarcen expected to be a blockbuster with over $1 billion in peak sales. The company remains focused on expanding its pipeline and achieving cash flow breakeven by 2028.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ionis Pharmaceuticals exhibits strong gross profit margins but struggles with profitability and cash flow sustainability. High leverage and negative returns on equity pose financial risks. While revenue shows modest growth, the company needs to address its profitability and cash flow issues to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ionis Pharmaceuticals shows a strong gross profit margin of 98.78% in TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -26.51% and EBIT margin of -19.71%. Revenue growth is modest at 2.43% TTM, but the consistent negative margins highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.41 TTM, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -44.32%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage indicates a need for improved capital structure.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Ionis Pharmaceuticals faces cash flow challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.23, indicating some ability to cover net losses, but the overall negative cash flow growth and operating cash flow coverage ratio of -0.27 highlight liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue966.96M705.14M787.65M587.37M810.46M729.26M
Gross Profit955.14M693.92M778.51M573.25M799.61M717.32M
EBITDA-144.65M-353.72M-235.87M-227.76M-5.19M-111.19M
Net Income-256.34M-453.90M-366.29M-269.72M-28.60M-444.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.03B3.00B2.99B2.53B2.61B2.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.24B2.30B2.33B2.00B2.13B1.89B
Total Debt1.49B1.42B1.45B1.37B1.25B908.93M
Total Liabilities2.42B2.42B2.60B1.96B1.84B1.65B
Stockholders Equity617.97M588.35M386.69M572.89M771.74M743.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-302.66M-546.23M-335.52M-294.47M12.90M-5.16M
Operating Cash Flow-247.01M-500.95M-307.51M-274.37M30.80M35.89M
Investing Cash Flow209.94M-134.03M-214.13M-262.64M194.91M274.48M
Financing Cash Flow40.55M478.06M644.08M-55.30M245.93M-596.61M

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.57
Price Trends
50DMA
75.54
Positive
100DMA
64.99
Positive
200DMA
49.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Positive
RSI
55.65
Neutral
STOCH
26.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IONS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.05, above the 50-day MA of 75.54, and above the 200-day MA of 49.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IONS.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Ionis Pharmaceuticals disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$12.89B-46.50-39.99%20.39%34.00%
59
Neutral
$14.70B-18.2262.46%-73.59%
58
Neutral
$15.59B-40.55-14.73%-83.82%-109.22%
57
Neutral
$9.26B-1,014.29-0.50%23258.15%99.12%
52
Neutral
$15.23B-15.21-60.76%-100.00%-44.24%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$12.22B-47.09103.32%47.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
79.57
43.49
120.54%
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals
68.16
48.41
245.11%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
199.99
60.29
43.16%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
76.30
48.53
174.76%
RVMD
Revolution Medicines
78.78
34.85
79.33%
ROIV
Roivant Sciences
22.41
10.44
87.22%

Ionis Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ionis Pharmaceuticals Completes $770M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals completed a private offering of $770 million in 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030. The proceeds, estimated at $751.2 million after expenses, are intended for repurchasing existing 2026 Notes and general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Ionis’s market position by refinancing existing debt and potentially impacting its stock price through market activities related to the repurchase transactions.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ionis Pharmaceuticals Reports Positive Phase 3 Study Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 8, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced positive results from the Phase 3 CORE and CORE2 studies of olezarsen for severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG). The studies showed a significant reduction in fasting triglyceride levels and acute pancreatitis events, with olezarsen achieving up to a 72% reduction in triglyceride levels at six months, sustained through 12 months. These results, presented at the American Heart Association Scientific Sessions, indicate olezarsen’s potential to transform sHTG treatment by significantly reducing the risk of acute pancreatitis, positioning Ionis favorably in the market.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ionis Pharmaceuticals Reports Positive Study Results for Zilganersen
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced positive results from a pivotal study of zilganersen, an investigational medicine for Alexander disease (AxD), a rare neurological condition. The study showed statistically significant stabilization in gait speed and favorable safety, marking the first time a treatment has demonstrated a disease-modifying impact in AxD. Ionis plans to submit a new drug application to the FDA in early 2026, potentially transforming the treatment landscape for AxD and reinforcing Ionis’ position in addressing severe neurological diseases.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025