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Roivant Sciences (ROIV)
NASDAQ:ROIV

Roivant Sciences (ROIV) AI Stock Analysis

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Roivant Sciences

(NASDAQ:ROIV)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(0.52%Upside)
Roivant Sciences' stock score is primarily influenced by its financial struggles and valuation concerns, which are mitigated by promising pipeline developments and strategic corporate actions. The company's strong cash position and potential market advancements provide a balanced outlook despite significant risks.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The VALOR trial's design, including steroid tapering measures, is expected to enhance the reliability of brepocitinib's results by minimizing placebo response.
Market Potential
Brepocitinib's convenient oral dosing and novel mechanism-of-action position it as a potential first approved JAK inhibitor in the dermatomyositis space.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
IMVT-1402 may struggle to replace Vyvgart in the MG market due to Vyvgart's established efficacy, safety profile, and market dominance.
Regulatory Strategies
ROIV has not asked FDA for fast track nor breakthrough therapy designation in dermatomyositis because it doesn’t have the data to justify doing so.

Roivant Sciences (ROIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Roivant Sciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoivant Sciences (ROIV) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing transformative medicines by building 'Vants,' which are nimble, entrepreneurial biotech companies. Each Vant operates with an independent management team and focuses on a specific therapeutic area or technology. Roivant's core products and services include drug development in areas such as neurology, immunology, and rare diseases, with an emphasis on innovation and rapid commercialization.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoivant Sciences makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of pharmaceutical products. The company generates revenue by advancing its drug candidates through clinical trials and obtaining regulatory approval for their sale. Roivant may also earn income through licensing agreements, partnerships, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, where they might receive upfront payments, milestone-based payments, and royalties on sales. Additionally, Roivant's unique business model of creating Vants allows for the potential monetization of these subsidiaries through mergers, acquisitions, or public offerings, contributing further to their financial growth.

Roivant Sciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 7.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Roivant's earnings call presented a strong financial position and promising developments in its pipeline, particularly with Brepocitinib and IMVT-1402. However, challenges remain in terms of competition in the FcRn space and ongoing litigation. The sentiment is balanced with significant growth potential but also notable risks.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position and Capital Allocation
Roivant has just under $5 billion in cash with no debt, supporting the current pipeline to profitability. $2 billion is reserved for pipeline expansion, and the company has repurchased $1.3 billion of its own stock, reducing the share count by nearly 15%.
Promising Pipeline Developments
The company is excited about the upcoming registrational data from the Brepocitinib study in dermatomyositis, a potential first novel oral DM drug. IMVT-1402 is seen as a potential best-in-class anti-FcRn with multiple indications in play.
Advancements in FcRn Franchise
Roivant's IMVT-1402 is claimed to have a favorable safety profile and robust IgG lowering, with ongoing clinical progress across multiple indications including Graves' disease and Sjogren's.
Ongoing Litigation
Roivant is in the narrowing and summary judgment phase of its LNP litigation with Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech, expected to move to trial soon.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty in Dermatomyositis Study Outcome
While the Brepocitinib study in dermatomyositis is anticipated, there's an acknowledgment of the risk related to the placebo response and the need for clear efficacy results.
Competitive Landscape and Market Challenges
There is significant competition in the FcRn space, with other companies pursuing similar indications, potentially impacting Roivant's market positioning and pricing strategy.
Pending Legal Decisions
The Markman decision in the Pfizer LNP litigation has taken longer than expected, contributing to legal uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Roivant's fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. CEO Matt Gline highlighted that fiscal year 2025 is crucial for Roivant, with significant progress in their clinical pipeline and litigation efforts. The company is particularly excited about the potential registrational data for Brepocitinib in dermatomyositis, which they expect to readout in the second half of the year. This data could position Brepocitinib as the first novel oral DM therapy on the market. In terms of financials, Roivant reported nearly $5 billion in cash on the balance sheet as of March 31, 2025, and has repurchased $1.3 billion of its own stock, reducing its share count by almost 15%. Additionally, the company is actively engaging in LNP litigation with Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech, expecting to move to trial soon. Roivant is also advancing its late-stage pipeline, including IMVT-1402 and mosliciguat, with multiple potentially registrational studies underway.

Roivant Sciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Roivant Sciences faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. While the balance sheet shows strong equity and cash positions, profitability and cash flow generation are major concerns. Strategic shifts may be necessary to enhance financial performance and stabilize cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Roivant Sciences shows a mixed income statement performance. The TTM revenue decreased to $97.56M from an annual figure of $124.80M, indicating negative growth. Gross profit margin remains high at around 89%, but the company consistently posts negative EBIT and net income, suggesting ongoing operational challenges. The TTM net profit margin is negative due to significant losses, highlighting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet suggests a strong equity position with stockholders' equity of $5.19B in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating limited leverage risk. With a high cash position, the company maintains substantial liquidity. However, the negative net income impacts ROE, which remains negative, suggesting challenges in generating returns for equity holders.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flows highlight significant challenges with negative operating and free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow struggles relative to net losses. Free cash flow growth is also negative, reflecting ongoing cash burn issues. Despite sizeable cash reserves, the company's cash flow generation is weak.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
97.56M124.80M61.28M55.29M23.80M67.69M
Gross Profit
86.85M96.83M48.15M46.32M21.74M66.56M
EBIT
-1.00B4.24B-1.18B-1.35B-1.07B-532.42M
EBITDA
4.44B4.31B-1.18B-916.71M-895.74M-553.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-116.62M4.35B-1.01B-845.26M-809.23M1.20B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.15B6.54B1.68B2.06B2.13B2.19B
Total Assets
5.79B7.22B2.39B2.59B2.69B2.48B
Total Debt
100.31M499.75M481.40M283.89M244.98M180.88M
Net Debt
-1.89B-6.04B-1.20B-1.78B-1.81B-2.00B
Total Liabilities
256.38M773.95M782.02M523.70M527.69M368.36M
Stockholders Equity
5.19B5.97B1.16B1.66B1.80B2.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-779.48M-766.65M-856.08M-695.16M-557.94M-766.75M
Operating Cash Flow
-775.34M-765.27M-843.39M-677.73M-552.14M-761.83M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.83B5.20B-44.27M303.30M-31.70M1.69B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.08B419.36M499.46M306.79M456.26M217.16M

Roivant Sciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.44
Price Trends
50DMA
10.86
Positive
100DMA
10.73
Positive
200DMA
11.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
57.66
Neutral
STOCH
39.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.13, above the 50-day MA of 10.86, and above the 200-day MA of 11.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROIV.

Roivant Sciences Risk Analysis

Roivant Sciences disclosed 98 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roivant Sciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Risks Related to Our Strategy and Financial Position Q4, 2024
2.
Q4, 2024
3.
Risks Related to Our Business and Industry Q4, 2024

Roivant Sciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$6.54B14.10147.06%25.65%57.10%
73
Outperform
$6.48B14.6012.25%5.76%49.58%
58
Neutral
$7.61B35.68%-41.71%-9.37%
56
Neutral
$7.55B1.93-8.56%-38.94%-104.46%
56
Neutral
$6.33B-50.16%21.83%
54
Neutral
$5.24B3.26-44.35%6.48%16.78%-0.10%
53
Neutral
$6.39B-20.00%112.46%54.33%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROIV
Roivant Sciences
11.44
0.64
5.93%
HALO
Halozyme
53.15
2.29
4.50%
JAZZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals
108.24
0.88
0.82%
MDGL
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
282.72
14.93
5.58%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
40.00
12.95
47.87%
LEGN
Legend Biotech
34.89
-5.91
-14.49%

Roivant Sciences Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Roivant Sciences Announces Leadership Changes at Immunovant
Positive
Apr 21, 2025

On April 21, 2025, Roivant Sciences announced significant leadership changes at its subsidiary, Immunovant, Inc., including the appointment of Eric Venker as CEO and Tiago Girao as CFO, as part of a strategic transition to enhance operational involvement and oversight. The company is expanding the development of its drug IMVT-1402 into two new indications, Sjögren’s Disease and Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus, with promising clinical data and a strong cash position to support these initiatives, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Roivant Sciences Engages Former Officer for Advisory Role
Neutral
Mar 20, 2025

On March 16, 2025, Roivant Sciences, Inc. entered into a consulting agreement with its former Chief Accounting Officer, Rakhi Kumar, who stepped down on February 20, 2025. This agreement allows Ms. Kumar to provide advisory and transition services while continuing to vest into her equity incentive awards over an 18-month term, potentially impacting her and the company’s operational continuity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.