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Roivant Sciences (ROIV)
NASDAQ:ROIV

Roivant Sciences (ROIV) AI Stock Analysis

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Roivant Sciences

(NASDAQ:ROIV)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(2.50%Upside)
Roivant Sciences' overall score reflects significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, partially offset by a strong cash position and promising pipeline developments. Corporate initiatives, such as share repurchases and leadership changes, also contribute positively. However, competition and litigation pose notable risks.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The topline data from the Phase 3 VALOR study of brepocitinib in dermatomyositis is the next key catalyst for Roivant and could meaningfully expand the opportunity for the drug.
Drug Differentiation
Brepocitinib is highly differentiated in its convenient oral dosing and novel mechanism-of-action, with potential to become the first approved JAK inhibitor in the dermatomyositis space.
Stock Repurchase
ROIV disclosed that it had repurchased $205M in stock and announced a new authorization for the repurchase of up to $500M in stock.
Negative Factors
Placebo Response Concerns
Investors may be overly concerned about the placebo response in the forthcoming Ph3 brepocitinib dermatomyositis trial results, and there are signals that JAK inhibitors benefit muscle.
Regulatory Challenges
ROIV has not asked FDA for fast track nor breakthrough therapy designation in dermatomyositis because it doesn’t have the data to justify doing so.

Roivant Sciences (ROIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Roivant Sciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoivant Sciences Ltd., a biopharmaceutical and healthcare technology company that researches and develops medicines. The company develops product candidates for the treatment of various therapeutics, including solid tumors, sickle cell diseases, hypophosphatasia, oncologic malignancies, psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, vitiligo, hyperhidrosis, acne, myasthenia gravis, warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia, thyroid eye diseases, sarcoidosis, and staph aureus bacteremia. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoivant Sciences makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of pharmaceutical products. The company generates revenue by advancing its drug candidates through clinical trials and obtaining regulatory approval for their sale. Roivant may also earn income through licensing agreements, partnerships, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, where they might receive upfront payments, milestone-based payments, and royalties on sales. Additionally, Roivant's unique business model of creating Vants allows for the potential monetization of these subsidiaries through mergers, acquisitions, or public offerings, contributing further to their financial growth.

Roivant Sciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 5.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Roivant's earnings call presented a strong financial position and promising developments in its pipeline, particularly with Brepocitinib and IMVT-1402. However, challenges remain in terms of competition in the FcRn space and ongoing litigation. The sentiment is balanced with significant growth potential but also notable risks.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position and Capital Allocation
Roivant has just under $5 billion in cash with no debt, supporting the current pipeline to profitability. $2 billion is reserved for pipeline expansion, and the company has repurchased $1.3 billion of its own stock, reducing the share count by nearly 15%.
Promising Pipeline Developments
The company is excited about the upcoming registrational data from the Brepocitinib study in dermatomyositis, a potential first novel oral DM drug. IMVT-1402 is seen as a potential best-in-class anti-FcRn with multiple indications in play.
Advancements in FcRn Franchise
Roivant's IMVT-1402 is claimed to have a favorable safety profile and robust IgG lowering, with ongoing clinical progress across multiple indications including Graves' disease and Sjogren's.
Ongoing Litigation
Roivant is in the narrowing and summary judgment phase of its LNP litigation with Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech, expected to move to trial soon.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty in Dermatomyositis Study Outcome
While the Brepocitinib study in dermatomyositis is anticipated, there's an acknowledgment of the risk related to the placebo response and the need for clear efficacy results.
Competitive Landscape and Market Challenges
There is significant competition in the FcRn space, with other companies pursuing similar indications, potentially impacting Roivant's market positioning and pricing strategy.
Pending Legal Decisions
The Markman decision in the Pfizer LNP litigation has taken longer than expected, contributing to legal uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Roivant's fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. CEO Matt Gline highlighted that fiscal year 2025 is crucial for Roivant, with significant progress in their clinical pipeline and litigation efforts. The company is particularly excited about the potential registrational data for Brepocitinib in dermatomyositis, which they expect to readout in the second half of the year. This data could position Brepocitinib as the first novel oral DM therapy on the market. In terms of financials, Roivant reported nearly $5 billion in cash on the balance sheet as of March 31, 2025, and has repurchased $1.3 billion of its own stock, reducing its share count by almost 15%. Additionally, the company is actively engaging in LNP litigation with Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech, expecting to move to trial soon. Roivant is also advancing its late-stage pipeline, including IMVT-1402 and mosliciguat, with multiple potentially registrational studies underway.

Roivant Sciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Roivant Sciences faces financial challenges, including declining revenues, consistent losses, and negative cash flows. Despite a strong equity position, profitability and cash generation are under pressure, raising concerns about long-term viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Roivant Sciences shows significant volatility in revenue with a declining trend from 2020 to 2025. The company has faced substantial EBIT and net income losses consistently, indicating operational challenges. Gross Profit Margin has been positive, but high EBIT and EBITDA losses reflect underlying inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet highlights a strong equity position relative to debt, with total debt significantly lower than equity. However, the company's continuous negative net income impacts return on equity. The equity ratio is high, suggesting financial stability, but the persistent losses pose a risk.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Roivant Sciences demonstrates weak cash flow management with consistently negative operating and free cash flows. Although investments have been substantial, operational cash flow remains negative, and free cash flow shows no growth, indicating challenges in converting revenue into cash.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.05M124.80M61.28M55.29M23.80M
Gross Profit28.14M96.83M48.15M46.32M21.74M
EBITDA-1.10B4.31B-1.18B-916.71M-895.74M
Net Income-171.98M4.35B-1.01B-845.26M-809.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.44B7.22B2.39B2.59B2.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.89B6.54B1.68B2.06B2.13B
Total Debt100.17M499.75M481.40M283.89M244.98M
Total Liabilities249.74M773.95M782.02M523.70M527.69M
Stockholders Equity4.69B5.97B1.16B1.66B1.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-844.05M-766.65M-856.08M-695.16M-557.94M
Operating Cash Flow-839.45M-765.27M-843.39M-677.73M-552.14M
Investing Cash Flow-1.77B5.20B-44.27M303.30M-31.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B419.36M499.46M306.79M456.26M

Roivant Sciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.22
Price Trends
50DMA
11.15
Positive
100DMA
10.78
Positive
200DMA
11.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
58.70
Neutral
STOCH
57.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.26, above the 50-day MA of 11.15, and above the 200-day MA of 11.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROIV.

Roivant Sciences Risk Analysis

Roivant Sciences disclosed 98 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roivant Sciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Risks Related to Our Strategy and Financial Position Q4, 2024
2.
Risks Related to Our Business and Industry Q4, 2024

Roivant Sciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$6.97B15.29147.06%25.65%57.10%
75
Outperform
$6.60B15.0512.25%5.76%49.58%
60
Neutral
$8.73B35.68%-41.71%-9.37%
60
Neutral
$6.90B-20.00%112.46%54.33%
56
Neutral
$6.38B-50.16%21.83%
54
Neutral
$7.38B1.93-8.56%-38.94%-104.46%
52
Neutral
$7.53B0.20-61.87%2.28%16.72%1.10%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROIV
Roivant Sciences
11.57
0.33
2.94%
HALO
Halozyme
57.63
4.81
9.11%
JAZZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals
112.48
6.44
6.07%
MDGL
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
314.64
24.32
8.38%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
46.27
19.38
72.07%
LEGN
Legend Biotech
39.71
-8.79
-18.12%

Roivant Sciences Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Roivant Sciences Announces $500M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Roivant Sciences Ltd. has announced a new common share repurchase program on June 24, 2025, allowing for the repurchase of up to $500 million of its common shares. This initiative follows a previous $1.5 billion repurchase program from April 2024, which has been fully utilized. The repurchase will be funded with available cash, with no set expiration date, and will depend on market conditions and other factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROIV) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roivant Sciences stock, see the ROIV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Roivant Sciences Announces Leadership Changes at Immunovant
Positive
Apr 21, 2025

On April 21, 2025, Roivant Sciences announced significant leadership changes at its subsidiary, Immunovant, Inc., including the appointment of Eric Venker as CEO and Tiago Girao as CFO, as part of a strategic transition to enhance operational involvement and oversight. The company is expanding the development of its drug IMVT-1402 into two new indications, Sjögren’s Disease and Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus, with promising clinical data and a strong cash position to support these initiatives, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025