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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)
NASDAQ:ARWR
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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) AI Stock Analysis

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ARWR

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:ARWR)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(1.14% Upside)
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score is driven primarily by its challenging financial performance, which is offset by strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum. The valuation remains a concern due to negative profitability metrics. The company's strategic initiatives and partnerships provide a cautiously optimistic outlook, but financial sustainability remains a key risk.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Sanofi provides significant financial support and market access in Greater China, enhancing Arrowhead's global reach and financial stability.
Pipeline Expansion
A robust pipeline with multiple candidates in clinical stages indicates strong potential for future product launches and revenue growth.
Financial Position
A strong cash position provides Arrowhead with the flexibility to fund ongoing R&D and strategic initiatives, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Sustained negative profitability can hinder Arrowhead's ability to reinvest in growth and may necessitate additional financing, impacting financial sustainability.
Rising Operating Expenses
Increasing operating expenses, particularly in R&D, could pressure margins and require careful management to ensure long-term financial health.
Patent Litigation Risk
Ongoing patent litigation could pose risks to Arrowhead's commercialization plans and financial outcomes, potentially impacting its strategic initiatives.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. develops medicines for the treatment of intractable diseases in the United States. The company's products in pipeline includes ARO-AAT, a RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutic candidate that is in Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of liver diseases associated with alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency; ARO-APOC3, which is in phase 2b and one phase 3 clinical trial to treat hypertriglyceridemia; ARO-ANG3 that is in Phase 2b clinical trial to reduce production of angiopoietin-like protein 3; ARO-HSD, which is in Phase 1/2a clinical trial to treat liver diseases; ARO-ENaC, which is in a Phase 1/2a clinical trial to reduce production of the epithelial sodium channel alpha subunit in the airways of the lung; ARO-C3 for the treatment of complement-mediated disease that is in Phase 1/2a clinical trial; ARO-Lung2 for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder; ARO-DUX4 for the treatment of facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy; ARO-XDH to treat uncontrolled gout; ARO-COV for the treatment of COVID-19 and other pulmonary-borne pathogens; and ARO-HIF2, which is in phase 1b clinical trial to treat clear cell renal cell carcinoma. It is also involved in the development of JNJ-3989, a subcutaneously administered RNAi therapeutic candidate to treat chronic hepatitis B virus infection; Olpasiran to reduce the production of apolipoprotein A; and ARO-AMG1 for treating genetically validated cardiovascular targets. Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has a license and research collaboration agreement with Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop ARO-JNJ1, ARO-JNJ2, and ARO-JNJ3 RNAi therapeutics for liver-expressed targets; and license and research collaboration agreement with Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc. to develop RNAi therapeutic candidate as a treatment for liver disease. Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrowhead Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through a combination of collaboration agreements, licensing deals, and potential milestone payments from its partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies. The company may earn upfront payments when entering into collaborations, as well as milestone payments tied to the achievement of specific clinical or regulatory milestones. Additionally, if its product candidates receive regulatory approval and are commercialized, Arrowhead could earn royalties on sales. Strategic partnerships with established pharmaceutical companies, which provide funding and expertise in drug development and commercialization, are significant contributors to Arrowhead's financial success and ongoing research initiatives.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals has made significant progress in its clinical pipeline and strategic partnerships, with several promising developments, such as the full enrollment of key studies and a substantial deal with Sanofi. However, the negative impact of Sarepta's restructuring on Arrowhead's stock price and increased operating expenses are notable concerns. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, given the strong financial position and upcoming milestones.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Plozasiran Development Progress
Full enrollment achieved in SHASTA-3, SHASTA-4, and MUIR-3 Phase III studies for plozasiran, with completion expected by mid-2026. Market authorization applications for FCS are progressing, with a U.S. PDUFA date set for November 18, 2025.
Zodasiran Phase III Initiation
YOSEMITE Phase III study for zodasiran as a treatment for HoFH initiated, with the first patient enrolled. The study targets 60 subjects over 12 months to assess LDL-cholesterol reduction.
Visirna Therapeutics Deal with Sanofi
Sanofi to acquire rights to plozasiran in Greater China, providing $130 million upfront and up to $265 million in milestone payments. Arrowhead retains a 56% ownership in Visirna.
Strong Financial Position
Cash and investments totaled $900.4 million as of June 30, 2025. Upcoming $100 million milestone payment from Sarepta expected to further bolster financials.
Broad Pipeline and Strategic Initiatives
Arrowhead is on track with its '20 in 25' initiative, aiming to have 20 drug candidates in clinical studies or at market by the end of 2025. The company is focused on expanding its cardiometabolic and CNS franchises.
Negative Updates
Impact of Sarepta's Strategic Restructuring
Sarepta's recent setbacks and restructuring have negatively affected Arrowhead's stock price, although Arrowhead's partnership with Sarepta remains intact.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses increased by $17.2 million year-over-year, driven primarily by higher R&D costs related to Phase III registrational trials.
Net Loss for the Quarter
Net loss of $175.2 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, compared to $170.8 million for the same period in 2024.
Company Guidance
During Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals' fiscal 2025 third-quarter conference call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on several key metrics. The management highlighted the progress with plozasiran, which has a U.S. PDUFA date set for November 18, 2025, and is actively enrolling its Phase III trials targeting severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG), with over 2,200 patients enrolled across 24 countries. The company also initiated a Phase III study for zodasiran and achieved full enrollment for its late-stage candidates, including fazirsiran and olpasiran, which are being developed in partnership with Takeda and Amgen, respectively. Arrowhead's financial position was strengthened by a $100 million milestone payment from Sarepta, with anticipation of an additional $200 million payment by year-end. Moreover, the company announced a $130 million upfront payment from Sanofi for rights to develop and commercialize plozasiran in Greater China, with potential milestones up to $265 million. The firm is actively preparing for the U.S. launch of plozasiran, with its commercialization team nearly complete, and is on track to meet its "20 in 25" initiative, aiming to have 20 drug candidates in clinical studies or at market by the end of 2025.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow metrics. The company's increasing leverage and dependence on external financing underscore the need for strategic improvements to enhance financial sustainability. Continued monitoring of revenue growth and profitability trends is critical for assessing long-term viability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals exhibits a challenging income statement profile. The company reports negative gross profit margins, indicating that its costs exceed revenues. The net profit margin is also deeply negative, driven by substantial losses, highlighting significant profitability challenges. Revenue growth was volatile, with a sharp decline in the most recent TTM period compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, reflecting rising leverage. Return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses. However, the company maintains a reasonable equity ratio, suggesting some stability in assets to equity. Overall, there is room for improvement in financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn and potential liquidity pressures. Free cash flow growth is negative, and both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable due to operating losses. The company relies heavily on financing activities to support cash needs, suggesting potential future financing risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue596.57M3.55M240.74M243.23M138.29M87.99M
Gross Profit576.77M3.55M240.74M243.23M138.29M87.99M
EBITDA-52.51M-561.51M-175.67M-162.29M-132.58M-87.22M
Net Income-148.42M-599.49M-205.28M-176.06M-140.85M-84.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B1.14B765.55M691.94M710.15M522.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments900.37M680.96M403.63M376.40M367.79M315.49M
Total Debt713.29M510.55M383.50M81.58M25.55M21.14M
Total Liabilities860.81M948.74M478.39M273.60M301.33M60.72M
Stockholders Equity519.81M185.44M271.34M398.52M408.82M461.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.62M-604.32M-330.63M-188.91M147.66M-107.34M
Operating Cash Flow21.84M-462.85M-153.89M-136.13M171.22M-95.39M
Investing Cash Flow-424.84M-420.07M-96.16M-5.42M-141.68M-240.78M
Financing Cash Flow459.43M870.52M253.05M65.19M11.30M257.95M

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.55
Price Trends
50DMA
31.33
Positive
100DMA
24.06
Positive
200DMA
20.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.12
Positive
RSI
67.49
Neutral
STOCH
72.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.14, above the 50-day MA of 31.33, and above the 200-day MA of 20.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARWR.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.39B38.6415.61%116.09%35.29%
$4.92B14.2723.94%-0.17%23.84%
$3.72B17.2833.18%14.41%627.78%
$5.25B-31.25-34.80%2816.21%73.33%
$4.70B-42.75%-60.63%-216.87%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$5.48B-21.65%11.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals
39.55
19.57
97.95%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
22.62
7.88
53.46%
ALKS
Alkermes
31.00
4.56
17.25%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
189.65
13.43
7.62%
PCVX
Vaxcyte
44.57
-60.99
-57.78%
ACLX
Arcellx Inc
86.70
-0.55
-0.63%

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Faces Patent Lawsuit from Ionis
Negative
Sep 12, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals filed a patent infringement lawsuit against Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, alleging that Arrowhead’s planned commercialization of the investigational drug plozasiran infringes on Ionis’s U.S. Patent No. 9,593,333. This legal action follows Arrowhead’s own filing on September 10, 2025, seeking a declaratory judgment that the patent is invalid and not infringed. The outcome of this legal dispute could significantly impact Arrowhead’s operations and its position in the market for treatments targeting familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), as well as its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARWR) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals stock, see the ARWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Sues Ionis Over Patent Dispute
Negative
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals filed a lawsuit against Ionis Pharmaceuticals in the United States District Court for the District of Delaware. The lawsuit seeks a declaratory judgment that Ionis’s U.S. Patent No. 9,593,333 is invalid and/or not infringed by Arrowhead’s planned commercialization of investigational plozasiran. This legal action could impact Arrowhead’s operations and its position in the RNAi therapeutics market, particularly concerning its advanced drug candidate, plozasiran, which has shown promise in treating familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS) by significantly reducing triglycerides and pancreatitis risk in patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARWR) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals stock, see the ARWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Partners with Novartis for ARO-SNCA
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals entered into an exclusive licensing and collaboration agreement with Novartis Pharma AG for ARO-SNCA, a preclinical stage RNA interference therapeutic for Parkinson’s Disease. Arrowhead will receive a $200 million upfront payment and could earn up to $2 billion in milestone payments, with Novartis taking responsibility for clinical development and commercialization. This partnership highlights Arrowhead’s strategic positioning in the CNS space and the potential impact of its TRiMTM platform in advancing treatments for neurodegenerative diseases.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARWR) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals stock, see the ARWR Stock Forecast page.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances Plozasiran Study for Hypertriglyceridemia
Aug 14, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a Phase 3 open-label extension study titled A Phase 3 Open-Label Extension Study to Evaluate the Long-Term Safety and Efficacy of Plozasiran in Adults With Hypertriglyceridemia (SHASTA-10 Study). The study aims to assess the long-term safety and efficacy of Plozasiran in adults with hypertriglyceridemia and severe hypertriglyceridemia, building on previous research to provide more comprehensive data on its effects.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Progress
Aug 12, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call highlighted the company’s robust progress across various clinical programs, strategic partnerships, and a solid financial position. Despite facing increased operational costs and external factors affecting its stock price, the overall sentiment was positive, reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction and future prospects.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances RNAi Therapeutics Pipeline
Aug 8, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biotechnology company specializing in the development of RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics aimed at treating intractable diseases by silencing the genes responsible for them. The company leverages a broad portfolio of RNA chemistries and efficient delivery mechanisms to induce gene knockdown, positioning itself as a leader in the RNAi sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025