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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)
NASDAQ:ARWR

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) AI Stock Analysis

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ARWR

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:ARWR)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▼(-37.87% Downside)
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive developments in its clinical pipeline and partnerships. However, significant financial challenges and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score. The earnings call provided a cautiously optimistic outlook, but the company's financial performance remains a critical area for improvement.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Sanofi provides significant financial support and market access in Greater China, enhancing Arrowhead's global reach and financial stability.
Pipeline Expansion
A robust pipeline with multiple candidates in clinical stages indicates strong potential for future product launches and revenue growth.
Financial Position
A strong cash position provides Arrowhead with the flexibility to fund ongoing R&D and strategic initiatives, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Sustained negative profitability can hinder Arrowhead's ability to reinvest in growth and may necessitate additional financing, impacting financial sustainability.
Rising Operating Expenses
Increasing operating expenses, particularly in R&D, could pressure margins and require careful management to ensure long-term financial health.
Patent Litigation Risk
Ongoing patent litigation could pose risks to Arrowhead's commercialization plans and financial outcomes, potentially impacting its strategic initiatives.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrowhead Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing transformative medicines for the treatment of serious diseases by leveraging its proprietary RNA interference (RNAi) technology. The company operates primarily in the biotechnology sector, with a focus on developing therapies for liver diseases, cancer, and other serious health conditions. Arrowhead's core product candidates include ARO-AAT for the treatment of alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency and ARO-HBV for hepatitis B, among others, which are designed to silence specific genes implicated in disease pathology.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrowhead Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through a combination of collaboration agreements, licensing deals, and potential milestone payments from its partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies. The company may earn upfront payments when entering into collaborations, as well as milestone payments tied to the achievement of specific clinical or regulatory milestones. Additionally, if its product candidates receive regulatory approval and are commercialized, Arrowhead could earn royalties on sales. Strategic partnerships with established pharmaceutical companies, which provide funding and expertise in drug development and commercialization, are significant contributors to Arrowhead's financial success and ongoing research initiatives.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive sentiment with significant highlights including the FDA approval of Rodemplo, robust financial performance, and substantial milestone payments indicating a successful transition to a commercial stage. However, there are some challenges in program timelines and regulatory claims that need to be addressed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FDA Approval of Rodemplo
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals announced FDA approval of Rodemplo as an adjunct to diet to reduce triglycerides in adults with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), marking its first FDA-approved medicine and transition to a commercial stage.
Robust Financial Performance
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals reported a near breakeven result with a net loss of $2 million for fiscal year 2025, significantly improved from a net loss of $599 million in fiscal year 2024, driven by $829 million in revenue from license and collaboration agreements.
Significant Milestone Payments
The company earned a $200 million milestone payment from Sarepta and a $200 million upfront payment from Novartis for licensing collaboration agreements, along with potential future milestone payments of up to $2 billion.
Pipeline Advancements
Progress in pipeline programs including Phase III trials for Zidaziran and Aerodimer PA, and expansion into CNS with ARO MAPT for tauopathies and Alzheimer's disease, demonstrating a broad and diverse pipeline.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Obesity Program Timelines
Early data sharing from obesity programs ARO I and HBE, and ARO AP7 has been delayed to early 2026 due to travel schedules and holidays, indicating potential delays in program timelines.
Uncertainty in Pancreatitis Risk Reduction Claim
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals has not yet discussed with the FDA about obtaining a pancreatitis risk reduction claim for Rodemplo, especially in the high-risk SHTG patient population.
Company Guidance
During the Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Conference Call, significant guidance was provided on various metrics and future plans. The call highlighted the FDA approval of Rodemplo, a siRNA medicine for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), with a $60,000 annual WAC price. The company anticipates the completion of the Shasta 3 and Shasta 4 Phase III studies in mid-2026, with top-line data expected in the second half of 2026, and plans to submit an sNDA by the end of 2026. Arrowhead also announced a $200 million milestone payment from Sarepta and a new collaboration with Novartis worth up to $2 billion in potential payments. Financially, Arrowhead reported fiscal year 2025 revenue of $829 million, driven by licensing agreements, and a near breakeven net loss of $2 million. Cash and investments totaled $919 million as of September 30, 2025, supporting a cash runway extending into fiscal year 2028. The company is optimistic about its late-stage pipeline, including the potential of zidaziran for homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia, and expects multiple data readouts in 2026.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow metrics. The company's increasing leverage and dependence on external financing underscore the need for strategic improvements to enhance financial sustainability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals exhibits a challenging income statement profile. The company reports negative gross profit margins, indicating that its costs exceed revenues. The net profit margin is also deeply negative, driven by substantial losses, highlighting significant profitability challenges. Revenue growth was volatile, with a sharp decline in the most recent TTM period compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, reflecting rising leverage. Return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses. However, the company maintains a reasonable equity ratio, suggesting some stability in assets to equity. Overall, there is room for improvement in financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn and potential liquidity pressures. Free cash flow growth is negative, and both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable due to operating losses. The company relies heavily on financing activities to support cash needs, suggesting potential future financing risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue596.57M829.45M3.55M240.74M243.23M138.29M
Gross Profit576.77M0.003.55M240.74M243.23M138.29M
EBITDA-52.51M98.35M-561.51M-175.67M-162.29M-132.58M
Net Income-148.42M-1.63M-599.49M-205.28M-176.06M-140.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B1.45B1.14B765.55M691.94M710.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments900.37M919.37M680.96M403.63M376.40M367.79M
Total Debt713.29M733.68M851.91M383.50M81.58M25.55M
Total Liabilities860.81M947.02M948.74M478.39M273.60M301.33M
Stockholders Equity522.31M466.05M185.44M271.34M398.52M408.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.62M156.89M-604.32M-330.63M-188.91M147.66M
Operating Cash Flow21.84M179.55M-462.85M-153.89M-136.13M171.22M
Investing Cash Flow-424.84M-129.29M-420.07M-96.16M-5.42M-141.68M
Financing Cash Flow459.43M74.01M870.52M253.05M65.19M11.30M

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price70.82
Price Trends
50DMA
44.33
Positive
100DMA
33.99
Positive
200DMA
24.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.95
Negative
RSI
77.46
Negative
STOCH
89.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARWR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.22, above the 50-day MA of 44.33, and above the 200-day MA of 24.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.46 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARWR.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.73B14.4322.35%1.08%3.40%
80
Outperform
$6.95B37.0119.66%54.51%275.94%
75
Outperform
$4.55B17.2534.95%12.69%100.80%
57
Neutral
$9.35B-0.50%23258.15%99.12%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$5.69B-20.83%-5.21%
40
Underperform
$4.10B-47.18%-76.96%-425.41%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals
70.82
48.97
224.12%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
26.68
9.42
54.58%
ALKS
Alkermes
29.17
-1.34
-4.39%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
246.78
83.14
50.81%
PCVX
Vaxcyte
44.59
-43.13
-49.17%
ACLX
Arcellx Inc
72.69
-11.11
-13.26%

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances Alzheimer’s Treatment with New Clinical Study
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has launched a new clinical study titled ‘A Phase 1/2a Placebo-Controlled Dose-Escalating Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of ARO-MAPT-SC in Healthy Subjects and Subjects With Early Alzheimer’s Disease.’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ARO-MAPT-SC, a potential treatment for early Alzheimer’s disease, in both healthy individuals and those with mild cognitive impairment or mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances Cholesterol Treatment with Phase 3 Study
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a Phase 3 clinical study titled ‘YOSEMITE’ to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Zodasiran in treating Homozygous Familial Hypercholesterolemia (HoFH) in adolescents and adults. This condition is characterized by extremely high cholesterol levels, and the study aims to provide a new treatment option for affected individuals.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances in FSHD1 Treatment with ARO-DUX4 Study
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a clinical study titled ‘A Phase1/2a Dose-Escalating Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of ARO-DUX4 in Adult Patients and Adolescent Patients With Facioscapulohumeral Muscular Dystrophy Type 1.’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ARO-DUX4, a potential treatment for Facioscapulohumeral Muscular Dystrophy Type 1 (FSHD1), a genetic muscle disorder. This research is significant as it could lead to new therapeutic options for FSHD1 patients.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances Plozasiran Study for Hypertriglyceridemia
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a Phase 3 open-label extension study titled ‘A Phase 3 Open-Label Extension Study to Evaluate the Long-Term Safety and Efficacy of Plozasiran in Adults With Hypertriglyceridemia (SHASTA-10 Study).’ The study aims to assess the long-term safety and efficacy of Plozasiran in adults with hypertriglyceridemia, a condition characterized by elevated triglyceride levels, which can lead to cardiovascular issues. This study is significant as it could provide a new therapeutic option for managing hypertriglyceridemia.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances in SCA2 Treatment with ARO-ATXN2 Study
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a Phase 1 clinical study titled A Phase 1 Placebo-Controlled Dose Escalating Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of ARO-ATXN2 in Adult Subjects With Spinocerebellar Ataxia Type 2. The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ARO-ATXN2 in adults with Spinocerebellar Ataxia Type 2 (SCA2), a genetic disorder characterized by progressive problems with movement.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ ARO-INHBE Study: A Potential Game-Changer in Obesity Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a clinical study titled A Phase 1/2a Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of ARO-INHBE in Adult Volunteers With Obesity With and Without Diabetes Mellitus. The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ARO-INHBE, a potential treatment for obesity, with a focus on its pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics in adults, both with and without type 2 diabetes.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ ARO-ALK7 Study: A Potential Game-Changer in Obesity Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a clinical study titled A Phase 1/2A Dose-Escalating Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of ARO-ALK7 in Adult Volunteers With Obesity With and Without Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ARO-ALK7 in adults with obesity, both with and without Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM), highlighting its potential significance in addressing obesity-related health issues.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances Phase 3 Study on Plozasiran for Severe Hypertriglyceridemia
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is conducting a Phase 3 clinical study titled ‘Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 3 Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Plozasiran in Adults With Severe Hypertriglyceridemia at High Risk of Acute Pancreatitis (SHASTA-5 Study).’ The primary objective is to assess the efficacy and safety of plozasiran in reducing the risk of acute pancreatitis in adults with severe hypertriglyceridemia, a condition characterized by extremely high levels of triglycerides in the blood, which can lead to pancreatitis.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances ARO-DM1 Study for Myotonic Dystrophy
Oct 27, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a study titled ‘A Phase 1/2a Dose-Escalating Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of ARO-DM1 in Subjects With Type 1 Myotonic Dystrophy Who Are ≥18 to ≤ 65 Years.’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ARO-DM1, a potential treatment for Type 1 Myotonic Dystrophy, a genetic disorder affecting muscle function.

Legal Proceedings
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Faces Patent Lawsuit from Ionis
Negative
Sep 12, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals filed a patent infringement lawsuit against Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, alleging that Arrowhead’s planned commercialization of the investigational drug plozasiran infringes on Ionis’s U.S. Patent No. 9,593,333. This legal action follows Arrowhead’s own filing on September 10, 2025, seeking a declaratory judgment that the patent is invalid and not infringed. The outcome of this legal dispute could significantly impact Arrowhead’s operations and its position in the market for treatments targeting familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS), as well as its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARWR) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals stock, see the ARWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Sues Ionis Over Patent Dispute
Negative
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals filed a lawsuit against Ionis Pharmaceuticals in the United States District Court for the District of Delaware. The lawsuit seeks a declaratory judgment that Ionis’s U.S. Patent No. 9,593,333 is invalid and/or not infringed by Arrowhead’s planned commercialization of investigational plozasiran. This legal action could impact Arrowhead’s operations and its position in the RNAi therapeutics market, particularly concerning its advanced drug candidate, plozasiran, which has shown promise in treating familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS) by significantly reducing triglycerides and pancreatitis risk in patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARWR) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals stock, see the ARWR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Partners with Novartis for ARO-SNCA
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals entered into an exclusive licensing and collaboration agreement with Novartis Pharma AG for ARO-SNCA, a preclinical stage RNA interference therapeutic for Parkinson’s Disease. Arrowhead will receive a $200 million upfront payment and could earn up to $2 billion in milestone payments, with Novartis taking responsibility for clinical development and commercialization. This partnership highlights Arrowhead’s strategic positioning in the CNS space and the potential impact of its TRiMTM platform in advancing treatments for neurodegenerative diseases.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARWR) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals stock, see the ARWR Stock Forecast page.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances Plozasiran Study for Hypertriglyceridemia
Aug 14, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is conducting a Phase 3 open-label extension study titled A Phase 3 Open-Label Extension Study to Evaluate the Long-Term Safety and Efficacy of Plozasiran in Adults With Hypertriglyceridemia (SHASTA-10 Study). The study aims to assess the long-term safety and efficacy of Plozasiran in adults with hypertriglyceridemia and severe hypertriglyceridemia, building on previous research to provide more comprehensive data on its effects.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Progress
Aug 12, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call highlighted the company’s robust progress across various clinical programs, strategic partnerships, and a solid financial position. Despite facing increased operational costs and external factors affecting its stock price, the overall sentiment was positive, reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction and future prospects.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Advances RNAi Therapeutics Pipeline
Aug 8, 2025

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biotechnology company specializing in the development of RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics aimed at treating intractable diseases by silencing the genes responsible for them. The company leverages a broad portfolio of RNA chemistries and efficient delivery mechanisms to induce gene knockdown, positioning itself as a leader in the RNAi sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025