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Immunocore Holdings (IMCR)
NASDAQ:IMCR

Immunocore Holdings (IMCR) AI Stock Analysis

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Immunocore Holdings

(NASDAQ:IMCR)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▼(-0.39%Downside)
The overall stock score of 49.9 reflects the blend of strong revenue growth and improving cash flow against the backdrop of ongoing net losses and valuation challenges. Technical indicators show potential price weakness, while the absence of an earnings call and the corporate event's limited immediate impact on financial metrics cap the score.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
KIMMTRAK remains the standard of care in HLA-A*02:01-positive metastatic uveal melanoma and is now launched in 26 countries, with commercial growth supported by further U.S. uptake, new international launches, and completed pricing negotiations in France and Germany.
Product Development
The ongoing PRISM-MEL-301 trial is evaluating brenetafusp in first-line advanced cutaneous melanoma, with dose selection expected as the next key catalyst for the program.
Revenue Growth
KIMMTRAK net product revenue for 1Q25 was $93.9M, above the IMCR-provided consensus estimate.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Increased US penetration and new territories are expected to drive growth in Kimmtrak sales, indicating potential competitive pressure to maintain market share.
Treatment Complexity
The complexity, cost, and toxicity profile of autologous TCR T cell therapy underscore the competitive advantage of Immunocore's brenetafusp’s repeatable and combinable bispecific T cell engager mechanism.

Immunocore Holdings (IMCR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Immunocore Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImmunocore Holdings plc, a commercial-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of immunotherapies for the treatment of cancer, infectious, and autoimmune diseases. The company offers KIMMTRAK for the treatment of patients with unresectable or metastatic uveal melanoma. Its other programs for oncology comprise IMC-C103C that is in Phase I/II dose escalation trial in patients with solid tumor cancers, including non-small-cell lung (NSCLC), gastric, head and neck, ovarian, and synovial sarcoma cancers; IMC-F106C, which is in a Phase I/II dose escalation trial in patients with multiple solid tumor cancers comprising NSCLC, small-cell lung, endometrial, ovarian, cutaneous melanoma, and breast cancers. In addition, the company's programs for infectious diseases include IMC-I109V, which is in a Phase I/II clinical trial in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus; and IMC-M113V that is in pre-clinical development stage for patients with human immunosuppression virus. Further, it develops product candidates to provide precision targeted immunosuppression for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. Immunocore Holdings plc was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Abingdon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyImmunocore Holdings makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its TCR bispecific immunotherapies. The company generates revenue through a combination of product sales, licensing agreements, and strategic partnerships. A significant portion of its revenue comes from collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, where Immunocore licenses its technology or co-develops therapies, often receiving milestone payments and royalties. Additionally, the company benefits from research and development funding provided by partners and various grants, contributing to its financial stability and growth.

Immunocore Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in revenue growth and global expansion of KymTrak, as well as promising advancements in clinical trials and a solid financial position. However, challenges in European reimbursement and uncertainties in HIV treatment results were noted. The overall sentiment is predominantly positive due to significant achievements outweighing the challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
KymTrak Revenue Growth
KymTrak achieved a 5% growth in Q4 versus Q3, with a 30% year-on-year revenue growth, culminating in a total of $310 million in revenue for the year 2024.
Global Expansion of KymTrak
KymTrak was launched in fourteen new countries, bringing the total to thirty-nine countries. It has over 80% market share of HLA-201 positive patients in major markets.
Strong Financial Position
Immunocore Holdings reported $820 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of 2024 after repaying a $50 million loan.
Advancement of Clinical Trials
Progress was made in three ongoing phase three trials, including TEBIAM and ATOM, and a new trial, Plizumel, was initiated. Two phase one trials with novel molecules were also started.
Promising Pipeline in Infectious Diseases and Autoimmune
Completion of the HBV single ascending dose trial and progress in HIV trials, with advancements in autoimmune candidates targeting type 1 diabetes and atopic dermatitis.
Negative Updates
Challenging Reimbursement Environment in Europe
The reimbursement environment in Europe remains challenging, affecting revenue recognition and requiring ongoing price negotiations in countries like Germany and France.
HIV Clinical Trial Uncertainties
Uncertainty remains regarding the appropriate dose and the effectiveness of the HIV treatment, with a focus on achieving functional cure indicators like viral reservoir reduction and delayed viral rebound.
Company Guidance
During the Immunocore Holdings plc conference call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, the company provided various metrics highlighting its performance and future guidance. KymTrak, a key product, generated $310 million in net revenues for the year, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth, with $84.1 million in net revenues in Q4, marking a 5% increase from the prior quarter. The U.S. market saw significant growth, contributing $206 million, a 34% increase year-on-year. Immunocore's clinical pipeline progressed with three ongoing phase three trials, including TEBIAM and ATOM for melanoma, and the initiation of two phase one trials. The company also advanced into autoimmune diseases, targeting type 1 diabetes and atopic dermatitis. For 2025, Immunocore expects incremental growth in KymTrak led by U.S. market penetration and new international launches, with R&D expenses projected to increase as they advance their pipeline. Immunocore reported a strong cash position of $820 million, supporting its continued focus on delivering transformative medicines.

Immunocore Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Immunocore Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving cash flow, signaling potential for future profitability. However, persistent net losses and negative profit margins highlight operational challenges. The balance sheet remains stable with a manageable debt level and strong equity position.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Immunocore Holdings has demonstrated a strong revenue growth with an increase from $143.7M in 2022 to $310.2M in 2024, indicating a substantial upward trajectory. However, the company continues to incur losses with a negative net profit margin, though the net loss has decreased from $55.3M in 2023 to $51.1M in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, with total debt standing at $41.7M against a stockholders' equity of $360.7M in 2024. The equity ratio of 35.7% indicates a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity remains negative due to consecutive net losses, which is a concern for investors seeking profitability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Immunocore Holdings has managed a positive shift in free cash flow, growing from $-2.5M in 2023 to $20.9M in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows an improvement, reflecting better cash management despite ongoing net losses. This positive trend in cash flow is encouraging, but the company must continue this momentum to achieve sustainable growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue333.58M310.20M249.43M143.74M26.52M30.11M
Gross Profit330.26M307.47M248.39M143.28M-46.71M-44.70M
EBITDA-44.60M-70.46M-51.65M-38.35M-166.72M
Net Income-21.63M-51.09M-55.29M-41.22M-131.52M-74.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B1.01B597.00M435.52M301.77M197.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments837.03M820.38M442.63M332.54M237.89M129.72M
Total Debt42.47M432.72M84.03M69.30M63.84M63.89M
Total Liabilities649.53M648.79M228.16M156.76M130.23M141.85M
Stockholders Equity378.48M360.72M368.84M278.76M171.55M55.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.04M20.89M-2.48M-33.47M-130.76M-63.65M
Operating Cash Flow31.08M26.06M2.94M-31.27M-129.75M-60.57M
Investing Cash Flow-345.00M-355.13M-5.42M233.00K-495.00K467.00K
Financing Cash Flow-49.58M343.88M34.35M138.23M276.25M115.94M

Immunocore Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.12
Price Trends
50DMA
31.93
Negative
100DMA
30.48
Positive
200DMA
31.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
40.31
Neutral
STOCH
17.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMCR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.57, below the 50-day MA of 31.93, and above the 200-day MA of 31.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IMCR.

Immunocore Holdings Risk Analysis

Immunocore Holdings disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Immunocore Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Immunocore Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$1.98B-16.57%
53
Neutral
$1.87B-31.34%-54.85%-79.25%
51
Neutral
$1.31B-422.66%49.29%44.52%
50
Neutral
$1.56B-5.78%25.50%64.63%
46
Neutral
C$190.36M-4.25-8.56%3.09%13.53%-1.76%
43
Neutral
$1.89B-23.34%-14.19%
39
Underperform
$1.44B-39.49%-20.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMCR
Immunocore Holdings
31.12
-5.31
-14.58%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
14.77
6.49
78.38%
IDYA
IDEAYA Biosciences
21.37
-14.55
-40.51%
IRON
Disc Medicine
54.50
8.03
17.28%
VERA
Vera Therapeutics
22.65
-13.64
-37.59%
CGON
CG Oncology, Inc.
25.95
-5.77
-18.19%

Immunocore Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Immunocore Holdings Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Immunocore Holdings plc held its Annual General Meeting where shareholders approved all thirteen resolutions presented. These included the re-appointment of directors, approval of executive compensation, and authorization for the company to make political donations and allot shares. The successful passage of these resolutions indicates strong shareholder support for the company’s current management and strategic direction, potentially reinforcing its operational stability and market confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (IMCR) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunocore Holdings stock, see the IMCR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025