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Biocryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)
NASDAQ:BCRX
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BioCryst (BCRX) AI Stock Analysis

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BCRX

BioCryst

(NASDAQ:BCRX)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-7.54% Downside)
BioCryst's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including high leverage and cash flow issues. While the earnings call provided positive insights into revenue growth and strategic initiatives, the technical analysis and valuation metrics indicate bearish sentiment and limited immediate return potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth from ORLADEYO indicates robust market demand and successful product adoption, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Pipeline Expansion
Acquiring Astria enhances BioCryst's pipeline, potentially increasing future revenue streams and strengthening its position in rare disease treatment.
Financial Position Enhancement
Improved financial position through strategic debt reduction and asset sales enhances long-term financial flexibility and reduces risk.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses significant financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth indicates difficulties in sustaining operations and funding future projects, impacting long-term viability.
Enrollment Delays
Delays in clinical program enrollment can hinder timely product development and market entry, affecting future revenue growth.

BioCryst (BCRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BioCryst Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing innovative therapies for rare diseases, particularly those related to genetic disorders and viral infections. The company's core products include Orladeyo (berotralstat), an oral medication approved for the prevention of hereditary angioedema attacks, and other pipeline candidates aimed at treating conditions such as COVID-19 and various forms of cancer. BioCryst operates primarily in the pharmaceutical sector, leveraging its proprietary drug development technologies to address unmet medical needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyBioCryst generates revenue primarily through the sale of its approved products, such as Orladeyo, which contributes to its direct sales revenue. In addition, the company may earn revenue from licensing agreements and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include upfront payments, milestone payments upon achieving certain development or sales targets, and royalties on sales of partnered products. The company's ongoing research and development efforts may also lead to additional revenue opportunities through future product launches and potential government grants or partnerships aimed at bringing innovative therapies to market.

BioCryst Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, offering insight into which parts of BioCryst's operations are most profitable and where there may be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsBioCryst's Orladeyo segment shows robust growth, with revenue significantly increasing year-over-year, reflecting strong market demand and strategic execution. The latest earnings call underscores this momentum, highlighting Orladeyo's best quarter since approval and a 45% year-over-year increase. Despite challenges like the European business sale, BioCryst remains optimistic, expecting to hit the upper half of its revenue guidance. The company's strong cash position and leadership transition are poised to drive future growth, focusing on pipeline advancements and rare disease opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

BioCryst Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reflected a strong performance by BioCryst with significant revenue growth, successful financial maneuvers, and promising pipeline developments. However, there were some challenges, including enrollment delays and increased costs. Overall, the company's positive results and strategic decisions indicate a promising outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ORLADEYO Revenue Growth
ORLADEYO revenue increased by 37% year-over-year to $159.1 million, with $141.6 million coming from the U.S. market.
Financial Position Enhancement
Closed the sale of the European business, paid off Pharmakon debt, and entered a financing partnership with Blackstone, providing up to $400 million in cash.
Pipeline Expansion and Progress
Announced the proposed acquisition of Astria Therapeutics, adding navenibart to the pipeline, and shared positive preliminary data on BCX17725 for Netherton syndrome.
Raised ORLADEYO Revenue Guidance
Increased revenue guidance to between $590 million and $600 million for the year, even after selling the European operations.
Positive Financial Performance
Non-GAAP operating profit increased by 107% year-over-year, with a non-GAAP net income of $35.6 million and a strong cash balance of $269 million.
Negative Updates
Enrollment Delay in Netherton Syndrome Program
Enrollment for BCX17725 is taking longer than planned, with early data expected later in Q1 next year.
Increased Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses rose to approximately $118 million, up from $92 million in the third quarter of 2024, driven by investment in R&D.
DME Program Focus Shift
Decision to seek partners for the DME program, indicating a shift in focus and potential challenges in advancing this program independently.
Company Guidance
During BioCryst's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. ORLADEYO revenue guidance for the year was raised to between $590 million and $600 million, reflecting continued strong year-over-year growth of 37%, despite the recent sale of their European operations. The company reported a paid patient retention rate of 82% and added 64 new prescribers in the U.S., exceeding the average of the past eight quarters. BioCryst also outlined strategic decisions, including the planned spin-out or partnership for their DME program and the anticipated acquisition of Astria, which is expected to enhance their HAE pipeline. Financially, the company achieved a non-GAAP operating profit of $51.7 million, representing a 107% year-over-year increase, and reported a cash balance of $269 million, with expectations to reach $1 billion in cash by 2029. The company also adjusted its non-GAAP OpEx guidance for the year to $430 million to $440 million, down from the original $440 million to $450 million, reflecting the impact of their European business divestiture.

BioCryst Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BioCryst demonstrates strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but faces challenges with profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative equity are significant concerns, while cash flow improvements are a positive sign. The company needs to address profitability and leverage to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BioCryst shows a strong gross profit margin of 97% in the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is positive at 10.73% TTM, but the company struggles with profitability as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in previous years.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a negative equity position, as indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of -1.75 in the TTM. This poses a significant risk. Return on equity is positive, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows improvement with a positive operating cash flow in the TTM. However, free cash flow growth is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high, suggesting some efficiency in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue599.82M450.71M331.41M270.83M157.17M17.81M
Gross Profit584.13M438.44M325.10M262.80M149.13M16.14M
EBITDA83.54M12.81M-116.33M-143.85M-121.74M-167.56M
Net Income-8.78M-88.88M-226.54M-247.12M-184.06M-182.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets446.42M490.42M516.96M550.00M588.15M334.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments212.87M320.85M388.99M424.31M507.60M300.37M
Total Debt11.95M841.42M848.71M741.45M593.24M279.50M
Total Liabilities834.31M966.35M972.49M844.60M695.14M353.98M
Stockholders Equity-387.89M-475.93M-455.53M-294.60M-106.99M-19.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.89M-53.14M-97.31M-163.20M-144.54M-137.73M
Operating Cash Flow-5.21M-52.02M-95.14M-161.85M-142.16M-137.22M
Investing Cash Flow87.59M52.59M-131.50M-128.24M15.80M-6.86M
Financing Cash Flow-135.99M-5.76M32.48M88.03M359.67M300.59M

BioCryst Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.03
Price Trends
50DMA
7.47
Negative
100DMA
8.11
Negative
200DMA
8.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
46.16
Neutral
STOCH
49.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCRX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.02, below the 50-day MA of 7.47, and below the 200-day MA of 8.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCRX.

BioCryst Risk Analysis

BioCryst disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BioCryst reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BioCryst Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.88B25.7520.65%20.62%
71
Outperform
$1.83B290.702.59%16.13%670.90%
55
Neutral
$2.55B-37.05%-100.00%55.31%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$1.51B-148.6345.38%92.85%
45
Neutral
$1.58B-21.37%47.15%-311.26%
38
Underperform
$1.58B-27.17%-30.25%-9.70%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCRX
BioCryst
7.03
-0.75
-9.64%
VCEL
Vericel
38.75
-15.25
-28.24%
CLDX
Celldex
23.26
-2.96
-11.29%
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
17.64
-103.97
-85.49%
AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
13.95
5.63
67.67%
CDTX
Cidara Therapeutics
98.64
85.14
630.67%

BioCryst Corporate Events

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Shines in Q3 Earnings Call
Nov 5, 2025

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call conveyed a strong performance marked by notable revenue growth, strategic financial decisions, and promising developments in their pipeline. Despite facing some challenges such as enrollment delays and increased costs, the overall sentiment was positive, indicating a promising outlook for the company.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 4, 2025

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is a global biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing medicines for hereditary angioedema (HAE) and other rare diseases, with its flagship product being ORLADEYO, the first oral, once-daily plasma kallikrein inhibitor.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
BioCryst Reports Q3 2025 Financial Growth and Strategy
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals reported significant financial growth, with ORLADEYO net revenue reaching $159.1 million, a 37% increase year-over-year. The company completed the sale of its European ORLADEYO business, using proceeds to retire Pharmakon term debt, and announced a definitive agreement to acquire Astria Therapeutics, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026. These strategic moves are expected to enhance BioCryst’s market position and financial stability, with the company raising its full-year revenue guidance and lowering its operating expense outlook for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCRX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioCryst stock, see the BCRX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
BioCryst Announces Merger with Astria Therapeutics
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals announced a merger agreement with Astria Therapeutics, which will see Astria become a wholly owned subsidiary of BioCryst. The merger, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, involves an exchange of shares and cash, with Astria’s stock to be delisted from Nasdaq. The merger aims to enhance BioCryst’s market position and operational capabilities, with financing commitments secured from Blackstone to support the transaction. The merger agreement includes various conditions and provisions, such as stockholder approval and regulatory clearances, with potential termination fees if the agreement is not fulfilled.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCRX) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioCryst stock, see the BCRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
BioCryst Sells European ORLADEYO Business for $250M
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals completed the sale of its European ORLADEYO business to Neopharmed Gentili for $250 million, with potential future milestones of up to $14 million. This transaction allows BioCryst to focus on its U.S. operations, improve its operating margin, and retire a significant portion of its debt, positioning the company for future strategic activities. Neopharmed Gentili will handle the commercialization of ORLADEYO in Europe, ensuring continuity for the brand and patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCRX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioCryst stock, see the BCRX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
BioCryst’s Chief R&D Officer Resigns Amid CEO Decision
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Dr. Helen Thackray announced her resignation as Chief Research and Development Officer of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, effective September 1, 2025, after not being selected as the next CEO. The company has entered into a Separation Agreement with Dr. Thackray, offering various benefits, and a Consulting Agreement for transition services until the end of 2025, ensuring a smooth transition and continuity in operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCRX) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BioCryst stock, see the BCRX Stock Forecast page.

BioCryst’s BCX17725: A Promising Step Forward in Treating Netherton Syndrome
Aug 8, 2025

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is conducting a Phase 1/1b clinical study titled ‘A Phase 1/1b Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Immunogenicity of Single and Multiple Ascending Doses of BCX17725 in Healthy Participants and Multiple Doses of BCX17725 in Participants With Netherton Syndrome.’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of BCX17725, a new drug, in both healthy individuals and those with Netherton Syndrome, a rare genetic disorder. This study is significant as it explores a potential new treatment option for this condition.

BioCryst’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Strategic Moves
Aug 6, 2025

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals’ recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscoring the company’s strong financial performance and strategic leadership changes. Despite facing challenges such as the sale of its European business and regulatory delays, the overall outlook remains optimistic due to robust execution and advancements in its pipeline.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Reports Record Q2 2025 Results
Aug 5, 2025

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, a biotechnology company, focuses on developing oral small-molecule and protein therapeutics for rare diseases, with a flagship product, ORLADEYO, for hereditary angioedema (HAE).

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025