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Cidara Therapeutics (CDTX)
NASDAQ:CDTX
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Cidara Therapeutics (CDTX) AI Stock Analysis

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CDTX

Cidara Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:CDTX)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(0.93% Upside)
Cidara Therapeutics' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, which is offset by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's recent corporate events and promising clinical trial results provide a supportive backdrop, but the lack of profitability and reliance on external financing remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Success
Cidara announced positive topline results from its Phase 2b trial, NAVIGATE, evaluating CD388.
Financial Health
The company ended the quarter with $516.9 million in cash, which is inclusive of a recent financing with gross proceeds of $402 million.
Regulatory Progress
The upcoming end-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA is anticipated to provide the green light for initiating the Phase 3 pivotal program.
Negative Factors
Market Dependence
The readout will be a binary catalyst for the stock and is biased toward a positive outcome.
Risk Perception
A statistically significant risk reduction in the 45-55% range would provide significant upside to current levels or CDTX shares re-rating in the $31-36 range.

Cidara Therapeutics (CDTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cidara Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCidara Therapeutics (CDTX) is a biotechnology company focused on the development of novel therapeutics for the treatment of fungal infections and other serious diseases. The company operates primarily in the biotechnology sector, leveraging its innovative platform to design and develop new medicines that address unmet medical needs. Cidara's core products include its lead candidate, rezafungin, an antifungal agent aimed at treating invasive fungal infections, and its Cloudbreak platform, which is designed for the development of combination therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyCidara Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its drug candidates. The company likely makes money through milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, licensing agreements, and potential royalties from product sales once their therapies are approved and marketed. Significant partnerships with established pharmaceutical firms for co-development or distribution of its products can also contribute to revenue, along with government grants and funding aimed at supporting research and development efforts.

Cidara Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong positive outlook for Cidara Therapeutics due to successful clinical trial results, significant financial backing, and advancing regulatory discussions. However, challenges remain due to the company's non-revenue generating status and potential delays in Phase III study commencement.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Phase IIb NAVIGATE Clinical Trial Results
Cidara Therapeutics announced positive top line results from its Phase IIb NAVIGATE clinical trial, demonstrating statistically significant efficacy of CD388 with 76%, 61%, and 58% protection rates at 450mg, 300mg, and 150mg doses respectively, all with p-values indicating strong statistical significance compared to placebo.
$400 Million Financing Secured
Cidara secured $400 million in financing, providing a strong financial position to fund the completion of the planned Phase III study and additional supportive clinical and nonclinical studies.
Potential FDA and BARDA Support
Cidara advanced discussions with the FDA for Phase III development and submitted a proposal to BARDA which, if funded, could provide significant support for manufacturing and clinical development of CD388.
Fast Track and Priority Review Designations
CD388 has received Fast Track and Priority Review designations from the FDA, and an application for Breakthrough Therapy Designation has been submitted.
Negative Updates
Non-Revenue Generating Status
Cidara is currently a non-revenue generating company, which could pose financial risks despite the recent financing.
Potential Delays in Phase III Study
The start of the Phase III study could be delayed depending on the outcome of the upcoming FDA meeting, with possible commencement only in the Southern Hemisphere spring of 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Cidara Therapeutics Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, significant progress was highlighted, particularly with the positive top-line results from the Phase IIb NAVIGATE clinical trial for CD388, which demonstrated 76%, 61%, and 58% protection in three different dose groups. The study enrolled over 5,000 subjects, and the observed placebo attack rate was 2.8%, allowing for statistically significant differences in efficacy with p-values of less than 0.0001, 0.0024, and 0.005 for the respective doses. Following these results, Cidara secured $400 million in financing and engaged in discussions with the FDA and BARDA, with plans to initiate a Phase III study in 2026. The company also emphasized CD388's potential as a universal preventative for influenza, supported by its current Fast Track and Priority Review designations. Cidara aims to target high-risk populations, including immune-compromised patients, in their upcoming Phase III study, backed by their strong financial position from a recent $402.5 million public offering.

Cidara Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cidara Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges with persistent losses and negative cash flows. The company has a deeply negative net profit margin and relies heavily on external financing to sustain operations. Despite a low debt-to-equity ratio, the financial trajectory suggests a need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Cidara Therapeutics has experienced a significant revenue decline in the latest year, with a revenue growth rate of -98% from the previous year. The net profit margin is deeply negative, at -13362.04% for 2024, indicating substantial losses relative to revenue. The gross profit margin is also negative, suggesting that the company is selling below cost. While biotechnology companies often face high R&D expenses, the magnitude of losses is concerning.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low due to a relatively high stockholders' equity, indicating low leverage. However, the equity ratio is 76.02%, reflecting a stable capital structure. Despite this, the company has historically negative equity, raising concerns about sustainable financial health. The increase in cash reserves provides some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Operating cash flow is significantly negative, although there has been substantial cash inflow from financing activities. Free cash flow remains negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, due to both operating cash flow and net income being negative. The company is heavily dependent on external financing to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.001.27M63.91M64.29M49.57M12.07M
Gross Profit-90.78M-83.61M62.38M64.14M49.38M-55.95M
EBITDA-124.06M-176.10M-24.36M-33.36M-42.26M-71.56M
Net Income-91.32M-169.83M-22.93M-33.58M-42.47M-72.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets534.33M214.80M67.03M47.59M75.33M60.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments510.57M189.82M35.78M32.73M62.27M35.91M
Total Debt2.33M3.58M4.88M1.21M5.06M7.96M
Total Liabilities33.15M51.49M75.24M50.50M53.75M49.71M
Stockholders Equity501.17M163.31M-8.21M-2.90M21.57M10.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-129.13M-176.66M-22.94M-28.59M-25.27M-54.60M
Operating Cash Flow-129.02M-176.53M-22.43M-28.47M-25.23M-54.41M
Investing Cash Flow79.00K-129.00K-505.00K-118.00K-41.00K-186.00K
Financing Cash Flow481.49M337.06M25.98M-951.00K44.60M37.28M

Cidara Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.39
Price Trends
50DMA
55.81
Positive
100DMA
38.74
Positive
200DMA
29.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.85
Positive
RSI
59.32
Neutral
STOCH
59.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.61, above the 50-day MA of 55.81, and above the 200-day MA of 29.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDTX.

Cidara Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Cidara Therapeutics disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cidara Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cidara Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$1.70B-37.05%-100.00%55.31%
52
Neutral
$312.61M322.49%-31.30%36.26%
51
Neutral
$7.83B-0.18-40.10%2.29%21.46%-2.03%
49
Neutral
$447.80M-34.97%-100.00%-61.86%
47
Neutral
$324.80M-569.99%33.39%-7.11%
41
Neutral
$412.81M-68.67%-50.83%
33
Underperform
$181.17M-124.74%-406.67%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDTX
Cidara Therapeutics
65.39
52.44
404.94%
OCGN
Ocugen
1.04
-0.23
-18.11%
CRVS
Corvus Pharmaceuticals
5.50
1.36
32.85%
ITOS
iTeos Therapeutics
10.13
-6.73
-39.92%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
5.41
-2.48
-31.43%
TVGN
Tevogen Bio Holdings
0.92
0.42
84.00%

Cidara Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Cidara Therapeutics Announces $350 Million Stock Offering
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Cidara Therapeutics announced an agreement with several underwriters to sell approximately 7.95 million shares of its common stock at $44.00 per share in a public offering, aiming to raise around $350 million. The offering, scheduled to close on June 26, 2025, marks a significant financial move for Cidara, potentially enhancing its market position and providing capital to advance its therapeutic developments.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cidara Therapeutics Suspends ATM Prospectus with Jefferies
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Cidara Therapeutics announced the suspension and termination of its ATM Prospectus related to common stock sales under its agreement with Jefferies LLC. The company will halt stock sales until a new prospectus is filed, though the sales agreement itself remains active, indicating a strategic pause rather than a complete cessation of stock activities.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cidara Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase 2b Trial Results
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Cidara Therapeutics announced positive results from its Phase 2b NAVIGATE trial for CD388, a drug aimed at preventing seasonal influenza. The trial demonstrated statistically significant prevention efficacy across all dose groups, with CD388 being well-tolerated and showing no unexpected adverse events. These results could enhance Cidara’s positioning in the antiviral market, and the company has submitted a meeting request to the FDA to discuss the Phase 3 trial design.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cidara Therapeutics Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Cidara Therapeutics held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key amendments were approved. The stockholders agreed to increase the number of shares authorized under the 2024 Equity Incentive Plan by 2,880,000 shares and doubled the authorized shares of common stock from 50 million to 100 million. These changes are expected to enhance the company’s operational flexibility and support its growth strategy. Additionally, the election of directors and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, were confirmed.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025