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Catalyst Pharmaceutical Partners (CPRX)
NASDAQ:CPRX
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Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) AI Stock Analysis

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CPRX

Catalyst Pharma

(NASDAQ:CPRX)

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Outperform 83 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(37.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/10/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, minimal leverage, solid cash conversion). Corporate events are supportive due to the announced all-cash acquisition and improved exclusivity visibility from the patent settlement. Technicals are positive but somewhat stretched (overbought RSI), and valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E but no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Extremely low leverage and a growing equity base give Catalyst durable financial flexibility. Minimal debt reduces default and interest-rate risk, supports continued commercial operations, potential M&A or licensing activity, and lets management fund programs without urgent external financing.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Deceleration
After prior rapid expansion, revenue growth has flattened to near-single-digit/low-single-digit TTM rates. For a specialty pharma with a concentrated product set, this suggests limited organic upside absent new indications, launches, or meaningful market-share gains, constraining long-term top-line expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Extremely low leverage and a growing equity base give Catalyst durable financial flexibility. Minimal debt reduces default and interest-rate risk, supports continued commercial operations, potential M&A or licensing activity, and lets management fund programs without urgent external financing.
Read all positive factors

Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Catalyst Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., founded in 2002 and based in Coral Gables, Florida, operates as a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical enterprise. This company is dedicated to discovering, developing, and marketing therapeutic solutions for individu...
How the Company Makes Money
Catalyst primarily makes money by commercializing prescription drugs and recognizing revenue from product sales, mainly in the U.S. Its core revenue stream is net product revenue generated when its medicines are purchased by specialty pharmacies/w...

Catalyst Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive performance narrative: strong double-digit revenue growth, record product and portfolio performance (notably FIRDAPSE and AGAMREE), robust profitability and cash generation, clear commercial execution improvements (patient identification, diagnostics, enrollment, and retention), and a constructive 2026 guidance range. Challenges were acknowledged—FYCOMPA's loss of exclusivity and revenue erosion, ongoing patent litigation, increasing royalties/milestones and gross-to-net pressure from IRA, and the need for additional label-supporting data for AGAMREE—all of which are being actively managed. On balance, highlights meaningfully outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Revenues Exceed Guidance
Total revenues for FY2025 were $589.0 million, up 19.8% year-over-year, exceeding the company's prior guidance range of $565 million to $585 million. Net product revenue for 2025 was $588.8 million, an increase of 20.3% versus 2024.
Negative Updates
FYCOMPA Loss of Exclusivity and Revenue Erosion
FYCOMPA faced generic competition beginning May 2025. Management forecasts 2026 net product revenue for FYCOMPA of $40 million to $45 million (material decline from $113.3 million in 2025) and has discontinued personal promotion and assistance programs as of year-end.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Full-Year Revenues Exceed Guidance
Total revenues for FY2025 were $589.0 million, up 19.8% year-over-year, exceeding the company's prior guidance range of $565 million to $585 million. Net product revenue for 2025 was $588.8 million, an increase of 20.3% versus 2024.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Catalyst guided 2026 total revenues of $615–645 million, driven by product-level forecasts of FIRDAPSE $435–450M (implying ~21.4%–25.6% growth vs. 2025), AGAMREE $140–150M (~19.6%–28.1% growth) and FYCOMPA $40–45M (post-generic); the FIRDAPSE range reflects an increasing IRA-driven gross-to-net impact on Medicare Part D that management expects to grow annually. They also forecast 2026 R&D of $17.5–22.5M and said SG&A will tick up slightly from 2025’s $193.8M; beginning July 2026 FYCOMPA royalties of 6% to the licensor will apply. For context, 2025 results were total revenue $589.0M (+19.8% YoY), net product revenue $588.8M (+20.3%), FIRDAPSE $358.4M (+17% YoY; Q4 $97.6M, +18.3% YoY), AGAMREE $117.1M (+154.3% YoY; Q4 $35.3M, +67.5% YoY), FYCOMPA $113.3M, and year-end cash of $709.2M.

Catalyst Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are strong: high profitability (TTM gross margin ~82%, net margin ~37%), excellent balance sheet quality with minimal leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.002), and solid cash generation with strong earnings-to-cash conversion. The main drag is slowing growth (TTM revenue growth ~1.35%) and declining recent free cash flow growth (TTM -23%), which could limit future expansion.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue596.96M588.99M491.73M398.20M214.20M140.83M
Gross Profit491.44M501.74M422.89M346.24M179.81M118.95M
EBITDA313.67M295.65M232.90M119.69M103.08M52.58M
Net Income221.32M214.33M163.89M71.41M83.08M39.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.11B851.41M470.11M375.63M237.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments755.86M709.17M517.55M137.64M298.39M191.27M
Total Debt2.68M2.79M3.19M3.56M3.89M4.20M
Total Liabilities134.91M152.54M123.78M82.23M75.21M30.96M
Stockholders Equity1.01B954.27M727.63M387.88M300.42M206.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow208.13M208.61M239.25M61.86M116.02M59.35M
Operating Cash Flow208.21M208.67M239.81M143.60M116.05M60.37M
Investing Cash Flow-85.00K-58.00K-556.00K-293.50M9.21M-11.02M
Financing Cash Flow-32.93M-16.99M140.66M-10.86M1.69M-8.14M

Catalyst Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.26
Price Trends
50DMA
28.93
Positive
100DMA
26.46
Positive
200DMA
24.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Positive
RSI
72.57
Negative
STOCH
69.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.26, below the 50-day MA of 28.93, and above the 200-day MA of 24.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 72.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CPRX.

Catalyst Pharma Risk Analysis

Catalyst Pharma disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Catalyst Pharma reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Catalyst Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$3.84B17.3123.65%11.65%9.67%
71
Outperform
$5.80B257.4546.82%1936.66%
65
Neutral
$4.35B-200.45-26.79%96.03%82.27%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$1.91B-6.74-64.55%-12.76%-26.75%
46
Neutral
$7.31B-8.39138.69%351.53%-54.81%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
31.34
5.93
23.34%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
46.74
32.22
221.90%
OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix
8.74
-0.08
-0.91%
IBRX
ImmunityBio
6.98
3.74
115.43%
LQDA
Liquidia Technologies
65.25
51.12
361.78%

Catalyst Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Catalyst Pharma Reports Higher Revenue, Suspends Earnings Guidance
Positive
May 11, 2026
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals reported that for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, total net product revenue rose 5.6% year over year to $149.3 million, driven by strong growth in FIRDAPSE and AGAMREE, while FYCOMPA sales declined sharply after loss of ...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Catalyst Pharma Settles Firdapse Patent Litigation With Hetero
Positive
May 7, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals agreed to be acquired by Italy’s Angelini Pharma in an all-cash deal valuing the company at about $4.1 billion, or $31.50 per share, a premium to its prior trading levels. Under the merger, expected t...
Legal Proceedings
Catalyst Pharma Patent Trial Against Hetero USA Delayed
Neutral
Mar 18, 2026
On March 18, 2026, the District Court for the District of New Jersey postponed the start of Catalyst Pharmaceuticals’ bench trial against Hetero USA, Inc. from March 23, 2026, to May 18, 2026. The case centers on the validity of Catalyst&#82...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2026