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Catalyst Pharma (CPRX)
NASDAQ:CPRX

Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) AI Stock Analysis

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Catalyst Pharma

(NASDAQ:CPRX)

Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(27.50%Upside)
Catalyst Pharma's strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook are key drivers of its high score. Bullish technical indicators and reasonable valuation further support the stock's potential, despite some cash flow volatility and upcoming challenges in product revenue.
Positive Factors
Legal and Patent Settlements
The company finalized a settlement restricting U.S. generic entry for Firdapse until February 2035.
Market Position
Agamree launch strength exceeds early expectations while Fycompa holds firm ahead of LOE.
Revenue Growth
Catalyst reported strong revenue across each of their commercial products.
Negative Factors
Future Decline Potential
The franchise is expected to decline more meaningfully as generic availability expands.
Generic Competition
Fycompa sales are likely to be negatively impacted by generic entry.

Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Catalyst Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCatalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for people with rare debilitating, chronic neuromuscular, and neurological diseases in the United States. It offers Firdapse, an amifampridine phosphate tablets for the treatment of patients with lambert-eaton myasthenic syndrome (LEMS); and Ruzurgi for the treatment of pediatric LEMS patients. The company also develops Firdapse for the treatment of MuSK antibody positive myasthenia gravis, and spinal muscular atrophy type 3, as well as to treat hereditary neuropathy with liability to pressure palsies. It has license agreements with BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.; and collaboration and license agreement with Endo Ventures Limited for the development and commercialization of generic Sabril tablets. The company was formerly known as Catalyst Pharmaceutical Partners, Inc. and changed its name to Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. in May 2015. Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is based in Coral Gables, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyCatalyst Pharma generates revenue primarily through the sale of its flagship product, Firdapse, which is distributed to patients suffering from Lambert-Eaton Myasthenic Syndrome (LEMS). The company also explores opportunities to expand the use of Firdapse through clinical trials and potential new indications, which could increase its market reach and revenue potential. Additionally, Catalyst Pharma may enter into strategic partnerships or licensing agreements that can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties, further contributing to its earnings. The company's financial success is influenced by its ability to market its products effectively, expand its product line, and navigate the regulatory environment for rare disease treatments.

Catalyst Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth across all products, especially FIRDAPSE and AGAMREE, alongside a strong financial position and strategic initiatives. However, challenges such as the impending FYCOMPA generic competition and past disruptions from a cybersecurity incident were noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights, showcasing strong business performance and strategic execution.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Total net revenues grew 43.6% year-over-year to $141.4 million, with strong contributions from each product.
Strong FIRDAPSE Performance
FIRDAPSE generated $83.7 million in revenue, a 25.3% increase year-over-year, driven by new patient adoption and increased average daily dosage.
AGAMREE Market Momentum
AGAMREE achieved $22 million in net product revenues in Q1 2025, compared to $1.2 million in Q1 2024, marking its first full year of commercial availability.
FYCOMPA Steady Demand
FYCOMPA net product revenue was $35.6 million, a 17.1% year-over-year growth, ahead of anticipated generic entry.
Strong Financial Position
Catalyst reported a strong cash position of $580.7 million and a net income before income taxes of $71.3 million, a 145% increase year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenges with FYCOMPA Patent Expiry
Anticipated revenue decline for FYCOMPA post patent expiry on May 23, 2025, for tablets and December 15, 2025, for oral suspension.
Change Healthcare Cybersecurity Incident Impact
Temporary disruptions related to the Change Healthcare cybersecurity incident in Q1 2024 affected FIRDAPSE sales, but the impact is expected to level out in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During Catalyst Pharmaceuticals' Q1 2025 financial results call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. Total net revenues increased by 43.6% year-over-year to $141.4 million, driven by strong demand for their rare disease therapies. FIRDAPSE, their lead product, generated $83.7 million, marking a 25.3% increase from the previous year, supported by new patient adoption and post-cybersecurity incident recovery. AGAMREE, launched in March 2024, contributed $22 million in Q1 2025, reflecting its growing acceptance in treating Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). FYCOMPA also saw a year-over-year revenue growth of 17.1% to $35.6 million, although facing an anticipated decline post-patent expiry in May 2025. The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance of $545 million to $565 million, highlighting continued strategic execution and market expansion efforts.

Catalyst Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Catalyst Pharma's financial statements reflect strong revenue growth and robust margins, with a notable increase in net profit margin and a solid balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high liquidity. However, past volatility in cash flow generation is a minor concern.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Catalyst Pharma has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase in total revenue from $398.2 million in 2023 to $491.7 million in 2024, marking a growth rate of approximately 23.4%. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 100% due to its cost structure. The net profit margin improved from 17.9% in 2023 to 33.3% in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 39.7%, showcasing efficient operational performance. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Catalyst Pharma exhibits a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, reflecting minimal leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 22.5%, indicating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The equity ratio is robust at 85.5%, demonstrating a solid equity base relative to total assets. The company's financial stability is reinforced by substantial cash and short-term investments, significantly exceeding its total debt, contributing to a healthy liquidity position.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company has shown strong cash flow generation with a significant increase in free cash flow from -$54.9 million in 2023 to $143.4 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, indicating efficient cash conversion from net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, suggesting a strong ability to generate cash relative to earnings. However, the lack of positive free cash flow growth in previous years indicates potential volatility in cash flow generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
534.65M491.73M398.20M214.20M140.83M119.07M
Gross Profit
441.72M422.89M313.67M179.81M118.95M102.03M
EBIT
231.37M195.12M86.81M101.84M52.38M41.30M
EBITDA
250.28M232.90M119.69M101.84M52.38M41.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
197.35M163.89M71.41M83.08M39.48M74.98M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
580.66M517.55M137.64M298.39M191.27M140.28M
Total Assets
908.87M851.41M470.11M375.63M237.79M192.35M
Total Debt
3.09M3.19M3.56M3.89M3.89M28.77K
Net Debt
-577.57M-514.37M-134.08M-294.50M-167.55M-130.21M
Total Liabilities
114.59M123.78M82.23M75.21M30.96M22.76M
Stockholders Equity
794.28M727.63M387.88M300.42M206.83M169.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
267.57M239.25M-54.92M116.02M59.35M45.02M
Operating Cash Flow
267.93M239.81M143.60M116.05M60.37M45.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-357.00K-293.50M-293.50M9.21M-11.02M-5.01M
Financing Cash Flow
2.68M140.66M-10.86M1.69M-8.14M701.93K

Catalyst Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price23.53
Price Trends
50DMA
23.84
Negative
100DMA
23.28
Positive
200DMA
22.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
40.75
Neutral
STOCH
27.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPRX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 23.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.86, below the 50-day MA of 23.84, and above the 200-day MA of 22.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPRX.

Catalyst Pharma Risk Analysis

Catalyst Pharma disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Catalyst Pharma reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Catalyst Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$2.87B15.0229.11%29.97%178.11%
78
Outperform
$3.63B15.8137.24%22.42%
65
Neutral
$4.07B-58.66%42.77%-51.27%
65
Neutral
$4.00B-418.97%48.88%39.30%
60
Neutral
$3.57B-19.71%-86.13%-67.29%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.26-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
46
Neutral
$3.54B-386.33%33.46%26.72%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
23.53
8.53
56.87%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
21.71
6.87
46.29%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
37.49
-2.31
-5.80%
MRUS
Merus
54.61
-1.16
-2.08%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
41.36
-20.42
-33.05%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
62.90
21.74
52.82%

Catalyst Pharma Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Catalyst Pharma Appoints New Chief Medical Officer
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 1, 2025, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals announced the retirement of its Chief Medical and Regulatory Officer, Dr. Gary Ingenito, who will continue as a consultant to aid in the transition. Dr. William Andrews was appointed as the new Chief Medical Officer on June 2, 2025, bringing 25 years of global biopharmaceutical experience, particularly in rare diseases, to the company. Dr. Andrews’s extensive background includes leadership roles in clinical development, medical affairs, and business development, positioning Catalyst to continue its growth and success in the biopharmaceutical industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPRX) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Catalyst Pharma stock, see the CPRX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Catalyst Pharma Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

At Catalyst Pharma‘s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 20, 2025, several directors were elected to the Board, including Richard J. Daly, Patrick J. McEnany, Donald A. Denkhaus, Molly Harper, Tamar Thompson, and David S. Tierney, to serve until the 2026 meeting. Charles B. O’Keeffe, a long-standing independent board member, retired without any disagreements with the company. Additionally, the meeting saw the approval of an amendment to the 2018 Stock Incentive Plan, the 2024 executive compensation, and the ratification of Grant Thornton, LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPRX) stock is a Buy with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Catalyst Pharma stock, see the CPRX Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Catalyst Pharma Reports Record Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals reported record financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with total revenues reaching $141.4 million, marking a 43.6% increase from the previous year. The growth was driven by strong demand for its products, particularly FIRDAPSE and AGAMREE, and the company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance. Catalyst also highlighted strategic advancements, including the acceptance of AGAMREE’s New Drug Submission by Health Canada and the launch of FIRDAPSE in Japan, positioning the company for further growth and market expansion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.