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Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)
NASDAQ:FOLD
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Amicus (FOLD) AI Stock Analysis

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FOLD

Amicus

(NASDAQ:FOLD)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-8.71% Downside)
Amicus Therapeutics scores moderately due to its strong revenue growth and strategic outlook, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial instability from net losses and high debt, along with valuation concerns, weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Development
The newly expanded rare disease pipeline with DMX-200 for FSGS is on track for full enrollment, offering pipeline optionality.
Product Launches
Pombiliti+Opfolda launch is starting to gain traction with strong new patient starts across various global launches.
Revenue Growth
Amicus reported strong revenue growth and continued momentum in its core Pompe and Fabry disease franchises, positioning the company for GAAP profitability.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Taking meaningful market share away from Sanofi's ERTs will remain a challenge.
Financial Challenges
FOLD reported a 2Q25 GAAP net loss of $24.4M, with an EPS of ($0.08), highlighting ongoing financial challenges.
Revenue Guidance
FY25 total revenue guidance was lowered from +17-24% at CER to +15-22% at CER due to an unexpectedly higher UK VPAG rebate rate.

Amicus (FOLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amicus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies for rare and devastating diseases, particularly those caused by genetic mutations. The company operates primarily in the biotechnology sector, concentrating on the development of treatments for lysosomal storage disorders, including Fabry disease and Pompe disease. Amicus is known for its proprietary enzyme replacement therapies and small molecule pharmacological chaperones, which are designed to improve patient outcomes and quality of life.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmicus Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company earns money by selling its approved therapies directly to healthcare providers and through partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies that may involve co-development or licensing agreements. Key revenue streams include sales of its lead products, such as Galafold (migalastat) for Fabry disease, which has been approved in various markets. Additionally, Amicus may receive milestone payments and royalties from collaborations with partners, contributing to its overall financial performance. The company's ability to secure reimbursement agreements with insurance providers and government healthcare programs also plays a critical role in its revenue generation.

Amicus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive outlook for Amicus Therapeutics, driven by strong revenue growth and strategic advancements despite increased operating expenses and a reported net loss.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Double-Digit Revenue Growth
Amicus Therapeutics achieved its 17th consecutive quarter with double-digit sales growth in its core business, including a 22% increase in total revenue over the same period in 2024.
Galafold Patient Growth
Galafold delivered 13% year-over-year patient growth this quarter and is on track to achieve the highest number of global patient starts this year.
Strong Sales for Pombiliti and Opfolda
The second quarter marked the strongest commercial demand for Pombiliti and Opfolda since their launch, with revenue reaching $25.8 million, up 58% at constant exchange rates.
Strategic Partnerships and Pipeline Expansion
Amicus advanced its partnership with Dimerix for DMX-200, a first-in-class compound for a rare kidney disease, with the pivotal Phase III ACTION trial progressing well.
Positive Financial Outlook
The company is on track to achieve GAAP profitability in the second half of the year, with full-year 2025 financial guidance reaffirmed, including total revenue growth of 15% to 22%.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Total GAAP operating expenses increased by 48% compared to the same period last year, partially due to a $30 million upfront payment for the U.S. licensing rights to DMX-200.
Net Loss and Cash Position
Amicus reported a net loss of $24.4 million for the second quarter of 2025, with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at $231 million as of June 30, 2025, down from $250 million at the end of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Amicus Therapeutics Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided a robust set of metrics reflecting their positive financial performance and strategic guidance. They reported a 22% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $154.7 million, with the U.S. contributing 42% of this revenue. The company achieved their 17th consecutive quarter of double-digit sales growth at constant exchange rates (CER), with Galafold showing a 13% year-over-year increase in patient growth and contributing $128.9 million in revenue, marking a 12% growth at CER. Pombiliti and Opfolda generated $25.8 million in revenue, a 58% increase at CER, with significant commercial momentum in the U.S. and Europe. Amicus reiterated their confidence in achieving combined sales of $1 billion from Pombiliti and Opfolda by the end of 2028 and aims to achieve GAAP profitability in the second half of 2025. The company also highlighted their strategic partnership with Dimerix, advancing DMX-200, a first-in-class compound in Phase III development for FSGS, with full enrollment of the ACTION3 study expected by the end of the year.

Amicus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amicus exhibits strong revenue growth and gross profit margins. However, persistent net losses and high debt levels indicate financial instability, with challenges in achieving profitability and maintaining financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a positive revenue growth trend with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $543.1 million, up from $528.3 million in the previous annual period. Gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 91%. However, the net profit margin is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but remain low, suggesting limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a financial risk. The equity ratio stands at 24.5%, showing a moderate proportion of equity financing. The return on equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting the company's struggle to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow has turned positive in the TTM period, showing improvement from the previous annual period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some level of cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains low, pointing to challenges in converting earnings into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue543.14M528.29M399.36M329.23M305.51M260.89M
Gross Profit494.22M475.35M362.03M290.63M271.05M229.84M
EBITDA53.63M29.39M-92.08M-199.58M-202.87M-242.98M
Net Income-29.37M-56.11M-151.58M-236.57M-250.46M-276.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets789.84M785.03M777.88M724.17M905.14M886.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments250.57M249.95M286.20M293.60M482.50M483.27M
Total Debt443.47M443.64M445.06M452.12M440.13M441.73M
Total Liabilities596.28M590.99M617.71M601.12M597.77M600.14M
Stockholders Equity193.56M194.04M160.17M123.05M307.37M286.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.61M-37.44M-76.53M-170.34M-206.38M-236.52M
Operating Cash Flow3.56M-33.89M-69.09M-166.57M-202.49M-233.29M
Investing Cash Flow-40.96M-560.00K98.06M92.32M78.76M-13.58M
Financing Cash Flow6.73M5.12M61.68M-7.46M212.07M262.86M

Amicus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.12
Price Trends
50DMA
6.19
Positive
100DMA
6.54
Positive
200DMA
8.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
65.00
Neutral
STOCH
88.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.49, above the 50-day MA of 6.19, and below the 200-day MA of 8.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOLD.

Amicus Risk Analysis

Amicus disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amicus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amicus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$2.15B-22.62%25.35%69.35%
58
Neutral
$3.49B-108.49%20.02%33.45%
51
Neutral
$7.44B-0.20-46.00%2.26%22.80%-2.27%
50
Neutral
$3.10B-172.08%-29.50%
49
Neutral
$2.80B-182.60%26.77%24.18%
49
Neutral
$2.80B-36.94%-9.10%
45
Neutral
$2.65B-77.58%-48.38%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOLD
Amicus
7.12
-4.35
-37.93%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
29.01
-24.04
-45.32%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
27.62
-9.63
-25.85%
SRRK
Scholar Rock Holding
32.29
22.97
246.46%
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
29.69
-21.93
-42.48%
IMVT
Immunovant
15.20
-14.85
-49.42%

Amicus Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Amicus Stockholders Approve Directors and Equity Plan
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 5, 2025, Amicus‘s stockholders elected four Class III directors for a three-year term and approved the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan. They also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (FOLD) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amicus stock, see the FOLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025