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Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)
NASDAQ:FOLD

Amicus (FOLD) AI Stock Analysis

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FOLD

Amicus

(NASDAQ:FOLD)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(11.89% Upside)
Amicus Therapeutics' stock is bolstered by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment. The acquisition by BioMarin further enhances its outlook. However, financial performance and valuation concerns temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth reflects strong demand for Amicus' therapies, indicating successful market penetration and product adoption.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition by BioMarin promises strategic benefits, including revenue growth and market exclusivity extensions, enhancing long-term business prospects.
Market Expansion
Expanding market access through new pricing and reimbursement agreements supports long-term revenue growth and global presence.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating sufficient cash from operations, impacting long-term sustainability.
Profitability Challenges
Negative net profit margin indicates ongoing challenges in achieving profitability, which may hinder long-term financial health.

Amicus (FOLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amicus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmicus Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on discovering, developing, and delivering medicines for rare diseases. Its commercial product and product candidates include Galafold, an oral precision medicine for the treatment of adults with a confirmed diagnosis of Fabry disease and an amenable galactosidase alpha gene variant based on in vitro assay data. It also develops AT-GAA, a novel treatment paradigm for Pompe disease; enzyme replacement therapies for Pompe diseases; CLN3, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of a single intrathecal administration of an AAV serotype AT-GTX-502 gene therapy in patients with CLN3; and CDKL5, a gene on the X-chromosome encoding the CDKL5 protein that regulates the expression of essential proteins for normal brain development. The company has collaboration and license agreements with Nationwide Children's Hospital; University of Pennsylvania; and GlaxoSmithKline. Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmicus generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its approved therapies, such as Galafold (migalastat), which is designed to treat Fabry disease. The company also earns revenue through collaborations and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical firms, which may involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on product sales. Additionally, Amicus may receive funding from government grants or research contracts aimed at supporting the development of its pipeline products. Strategic partnerships with other biopharmaceutical companies can further enhance its revenue streams by providing shared resources and expanding market access for its therapies.

Amicus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Amicus Therapeutics highlights strong financial performance with notable revenue growth and GAAP profitability, driven by their flagship products and global market expansion. Despite some increase in costs and early-stage profitability, the company's strategic focus on expanding their product pipeline and market presence suggests a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and GAAP Profitability
Amicus Therapeutics reported a 19% increase in total revenue over the same period in 2024, marking the first quarter of 2025 with positive GAAP net income of $17.3 million.
Galafold and Pombiliti/Opfolda Performance
Galafold revenue reached $138.3 million, up 12% at constant exchange rates and up 15% in reported terms, with a 13% year-over-year increase in patient demand. Pombiliti and Opfolda revenue reached $30.7 million, up 42% at constant exchange rates and 45% in reported terms.
Global Market Expansion
Amicus secured reimbursement in 15 countries, with new pricing and reimbursement agreements in Japan, Belgium, Ireland, and Luxembourg.
Promising Pipeline and Partnerships
Advancement of DMX-200 for FSGS, with the pivotal Phase III ACTION3 trial over 90% enrolled and on track to complete by year-end.
Negative Updates
Cost of Goods Sold Increase
Cost of goods sold as a percentage of net sales increased to 12% for Q3 compared to 9% in the same period last year.
Early Stages of Profitability
GAAP profitability may not be linear quarter-to-quarter, indicating potential volatility in achieving consistent profitability.
Company Guidance
During the Amicus Therapeutics Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance across several metrics. They reported a 19% increase in total quarterly revenue, reaching $169.1 million, with Galafold revenue growing by 15% and Pombiliti and Opfolda by 42% at constant exchange rates. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 revenue growth guidance of 15% to 22% and projected total sales of $1 billion by 2028 for its two commercial products. Additionally, Amicus highlighted the successful enrollment of over 90% in the ACTION3 trial for DMX-200, targeting FSGS, and reiterated its confidence in achieving GAAP net income for the second half of the year. The company emphasized its strategic focus on continued revenue growth, market expansion, and new patient starts, particularly citing a 13% year-over-year increase in Galafold patient growth and a 45% revenue increase for Pombiliti and Opfolda.

Amicus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amicus shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but low net profit margins and high leverage pose financial risks. Cash flow challenges are evident, though free cash flow covers net income.
Income Statement
Amicus has shown a positive trend in revenue growth with a 4.82% increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 89.77%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.32%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is positive at 9.67%, showing some profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with potential risk due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
Amicus's free cash flow growth is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating that free cash flow covers net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue598.70M528.29M399.36M329.23M305.51M260.89M
Gross Profit535.61M475.35M362.03M290.63M271.05M229.84M
EBITDA59.27M29.39M-92.08M-199.58M-202.87M-242.98M
Net Income-14.06M-56.11M-151.58M-236.57M-250.46M-276.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets868.81M785.03M777.88M724.17M905.14M886.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments263.84M249.95M286.20M293.60M482.50M483.27M
Total Debt442.82M443.64M445.06M452.12M440.13M441.73M
Total Liabilities638.39M590.99M617.71M601.12M597.77M600.14M
Stockholders Equity230.42M194.04M160.17M123.05M307.37M286.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.69M-37.44M-76.53M-170.34M-206.38M-236.52M
Operating Cash Flow12.98M-33.89M-69.09M-166.57M-202.49M-233.29M
Investing Cash Flow-60.33M-560.00K98.06M92.32M78.76M-13.58M
Financing Cash Flow-12.32M5.12M61.68M-7.46M212.07M262.86M

Amicus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.30
Price Trends
50DMA
10.74
Positive
100DMA
9.38
Positive
200DMA
7.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.18
Negative
RSI
90.58
Negative
STOCH
75.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.74, above the 50-day MA of 10.74, and above the 200-day MA of 7.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 90.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOLD.

Amicus Risk Analysis

Amicus disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amicus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amicus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$2.78B13.2627.52%25.56%44.42%
73
Outperform
$4.42B-319.91-6.87%21.28%87.30%
56
Neutral
$3.20B-33.45-410.78%114.22%77.02%
56
Neutral
$5.22B-9.45-95.93%-27.70%
55
Neutral
$2.40B-8.01-81.83%-9.21%-8.84%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$2.92B-15.11-34.78%-34.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOLD
Amicus
14.30
5.28
58.54%
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
22.72
0.80
3.65%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
36.28
18.19
100.55%
OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix
11.50
3.29
40.07%
IMVT
Immunovant
26.73
3.25
13.84%
IRON
Disc Medicine
80.94
21.70
36.63%

Amicus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Amicus Therapeutics to Be Acquired by BioMarin
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Amicus Therapeutics agreed to be acquired by BioMarin Pharmaceutical in an all-cash transaction valuing Amicus at approximately $4.8 billion, or $14.50 per share, a premium of up to 58% over recent trading averages; following closing—expected in the second quarter of 2026 pending antitrust clearances and shareholder approval—Amicus will become a wholly owned BioMarin subsidiary, with Amicus shareholders cashed out and equity awards converted to cash. The deal will add Galafold and Pombiliti + Opfolda to BioMarin’s rare-disease portfolio, immediately boosting revenue growth, diversifying its enzyme therapy franchise and, according to the companies, becoming accretive to non-GAAP EPS within 12 months of closing and substantially accretive from 2027, financed via a mix of cash and about $3.7 billion of new debt; a $175 million termination fee and a suite of no-shop and fiduciary-out provisions govern competing bids, while a separate settlement of U.S. patent litigation over Galafold grants generic challengers licenses starting in 2037, effectively extending U.S. market exclusivity and bolstering the long-term value of the asset within BioMarin’s portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (FOLD) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amicus stock, see the FOLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025