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Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)
NASDAQ:FOLD

Amicus (FOLD) AI Stock Analysis

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FOLD

Amicus

(NASDAQ:FOLD)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(3.66% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/22/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating fundamentals and cash-flow inflection, but capped by balance-sheet leverage and lack of consistent profitability (negative P/E). Technicals are supportive yet overbought, while the BioMarin acquisition approval adds a meaningful positive catalyst tempered by remaining regulatory-close risk.
Positive Factors
High gross margins with scalable revenue
Sustained revenue scaling combined with very high gross margins (~88–91%) gives durable operating leverage: product revenue growth should convert efficiently to gross profit, supporting long-term margin sustainability and reinvestment capacity even as operating expenses fluctuate.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage for earnings profile
Debt materially exceeds equity for the current earnings base, creating interest and refinancing pressure. If profitability or cash flow weakens, leverage limits strategic optionality and heightens solvency risk over the next several quarters absent continued cash generation or deleveraging actions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins with scalable revenue
Sustained revenue scaling combined with very high gross margins (~88–91%) gives durable operating leverage: product revenue growth should convert efficiently to gross profit, supporting long-term margin sustainability and reinvestment capacity even as operating expenses fluctuate.
Read all positive factors

Amicus (FOLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amicus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Amicus Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on discovering, developing, and delivering medicines for rare diseases. Its commercial product and product candidates include Galafold, an oral precision medicine for the treatment of adu...
How the Company Makes Money
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Amicus Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down total company revenue across regions so you can see which markets drive growth, identify concentration risk, and spot exposure to currency swings, payer pressure, or local regulatory issues that could impact future results.
Chart InsightsInternational sales are clearly driving Amicus’s revenue momentum—consistently larger and accelerating beyond US growth—reflecting recent reimbursement wins and stronger uptake of Galafold and Pombiliti/Opfolda. The brief early‑2025 dip looks like timing/seasonality rather than loss of demand, given the sharp rebound and management’s reaffirmed 2025 guidance and $1B 2028 target. Key risks: rising COGS and uneven GAAP profitability could pressure margins even as top‑line expands, so watch next quarters for sustainable margin improvement alongside international rollout.
Data provided by:The Fly

Amicus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Amicus Therapeutics highlights strong financial performance with notable revenue growth and GAAP profitability, driven by their flagship products and global market expansion. Despite some increase in costs and early-stage profitability, the company's strategic focus on expanding their product pipeline and market presence suggests a positive outlook.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and GAAP Profitability
Amicus Therapeutics reported a 19% increase in total revenue over the same period in 2024, marking the first quarter of 2025 with positive GAAP net income of $17.3 million.
Negative Updates
Cost of Goods Sold Increase
Cost of goods sold as a percentage of net sales increased to 12% for Q3 compared to 9% in the same period last year.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth and GAAP Profitability
Amicus Therapeutics reported a 19% increase in total revenue over the same period in 2024, marking the first quarter of 2025 with positive GAAP net income of $17.3 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Amicus Therapeutics Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance across several metrics. They reported a 19% increase in total quarterly revenue, reaching $169.1 million, with Galafold revenue growing by 15% and Pombiliti and Opfolda by 42% at constant exchange rates. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 revenue growth guidance of 15% to 22% and projected total sales of $1 billion by 2028 for its two commercial products. Additionally, Amicus highlighted the successful enrollment of over 90% in the ACTION3 trial for DMX-200, targeting FSGS, and reiterated its confidence in achieving GAAP net income for the second half of the year. The company emphasized its strategic focus on continued revenue growth, market expansion, and new patient starts, particularly citing a 13% year-over-year increase in Galafold patient growth and a 45% revenue increase for Pombiliti and Opfolda.

Amicus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving fundamentals but still mixed: revenue has scaled steadily with very high gross margins (~88–91%), losses have narrowed, and operating cash flow/free cash flow turned positive in 2025. Offsetting this progress, profitability remains inconsistent (net loss in 2025 and EBITDA volatility), and leverage is high for the earnings profile (debt-to-equity ~1.61), keeping balance-sheet risk elevated.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue634.21M528.29M399.36M329.23M305.51M
Gross Profit553.82M475.35M362.03M290.63M271.05M
EBITDA53.81M29.39M-92.08M-199.58M-202.87M
Net Income-27.11M-56.11M-151.58M-236.57M-250.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets949.87M785.03M777.88M724.17M905.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments293.54M249.95M286.20M293.60M482.50M
Total Debt483.32M443.64M445.06M452.12M440.13M
Total Liabilities675.63M590.99M617.71M601.12M597.77M
Stockholders Equity274.24M194.04M160.17M123.05M307.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.85M-37.44M-76.53M-170.34M-206.38M
Operating Cash Flow33.15M-33.89M-69.09M-166.57M-202.49M
Investing Cash Flow-46.43M-560.00K98.06M92.32M78.76M
Financing Cash Flow610.00K5.12M61.68M-7.46M212.07M

Amicus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.47
Price Trends
50DMA
14.35
Positive
100DMA
13.14
Positive
200DMA
10.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
71.57
Negative
STOCH
84.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.41, above the 50-day MA of 14.35, and above the 200-day MA of 10.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FOLD.

Amicus Risk Analysis

Amicus disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amicus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amicus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$3.05B13.3224.32%25.56%44.42%
62
Neutral
$5.01B-10.43-65.80%-27.70%
59
Neutral
$4.54B-161.97-12.02%21.28%87.30%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$1.82B-8.55-71.66%-9.21%-8.84%
47
Neutral
$2.92B-79.16%114.22%77.02%
43
Neutral
$2.55B-13.21-32.80%-34.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FOLD
Amicus
14.47
7.58
110.01%
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
24.99
2.25
9.89%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
31.67
17.32
120.70%
OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix
8.34
1.50
21.93%
IMVT
Immunovant
24.61
9.71
65.17%
IRON
Disc Medicine
66.85
28.15
72.74%

Amicus Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Amicus Stockholders Approve BioMarin Acquisition at Special Meeting
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
On March 3, 2026, stockholders of Amicus Therapeutics approved the company’s acquisition by BioMarin Pharmaceutical, with approximately 74.79% of eligible shares represented at a special virtual meeting and an overwhelming majority voting in...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 22, 2026