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Crinetics Pharma (CRNX)
:CRNX
US Market

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) AI Stock Analysis

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Crinetics Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:CRNX)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▼( -0.37% Downside)
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals has a challenging financial profile with ongoing losses and cash flow issues, which weigh heavily on the stock score. While the earnings call presents a positive strategic outlook with robust pipeline advancements, the decrease in revenue and increased expenses are significant concerns. Technical analysis indicates potential downward momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The appointment of a seasoned CFO is a positive development, but not enough to offset the broader financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Commercial Launch
Management remains focused on the anticipated commercial launch of paltusotine for the treatment and long-term maintenance therapy of acromegaly.
Financial Position
The company finished the quarter with $1.3B in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, which is expected to fund operations into 2029.
Regulatory Progress
Regulatory engagements have been proceeding 'on track' leading up to paltusotine PDUFA date, with management not anticipating an AdCom as part of NDA review.
Negative Factors
Safety Concerns
Much of the discussion has focused on safety following the finding of elevated liver enzymes in one patient, which has arguably overshadowed the impressive efficacy.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics for rare endocrine diseases and endocrine-related tumors. The company primarily operates in the biopharmaceutical sector, leveraging its expertise in drug discovery and development to address unmet medical needs associated with hormonal diseases. Crinetics' core products include investigational therapies aimed at treating conditions such as acromegaly, congenital hyperinsulinism, and neuroendocrine tumors.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrinetics Pharmaceuticals primarily makes money through the development and eventual commercialization of its drug candidates. The company's revenue model is centered on bringing its investigational therapies to market, which involves various stages of clinical trials and regulatory approvals. Key revenue streams are anticipated from product sales upon successful commercialization of its drug candidates. Additionally, Crinetics may enter into strategic partnerships or licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies to co-develop or market its products, which could provide milestone payments, royalties, and other financial incentives. However, as a clinical-stage company, the majority of its current funding is likely sourced from investments, grants, and public offerings to support its research and development efforts.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges, with persistent operational losses and cash flow issues. While recent financing has strengthened the cash position, the company's ability to generate sustainable revenue and profit remains unproven. The balance sheet shows improvement, but historical financial instability highlights the need for caution.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals has experienced fluctuating revenue with a decline from 2022 to 2023, followed by a sharp drop in 2024. The gross profit margin is consistently high, but net losses persist, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company shows a strong equity position with substantial cash reserves and minimal debt. However, negative stockholders' equity in earlier years indicates past financial distress. Current liabilities are relatively low, but the debt-to-equity ratio is a concern due to historical negative equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting potential liquidity challenges. Free cash flow is also consistently negative, though recent financing activities have bolstered cash reserves. Stability in cash flow remains a concern with ongoing operational losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.04M4.01M4.74M1.08M71.00K
Gross Profit
1.04M4.01M3.35M-184.00K-56.93M
EBIT
-338.85M-222.61M-167.88M-107.70M-74.95M
EBITDA
-338.85M-221.51M-166.90M-106.78M-72.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-298.41M-214.53M-159.95M-106.72M-72.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.35B558.55M334.43M333.71M170.88M
Total Assets
1.43B635.35M352.18M351.01M183.44M
Total Debt
51.72M51.73M2.02M3.07M4.01M
Net Debt
-212.82M-3.17M-30.65M-197.62M-89.07M
Total Liabilities
109.79M96.25M35.85M19.07M14.53M
Stockholders Equity
1.32B539.11M-439.17M-275.25M-167.61M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-229.81M-171.00M-116.86M-89.02M-62.21M
Operating Cash Flow
-225.97M-166.31M-115.20M-88.59M-62.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-574.82M-200.41M-173.98M-56.48M217.00K
Financing Cash Flow
1.01B388.94M121.96M252.68M114.57M

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.11
Price Trends
50DMA
31.69
Negative
100DMA
35.11
Negative
200DMA
44.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
42.57
Neutral
STOCH
9.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.81, below the 50-day MA of 31.69, and below the 200-day MA of 44.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRNX.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crinetics Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The commercial success of our product candidates will depend upon the degree of market acceptance of such product candidates by physicians, patients, health care payors and others in the medical community. Q4, 2024
2.
Changes in U.S. and international trade policies, particularly with respect to China, Europe and India may adversely impact our business and operating results. Q4, 2024

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.61B15.6937.24%22.42%
53
Neutral
$3.11B-14.40%-23.84%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.06-43.57%2.81%16.81%-0.12%
50
Neutral
$2.23B-103.82%48.04%48.16%
50
Neutral
$2.99B-106.71%-22.34%
46
Neutral
$2.82B-30.84%-1.20%
45
Neutral
$2.47B-74.17%-43.10%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
30.11
-17.36
-36.57%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
21.98
6.78
44.61%
VKTX
Viking Therapeutics
26.98
-35.77
-57.00%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
17.44
-23.17
-57.05%
SRRK
Scholar Rock Holding
30.00
19.33
181.16%
IMVT
Immunovant
14.46
-14.49
-50.05%

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. with significant progress in regulatory approvals, strong financial positioning, and preparations for the commercial launch of paltusotine. However, the decrease in revenue and increase in operating expenses present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ended the first quarter of 2025 with approximately $1.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, expected to fund operations into 2029.
Anticipated Commercial Launch of Paltusotine
Preparations are on track for the commercial launch of paltusotine in September 2025, with positive feedback from healthcare professionals and payers.
Robust Pipeline Advancements
Advancing a robust pipeline with two late-stage candidates, an IND-cleared candidate, and three preclinical candidates, indicating strong future growth potential.
Regulatory Progress in the US and EU
No disruptions in regulatory reviews for paltusotine in the US and EU, with the European Medicines Agency granting orphan drug designation.
Positive Feedback on Paltusotine's Value Proposition
Paltusotine's value proposition is resonating well with payers, focusing on fast onset of action, durability, and ease of use.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Revenue
Recognized $400,000 of revenue in Q1 2025 compared to $600,000 in the same period in 2024.
Increase in Operating Expenses
R&D expenses increased by 43% to $76.2 million, and SG&A expenses increased by 71% to $35.5 million compared to the same period in 2024.
Higher Cash Usage in Operations
Cash used in operations was $88.5 million for the first quarter of 2025, up from $52.9 million in 2024.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. highlighted robust financial and strategic positioning for 2025, emphasizing key metrics and milestones. They reported $400,000 in revenue for Q1 2025, down from $600,000 in the same period in 2024, and noted a significant 43% increase in R&D expenses to $76.2 million, primarily driven by personnel and clinical program advancements. SG&A expenses also rose by 71% to $35.5 million, reflecting preparations for the anticipated September launch of paltusotine, a treatment for acromegaly. With $1.3 billion in cash reserves, the company is set to fund operations into 2029. The launch strategy for paltusotine focuses on establishing strong patient and payer engagement, with approximately 30 sales reps expected by summer 2025. Regulatory activities are proceeding as planned, with a decision on the paltusotine NDA expected by September 2025. The company is also advancing its pipeline with late-stage candidates and preparing for a Phase III study of adomelnet for congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH), reflecting a strategic focus on addressing significant unmet needs in endocrine diseases.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals announced the appointment of Tobin Schilke as Chief Financial Officer, effective February 28, 2025. Mr. Schilke brings over 25 years of global pharmaceutical experience, having previously transformed biotech companies into commercial organizations. His appointment is seen as pivotal as Crinetics prepares for its first commercial launch and advances its development pipeline. The move is expected to accelerate Crinetics’ growth objectives and create long-term value for stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.