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Crinetics Pharma (CRNX)
NASDAQ:CRNX
US Market
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Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) AI Stock Analysis

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CRNX

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:CRNX)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-17.07% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by large ongoing losses and heavy cash burn, despite a strong balance sheet. The earnings call was a meaningful positive, pointing to early commercial traction, improving payer coverage, and long cash runway, but technicals remain weak and valuation signals are constrained by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet & runway
A $1.3B liquidity position funding operations into 2030 gives durable financial flexibility to support commercialization, multiple pivotal readouts, and payer expansion without immediate refinancing. This reduces near‑term funding risk and enables strategic pacing of market investments.
Negative Factors
High cash burn and large operating losses
Sizable negative cash flow and net losses mean the company remains dependent on external financing over the medium term. Persistent high burn narrows the margin for error on the commercial ramp and increases dilution risk if revenue trajectories or trial timelines slip versus plan.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet & runway
A $1.3B liquidity position funding operations into 2030 gives durable financial flexibility to support commercialization, multiple pivotal readouts, and payer expansion without immediate refinancing. This reduces near‑term funding risk and enables strategic pacing of market investments.
Read all positive factors

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (CRNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage pharmaceutical enterprise, dedicated to the identification, advancement, and market introduction of therapeutic solutions for infrequent endocrine conditions and related tumors. Their fl...
How the Company Makes Money
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals does not have a broadly established commercial product portfolio and is primarily in the development stage; as a result, its recurring revenue from product sales is null. The company’s funding and reported revenue, when p...

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a strong early commercial launch for Palsonify with meaningful patient additions, encouraging reimbursement progress (≈70% reimbursed, >60% coverage), expanding prescriber footprint and robust pipeline advancement, all supported by a strong balance sheet. Offsetting these positives are elevated and rising R&D and operating expenses, limited disclosure of certain commercial conversion metrics, a remaining reimbursement gap (~30% of patients), appointment‑driven adoption constraints, and no firm timelines provided for several key pivotal readouts or international revenue. On balance, the positives around launch momentum, payer traction, prescriber growth and cash runway outweigh the operational and disclosure limitations.
Positive Updates
Strong Early Commercial Launch
Palsonify generated $10.3M in net product revenue (total revenue $10.7M including $0.4M license) in Q1 and added 232 new patient enrollment forms during the quarter, demonstrating early commercial traction.
Negative Updates
Rising R&D Spend and High Operating Investment
Research & development expense increased to $100.1M in Q1 from $85.1M in Q4 (increase of ~$15M, ~17.6% quarter‑over‑quarter), contributing to a high cash burn profile consistent with the ~$600M–$650M GAAP expense guidance for 2026.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Early Commercial Launch
Palsonify generated $10.3M in net product revenue (total revenue $10.7M including $0.4M license) in Q1 and added 232 new patient enrollment forms during the quarter, demonstrating early commercial traction.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company maintained 2026 guidance, forecasting GAAP operating expenses of $600–$650 million and non‑GAAP operating expenses (excluding cost of product revenue, stock‑based compensation, depreciation and amortization) of $480–$520 million, and said its $1.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents and investments provide runway into 2030. In Q1 Crinetics reported $10.7 million total revenue (including $10.3 million net product revenue and $0.4 million licensing), cost of product revenue of $0.2 million (would have risen by <$0.1M if prior 0‑cost inventory were included), R&D of $100.1 million (vs. $85.1M in Q4) and SG&A of $50.8 million (vs. $53.7M in Q4); shares outstanding were ~105.4M basic and ~123.5M fully diluted as of April 23, 2026. On the commercial front the launch added 232 new patient enrollment forms in Q1, about 70% of patients on therapy were reimbursed at quarter‑end, the company has achieved >60% coverage and remains on track to exceed its 75% coverage goal by end‑Q3 2026, and management expects low discontinuation with patient counts compounding over time.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is improving materially, but the company remains deep in losses (TTM net income about -$496M) with substantial and worsening cash burn (TTM FCF about -$420M). Offsetting this, the balance sheet is strong and conservatively levered (very low debt-to-equity ~0.04) with increased equity, providing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.07M7.70M1.04M4.01M4.74M1.08M
Gross Profit17.87M6.62M1.04M4.01M4.74M1.08M
EBITDA-541.62M-512.88M-336.07M-221.51M-166.90M-106.78M
Net Income-496.39M-465.32M-298.41M-214.53M-163.92M-107.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.14B1.43B635.35M352.18M351.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29B1.03B1.35B558.55M334.43M333.71M
Total Debt47.85M48.54M51.72M51.73M3.08M3.07M
Total Liabilities120.68M143.41M109.79M96.25M35.85M19.07M
Stockholders Equity1.28B992.08M1.32B539.11M316.33M331.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-419.52M-383.68M-229.81M-171.00M-116.86M-89.02M
Operating Cash Flow-414.17M-377.92M-225.97M-166.31M-115.20M-88.59M
Investing Cash Flow7.51M173.91M-574.82M-200.41M-173.98M-56.48M
Financing Cash Flow426.05M40.61M1.01B388.94M121.96M252.68M

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.00
Price Trends
50DMA
37.53
Negative
100DMA
40.86
Negative
200DMA
41.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.32
Positive
RSI
39.84
Neutral
STOCH
26.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.61, above the 50-day MA of 37.53, and below the 200-day MA of 41.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRNX.

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crinetics Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.76B30.7816.19%51.24%
55
Neutral
$3.53B-7.02-43.96%4905.26%-34.49%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.13B-3.561566.94%13.33%-3.82%
49
Neutral
$6.08B-22.89-25.02%-12.58%-15.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
33.48
1.20
3.72%
LGND
Ligand Pharma
237.75
128.27
117.16%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
21.59
-15.45
-41.71%
KYMR
Kymera Therapeutics
73.95
26.79
56.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026