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Ligand Pharma (LGND)
NASDAQ:LGND

Ligand Pharma (LGND) AI Stock Analysis

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LGND

Ligand Pharma

(NASDAQ:LGND)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$201.00
▲(4.86% Upside)
Overall score reflects solid but uneven fundamentals (strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, but pressured margins and weaker free-cash-flow trends). Technicals are mixed with softer short-term momentum, and valuation is a notable headwind given the very high P/E. The latest earnings call was a positive offset due to raised guidance and strong royalty/EPS growth.
Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue Model
Ligand's mix of licensing, milestone and royalty revenues tied to partner drug sales produces recurring, non-dilutive cash streams and milestone upside. This multi-channel model reduces single-product risk and provides durable revenue visibility as partner pipelines mature over multiple years.
Robust Royalty and Revenue Growth
Sustained royalty expansion and an explicit long-term CAGR target indicate durable, organic growth driven by partner product launches and market adoption. Recurring royalties from approved drugs create predictable cash flows and multiperiod revenue tailwinds, supporting long-term growth plans and reinvestment.
Strong Access to Capital
Successful convertible financing and the company's stated deployable capital position provide durable financial flexibility to fund business development, royalty purchases, and pipeline investments. Readily available capital reduces execution risk for long-term portfolio expansion strategies.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow Conversion
A meaningful drop in free cash flow growth and subunitary FCF/net income means earnings are not fully converting to cash. Over the medium term this constrains internal funding for acquisitions or R&D and increases reliance on external financing to sustain growth initiatives and dividend-like distributions.
Compressed Gross Margins and Negative Operating Profit
A sharp decline in gross margin alongside negative EBIT points to structural cost or mix pressures that erode operating leverage. If sustained, lower core profitability reduces cash available for reinvestment and weakens the company's ability to scale margins as revenues grow, pressuring long-term returns.
Rising Operating Expenses and One-Time Charges
Higher G&A and sizable one-time R&D charges increase expense volatility and reduce near-term free cash flow. Repeated or elevated operating spend can undermine margin recovery and make meeting long-term royalty growth targets more capital intensive, requiring sustained cash generation or further financing.

Ligand Pharma (LGND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ligand Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLigand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing or acquiring technologies that help pharmaceutical companies to discover and develop medicines worldwide. Its commercial programs include Kyprolis and Evomela, which are used to treat multiple myeloma; Veklury for the treatment of moderate or severe COVID-19; Teriparatide injection product for osteoporosis; Vaxneuvance for the prevention of invasive disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae; and Pneumosil, a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine to help fight against pneumococcal pneumonia among children. The company also offers Rylaze, a recombinant erwinia asparaginase for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia or lymphoblastic lymphoma in adult and pediatric patients; and Nexterone, a captisol-enabled formulation of amiodarone; and Zulresso, a captisol-enabled formulation of brexanolone for the treatment of postpartum depression. In addition, it provides Noxafil-IV, a captisol-enabled formulation of posaconazole for IV use; Duavee for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis; Aziyo portfolio of commercial pericardial repair and CanGaroo envelope extracellular matrix products; Exemptia for autoimmune diseases; Vivitra for breast cancer; Bryxta and Zybev for various indications; and Minnebro for the treatment of hypertension. The company's partners and licenses programs, which are in clinical development used for the treatment of cancer, seizure, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, muscle wasting, liver and kidney disease, and other diseases. Further, it sells Captisol materials. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyLigand Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through a diversified business model that includes licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties from its partnered programs. The company partners with large pharmaceutical firms that utilize Ligand's technologies in their drug development processes, receiving upfront payments and contingent milestone payments upon the achievement of specific regulatory or developmental milestones. Additionally, Ligand earns royalties on the sales of approved drugs that incorporate its technologies. Significant partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies bolster its revenue streams and provide a steady income reflecting the success of partnered drug candidates in the market.

Ligand Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth in core revenue and EPS, an increase in full-year guidance, and successful financial transactions. However, there are some concerns related to increased operating expenses and limited information on the ZELSUVMI launch.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Core revenue grew 68% year-over-year to $86.9 million, and adjusted EPS increased 68% to $3.09. Royalty revenue rose 47% year-over-year to $46.6 million.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
Ligand raised its full-year 2025 guidance with core revenue now expected to be between $225 million and $235 million, and adjusted EPS between $7.40 and $7.65.
Successful Convertible Debt Financing
Ligand successfully completed a $460 million convertible note financing with a favorable 75 basis point coupon rate and a 32.5% conversion premium.
Ohtuvayre and FILSPARI Performance
Ohtuvayre sales grew 32% sequentially, and FILSPARI sales increased 26% over the prior quarter, becoming Ligand's largest royalty-generating asset on an annualized basis.
Positive Developments in Key Assets
Merck's CAPVAXIVE sales increased significantly, and Palvella's QTORIN rapamycin program shows promising potential with upcoming Phase III results.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
G&A expenses increased to $28.4 million, and R&D expenses rose significantly due to a $17.8 million one-time charge tied to an investment in Orchestra BioMed.
Limited Information on ZELSUVMI Launch
While early launch data is encouraging, there is limited detailed information available until Pelthos reports on November 13.
Company Guidance
During Ligand's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company announced an increase in full-year guidance due to strong performance in their commercial royalty portfolio. Royalty revenue increased by 47% compared to the same quarter last year, driven by the successful launches of Merck's Ohtuvayre and CAPVAXIVE, and the growth of Travere's FILSPARI. Ligand's adjusted earnings per share rose by 68%, reflecting the robust performance of their portfolio. The company also reported a strong balance sheet, with approximately $1 billion in deployable capital, which will support their business development pipeline. Ligand expects their long-term royalty growth to achieve or exceed a compound annual growth rate of 22% by 2029, with the existing portfolio supporting an 18% CAGR, and future investments adding at least 4% more.

Ligand Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong TTM revenue growth (33.93%) and improved net margin (14.26%), supported by moderate leverage (debt-to-equity 0.47). Offsetting this are weaker profitability quality (gross margin down to 19.20%, negative EBIT margin) and declining free cash flow growth (-22.87%) with only moderate FCF conversion (FCF/net income 0.72).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Ligand Pharma's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a strong revenue growth rate of 33.93%, which is a positive sign. However, the gross profit margin has significantly decreased to 19.20% from previous years, indicating potential cost management issues. The net profit margin improved to 14.26% in the TTM, showing profitability recovery. The EBIT margin is negative, suggesting operational challenges, while the EBITDA margin is relatively low at 5.63%.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47 in the TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is low at 4.21%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears strong relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 22.87% in the TTM, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.81, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.72 suggests that a significant portion of net income is not translating into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.23M167.13M131.31M196.25M241.54M163.56M
Gross Profit215.82M156.06M96.27M143.42M179.37M133.14M
EBITDA99.90M40.79M100.84M81.20M142.77M56.67M
Net Income48.58M-4.03M52.15M-33.36M57.14M-2.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.48B941.77M787.22M762.67M1.30B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments664.52M256.17M170.31M211.87M341.11M411.19M
Total Debt451.00M7.11M6.17M87.75M324.39M456.41M
Total Liabilities526.60M111.33M86.30M165.18M476.43M652.76M
Stockholders Equity950.17M830.44M700.91M597.49M821.16M709.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.76M77.41M-4.27M119.93M70.04M50.13M
Operating Cash Flow31.91M97.05M49.58M137.85M78.80M54.59M
Investing Cash Flow-378.82M-143.66M-11.68M163.62M30.52M231.65M
Financing Cash Flow20.46M97.14M-59.95M-275.99M-137.76M-310.55M

Ligand Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price191.69
Price Trends
50DMA
195.59
Positive
100DMA
190.27
Positive
200DMA
158.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
52.16
Neutral
STOCH
52.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LGND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 191.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 197.76, below the 50-day MA of 195.59, and above the 200-day MA of 158.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LGND.

Ligand Pharma Risk Analysis

Ligand Pharma disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ligand Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ligand Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$4.86B-9.88-44.42%-21.96%
63
Neutral
$3.90B92.275.42%64.83%-9.12%
55
Neutral
$1.07B-4.44-54.17%-157.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.93B75.9914.10%42.11%
50
Neutral
$4.78B-13.67-218.04%-31.71%
50
Neutral
$6.13B-21.12-32.09%-50.05%-54.47%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LGND
Ligand Pharma
191.69
73.85
62.67%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
22.56
-7.64
-25.30%
SRRK
Scholar Rock Holding
44.45
3.73
9.16%
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
44.79
6.08
15.71%
KYMR
Kymera Therapeutics
75.94
36.90
94.52%
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
14.77
-32.34
-68.65%

Ligand Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ligand Pharma Highlights Broad Disclosure of Athira Investment
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Ligand Pharmaceuticals disclosed that it had posted materials related to its private placement investment in Athira Pharma on its investor relations website and certain social media platforms. The company reiterated that it distributes potentially material information through a broad set of public channels, including SEC filings, its website, press releases, conference calls, webcasts and its social media accounts, and urged investors and other stakeholders to monitor these outlets for updates, underscoring its emphasis on wide, non-exclusionary disclosure in line with regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGND) stock is a Buy with a $231.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ligand Pharma stock, see the LGND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026