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Ligand Pharma (LGND)
NASDAQ:LGND
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Ligand Pharma (LGND) AI Stock Analysis

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LGND

Ligand Pharma

(NASDAQ:LGND)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$158.00
▲(5.29% Upside)
Ligand Pharma's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive corporate events, indicating strategic growth potential. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, such as declining revenue and a negative P/E ratio, weigh down the score. Technical analysis shows bullish momentum, but caution is advised due to overbought signals.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Ligand Pharma reported better-than-expected financial results, fueled by higher royalty revenues.
Guidance and Future Performance
Company management increased financial guidance for full-year 2025, reflecting higher royalties from new products.
Portfolio Diversification
LGND holds one of the most diversified portfolios of royalty revenues across therapeutic areas for de-risked exposure to the biopharma development landscape.
Strategic Positioning
LGND uniquely positions itself as a strategic partner, providing not just royalty capital but serving as a technology partner and biopharma incubator for innovative treatments.
Negative Factors
Market Volatility
There is a long-term theme of choppiness in Captisol sales and contract revenue based on the timing of orders and milestone payments.
Revenue Stability Concerns
Choppiness in Captisol sales and contract revenue raises concerns about stability based on the timing of orders and milestone payments.

Ligand Pharma (LGND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ligand Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLigand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (LGND) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and acquiring technologies that assist in the discovery and development of new therapeutics. The company operates primarily within the pharmaceutical sector, providing a range of services including drug discovery, development partnerships, and licensing agreements. Ligand's core products and services are centered around its proprietary technologies and platforms, such as the Captisol® technology, which enhances the solubility and bioavailability of pharmaceutical compounds, as well as its extensive library of small molecules for drug discovery.
How the Company Makes MoneyLigand Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focusing on licensing agreements and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies. The company licenses its technologies and product candidates to partners, receiving upfront payments, milestone payments as development progresses, and royalties on any commercialized products. Significant partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies enhance Ligand’s earning potential, as these collaborations often involve large-scale drug development projects. Additionally, Ligand may receive funds from research and development services provided to partners. The recurring nature of royalty payments from successfully marketed drugs, combined with milestone payments from ongoing collaborations, forms the backbone of Ligand's revenue model.

Ligand Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and successful product launches. Despite challenges in the biopharmaceutical financing environment and a decline in Kyprolis sales, Ligand's diversified portfolio and strategic investments provide a positive outlook for the future.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Ligand reported a 46% increase in total revenue for Q1 2025 compared to the same period last year, totaling just over $45 million. Royalty revenue grew by 44%, reaching $27.5 million.
Strong Financial Position
Ligand has over $200 million in cash and investments, no debt, and access to a $125 million revolving credit facility, which can be upsized to $200 million.
Successful Launches and Approvals
Verona Pharma's Ohtuvayre reported net sales of $71 million, and Merck's Capvaxive reported $107 million in sales, both exceeding expectations. Travere's Filspari is also seeing strong growth with a 180% year-over-year increase in sales.
Portfolio Diversification and Expansion
Ligand's portfolio consists of more than 90 assets diversified across various stages of clinical development and therapeutic areas. The company executed a strategic transaction with Channel Therapeutics to accelerate the commercialization of Zelsuvmi.
Positive Long-term Growth Outlook
Ligand expects a compound annual growth rate of 22% for royalty revenue by 2029, with current portfolio supporting an 18% CAGR.
Negative Updates
Kyprolis Sales Decline
Amgen reported a 14% year-over-year decline in sales for Kyprolis due to competitive pressures, impacting Ligand's royalty revenue.
Challenges in Biopharmaceutical Financing Environment
The current landscape for biotech companies is challenging due to fewer IPOs and more difficult private fundraising, leading to increased demand for royalty financing.
Operating Expense Increase
R&D and G&A expenses increased this quarter primarily due to a one-time $44 million charge related to the royalty financing agreement with Castle Creek.
Company Guidance
During Ligand's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company emphasized its strong start to the year, highlighting a 46% increase in total revenue compared to the same period last year. Royalty revenue saw a 44% growth, contributing $27.5 million, driven by successful performances from key products like Verona's Ohtuvayre and Merck's Capvaxive. Ligand maintained a robust financial position with over $209 million in cash and investments, and no debt, while also deploying nearly $250 million in capital across 10 investments over the past 15 months. The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting royalty revenue between $135 million and $140 million and adjusted EPS between $6 and $6.25. CEO Todd Davis expressed optimism about the ongoing momentum from their royalty portfolio, including recent FDA approvals and strategic investments, which are expected to drive substantial growth and shareholder value through the year and beyond.

Ligand Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ligand Pharma shows a mixed financial picture with declining revenue and profitability, yet maintains a strong equity position. While cash flows are generally positive, volatility in free cash flow and revenue trends pose risks. Financial stability is supported by low leverage, but improving operational efficiency remains crucial.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with significant fluctuations in profitability. Gross profit margin is relatively high, but EBIT and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational challenges. Revenue has decreased significantly in recent periods, affecting overall financial performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. However, total assets have been decreasing, and liabilities are relatively high compared to assets. Return on equity has been inconsistent, indicating fluctuating profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company's cash flow statement indicates adequate operating cash flow; however, free cash flow has been volatile, with a significant decline recently. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, but fluctuations in free cash flow present challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue181.49M167.13M131.31M196.25M277.13M186.42M
Gross Profit150.14M156.06M96.27M143.42M214.96M156.00M
EBITDA-122.11M40.79M100.84M54.41M133.16M69.05M
Net Income-132.62M-4.03M52.15M-5.22M57.14M-2.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets905.43M941.77M787.22M762.67M1.30B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments208.90M256.17M170.31M211.87M341.11M411.19M
Total Debt4.45M7.11M6.17M87.75M336.26M454.53M
Total Liabilities109.90M111.33M86.30M165.18M479.75M652.76M
Stockholders Equity795.53M830.44M700.91M597.49M821.63M709.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.51M95.23M-4.27M119.93M70.04M50.13M
Operating Cash Flow52.81M97.05M49.58M137.85M78.80M54.59M
Investing Cash Flow-135.00M-143.66M-11.68M163.62M30.52M231.65M
Financing Cash Flow80.39M97.57M-59.95M-275.99M-137.76M-310.55M

Ligand Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price150.06
Price Trends
50DMA
121.70
Positive
100DMA
113.61
Positive
200DMA
114.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.15
Negative
RSI
71.83
Negative
STOCH
89.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LGND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 150.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 135.57, above the 50-day MA of 121.70, and above the 200-day MA of 114.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LGND.

Ligand Pharma Risk Analysis

Ligand Pharma disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ligand Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ligand Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$2.90B48.01-9.46%40.54%-264.26%
60
Neutral
HK$18.08B4.77-4.00%3.35%9.59%-23.62%
58
Neutral
$3.01B-24.19%62.33%48.34%
56
Neutral
$2.02B-31.46%254.45%48.06%
49
Neutral
$2.11B-27.85%-72.82%
43
Neutral
$2.27B-33.43%-15.56%
40
Underperform
$1.51B-316.82%-37.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LGND
Ligand Pharma
150.06
50.46
50.66%
MIRM
Mirum Pharmaceuticals
59.97
15.23
34.04%
TARS
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
47.85
21.64
82.56%
BLTE
Belite Bio, Inc. ADR
69.88
21.33
43.93%
BHVN
Biohaven Ltd.
14.74
-22.23
-60.13%
APGE
Apogee Therapeutics
35.39
-9.07
-20.40%

Ligand Pharma Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Ligand Pharma Completes Merger Forming Pelthos Therapeutics
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Ligand Pharmaceuticals completed a merger between its subsidiary LNHC, Inc. and Channel Therapeutics Corporation’s subsidiary, resulting in the formation of Pelthos Therapeutics Inc. Pelthos will trade on the NYSE American exchange under the ticker symbol ‘PTHS’ and plans to launch ZELSUVMI, a novel treatment for Molluscum contagiosum infections. Ligand invested $18 million in Pelthos and will receive a 13% royalty on worldwide sales of ZELSUVMI. The merger is seen as a transformative milestone, unlocking potential for innovation and long-term value for shareholders. Pelthos also raised $50.1 million in equity capital to support the commercial launch of ZELSUVMI and other development programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGND) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ligand Pharma stock, see the LGND Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ligand Pharma Elects Board Members at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Ligand Pharmaceuticals held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where eight board members were elected for terms expiring in 2026. Additionally, the selection of Ernst & Young LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified, and a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (LGND) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ligand Pharma stock, see the LGND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025