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MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)
NASDAQ:MLTX
US Market

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MLTX

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics

(NASDAQ:MLTX)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-2.57% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by the pre-revenue model with accelerating losses and significant cash burn, alongside weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Offsetting these are a comparatively supportive balance sheet and positive regulatory/clinical updates that de-risk the development path, while valuation inputs are not very informative due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Regulatory De‑risking (BLA Path)
Positive Type B feedback that supports a BLA submission from existing HS studies materially reduces regulatory uncertainty and potential trial costs. This shortens the pathway to approval, accelerating commercialization timing and preserving R&D capital versus running new pivotal HS trials.
Robust Clinical Evidence Base
A large, consistent clinical dataset across multiple trials strengthens the evidentiary case for effectiveness and safety, enhancing regulatory credibility and competitive differentiation. Durable trial evidence raises barriers for competitors and supports label claims and payer discussions post-approval.
Near‑term Cash Runway
A sizable cash position plus a committed debt facility gives the company funding visibility into H2 2027, enabling continued trials and BLA preparations. This financial cushion lowers immediate refinancing risk and permits execution of clinical milestones that determine long‑term value.
Negative Factors
Pre‑Revenue with Accelerating Losses
Persistent pre‑revenue status combined with sharply widening losses reduces financial resilience and heightens dependence on external capital. Over the coming months this pressure can force financing decisions that dilute shareholders or constrain strategic investments needed for commercialization.
High Negative Cash Flow
Substantial negative operating and free cash flow indicate heavy burn to fund trials and operations. Even with current cash, sustained negative cash generation shortens runway absent revenue or significant non‑dilutive funding, elevating execution and financing risk over the medium term.
Rising Leverage / Financing Dependence
An increased reliance on debt signals growing fixed obligations and less financial flexibility. Combined with ongoing losses, higher leverage can raise the cost of capital, constrain strategic options, and increase sensitivity to future funding conditions or covenant pressures.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoonLake Immunotherapeutics, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing therapies. It is developing Sonelokimab, a novel investigational Nanobody therapy for the treatment of inflammation. The company is involved in conducting Phase II trials for hidradenitis suppurativa, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, or radiographic axial spondyloarthritis. MoonLake Immunotherapeutics was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoonLake Immunotherapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. The company generates revenue by advancing its therapeutic products through clinical trials and ultimately seeking regulatory approval for marketing and sales. Additionally, MoonLake may engage in strategic partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include licensing agreements, joint ventures, or co-development opportunities to enhance its product pipeline and expand market reach. These partnerships can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties, contributing to the company's overall revenue. Furthermore, MoonLake might receive funding through grants, public offerings, or private investments to support its research and development activities.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is in an early-stage, pre-revenue phase, typical for a biotech company focused on R&D. Despite a strong balance sheet supported by equity funding, the absence of revenue and negative cash flows reflect the company's reliance on future product success and financing.
Income Statement
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics reported zero revenue over the past years, indicating a lack of commercialized products or services. This absence of revenue leads to an inability to calculate standard profitability metrics like Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin. The persistent negative net income highlights ongoing operational losses, typical for a biotech company in its development phase.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a robust stockholders' equity position with a low level of debt, leading to a strong equity ratio. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is also favorable, indicating low financial leverage. However, the absence of revenue raises concerns about the sustainability of its equity and asset base without future revenue streams.
Cash Flow
The company exhibits significant negative free cash flow, which is typical for a biotech firm in the R&D phase. Financing activities have been substantial, suggesting reliance on external funding. However, the negative operating cash flow indicates the current lack of cash-generating operations, posing a risk if financing sources decline.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-1.49M0.000.000.00-4.97K0.00
EBITDA-208.10M-141.71M-53.75M-64.90M-53.63M-90.84K
Net Income-210.50M-118.94M-36.01M-49.97M-53.64M-90.84K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets414.33M477.93M526.54M76.84M9.68M116.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments380.48M448.03M511.01M72.11M8.04M1.34M
Total Debt75.73M2.83M3.70M282.58K15.00M58.06K
Total Liabilities123.14M24.54M13.05M8.08M21.33M4.15M
Stockholders Equity288.91M446.83M495.68M48.90M-11.65M112.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-185.90M-117.11M-43.06M-55.91M-35.23M-316.69K
Operating Cash Flow-185.69M-116.59M-42.78M-55.89M-35.18M-316.69K
Investing Cash Flow85.57M-205.60M-25.18M-32.34M-50.71K-115.00M
Financing Cash Flow73.75M51.31M479.70M119.69M43.26M116.65M

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.29
Price Trends
50DMA
12.78
Positive
100DMA
24.36
Negative
200DMA
34.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
56.48
Neutral
STOCH
24.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.43, below the 50-day MA of 12.78, and below the 200-day MA of 34.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLTX.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Risk Analysis

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MoonLake Immunotherapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$5.15B126.627.80%-35.39%-72.97%
59
Neutral
$5.06B-11.74-44.42%-21.96%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$3.35B88.4514.10%42.11%
48
Neutral
$805.81M-4.31-54.17%-157.74%
48
Neutral
$2.12B-9.49-28.96%23.73%30.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
14.34
-31.98
-69.04%
PTGX
Protagonist Therapeutics
80.20
43.59
119.07%
ZLAB
Zai Lab
18.50
-6.80
-26.88%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
26.26
-1.18
-4.30%
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
53.24
12.65
31.17%

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MoonLake Advances Sonelokimab After Positive FDA Feedback
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics reported that a recent Type B meeting with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration delivered positive regulatory feedback on the clinical evidence package for sonelokimab in hidradenitis suppurativa, confirming that the company may pursue a Biologics License Application in the second half of 2026 without conducting additional HS clinical trials. The FDA agreed that data from MoonLake’s existing MIRA, VELA‑1 and VELA‑2 studies—together enrolling more than 1,000 HS patients and showing significant efficacy and a favorable safety profile—can collectively establish substantial evidence of effectiveness, while emphasizing the inclusion of VELA‑2 primarily to inform safety, a stance that reinforces the value of the current HS program and de-risks the regulatory path. The company said preparations for the BLA submission remain on track and highlighted a catalyst-heavy 2026, including multiple Phase 2 and Phase 3 data readouts in axial spondyloarthritis, psoriatic arthritis and adolescent HS, alongside an Investor Day set for February 23, 2026 to discuss the FDA feedback, new clinical data and its broader development roadmap for sonelokimab.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLTX) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MoonLake Immunotherapeutics stock, see the MLTX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Announces $75M Share Offering
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics entered into an underwriting agreement with Leerink Partners LLC to issue and sell 7,142,857 Class A ordinary shares at $10.50 per share, aiming to raise $75 million in gross proceeds. The offering, filed with the SEC, is expected to close on November 6, 2025, and includes indemnification provisions for the underwriter against certain liabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLTX) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MoonLake Immunotherapeutics stock, see the MLTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
MoonLake Reports Promising Phase 2 Trial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics announced promising results from its Phase 2 clinical trial of Sonelokimab in palmoplantar pustulosis and an interim analysis of its Phase 3 trial in adolescents with hidradenitis suppurativa. The company also reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a cash position of $380.5 million, expected to fund operations into the second half of 2027. These developments underscore MoonLake’s strategic progress in advancing Sonelokimab’s clinical program, potentially enhancing its market position in the inflammatory disease sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLTX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MoonLake Immunotherapeutics stock, see the MLTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026