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MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)
NASDAQ:MLTX
US Market

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MoonLake Immunotherapeutics

(NASDAQ:MLTX)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario typical for early-stage biotech firms. The strong balance sheet and recent financing provide a solid financial foundation, but the lack of revenue and operational losses weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators are mixed, and the negative valuation metrics reflect the developmental nature of the company. The significant financing event is a positive catalyst, enhancing the company's ability to advance its pipeline.
Positive Factors
Clinical Development
MLTX reaffirmed their development plans for lead asset sonelokimab across multiple immuno-inflammatory diseases in dermatology and rheumatology.
Financial Performance
MoonLake's balance sheet along with the recent non-dilutive financing agreement with Hercules Capital is expected to fund operations into 2028.
Market Potential
Sonelokimab offers an attractive product profile across a number of multi-billion dollar indications and the stock has meaningful upside potential with a fast-approaching inflection point.
Negative Factors
Competitive Landscape
Long-term investors could potentially rescue the stock if 'HS = big' becomes the prevailing narrative.
Operational Risks
With enrollment risks & INCY povorcitinib risks in the rearview, it is believed that VELA 1 & 2 will dictate the fate of MLTX.
Stock Volatility
Even if efficacy lands at 21-22%, some near-term stock downside may occur.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoonLake Immunotherapeutics, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing therapies. It is developing Sonelokimab, a novel investigational Nanobody therapy for the treatment of inflammation. The company is involved in conducting Phase II trials for hidradenitis suppurativa, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, or radiographic axial spondyloarthritis. MoonLake Immunotherapeutics was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoonLake Immunotherapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. The company generates revenue by advancing its therapeutic products through clinical trials and ultimately seeking regulatory approval for marketing and sales. Additionally, MoonLake may engage in strategic partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include licensing agreements, joint ventures, or co-development opportunities to enhance its product pipeline and expand market reach. These partnerships can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties, contributing to the company's overall revenue. Furthermore, MoonLake might receive funding through grants, public offerings, or private investments to support its research and development activities.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is in an early-stage, pre-revenue phase, typical for a biotech company focused on R&D. Despite a strong balance sheet supported by equity funding, the absence of revenue and negative cash flows reflect the company's reliance on future product success and financing.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics reported zero revenue over the past years, indicating a lack of commercialized products or services. This absence of revenue leads to an inability to calculate standard profitability metrics like Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin. The persistent negative net income highlights ongoing operational losses, typical for a biotech company in its development phase.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a robust stockholders' equity position with a low level of debt, leading to a strong equity ratio. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is also favorable, indicating low financial leverage. However, the absence of revenue raises concerns about the sustainability of its equity and asset base without future revenue streams.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company exhibits significant negative free cash flow, which is typical for a biotech firm in the R&D phase. Financing activities have been substantial, suggesting reliance on external funding. However, the negative operating cash flow indicates the current lack of cash-generating operations, posing a risk if financing sources decline.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.00-13.16K-12.36K-4.97K0.00
EBIT
0.00-54.12M-65.06M-53.58M-105.76K
EBITDA
-119.58M-54.11M-65.05M-53.63M-90.84K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-120.68B-36.01M-64.51M-53.64M-90.84K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
448.03M511.01M72.11M8.04M1.34M
Total Assets
477.93M526.54M76.84M9.68M116.63M
Total Debt
2.83M3.81M282.58K15.00M58.06K
Net Debt
-177.60M-447.36M-39.22M6.96M-1.28M
Total Liabilities
24.54B13.05M8.08M21.33M4.15M
Stockholders Equity
446.83B495.68M48.90M-11.65M112.48M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-117.11M-43.06M-55.91M-35.23M-316.69K
Operating Cash Flow
-116.59M-42.78M-55.89M-35.18M-316.69K
Investing Cash Flow
-205.60M-25.18M-32.34M-50.71K-115.00M
Financing Cash Flow
51.31M479.70M119.69M43.26M116.65M

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price40.28
Price Trends
50DMA
38.62
Negative
100DMA
41.81
Negative
200DMA
45.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
48.62
Neutral
STOCH
65.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.50, above the 50-day MA of 38.62, and below the 200-day MA of 45.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLTX.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Risk Analysis

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MoonLake Immunotherapeutics reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Even if SLK or other compounds we may develop are successful in clinical trials and receive regulatory approvals, we or our collaboration partners may not be able to successfully commercialize them. Q4, 2024
2.
by us or our future commercial and collaborative partners to comply with applicable statutes or regulations can adversely affect our business. Q4, 2024
3.
Disruptions at the FDA, the SEC and other government agencies and regulatory authorities caused by funding shortages or global health concerns could hinder their ability to hire and retain key leadership and other personnel, prevent new products and services from being developed or commercialized in a timely manner or otherwise prevent those agencies from performing normal business functions on which the operation of our business may rely, which could negatively impact our business. Q4, 2024

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$1.98B-18.12%28.25%80.86%
53
Neutral
$5.24B3.07-43.58%2.80%16.87%-0.11%
50
Neutral
$2.33B-103.82%48.04%48.16%
46
Neutral
$2.94B-30.84%-1.20%
45
Neutral
$2.55B-74.17%-43.10%
43
Neutral
$2.47B78.99%10238.41%47.67%
41
Neutral
$2.59B-30.57%-147.80%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
38.54
-1.37
-3.43%
FOLD
Amicus
6.34
-3.38
-34.77%
IBRX
ImmunityBio
2.65
-4.29
-61.82%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
17.42
-26.18
-60.05%
CRNX
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals
29.95
-20.59
-40.74%
IMVT
Immunovant
14.41
-15.15
-51.25%

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Hosts Capital Markets Day
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics will present an investor presentation during its Capital Markets Day event, detailing the company’s financial position, upcoming clinical developments, and strategic outlook. This presentation aims to provide stakeholders with insights into the company’s future direction and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Spark’s Take on MLTX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MLTX is a Neutral.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario typical for early-stage biotech firms. The strong balance sheet and recent financing provide a solid financial foundation, but the lack of revenue and operational losses weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators are mixed, and the negative valuation metrics reflect the developmental nature of the company. The significant financing event is a positive catalyst, enhancing the company’s ability to advance its pipeline.

To see Spark’s full report on MLTX stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Secures $500M Financing for Growth
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

On March 31, 2025, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics entered into a loan and security agreement with Hercules Capital for up to $500 million in non-dilutive financing. This agreement, which includes a $75 million initial draw, aims to support the company’s growth, including the advancement of sonelokimab and its expected launch in 2027. The financing enhances MoonLake’s financial position, allowing it to progress its clinical trials and prepare for commercial readiness without diluting shareholder equity. The company plans to provide further updates on its clinical programs and financial strategies at a Capital Markets Update on April 29, 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.