Zai Lab Ltd (ZLAB)
:ZLAB
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Zai Lab (ZLAB) AI Stock Analysis

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ZLAB

Zai Lab

(NASDAQ:ZLAB)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(3.45% Upside)
Zai Lab's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows growth in revenue but significant challenges in profitability and cash flow. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided some positive insights into pipeline developments, but concerns about slower growth and program setbacks weigh heavily on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective commercial strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Pipeline Advancements
Advancements in the drug pipeline enhance future revenue potential and strengthen competitive positioning in the oncology market.
Profitability on Horizon
Achieving profitability will improve financial stability and investor confidence, supporting sustainable growth and operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Negative Profit Margins
Persistent negative profit margins indicate ongoing financial challenges, potentially limiting reinvestment in growth and innovation.
Cash Flow Inefficiencies
Inefficient cash flow conversion can strain liquidity and limit the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Competitive Pressures
Increased competition in the PARP inhibitor market may impact market share and revenue growth, challenging Zai Lab's competitive edge.

Zai Lab (ZLAB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zai Lab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZai Lab Limited develops and commercializes therapies to treat oncology, autoimmune disorders, infectious diseases, and neuroscience primarily in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company's commercial products include Zejula, a once-daily small-molecule poly polymerase 1/2 inhibitor; Optune, a device that delivers tumor treating fields; NUZYRA for acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections, and community acquired bacterial pneumonia; and Qinlock to treat gastrointestinal stromal tumors. It also develops Odronextamab to treat follicular lymphoma, diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and other B-celllymphomas; Repotrectinib, a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) to target ROS1 and TRK A/B/C in TKI-naïve- or -pretreated cancer patients; Margetuximab for the treatment of breast and gastroesophageal cancers; Adagrasib for treating KRAS-G12C-mutated NSCLC, colorectal cancer, pancreatic cancer, and other solid tumors; and Bemarituzumab to treat gastric and gastroesophageal junction cancer. In addition, the company develops CLN-081 for the treatment of patients with EGFR exon 20 insertion NSCLC; Elzovantinib, an orally bioavailable multi-targeted kinase inhibitor; Tebotelimab, a tetravalent IgG4 monoclonal antibody; Retifanlimab that inhibits interactions between PD-1 and its ligands; ZL-2309, an orally active, selective, and ATP-competitive cell division cycle 7 (CDC7) kinase inhibitor; ZL-1201, a humanized IgG4 monoclonal antibody; Efgartigimod to reduce disease-causing immunoglobulin G antibodies; ZL-1102, a human nanobody targeting interleukin- 17A; KarXT for the treatment of psychiatric and neurological conditions; ZL-2313, an investigational inhibitor of triple-mutant EGFR harboring; ZL-2314, an investigational inhibitor of double-mutant EGFR harboring; and Sulbactam/durlobactam for the treatment of serious infections caused by Acinetobacter. Zai Lab Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyZai Lab generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on the development and commercialization of its therapeutic products. The company earns money from product sales of its approved therapies, as well as milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve collaboration agreements where Zai Lab retains certain rights to develop and market drugs in specific territories, further enhancing its revenue potential. Additionally, Zai Lab may receive royalties on sales from partnered products, which contribute to its overall earnings. The company's strategic focus on innovative therapies, coupled with a strong pipeline of drug candidates, positions it to capitalize on growing market opportunities within the biopharmaceutical industry.

Zai Lab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. Zai Lab showcased strong pipeline developments and success with VYVGART's market penetration in China. However, challenges such as slower commercial growth, supply constraints, and setbacks in the Bema program created significant headwinds. The company's focus on long-term growth and profitability remains strong.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Efficacy Observed in Zoci Trials
Zoci (ZL-1310) showed an overall response rate of 68% and a disease control rate of 94% in Phase I trials for small cell lung cancer, with promising results in patients with brain metastases.
Significant Pipeline Development
Zai Lab has advanced several key programs, including Zoci entering a pivotal stage, and new trials for ZL-1503 and ZL-6201. Plans for global approvals and a robust pipeline were highlighted.
VYVGART Launch Success
VYVGART has become the #1 innovative drug by sales among all new launches in China over the past 2 years, with nearly 21,000 patients treated and penetration in gMG at 12%.
Financial Discipline and Growth
Despite slower-than-expected growth, Zai Lab's China business is commercially profitable, and the company reported a 14% year-over-year revenue growth, with a focus on financial discipline and efficiency.
Negative Updates
Slower Commercial Growth in China
The commercial growth in China has been slower than expected due to complex market dynamics, affecting products like VYVGART and ZEJULA.
Challenges with Bema Development
The Bema program faces significant challenges following negative results from the 098 study, making approval in China unlikely.
Revised Revenue Guidance
The company revised its full-year revenue guidance downward to at least $460 million, reflecting slower-than-anticipated market build.
XACDURO Supply Constraints
Demand for XACDURO remains robust, but supply constraints have affected the ability to meet market demand fully.
Company Guidance
During the Zai Lab Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, key guidance was provided about the company's performance and future outlook. Total revenue for the quarter was reported at $116.1 million, driven by a 14% year-over-year growth, with VYVGART contributing $27.7 million despite a $2.4 million reduction due to a voluntary price adjustment. The company updated its full-year total revenue guidance to at least $460 million. Zai Lab highlighted the progress of Zoci (ZL-1310), which showed a 68% overall response rate and a 94% disease control rate in Phase I trials, with a median duration of response at 6.1 months. The call noted an improvement in adjusted loss from operations, which was $28 million, a 42% improvement from the previous year. The company remains commercially profitable in China and is on a path to overall profitability, with $817 million in cash providing the flexibility to invest in innovation and execution. Zai Lab emphasized its global pipeline progress with plans for several key data readouts and trial initiations in the next 12 months, including studies on ZL-1503, ZL-6201, and ZL-1222.

Zai Lab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zai Lab demonstrates growth in revenue but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. The company maintains a strong equity position with low leverage, which provides some financial stability. However, the persistent negative margins and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements to achieve sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Zai Lab shows modest revenue growth with a TTM increase of 3.23%. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 62.39%, indicating efficient cost management, but the persistent negative net profit margin highlights ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.24, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet indicates a stable equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Zai Lab's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in converting net income to cash flow, but the overall negative cash flow growth rate suggests difficulties in generating cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue441.63M398.99M266.72M215.04M144.31M48.96M
Gross Profit270.79M251.13M170.90M141.02M92.07M-190.49M
EBITDA-185.62M-234.57M-365.11M-434.84M-689.46M-297.16M
Net Income-206.81M-257.10M-334.62M-443.29M-704.47M-268.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16B1.19B1.04B1.22B1.61B1.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments717.15M779.67M806.45M1.01B1.41B1.19B
Total Debt219.36M153.47M15.15M20.39M15.54M18.60M
Total Liabilities399.00M344.86M240.18M174.54M230.00M128.29M
Stockholders Equity759.95M840.90M796.12M1.05B1.38B1.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-206.79M-276.39M-206.67M-392.63M-568.18M-226.72M
Operating Cash Flow-180.54M-214.87M-198.18M-367.64M-549.23M-216.06M
Investing Cash Flow-28.59M-375.19M-10.78M420.02M249.96M-554.83M
Financing Cash Flow310.60M349.89M-6.43M-1.73M820.20M1.13B

Zai Lab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.75
Price Trends
50DMA
29.21
Negative
100DMA
32.23
Negative
200DMA
32.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.31
Positive
RSI
23.43
Positive
STOCH
9.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZLAB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.09, below the 50-day MA of 29.21, and below the 200-day MA of 32.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.43 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZLAB.

Zai Lab Risk Analysis

Zai Lab disclosed 100 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zai Lab reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zai Lab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.89B30.1819.66%54.51%275.94%
74
Outperform
$6.05B8.8097.54%
73
Outperform
$4.06B15.4534.95%12.69%100.80%
52
Neutral
$7.28B-51.57%57.54%-36.57%
52
Neutral
$5.21B-47.18%-76.96%-425.41%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$2.45B-28.96%23.73%30.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZLAB
Zai Lab
21.75
-3.42
-13.59%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
24.02
6.99
41.05%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
75.30
36.07
91.94%
MRUS
Merus
95.95
51.68
116.74%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
206.16
30.52
17.38%
ACLX
Arcellx Inc
89.98
1.76
2.00%

Zai Lab Corporate Events

Zai Lab Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth and Pipeline Progress
Nov 7, 2025

Zai Lab Limited is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and infectious diseases, with operations in China and the United States. In its third quarter of 2025, Zai Lab reported a 14% year-over-year increase in total revenues, reaching $116.1 million, while also reducing its operating loss by 28% year-over-year to $48.8 million. The company highlighted significant advancements in its pipeline, including the initiation of a global registrational study for its promising oncology candidate, zocilurtatug pelitecan, and the inclusion of KarXT in China’s national treatment guidelines for schizophrenia. Key financial metrics showed a net loss of $36.0 million, an improvement from the previous year, driven by increased product revenue and reduced R&D expenses. Looking ahead, Zai Lab is poised for continued growth with a revised revenue guidance of at least $460 million for the full year 2025, supported by its robust pipeline and expanding commercial operations.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Zai Lab Secures RMB300 Million Debt Facility
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Zai Lab Limited secured a debt facility with Industrial Bank Co., Ltd. to access RMB-denominated capital, enhancing its working capital in China. The agreement includes a guarantee for loans up to RMB300 million for its subsidiary, Zai Lab Shanghai, with a revolving credit facility available until May 5, 2026. This strategic move aims to strengthen Zai Lab’s financial flexibility and support its operations in the competitive biopharmaceutical market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZLAB) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zai Lab stock, see the ZLAB Stock Forecast page.

Zai Lab Ltd’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Profitability Path
Aug 13, 2025

Zai Lab Ltd’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscored by notable revenue growth and strategic advancements in its pipeline. The company demonstrated a clear trajectory towards profitability, despite challenges such as ZEJULA’s performance and supply constraints for XACDURO. The strong performance of VYVGART emerged as a key growth driver, promising a bright future for the company.

Zai Lab Reports Growth and Strategic Progress in Q2 2025
Aug 8, 2025

Zai Lab Limited is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative treatments in oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and infectious diseases, with operations in China and the United States.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025