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Krystal Biotech (KRYS)
NASDAQ:KRYS

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) AI Stock Analysis

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KRYS

Krystal Biotech

(NASDAQ:KRYS)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$282.00
▲(13.29% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins, minimal leverage) and favorable technical trend (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). Earnings updates and recent corporate milestones add support via strong VYJUVEK execution and encouraging pipeline progress, while a premium valuation (P/E ~36.95) and recent free-cash-flow growth decline temper the upside.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained, very high margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure typical for approved rare-disease gene therapies. Strong gross and net margins support continued R&D and commercial investment, improve cash generation potential, and provide buffer versus commercialization scaling risks.
Strong Balance Sheet & Cash
A large cash position combined with minimal leverage materially reduces financing risk and funds ongoing commercial scale-up and multiple registrational programs. This provides durable optionality to invest in international launches, platform trials, and manufacturing without near-term capital raises.
Regulatory Platform Designation
Platform designation can materially streamline development and regulatory interactions across multiple programs, accelerating timelines and lowering marginal regulatory burden. That structural regulatory benefit can reduce time and cost to market for follow-on gene therapies, improving program economics.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A sustained decline in free cash flow growth weakens internal funding capacity for pipeline and commercialization. Even with strong operating conversion ratios, negative FCF trends can force slower program pacing or future financings, reducing financial flexibility during critical multi-program development.
International Margin Risk
Manufacturing processes driving very high U.S. margins are not yet approved internationally, creating a structural risk as revenue mix shifts abroad. Lower margins on international sales could erode consolidated profitability and cash generation as global launches scale over months to years.
Long Path to Full Penetration
Achieving high penetration in a rare-disease market requires sustained prescriber adoption, reimbursement expansion, and patient identification. The multi-year adoption curve makes revenue ramp sensitive to execution, and delays in penetration slow durable cash flow and return on commercialization investments.

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Krystal Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKrystal Biotech, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, engages in the field of redosable gene therapy to treat serious rare diseases in the United States. Its lead product candidate is beremagene geperpavec (B-VEC), which is in Phase III clinical study to treat dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa. The company is also involved in developing KB105 that is in Phase I/II clinical study for treating patients with deficient autosomal recessive congenital ichthyosis; KB301, which is in Phase I/II clinical stage for treating wrinkles and other presentations of aged or damaged skin; KB407 that is in preclinical stage for cystic fibrosis; and KB104, which is in preclinical stage for netherton syndrome. Its discovery stage product candidates include KB5xx for treating chronic skin diseases, KB3xx to treat aesthetic skin conditions, and KB3xx product. Krystal Biotech, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyKrystal Biotech generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its gene therapy products. This includes product sales from approved therapies, which can be substantial given the high demand for effective treatments in rare diseases. Additionally, the company may enter into strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical companies or research institutions to develop and market its products, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on future sales. The ongoing development of new therapies and potential expansions into additional markets also contribute to their revenue streams.

Krystal Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Krystal Biotech demonstrated strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and successful international expansion. However, challenges remain in achieving full market penetration and optimizing margins globally.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
VYJUVEK Revenue Growth
Net VYJUVEK revenue for Q3 was $97.8 million, contributing to a total of over $623 million since launch. Gross margins were 96% for the quarter.
International Expansion Success
VYJUVEK launched in Germany, France, and Japan, with successful pricing negotiations in Japan. The launch in Germany saw prescriptions from over 10 centers.
FDA Label Update for VYJUVEK
The FDA approved an updated VYJUVEK label, expanding the eligible patient population to DEB patients from birth and providing dosing flexibility.
Strong Financial Position
The company ended the quarter with over $864 million in cash and investments, maintaining a strong balance sheet to support commercial and pipeline activities.
Platform Therapy Designation
The FDA granted a platform therapy designation for the HSV-1 gene delivery platform, potentially accelerating approval pathways for programs like KB801.
Negative Updates
Temporary U.S. Revenue Decline
U.S. sales were lower in Q3 compared to Q2, although the overall revenue still grew due to international sales.
Gross Margin Challenges Outside U.S.
While U.S. gross margins benefited from manufacturing optimizations, these processes are not yet approved outside the U.S., potentially affecting future margins.
Long Path to Full Market Penetration
Despite progress, the company is still working towards achieving a 60% market penetration for VYJUVEK in the U.S.
Company Guidance
During the Krystal Biotech third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a robust set of metrics reflecting its strong financial and operational performance. Net VYJUVEK revenue for the quarter reached $97.8 million, contributing to a total of over $623 million since launch. The company reported impressive gross margins of 96%, driven by process optimizations in U.S. manufacturing. In the U.S., the number of reimbursement approvals surged by over 40 since the last quarter, totaling more than 615 approvals, while the number of prescribers exceeded 450. Internationally, VYJUVEK's launch in Germany, France, and Japan is progressing well, with the product prescribed to approximately 20 patients in Germany alone. The company also highlighted the FDA's approval of an updated VYJUVEK label, expanding patient eligibility and enhancing dosing flexibility. Looking forward, Krystal Biotech is accelerating its pipeline enrollment and anticipates multiple readouts, including a cystic fibrosis program update before year-end. The company's balance sheet remains robust with over $864 million in cash and investments, positioning it well for future growth.

Krystal Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Krystal Biotech demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is robust with minimal leverage, enhancing financial stability. While cash flow metrics show some decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains strong cash generation capabilities. Overall, the financial statements reflect a company on a positive growth trajectory with solid operational and financial management.
Income Statement
Krystal Biotech has shown impressive revenue growth with a 3.89% increase in TTM, following a 4.73% growth in the previous year. The company maintains strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 68.78% and a net profit margin of 53.30%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 33.32% and 45.67%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the company has transitioned from negative EBIT in earlier years, reflecting a significant turnaround in profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is strong with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0015 in TTM, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) has improved significantly to 19.36% in TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, reflecting a solid capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 10.71% in TTM, which could be a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.93, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.94, suggesting that the company is effectively converting its earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue373.16M290.51M50.70M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit350.36M270.45M47.60M0.000.00-1.85M
EBITDA171.17M109.91M-91.32M-116.81M-66.23M-30.32M
Net Income198.91M89.16M10.93M-139.97M-69.57M-32.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.06B818.36M558.45M626.29M310.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments731.07M597.52M532.18M379.17M438.10M271.26M
Total Debt9.51M7.26M8.09M8.93M8.02M11.55M
Total Liabilities102.22M109.46M39.71M36.22M32.72M18.76M
Stockholders Equity1.14B946.38M778.64M522.23M593.58M292.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow165.59M119.18M-100.60M-153.55M-116.27M-40.93M
Operating Cash Flow176.20M123.42M-88.80M-100.57M-47.94M-26.08M
Investing Cash Flow-153.36M-163.44M82.64M-114.08M-226.77M-11.18M
Financing Cash Flow-4.53M27.01M202.75M35.35M347.69M118.02M

Krystal Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price248.91
Price Trends
50DMA
223.22
Positive
100DMA
194.53
Positive
200DMA
171.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.21
Positive
RSI
62.41
Neutral
STOCH
41.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRYS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 248.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 245.67, above the 50-day MA of 223.22, and above the 200-day MA of 171.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KRYS.

Krystal Biotech Risk Analysis

Krystal Biotech disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Krystal Biotech reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Krystal Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$7.22B37.3319.66%54.51%275.94%
72
Outperform
$4.89B14.6422.35%1.08%3.40%
68
Neutral
$6.17B8.9897.54%
55
Neutral
$1.02B-4.31-54.17%-157.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
40
Underperform
$5.37B-25.33%-81.10%-99.21%
40
Underperform
$3.72B-16.41-47.18%-76.96%-425.41%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
248.91
98.60
65.60%
ALKS
Alkermes
29.60
1.25
4.41%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
76.85
32.80
74.46%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
56.40
17.55
45.17%
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
14.34
-30.92
-68.32%
ACLX
Arcellx Inc
64.31
-3.05
-4.53%

Krystal Biotech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Krystal Biotech advances KB407 with positive CF trial data
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Krystal Biotech reported positive interim results from the highest-dose cohort of its Phase 1 CORAL-1 study of KB407 in cystic fibrosis patients, confirming successful delivery and expression of wild-type CFTR protein in conducting airway cells via inhalation across both modulator-eligible and modulator-ineligible patients, with 29.4% to 42.1% of conducting airway cells transduced in those with successful bronchoscopies and all suitable biopsies showing CFTR or viral marker expression. KB407 was generally well tolerated at the highest dose, with adverse events mostly mild to moderate and one procedure-related serious adverse event resolving within five days, and, on the back of these molecular and safety findings, Krystal has submitted the design of its repeat-dosing, registrational-intent CORAL-3 study to the FDA, targeting alignment on the protocol in early 2026 and enrollment beginning in the first half of 2026, a step that could significantly advance its competitive position in CF gene therapy and offer a potential disease-modifying option for patients who cannot benefit from current modulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $309.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Krystal Biotech announces resignation of longtime board member
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Krystal Biotech announced that board member Kirti Ganorkar had submitted his resignation from the company’s Board of Directors, effective December 31, 2025. Ganorkar, who has served on the board since Krystal’s public listing in September 2017, is stepping down due to time constraints following his recent promotion to Managing Director at Sun Pharma, with the company emphasizing that his departure is not related to any disagreement over its operations, policies, or practices and publicly thanking him for his years of service and contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $278.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Krystal Biotech Launches VYJUVEK® in Japan
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Krystal Biotech‘s subsidiary in Japan launched VYJUVEK® for treating dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa, following its inclusion in Japan’s National Health Insurance Drug Price List. This marks a significant step in Krystal Biotech’s expansion into the Japanese market, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and offering new treatment options for patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026