tiprankstipranks
Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS)
NASDAQ:KRYS
Want to see KRYS full AI Analyst Report?

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) AI Stock Analysis

678 Followers

Top Page

KRYS

Krystal Biotech

(NASDAQ:KRYS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 84 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
$343.00
▲(25.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
KRYS scores highly due to strong profitability and cash generation with minimal leverage, reinforced by a constructive technical uptrend. The score is moderated by a relatively high P/E valuation and execution/visibility risks highlighted on the earnings call (quarter-to-quarter revenue predictability and Europe pricing/regulatory timing).
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Krystal's very high gross and operating margins reflect strong unit economics from its HSV-1 vector and manufacturing efficiency. Sustained margin levels support durable cash flow generation and reinvestment capacity, underpinning long-term earnings quality and runway for pipeline funding.
Negative Factors
Quarterly revenue predictability
Patient insurance transitions and maintenance dosing patterns produce recurring quarter-to-quarter volatility in reported revenue. This structural cadence complicates forecasting, budgeting, and resource allocation, increasing execution risk for multi-quarter commercialization and planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability and margins
Krystal's very high gross and operating margins reflect strong unit economics from its HSV-1 vector and manufacturing efficiency. Sustained margin levels support durable cash flow generation and reinvestment capacity, underpinning long-term earnings quality and runway for pipeline funding.
Read all positive factors

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Krystal Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Krystal Biotech, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, engages in the field of redosable gene therapy to treat serious rare diseases in the United States. Its lead product candidate is beremagene geperpavec (B-VEC), which is in Phase III c...
How the Company Makes Money
Krystal Biotech primarily makes money from net product revenue generated by sales of VYJUVEK for the treatment of dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa. Revenue is driven by commercialization activities such as pricing/reimbursement, distribution to tr...

Krystal Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong commercial momentum, robust profitability, a growing international launch and a busy clinical pipeline with multiple near-term readouts and regulatory designations — balanced by operational challenges including insurance switchovers, start-stop treatment dynamics, rising G&A, certain program-specific regulatory/timing requirements, and ongoing European pricing negotiations. Overall the positives (revenue growth, high gross margin, strong cash position, multiple upcoming data readouts and regulatory designations) materially outweigh the operational and timing headwinds described.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarter Revenue and Growth
Global net revenue for VYJUVEK was $116.4 million in Q1 2026, representing 9% sequential growth versus Q4 2025 and a 32% increase versus Q1 2025; cumulative net VYJUVEK revenue since launch exceeded $846 million.
Negative Updates
Insurance Switchovers and Start‑Stop Treatment Cadence
Q1 revenue was impacted by a higher-than-usual level of insurance changes and start-stop treatment cadence as patients transition to maintenance regimens, creating quarter-to-quarter revenue unpredictability and access frictions.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarter Revenue and Growth
Global net revenue for VYJUVEK was $116.4 million in Q1 2026, representing 9% sequential growth versus Q4 2025 and a 32% increase versus Q1 2025; cumulative net VYJUVEK revenue since launch exceeded $846 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Krystal reiterated guidance for 2026 non‑GAAP R&D and SG&A of approximately $175 million to $195 million and highlighted a busy clinical and commercial year: Q1 net revenue was $116.4 million (U.S. $87.5M; Europe + Japan $28.9M), up 9% sequentially vs. 4Q25 and 32% year‑over‑year vs. Q1 2025, bringing cumulative VYJUVEK revenue to >$846M; gross margin was 95% (COGS $6.3M), R&D expense $15.3M, G&A $41.0M, noncash stock‑comp $13.6M, net income $55.9M (EPS $1.91 basic / $1.83 diluted), and cash & investments exceed $1 billion. Management expects two registrational readouts this year (and two more in 2027), up to six potential data readouts before year‑end (including KB803 with enrollment complete at 16 patients and a Q4 readout; KB801 ~60‑patient readout later this year; KB807/KB111 repeat‑dose readouts later this year; KB407 5‑patient 24‑week repeat‑dose dosing starting this month with data by year‑end), regulatory milestones (Germany decision H2 2026; France in 2027; potential Italy/Spain launches in H2 2026 pending negotiations), and commercial traction (U.S. 695 reimbursement approvals, >60 new prescribers in Q1 and 570 unique prescribers since launch; >140 DDEB patients prescribed in Germany/Japan/France), with management noting roughly 60% market share among ~1,200 identified patients.

Krystal Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong current financial profile: high gross margin (~93–95%), strong operating profitability (TTM EBIT margin ~41%) and net profitability (TTM net margin ~53%), solid free cash flow generation (TTM FCF ~$237M) and very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.8%). Main offset is durability risk given historical volatility (losses/negative cash flow in 2021–2023) and slowing annual growth in 2025.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue417.30M389.13M290.51M50.70M0.000.00
Gross Profit387.24M360.36M270.45M47.60M0.000.00
EBITDA185.45M167.85M109.91M-91.32M-116.81M-66.23M
Net Income225.03M204.83M89.16M10.93M-139.97M-69.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.33B1.06B818.36M558.45M626.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments823.40M827.79M597.52M532.18M379.17M438.10M
Total Debt1.80M9.34M7.26M8.09M8.93M8.02M
Total Liabilities120.24M114.23M109.46M39.71M36.22M32.72M
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.22B946.38M778.64M522.23M593.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow237.38M188.91M119.18M-100.60M-153.55M-116.27M
Operating Cash Flow250.28M200.87M123.42M-88.80M-100.57M-47.94M
Investing Cash Flow-67.23M-58.42M-163.44M82.64M-114.08M-226.77M
Financing Cash Flow10.71M8.71M27.01M202.75M35.35M347.69M

Krystal Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price274.21
Price Trends
50DMA
272.96
Positive
100DMA
271.05
Positive
200DMA
229.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.75
Positive
RSI
56.63
Neutral
STOCH
47.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRYS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 274.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 292.12, above the 50-day MA of 272.96, and above the 200-day MA of 229.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KRYS.

Krystal Biotech Risk Analysis

Krystal Biotech disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Krystal Biotech reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Krystal Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$8.83B33.8219.25%25.15%79.56%
64
Neutral
$6.13B-22.108.82%3.21%-56.86%
56
Neutral
$5.71B-500.3799.84%-53.34%-130.87%
54
Neutral
$1.34B-4.76-85.61%-68.11%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$4.86B-9.29-30.88%-89.11%-37.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
299.45
174.40
139.46%
ALKS
Alkermes
36.80
7.45
25.38%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
68.81
22.88
49.81%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
50.36
13.50
36.63%
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
18.19
-20.39
-52.85%

Krystal Biotech Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Krystal Biotech Shareholders Approve Directors and Compensation
Positive
May 20, 2026
At its May 15, 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, Krystal Biotech shareholders re-elected Krish S. Krishnan and Christopher Mason as Class III directors to new three-year terms, reinforcing continuity on the company’s board. Investors also...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 21, 2026