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Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)
NASDAQ:PTGX

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) AI Stock Analysis

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Protagonist Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:PTGX)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(6.53%Upside)
Protagonist Therapeutics' overall score is driven by a mix of financial performance and technical analysis. The positive trend in stock price is offset by financial instability, high valuation metrics, and the absence of consistent revenue growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Benefits
PTGX remains eligible for significant financial benefits, including an opt-out payment and milestone payments, after the NDA filing for rusfertide.
Product Differentiation
PTGX nominated PN-477, a GLP1/GIP/GCG agonist, for obesity treatment, potentially offering improved GI tolerability and weight loss quality compared to competitors.
Product Potency
PN-477 displays higher potency for GGG compared to semaglutide, tirzepatide, and retatrutide in human in vitro assays.
Negative Factors
Clinical Trial Risks
Key downside risks include rusfertide’s durability of response in the pivotal VERIFY and unexpected safety signals in clinical trials.
Development Stage Risk
Protagonist is unlikely to get any meaningful credit for the asset given the stage of development, but successful development progress or an announced partnership could drive upside to the current valuation.

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Protagonist Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProtagonist Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops peptide-based therapeutic drugs to address hematology and blood disorders, and inflammatory and immunomodulatory diseases. It is developing rusfertide (PTG-300), an injectable hepcidin mimetic that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of patients with polycythemia vera and hereditary hemochromatosis, as well as for the treatment of other blood disorders; PN-943, an oral, alpha-4-beta-7 integrin- specific antagonist peptide that is in Phase II clinical trials for treating inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); and PN-235, an orally delivered interleukin-23 receptor specific antagonist for the treatment of IBD and non-IBD indications. The company has a license and collaboration agreement with Janssen Biotech, Inc. Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Newark, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyProtagonist Therapeutics primarily makes money through the development and commercialization of its peptide-based therapeutics. The company generates revenue through partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies, which may involve licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties from the sales of successfully developed products. Additionally, Protagonist Therapeutics may receive funding from research grants and government initiatives aimed at supporting innovative drug development. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the successful progression of its drug candidates through clinical trials and their eventual approval and commercialization in the market.

Protagonist Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Protagonist Therapeutics shows a mixed financial picture with improved profitability and cash flow management. However, the lack of consistent revenue growth and past financial instability are concerns. The company has a strong equity position but needs to stabilize revenue streams.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Protagonist Therapeutics has experienced significant fluctuations in its revenue, with a notable decline to zero in the most recent year, indicating potential instability in its business operations. The net profit margin is currently positive due to a reversal in earnings, but the lack of consistent revenue growth is a concern. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, suggesting better cost management.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a strong equity position with a positive stockholders' equity and a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The equity ratio suggests a healthy proportion of assets funded by equity rather than debt. However, the industry-standard high liabilities in previous years suggest a history of financial risk.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Protagonist Therapeutics shows positive free cash flow and an improved operating cash flow, indicating better cash management. However, the volatility in free cash flow growth suggests potential cash flow instability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue207.80M434.43M60.00M26.58M27.36M28.63M
Gross Profit206.31M431.47M60.00M25.55M24.58M28.63M
EBITDA28.65M252.84M-90.34M-131.37M-123.07M-63.66M
Net Income56.19M275.19M-78.95M-123.41M-122.63M-66.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets742.13M744.73M357.95M247.93M347.69M324.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments574.36M418.91M341.62M237.35M326.90M307.81M
Total Debt11.36M10.87M1.14M3.66M5.86M5.96M
Total Liabilities53.08M69.43M21.27M784.68M47.67M44.86M
Stockholders Equity689.05M675.29M336.68M-536.75M-409.36M-283.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow335.29M182.80M-70.84M-108.93M-108.97M-72.95M
Operating Cash Flow336.94M184.15M-70.24M-108.14M-107.86M-72.48M
Investing Cash Flow-399.96M-299.48M-39.26M91.47M-15.86M-90.97M
Financing Cash Flow30.10M25.85M170.48M18.84M129.92M247.63M

Protagonist Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price50.69
Price Trends
50DMA
48.99
Positive
100DMA
46.83
Positive
200DMA
44.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Positive
RSI
44.36
Neutral
STOCH
25.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PTGX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 50.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.27, above the 50-day MA of 48.99, and above the 200-day MA of 44.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PTGX.

Protagonist Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Protagonist Therapeutics disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Protagonist Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Protagonist Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.57B15.4637.24%22.42%
65
Neutral
$3.92B-58.66%42.77%-51.27%
64
Neutral
€7.37B21.020.61%1.92%1.18%-29.88%
64
Neutral
$4.19B-19.71%-86.13%-67.29%
60
Neutral
$3.11B66.648.99%-34.02%-65.83%
53
Neutral
$3.00B-14.40%-23.84%
50
Neutral
$3.21B-106.71%-22.34%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PTGX
Protagonist Therapeutics
50.69
16.97
50.33%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
21.24
5.11
31.68%
VKTX
Viking Therapeutics
27.72
-23.55
-45.93%
MRUS
Merus
53.33
-0.01
-0.02%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
51.67
-1.43
-2.69%
SRRK
Scholar Rock Holding
35.55
27.81
359.30%

Protagonist Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Protagonist Therapeutics Stockholders Approve Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

At the Annual Meeting, Protagonist Therapeutics‘ stockholders voted on three key proposals. The first proposal involved electing two Class III directors, Harold E. Selick, Ph.D., and Bryan Giraudo, to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting, both of whom were elected. The second proposal, regarding the approval of executive compensation, was passed. The third proposal, ratifying Ernst & Young LLP as the company’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was also approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (PTGX) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Protagonist Therapeutics stock, see the PTGX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025