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Travere Therapeutics (TVTX)
NASDAQ:TVTX

Travere Therapeutics (TVTX) AI Stock Analysis

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TVTX

Travere Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:TVTX)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(1.42% Upside)
Travere Therapeutics' overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, offset by weak financial performance and valuation concerns. The potential FDA approval for FILSPARI is a significant positive factor, but high leverage and lack of profitability remain critical risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth from FILSPARI indicates robust demand and market penetration, supporting long-term revenue expansion and business sustainability.
Regulatory Advancements
Regulatory advancements enhance product accessibility and safety perception, potentially accelerating market adoption and competitive positioning.
Clinical Trial Success
Successful clinical trials bolster the drug's efficacy profile, improving its market potential and addressing significant unmet medical needs in kidney disorders.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges may hinder long-term financial health and limit resources available for strategic initiatives and R&D investments.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow can constrain operational capabilities and necessitate external financing, potentially affecting strategic flexibility and growth prospects.

Travere Therapeutics (TVTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Travere Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTravere Therapeutics (TVTX) is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for rare diseases. The company primarily operates in the pharmaceutical sector, specializing in treatments for conditions such as kidney diseases and metabolic disorders. Travere's core products include its lead drug candidates aimed at addressing significant unmet medical needs in these areas, leveraging advanced scientific research and clinical development to enhance patient outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyTravere Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, particularly those that have received regulatory approval and are commercially available. The company may also earn income through partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies for co-development and commercialization of drug candidates, which can include milestone payments and royalties. Additionally, government grants and funding from research initiatives may contribute to its revenue streams. The success of Travere's revenue model heavily relies on the efficacy and market acceptance of its therapeutic products, as well as the company's ability to navigate the regulatory landscape effectively.

Travere Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter characterized by significant growth in FILSPARI sales, potential FDA approval for new indications, and successful manufacturing advancements. However, seasonal trends and a competitive market present challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FILSPARI Growth in IgA Nephropathy
FILSPARI net product sales reached approximately $91 million in the third quarter, representing an increase of more than 155% year-over-year, driven by consistent demand and deepening engagement among prescribers.
FDA Approval and Global Expansion Efforts
In August, the FDA approved a modification to the FILSPARI REMS program, simplifying care and reinforcing safety. Additionally, strong progress was made in Europe, the U.K., and Japan with regulatory approvals and trial advancements.
Potential FDA Approval for FSGS
Pending FDA approval, FILSPARI could become the first approved medication for FSGS, offering a transformative opportunity for Travere and addressing a significant unmet medical need.
Progress in Pegtibatinase Manufacturing
Successfully manufactured the first commercial scale batches of pegtibatinase, positioning for the restart of the pivotal HARMONY study in 2026.
Strong Financial Performance
Net income for the third quarter of 2025 was $25.7 million, compared to a net loss in the same period the previous year, showcasing strong financial growth.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Slowdown in New Patient Start Forms
Summer seasonality led to a reduction in the number of new patient start forms compared to previous quarters, despite strong underlying demand.
Uncertainty in Competitive Landscape
While there was no significant negative impact from competitors, ongoing market dynamics with new product launches indicate a competitive environment.
Company Guidance
During the Travere Therapeutics' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, substantial progress was highlighted across multiple fronts. The company achieved approximately $91 million in net product sales for FILSPARI in the third quarter, marking a more than 155% year-over-year increase, driven by robust demand and strong physician adoption. The FDA's modification of the FILSPARI REMS program and its inclusion in the KDIGO guidelines have been pivotal, simplifying monitoring requirements and reinforcing confidence in FILSPARI's safety profile. Internationally, partners like CSL Vifor have expanded access in Europe, resulting in a meaningful market access milestone. In Japan, Renalys completed enrollment for an IgAN trial. Additionally, Travere is preparing for a potential FDA approval for FILSPARI in FSGS, which would position it as the first approved medication for this condition. The company achieved a net income of $25.7 million, with SG&A expenses increasing to $86.5 million due to preparation for the FSGS launch and continued investment in FILSPARI's commercialization.

Travere Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Travere Therapeutics shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but faces significant profitability and leverage challenges. High debt levels and negative cash flows pose financial risks, requiring careful management to achieve sustainable growth and profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Travere Therapeutics shows a strong gross profit margin of 92.69% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company faces challenges with negative net profit and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is positive at 22.06% TTM, suggesting potential for future improvement, but the consistent negative margins highlight profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 12.20 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and challenges in generating shareholder value. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, indicating cash burn. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting that cash outflows are somewhat aligned with accounting losses. The negative free cash flow growth rate of -32.51% TTM highlights increasing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue435.83M233.18M145.24M109.46M131.84M198.32M
Gross Profit425.49M225.43M133.79M105.04M128.02M192.19M
EBITDA-22.58M-265.77M-326.25M-299.42M-184.46M-145.16M
Net Income-88.54M-321.55M-111.40M-278.48M-180.09M-169.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets538.58M594.13M788.91M672.59M776.63M607.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments254.53M370.70M566.85M450.25M552.88M361.59M
Total Debt329.75M401.58M404.78M407.49M261.99M244.03M
Total Liabilities465.02M535.05M588.10M629.73M474.52M396.23M
Stockholders Equity73.56M59.08M200.81M42.85M302.11M211.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.33M-338.69M-321.61M-214.66M-38.94M-162.59M
Operating Cash Flow-58.61M-237.47M-280.02M-186.29M-14.79M-42.74M
Investing Cash Flow52.42M99.33M55.78M-32.55M-137.62M-61.33M
Financing Cash Flow78.97M139.42M218.75M117.57M231.68M127.71M

Travere Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.51
Price Trends
50DMA
32.74
Positive
100DMA
26.86
Positive
200DMA
21.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
51.67
Neutral
STOCH
29.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TVTX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.95, above the 50-day MA of 32.74, and above the 200-day MA of 21.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TVTX.

Travere Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Travere Therapeutics disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Travere Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Travere Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$3.47B-78.36-28.17%129.21%80.35%
60
Neutral
$3.30B-28.35%182.44%47.21%
56
Neutral
$3.03B-31.80-410.78%114.22%77.02%
52
Neutral
$2.44B-2.45-91.06%-32.98%-18.46%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$2.07B-4.25-16.45%
43
Neutral
$3.30B-16.88-34.78%-34.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
34.51
17.33
100.87%
GLPG
Galapagos
32.36
5.60
20.93%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
27.78
12.79
85.32%
IRON
Disc Medicine
80.04
15.54
24.09%
TARS
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
81.40
28.49
53.85%
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
4.26
-1.77
-29.35%

Travere Therapeutics Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FDA Drops Advisory Committee for Travere’s FILSPARI Review
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Travere Therapeutics announced that the FDA has decided an advisory committee is no longer needed for the review of the supplemental New Drug Application for FILSPARI in treating FSGS. The application remains under review with a target action date of January 13, 2026. If approved, FILSPARI would be the first medication indicated for FSGS, a serious kidney disorder. The drug has shown promising results in reducing proteinuria in clinical trials, which is significant for patients as it lowers the risk of kidney failure. The studies supporting FILSPARI’s application demonstrated its efficacy and safety, with results published in the New England Journal of Medicine indicating a meaningful clinical benefit.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025