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Travere Therapeutics (TVTX)
NASDAQ:TVTX
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Travere Therapeutics (TVTX) AI Stock Analysis

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TVTX

Travere Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:TVTX)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▼(-21.51% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/15/26
The score reflects a strong recent catalyst and improving operating momentum (positive cash flow, upbeat earnings call, and FDA approval in FSGS), tempered by materially elevated balance-sheet leverage and still-negative profitability, with valuation constrained by negative earnings. Technicals are supportive but not strongly bullish given the stock remains below the 100-day average.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Expansion
FDA approval for FILSPARI in FSGS is a durable structural milestone: it materially broadens the labeled patient population and establishes first‑mover status in an indication that previously had no approved therapy. That expands recurring prescription demand, strengthens pricing leverage with payers, and meaningfully enlarges the long‑run revenue base and clinical credibility versus being IgAN‑only.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Material leverage is a persistent structural constraint: high debt relative to equity limits financial flexibility, increases interest and covenant risk, and leaves less room to absorb setbacks. If revenue growth or margin expansion stalls, servicing and refinancing that debt could force spending cuts, asset sales, or dilutive capital raises, pressuring long‑term strategic optionality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulatory Expansion
FDA approval for FILSPARI in FSGS is a durable structural milestone: it materially broadens the labeled patient population and establishes first‑mover status in an indication that previously had no approved therapy. That expands recurring prescription demand, strengthens pricing leverage with payers, and meaningfully enlarges the long‑run revenue base and clinical credibility versus being IgAN‑only.
Read all positive factors

Travere Therapeutics (TVTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Travere Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Travere Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, development, commercialization, and delivering of therapies for the treatment of rare diseases. Its marketed products include Chenodal, a synthetic oral form o...
How the Company Makes Money
Travere Therapeutics makes money primarily by selling its commercial prescription medicines in markets where it has commercialization rights. The largest revenue stream is product revenue from FILSPARI (sparsentan), generated through U.S. sales to...

Travere Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong commercial momentum for FILSPARI with record demand, significant year-over-year revenue growth (FILSPARI +144% FY2025) and improved profitability/non-GAAP earnings, supported by a solid cash position and tangible pipeline progress (FSGS sNDA under review and pegtibatinase Phase III reactivation). Offsetting risks include an FDA information-request-driven delay to the FSGS PDUFA date, materially higher SG&A and rising gross-to-net discounts that will modestly compress near-term revenue and margins, and the emergence of new competitive entrants in IgAN. Overall, the positive operational and financial developments outweigh the challenges, but the regulatory timing and higher investment profile warrant continued monitoring.
Positive Updates
Record Demand and New Patient Starts
908 new patient start forms for FILSPARI in Q4 2025 (record quarter) with continued strong demand into Q1 2026; growth driven by both new prescribers and increased use among established prescribers, with broader community adoption.
Negative Updates
FDA Information Requests and PDUFA Delay
FDA issued a major amendment and additional information requests to the FILSPARI FSGS sNDA, shifting the review timeline and resulting in a new PDUFA target action date of April 13, 2026 — introducing regulatory timing risk and uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Demand and New Patient Starts
908 new patient start forms for FILSPARI in Q4 2025 (record quarter) with continued strong demand into Q1 2026; growth driven by both new prescribers and increased use among established prescribers, with broader community adoption.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated key near‑term milestones and financial expectations: the FILSPARI FSGS sNDA now has a PDUFA target action date of April 13, 2026; Q4 demand totaled 908 new patient start forms with FILSPARI U.S. net product sales of ~$103.3M in Q4 and ~$322M for FY2025 (144% YoY), contributing to company U.S. net product sales of $126.6M in Q4 and $410.5M for FY2025 (Thiola/Thiola EC $23.3M Q4 / $88.5M FY; license & collaboration revenue $3.1M Q4 / $80.3M FY); cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were ~$322.8M at 12/31/25 (including a $40M CSL milestone and ~ $10M from Renalys), and net income for Q4 was $2.7M ($0.03/sh) with non‑GAAP net income $33.3M ($0.37/sh). For 2026 they expect FILSPARI gross‑to‑net to increase modestly to the mid‑20% range (up from ~20% in 2025) with the largest discount in Q1, moderate operating expense growth to fund the restarted Phase III HARMONY (pegtibatinase) trial and supply (HARMONY designed to enroll ~70 patients, 24‑week double‑blind primary endpoint measuring mean plasma total homocysteine change weeks 6–12), continued evidence generation and commercial investment (field force expanded from ~80 to >100), no near‑term need for additional capital, and they highlighted clinical metrics including PROTECT eGFR benefits (1.8 mL at 1 year and 3.7 mL at 2 years vs max‑dose irbesartan; total eGFR slope benefit 1.2 mL/min/yr), COMPOSE pegtibatinase tHcy reductions (~67% in Phase I/II), that ~2/3 of the addressable IgAN population have proteinuria <1.5 g/g, and that complete remission <0.3 g/day (80% on FILSPARI in a secondary analysis) was associated with an annual eGFR decline <1 mL/min/yr.

Travere Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show improvement but remain mixed. Income statement trends improved with accelerating revenue growth (+12.6% in 2025) and better execution, but profitability is still negative (2025 net loss ~$26M; negative EBITDA margin). Cash flow was a major positive with positive operating and free cash flow (~$38M) after prior-year burn, but durability is not yet proven and cash flow coverage remains limited (~0.24). Balance sheet risk is the key drag due to high leverage (~$329M debt vs ~$115M equity; ~2.9x debt-to-equity) and negative returns on equity.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue490.73M233.18M145.24M109.46M131.84M
Gross Profit419.65M225.43M133.79M105.04M128.02M
EBITDA22.22M-265.77M-326.25M-299.42M-184.46M
Net Income-50.26M-321.55M-111.40M-278.48M-180.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets605.19M594.13M788.91M672.59M776.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments322.80M370.70M566.85M450.25M552.88M
Total Debt328.73M401.58M404.78M407.49M261.99M
Total Liabilities490.36M535.05M588.10M629.73M474.52M
Stockholders Equity114.83M59.08M200.81M42.85M302.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.78M-338.69M-321.61M-214.66M-38.94M
Operating Cash Flow37.78M-237.47M-280.02M-186.29M-14.79M
Investing Cash Flow27.89M99.33M55.78M-32.55M-137.62M
Financing Cash Flow-33.47M139.42M218.75M117.57M231.68M

Travere Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.77
Price Trends
50DMA
30.01
Positive
100DMA
32.01
Positive
200DMA
27.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.77
Negative
RSI
70.17
Negative
STOCH
80.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TVTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.65, above the 50-day MA of 30.01, and above the 200-day MA of 27.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.17 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TVTX.

Travere Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Travere Therapeutics disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Travere Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Travere Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.90B0.5911.16%
63
Neutral
$2.84B-228.91-10.26%129.21%80.35%
62
Neutral
$2.59B-51.51-19.63%182.44%47.21%
56
Neutral
$3.77B-67.82-79.16%114.22%77.02%
52
Neutral
$1.85B-2.84-63.98%-32.98%-18.46%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
43
Neutral
$2.61B-13.21-32.80%-34.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
40.82
23.19
131.54%
GLPG
Galapagos
28.68
2.19
8.27%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
22.86
8.14
55.30%
IRON
Disc Medicine
68.32
22.15
47.97%
TARS
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
60.97
11.00
22.01%
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
3.50
-2.25
-39.13%

Travere Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Travere Wins FDA Approval for FILSPARI in FSGS
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
On April 13, 2026, Travere Therapeutics announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved FILSPARI (sparsentan) to reduce proteinuria in adults and children aged 8 and older with focal segmental glomerulosclerosis without nephrotic syn...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 15, 2026