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CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON)
NASDAQ:CGON
US Market
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CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON) AI Stock Analysis

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CGON

CG Oncology, Inc.

(NASDAQ:CGON)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▼(-0.48% Downside)
CG Oncology, Inc. shows potential due to promising clinical trial results and strong technical momentum. However, financial challenges and reliance on external funding present risks. The company's future success hinges on its ability to commercialize its drug pipeline and achieve revenue growth.
Positive Factors
Promising Clinical Trial Results
The successful Phase 3 trial results for cretostimogene grenadenorepvec indicate strong potential for regulatory approval and market entry, which could significantly enhance the company's revenue prospects and competitive position in the bladder cancer treatment market.
Strong Equity Position
A strong equity base relative to total assets provides financial stability, allowing the company to withstand operational challenges and invest in growth opportunities without immediate pressure from debt obligations.
Market Opportunity in Bladder Cancer
The potential to enter the non-muscle invasive bladder cancer market with a promising drug candidate positions CG Oncology to capture significant market share, driving long-term revenue growth and enhancing its competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
The absence of revenue and ongoing operating losses highlight financial vulnerabilities typical of early-stage biotech firms, potentially limiting the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in R&D without additional funding.
Reliance on External Funding
Dependence on external financing poses risks if capital markets become less favorable, which could constrain the company's ability to fund its pipeline development and delay commercialization efforts.
Leadership Instability
The recent CFO resignation and interim appointment may lead to strategic and operational uncertainties, affecting investor confidence and potentially disrupting financial planning and execution.

CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CG Oncology, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCG Oncology, Inc. (CGON) is a biotechnology company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for the treatment of urologic cancers. The company is dedicated to addressing unmet medical needs by advancing its proprietary oncolytic immunotherapy platform, which utilizes genetically modified viruses to selectively replicate within and destroy cancer cells while sparing normal tissue. CG Oncology's pipeline includes lead product candidates targeting bladder cancer and other solid tumors.
How the Company Makes MoneyCG Oncology, Inc. makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary oncolytic immunotherapy treatments. The company's revenue model includes the potential for milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships may involve collaborative research and development agreements or licensing agreements for the distribution and marketing of CG Oncology's therapies. Additionally, the company may pursue direct commercialization of its products, subject to successful clinical trials and regulatory approval, to generate revenue through product sales.

CG Oncology, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CG Oncology, Inc. is facing financial challenges typical of early-stage biotechnology firms, with no current revenue and significant operating losses. The strong equity position and cash reserves provide some stability, but the reliance on external funding indicates potential risks if capital markets shift. The company’s focus should be on achieving revenue growth and improving operational efficiencies to sustain long-term viability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
CG Oncology, Inc. reported zero revenue in the latest year, indicating challenges in generating income. The company has experienced consistent losses with deteriorating EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies and potential barriers in monetizing its biotechnology developments.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's strong equity base relative to total assets, demonstrated by a high equity ratio, provides a solid financial foundation. However, the minimal debt levels and high cash reserves suggest limited leverage but also an underutilization of potential financing for growth.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The negative free cash flow and significant negative operating cash flow highlight ongoing cash burn issues. Despite substantial financing inflows, the company is heavily reliant on external funding for operations, which could pose risks if such funding diminishes.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue551.00K1.14M204.00K191.00K10.36M
Gross Profit395.00K1.14M204.00K176.00K10.35M
EBITDA-157.24M-114.63M-55.43M-35.23M-12.38M
Net Income-86.66M-88.04M-48.61M-35.44M-12.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets701.45M754.80M199.30M147.75M58.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments661.05M742.00M187.67M143.48M53.61M
Total Debt994.00K238.00K461.00K15.94M15.13M
Total Liabilities31.09M21.42M14.51M22.57M18.44M
Stockholders Equity670.36M733.38M184.79M125.18M40.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-94.06M-78.95M-45.68M-29.82M-13.75M
Operating Cash Flow-93.82M-78.71M-45.68M-29.80M-13.65M
Investing Cash Flow-142.45M-300.76M-121.19M-55.35M-97.00K
Financing Cash Flow225.74M628.28M87.00M119.69M15.45M

CG Oncology, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.16
Price Trends
50DMA
27.20
Positive
100DMA
26.38
Positive
200DMA
27.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.01
Negative
RSI
72.42
Negative
STOCH
84.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CGON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.79, above the 50-day MA of 27.20, and above the 200-day MA of 27.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.42 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CGON.

CG Oncology, Inc. Risk Analysis

CG Oncology, Inc. disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CG Oncology, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CG Oncology, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.53B-20.95%
58
Neutral
$2.12B-57.33%99.50%65.91%
55
Neutral
$6.69B3.58-15.92%6.09%10.91%8.39%
51
Neutral
$2.18B-35.09%-41.48%-73.55%
50
Neutral
$2.01B-41.94%-82.90%-155.64%
43
Neutral
$2.10B-26.36%-22.19%
37
Underperform
$1.79B-107.55%2.25%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CGON
CG Oncology, Inc.
33.16
-1.64
-4.71%
COGT
Cogent Biosciences
12.66
2.03
19.10%
IDYA
IDEAYA Biosciences
24.61
-12.85
-34.30%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
17.29
6.63
62.20%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
20.60
-5.70
-21.67%
IRON
Disc Medicine
60.29
12.50
26.16%

CG Oncology, Inc. Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CG Oncology Highlights Drug Potential at Healthcare Conference
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

CG Oncology, Inc. presented an updated corporate presentation at the 23rd Annual Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference on September 9, 2025, highlighting the potential of their investigational drug, cretostimogene grenadenorepvec, in treating bladder cancer. The presentation emphasized promising clinical trial results, including high response rates and a favorable safety profile, positioning the company to capitalize on a multi-billion dollar market opportunity in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC).

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CG Oncology Announces Promising Phase 3 Trial Results
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

On September 5, 2025, CG Oncology announced updated data from its Phase 3 BOND-003 Cohort C trial, showing a 24-month complete response rate of 41.8% for cretostimogene monotherapy in high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer patients unresponsive to BCG treatment. The trial demonstrated strong durability and tolerability, with no severe treatment-related adverse events reported, and 96.6% of patients were free from progression to muscle invasive disease at 24 months. The company plans to submit a Biologics License Application for cretostimogene in the fourth quarter of 2025, positioning it as a potential breakthrough treatment in this patient population.

Executive/Board Changes
CG Oncology Appoints Interim CFO After Resignation
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

CG Oncology, Inc. announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Corleen Roche, has resigned, with her departure effective on August 5, 2025. The company has appointed Robert Lapetina as the interim principal financial and accounting officer, effective the same date, until a permanent replacement is found.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025