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Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc (ARQT)
:ARQT
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Arcutis Biotherapeutics (ARQT) AI Stock Analysis

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Arcutis Biotherapeutics

(NASDAQ:ARQT)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▼(-1.16%Downside)
Arcutis Biotherapeutics' overall score is driven by strong revenue growth and positive strategic developments, offset by ongoing profitability and liquidity challenges. Technical indicators and corporate events provide moderate support to the stock's rating, while valuation concerns due to negative earnings weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Product Approval and Expansion
FDA approves Zoryve Foam 0.3% in scalp and body plaque psoriasis in adults and adolescents ages 12 and older.
Product Differentiation
Zoryve cream and foam offer one treatment for all body parts from head to toe for long periods of time—a unique advantage that patients and dermatologists would welcome.
Product Efficacy
Zoryve has been establishing leadership based on its rapid onset of action, tolerability, and versatility.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Commercial success is not assured since dermatology remains a highly competitive segment of the market.
Market Impact from New Therapies
The market for topical agents like Zoryve could be negatively impacted by the development of targeted oral therapies.
Product Concentration Risk
Zoryve is the company's only commercial asset, presenting a product concentration risk.

Arcutis Biotherapeutics (ARQT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and commercializing innovative dermatological therapies. The company focuses on creating treatments for immune-mediated dermatological diseases and conditions. Arcutis's core products include topical creams and ointments designed to address conditions such as psoriasis and eczema, aiming to improve patient outcomes through advanced drug formulations.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcutis Biotherapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dermatological products. The company's revenue model is centered around the commercialization of its proprietary topical treatments. Key revenue streams include sales from both prescription products and potential collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. Significant factors contributing to its earnings are the successful development and market penetration of its products, ongoing clinical trials that expand its product line, and strategic partnerships that enhance distribution and market reach.

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Arcutis with significant revenue growth and positive developments in their pipeline and market expansion. However, there are challenges related to increased SG&A expenses and typical first-quarter revenue declines. The overall sentiment is bolstered by the strategic management of IP and positive prescription trends despite seasonal challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Arcutis reported first-quarter revenues of $63.8 million, reflecting a 196% growth year-over-year and nearly doubling revenues, excluding a previous non-recurring adjustment.
ZORYVE Demand Growth
Despite typical Q1 headwinds, ZORYVE prescription demand grew 10% compared to Q4 2024, demonstrating robust market presence.
Expansion in Insurance Coverage
Approximately 80% of ZORYVE prescriptions are reimbursed, reflecting strong insurance coverage across the portfolio.
Pipeline Progress
Anticipated upcoming approvals for ZORYVE foam for scalp and body psoriasis and ZORYVE cream for atopic dermatitis, demonstrating ongoing R&D advancements.
Intellectual Property Protection
Arcutis successfully extended the 30-month Hatch-Waxman stay by agreeing to stay patent litigation with Padagis, reinforcing their confidence in their patent portfolio.
Negative Updates
Slight Revenue Decline Compared to Q4
First-quarter revenues showed a slight 2% decline compared to Q4 2024 due to typical first-quarter deductible resets and insurance changes.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses increased by 17% year-over-year and 11% compared to the previous quarter, driven by investments in commercial launches.
Gross to Net Fluctuations
Gross to net ratios experienced fluctuations early in the quarter due to insurance deductible resets, though they stabilized later in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During Arcutis Biotherapeutics' Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance with revenues of $63.8 million, nearly doubling year-over-year, despite a typical Q1 decline due to insurance deductible resets. Prescription demand grew by 10% compared to Q4 2024, reflecting strong commercial execution. The company highlighted significant growth opportunities, particularly through the anticipated approval of ZORYVE foam for scalp and body psoriasis on May 22, 2025, and ZORYVE cream for atopic dermatitis in young children by October 2025. Arcutis also addressed intellectual property protection efforts, noting a stay in litigation with Padagis. The firm maintained an 80% insurance coverage rate for ZORYVE prescriptions and expects to achieve cash breakeven by 2026, supported by its strong balance sheet and continued growth in the dermatology market.

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arcutis Biotherapeutics shows strong revenue growth but remains unprofitable with negative cash flows, posing liquidity risks. The balance sheet displays moderate leverage, but declining equity indicates potential financial stress.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Arcutis Biotherapeutics shows a significant improvement in total revenue, growing from $3.7 million in 2022 to $212.8 million in TTM 2025. However, the company remains unprofitable with a net loss of $129.7 million in TTM 2025, resulting in negative net profit margins. The gross profit margin is strong at 88.4% for TTM 2025, indicating efficient cost management, but operating losses continue to weigh heavily on the overall financial health.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 in TTM 2025, showing a balanced approach to leveraging its equity. However, stockholders' equity has decreased over the years, reflecting ongoing net losses. The equity ratio stands at 41.5%, suggesting a reasonable proportion of equity in the asset base, but the declining trend in equity is a concern.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Arcutis Biotherapeutics exhibits negative operating cash flow of $110.9 million in TTM 2025, which remains a challenge alongside a negative free cash flow of $116.7 million. The cash flow to net income ratios indicate that cash flow generation is not yet aligned with net income improvements, posing liquidity risks if trends persist.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue196.54M59.61M3.69M0.000.00
Gross Profit177.41M54.62M2.93M-763.00K-455.00K
EBITDA-109.63M-227.43M-294.55M-205.59M-135.22M
Net Income-140.04M-262.14M-311.46M-206.36M-135.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets348.89M341.37M449.27M408.15M298.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments227.96M271.86M409.59M387.06M284.44M
Total Debt110.58M205.92M202.54M77.56M4.96M
Total Liabilities191.35M252.70M239.69M110.47M27.65M
Stockholders Equity157.54M88.67M209.58M297.68M270.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-112.30M-247.49M-281.00M-175.62M-113.35M
Operating Cash Flow-112.16M-247.06M-257.71M-174.63M-113.03M
Investing Cash Flow28.82M180.23M-87.20M-75.95M-181.82M
Financing Cash Flow66.20M101.32M301.80M281.95M298.14M

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.67
Price Trends
50DMA
14.03
Positive
100DMA
14.37
Positive
200DMA
13.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Negative
RSI
52.28
Neutral
STOCH
71.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARQT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.45, above the 50-day MA of 14.03, and above the 200-day MA of 13.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARQT.

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Risk Analysis

Arcutis Biotherapeutics disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcutis Biotherapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.02B13.4224.71%20.62%14.08%
65
Neutral
$2.49B-31.51%
64
Neutral
$1.82B-5.78%25.50%64.63%
56
Neutral
$2.52B-86.10%29.32%-11.00%
54
Neutral
$1.75B-70.58%100.03%64.22%
52
Neutral
$7.35B-0.07-63.71%2.81%16.17%0.03%
45
Neutral
$2.03B-35.21%-100.00%-144.79%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
14.67
4.82
48.93%
DNLI
Denali Therapeutics
14.00
-9.53
-40.50%
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
35.20
1.75
5.23%
IMCR
Immunocore Holdings
36.31
-2.97
-7.56%
NAMS
NewAmsterdam Pharma Company
22.20
3.20
16.84%
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
5.84
-2.30
-28.26%

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Arcutis Biotherapeutics Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Arcutis Biotherapeutics held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where all proposed matters were approved by the shareholders. The meeting included the election of three Class II directors, ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor, and approval of executive compensation. Additionally, the company revised its Non-Employee Director Compensation Plan to enhance its corporate governance practices and attract qualified board members.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARQT) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arcutis Biotherapeutics stock, see the ARQT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025