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Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. (HRMY)
:HRMY
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Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) AI Stock Analysis

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HRMY

Harmony Biosciences Holdings

(NASDAQ:HRMY)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(6.24%Upside)
Harmony Biosciences Holdings scores well due to its strong financial performance, supported by impressive revenue growth and profitability. The company’s strategic initiatives and robust pipeline contribute significantly to its positive outlook. However, technical indicators suggest caution, with the stock nearing overbought levels. Valuation remains attractive, and recent corporate events further enhance its market position.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Growth
Harmony's expanding pipeline, including assets like Clemizole and a preclinical orexin 2 receptor agonist, is viewed as offering multiple future growth opportunities.
Revenue Growth
Harmony is off to a strong start in 2025, reporting 1Q25 net product revenue of $184.7M, up 20% year-over-year, driven by continued commercial execution in narcolepsy.
Negative Factors
Competition
Harmony is a few years behind three orexin competitors in the pipeline.
Operating Expenses
Price objective has been lowered due to higher operating expenses.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapies for patients with rare neurological disorders in the United States. Its product, WAKIX is a medication for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy. The company was formerly known as Harmony Biosciences II, Inc. and changed its name to Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. in February 2020. Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyHarmony Biosciences generates revenue primarily through the sales of its pharmaceutical product, WAKIX. The company makes money by marketing and selling WAKIX to healthcare providers, hospitals, and pharmacies, which then distribute the medication to patients. Key revenue streams include direct sales of the drug in the United States, and the company may also engage in strategic partnerships or licensing agreements to expand its product reach and maximize its market potential. Factors contributing to its earnings include the drug's efficacy, market demand for treatments addressing narcolepsy, and the company's ability to navigate the regulatory landscape to maintain product approvals and explore additional indications for WAKIX.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Harmony Biosciences demonstrated strong financial and operational performance with significant growth in WAKIX sales and a robust pipeline, despite facing some seasonal and expense-related challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in WAKIX Sales
Net product revenue for the quarter was $184.7 million, representing a 20% increase year-over-year, reflecting strong demand and market penetration.
Robust Pipeline Development
Harmony Biosciences has 8 assets across 13 development programs, with plans to have up to 6 programs in Phase 3 trials by the end of the year, indicating a strong late-stage pipeline.
Financial Strength and Profitability
Harmony ended the first quarter with $610.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, and reported non-GAAP adjusted net income of $60.4 million, a 19% increase from the prior year.
Strategic Initiatives for Future Growth
Plans to initiate Phase 3 trials for pitolisant HD in narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia in Q4 2025, with potential peak sales of $1 billion to $2 billion per franchise.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Seasonal Dynamics
The first quarter exhibited traditional challenges related to payer dynamics, impacting the initial revenue figures, although the company expects recovery in subsequent quarters.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses for the first quarter rose to $96.6 million from $75.1 million the previous year, driven by pipeline expansion and commercialization investments.
Company Guidance
During Harmony Biosciences' first quarter 2025 financial results call, several key metrics and guidance were provided. The company reported a net product revenue of $184.7 million for the quarter, marking a 20% year-over-year increase. Harmony reaffirmed its net revenue guidance for the full year 2025, projecting between $820 million and $860 million, with expectations to surpass $1 billion in narcolepsy alone. The business remains profitable, with a non-GAAP adjusted net income of $60.4 million, up 19% from last year. The company holds over $600 million in cash and investments, supporting its robust pipeline, including eight assets across 13 development programs. Harmony is particularly focused on advancing its late-stage pipeline, with six programs expected to be in Phase 3 trials by year-end. A pivotal milestone anticipated in the third quarter is the top-line data readout from the Phase 3 RECONNECT study of ZYN002 in Fragile X Syndrome, which could significantly impact the company's trajectory.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Harmony Biosciences Holdings demonstrates robust financial health with strong growth, profitability, and cash flow metrics. The company shows significant revenue and profit growth supported by efficient operations and a strong balance sheet. The low debt levels and high equity ratio contribute to financial stability, while robust cash flow generation provides a solid foundation for future expansion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Harmony Biosciences Holdings demonstrates strong growth and profitability in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 77.54% and a net profit margin of 20.50%, indicating effective cost management and strong bottom-line performance. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 was an impressive 22.81%, reflecting significant business expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 26.19% and 29.87%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the consistently high margins must be maintained to sustain investor confidence in the competitive biotechnology sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Harmony Biosciences Holdings is robust, with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, suggesting low financial leverage and reduced risk of financial distress. The return on equity (ROE) is 21.19%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 68.26%, indicating a solid capital structure. While the company has strong equity and low debt, maintaining this balance is crucial to support growth without significantly increasing leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Harmony Biosciences Holdings has a strong cash flow position, with a free cash flow growth rate of 1.25% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. The company has an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46, indicating efficient conversion of earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.45, signifying strong cash generation relative to profits. Despite the positive cash flow metrics, maintaining this trajectory is essential to support future investments and growth initiatives.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue714.73M582.02M437.86M305.44M159.74M
Gross Profit557.92M460.79M354.37M249.92M132.00M
EBITDA233.41M221.51M143.57M106.37M1.51M
Net Income145.49M128.85M181.47M34.60M-51.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets999.20M811.45M673.87M433.44M427.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments467.19M353.46M323.12M234.31M228.63M
Total Debt179.27M193.57M191.65M191.98M194.25M
Total Liabilities340.05M344.46M271.03M246.94M329.89M
Stockholders Equity659.15M466.99M402.84M186.51M97.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow218.67M219.07M104.29M-1.74M-4.99M
Operating Cash Flow219.82M219.39M144.47M98.56M-2.98M
Investing Cash Flow-67.48M-46.44M-141.83M-100.30M-2.00M
Financing Cash Flow-11.00M-105.55M6.84M7.42M209.16M

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.71
Price Trends
50DMA
34.07
Positive
100DMA
32.88
Positive
200DMA
34.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.94
Negative
RSI
65.76
Neutral
STOCH
88.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HRMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.08, above the 50-day MA of 34.07, and above the 200-day MA of 34.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HRMY.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Risk Analysis

Harmony Biosciences Holdings disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Harmony Biosciences Holdings reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.11B14.0024.71%20.62%14.08%
61
Neutral
$2.71B-86.10%29.32%-11.00%
60
Neutral
$3.22B-32.17%-25.85%-23.89%
56
Neutral
$2.11B-38.04%-82.38%-164.76%
54
Neutral
$1.79B-70.58%100.03%64.22%
46
Neutral
C$201.68M-3.28-23.14%1.87%20.75%-0.36%
45
Neutral
$2.10B-35.21%-100.00%-144.79%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
36.71
2.79
8.23%
DNLI
Denali Therapeutics
14.31
-9.79
-40.62%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
15.02
4.95
49.16%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
20.95
-12.19
-36.78%
KYMR
Kymera Therapeutics
45.85
1.31
2.94%
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
6.26
-2.09
-25.03%

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Harmony Biosciences Reveals Promising Preclinical Data for BP1.15205
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Harmony Biosciences announced new preclinical data for BP1.15205, a promising orexin 2 receptor agonist, showing significant wake-promoting and cataplexy-suppressing effects in narcolepsy type 1 mouse models. The company plans to begin human trials in the latter half of 2025, with results expected in 2026, potentially enhancing its position in the sleep-wake disorder treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRMY) stock is a Sell with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Harmony Biosciences Holdings stock, see the HRMY Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Harmony Biosciences Settles Patent Dispute with Lupin
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Harmony Biosciences announced a settlement with Lupin Limited regarding patent infringement litigation over Lupin’s generic version of WAKIX® (pitolisant hydrochloride). The agreement allows Lupin to launch its generic product no earlier than January 2030, reinforcing Harmony’s patent position and protecting its intellectual property. This settlement highlights Harmony’s commitment to defending its innovations in sleep/wake therapeutics and strengthens its market position as it continues to develop next-generation formulations of pitolisant.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRMY) stock is a Buy with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Harmony Biosciences Holdings stock, see the HRMY Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Harmony Biosciences Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Harmony Biosciences Holdings conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where two key proposals were voted on. The election of three Class II directors was confirmed, and the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified, indicating stable governance and continuity in financial oversight for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRMY) stock is a Sell with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Harmony Biosciences Holdings stock, see the HRMY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025