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Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY)
NASDAQ:HRMY
US Market

Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) AI Stock Analysis

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Harmony Biosciences Holdings

(NASDAQ:HRMY)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲( 11.21% Upside)
Harmony Biosciences Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, supported by a stable balance sheet and efficient operations. The technical analysis suggests potential overbought conditions, which may pose short-term challenges. The company's valuation is attractive, indicating potential undervaluation. Positive earnings call highlights and strategic board appointments further bolster the company's outlook. However, increased operating expenses and seasonal dynamics warrant caution. Overall, the stock presents a solid investment opportunity with strengths in financial performance and growth potential, tempered by technical and operational considerations.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Harmony is off to a strong start in 2025, reporting 1Q25 net product revenue of $184.7M, up 20% year-over-year, driven by continued commercial execution in narcolepsy.
Pipeline Development
Harmony’s late-stage pipeline remains on the cusp of multiple high-impact catalysts, including Phase 3 data in Fragile X syndrome, registrational studies in rare epilepsies, and the advancement of next-generation pitolisant formulations.
Product Demand
The average number of patients on Wakix therapy increased, indicating growing demand for the product.
Negative Factors
Competition
Harmony is a few years behind three orexin competitors in the pipeline.
Operating Expenses
Price objective has been lowered due to higher operating expenses.
Patent Litigation
Management emphasized Wakix’s durable growth outlook despite potential patent litigation.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. (HRMY) is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and commercializing innovative therapies for patients living with rare neurological disorders. The company primarily focuses on central nervous system (CNS) disorders, offering solutions that address unmet medical needs. Harmony Biosciences is headquartered in the United States and is known for its flagship product, Wakix (pitolisant), which is used to treat excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy.
How the Company Makes MoneyHarmony Biosciences generates revenue primarily through the sales of its core product, Wakix (pitolisant), which is a first-in-class medication used to address excessive daytime sleepiness associated with narcolepsy. The company earns money by marketing and distributing Wakix to healthcare providers and institutions, who then prescribe it to patients. Harmony Biosciences benefits from exclusivity agreements and patents that limit competition, allowing it to capitalize on its innovative product within a niche market. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, although these are not the primary sources of revenue.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Harmony Biosciences shows strong financial health with solid revenue growth, high profitability margins, and a stable balance sheet. The company has low leverage and efficient cash flow management, though monitoring future free cash flow trends is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Harmony Biosciences has demonstrated strong growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 22.8% from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust expansion. The Gross Profit Margin of 78.06% and Net Profit Margin of 20.36% for 2024 reflect excellent profitability. The EBIT margin has slightly decreased from the previous year, but the consistent EBITDA margin signifies operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.025, showcasing low leverage risk. The ROE of 22.06% indicates strong returns to shareholders. The Equity Ratio of 65.97% suggests a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt, albeit small, should be monitored.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Harmony Biosciences has shown a slight decline in Free Cash Flow Growth Rate. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.51 highlights strong cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio remains robust, underscoring efficient cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
744.85M714.73M582.02M437.86M305.44M159.74M
Gross Profit
577.57M557.92M460.79M354.37M249.92M132.00M
EBIT
195.04M190.83M192.03M120.19M68.70M3.68M
EBITDA
222.47M233.41M221.51M143.57M106.37M1.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
152.72M145.49M128.85M181.47M34.60M-51.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
372.35M467.19M353.46M323.12M234.31M228.63M
Total Assets
846.99M999.20M811.45M673.87M433.44M427.07M
Total Debt
193.06M179.27M193.57M191.65M191.98M194.25M
Net Debt
-139.92M-273.74M-118.09M-52.14M-42.33M-34.38M
Total Liabilities
331.59M340.05M344.46M271.03M246.94M329.89M
Stockholders Equity
515.39M659.15M466.99M402.84M186.51M97.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
221.39M218.67M219.07M104.29M-1.74M-4.99M
Operating Cash Flow
222.67M219.82M219.39M144.47M98.56M-2.98M
Investing Cash Flow
-58.94M-67.48M-46.44M-141.83M-100.30M-2.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-7.71M-11.00M-105.55M6.84M7.42M209.16M

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.17
Price Trends
50DMA
31.90
Positive
100DMA
34.08
Positive
200DMA
34.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Negative
RSI
56.94
Neutral
STOCH
34.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HRMY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.95, above the 50-day MA of 31.90, and below the 200-day MA of 34.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HRMY.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Risk Analysis

Harmony Biosciences Holdings disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Harmony Biosciences Holdings reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We have obtained a rare pediatric disease designation for EPX100 for the treatment of Dravet Syndrome, however, there is no guarantee that FDA approval of will result in issuance of a priority review voucher. Q4, 2024

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.96B13.0124.71%20.62%14.08%
54
Neutral
$1.92B-32.17%-25.85%-23.89%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-43.89%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
52
Neutral
$1.66B-86.10%29.32%-11.00%
47
Neutral
$1.67B-70.58%100.03%64.22%
45
Neutral
$1.95B-35.21%-100.00%-144.79%
45
Neutral
$1.69B-38.04%-82.38%-164.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
34.17
4.75
16.15%
DNLI
Denali Therapeutics
13.42
-5.48
-28.99%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
13.98
5.10
57.43%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
16.83
-7.39
-30.51%
KYMR
Kymera Therapeutics
29.49
-4.04
-12.05%
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
4.08
-4.91
-54.62%

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Harmony Biosciences demonstrated strong financial and operational performance with significant growth in WAKIX sales and a robust pipeline, despite facing some seasonal and expense-related challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in WAKIX Sales
Net product revenue for the quarter was $184.7 million, representing a 20% increase year-over-year, reflecting strong demand and market penetration.
Robust Pipeline Development
Harmony Biosciences has 8 assets across 13 development programs, with plans to have up to 6 programs in Phase 3 trials by the end of the year, indicating a strong late-stage pipeline.
Financial Strength and Profitability
Harmony ended the first quarter with $610.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, and reported non-GAAP adjusted net income of $60.4 million, a 19% increase from the prior year.
Strategic Initiatives for Future Growth
Plans to initiate Phase 3 trials for pitolisant HD in narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia in Q4 2025, with potential peak sales of $1 billion to $2 billion per franchise.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Seasonal Dynamics
The first quarter exhibited traditional challenges related to payer dynamics, impacting the initial revenue figures, although the company expects recovery in subsequent quarters.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses for the first quarter rose to $96.6 million from $75.1 million the previous year, driven by pipeline expansion and commercialization investments.
Company Guidance
During Harmony Biosciences' first quarter 2025 financial results call, several key metrics and guidance were provided. The company reported a net product revenue of $184.7 million for the quarter, marking a 20% year-over-year increase. Harmony reaffirmed its net revenue guidance for the full year 2025, projecting between $820 million and $860 million, with expectations to surpass $1 billion in narcolepsy alone. The business remains profitable, with a non-GAAP adjusted net income of $60.4 million, up 19% from last year. The company holds over $600 million in cash and investments, supporting its robust pipeline, including eight assets across 13 development programs. Harmony is particularly focused on advancing its late-stage pipeline, with six programs expected to be in Phase 3 trials by year-end. A pivotal milestone anticipated in the third quarter is the top-line data readout from the Phase 3 RECONNECT study of ZYN002 in Fragile X Syndrome, which could significantly impact the company's trajectory.

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Harmony Biosciences Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Harmony Biosciences Holdings conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where two key proposals were voted on. The election of three Class II directors was confirmed, and the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified, indicating stable governance and continuity in financial oversight for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (HRMY) stock is a Sell with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Harmony Biosciences Holdings stock, see the HRMY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Harmony Biosciences Appoints Ron Philip to Board
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

On April 2, 2025, Harmony Biosciences appointed Ron Philip to its Board of Directors, filling a vacancy left by Jack Bech Nielsen’s resignation in June 2024. Philip, who brings extensive experience from his roles at Orbital Therapeutics and Spark Therapeutics, will serve on the Audit and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committees. His appointment is expected to support Harmony’s growth and pipeline expansion, aligning with the company’s focus on innovative therapies for rare neurological diseases.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Harmony Biosciences Appoints New Chief Commercial Officer
Neutral
Mar 24, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Harmony Biosciences announced the departure of Jeffrey Dierks as Chief Commercial Officer, effective March 31, 2025, and the appointment of Adam Zaeske as his successor. Zaeske, with over 25 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, is expected to lead the company’s commercial strategy and expansion efforts, building on the success of WAKIX and advancing Harmony’s late-stage pipeline assets.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.