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Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT)
NASDAQ:COGT
US Market
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Cogent Biosciences (COGT) AI Stock Analysis

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COGT

Cogent Biosciences

(NASDAQ:COGT)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-8.72% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, widening losses, and heavy cash burn), partially offset by a balance sheet that still shows sizable equity. Technicals also detract due to a bearish trend (below key moving averages and negative MACD), despite oversold readings. Valuation contributes only modestly because a negative P/E provides limited insight and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
IND-enabling progress
Ongoing IND-enabling studies with an IND submission expected later this year represent a clear structural advancement from discovery toward clinical development. This milestone can materially de-risk the lead programs, enable human dosing, attract partnerships, and create multi-month to multi-quarter value inflection points tied to regulatory progress rather than short-term market moves.
Negative Factors
No commercial revenue
The absence of commercial revenue means the company is wholly dependent on capital markets or partnerships to fund operations. With no product-derived cash inflows, ongoing R&D and regulatory timelines must be financed externally, structurally increasing dilution risk and making long-term sustainability contingent on successful clinical/regulatory milestones.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
IND-enabling progress
Ongoing IND-enabling studies with an IND submission expected later this year represent a clear structural advancement from discovery toward clinical development. This milestone can materially de-risk the lead programs, enable human dosing, attract partnerships, and create multi-month to multi-quarter value inflection points tied to regulatory progress rather than short-term market moves.
Read all positive factors

Cogent Biosciences (COGT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cogent Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cogent Biosciences, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. Its lead product candidate includes CGT9486, a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor designed to inhibit the KIT D816V mut...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Cogent Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are the key weaknesses: no reported revenue and materially widening losses (TTM net loss about $354M), alongside heavy and rising cash burn (TTM operating cash flow about -$285M; TTM free cash flow about -$286M). The balance sheet is the main offset with sizable equity (TTM equity ~$608M vs. assets ~$903M) and only moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.39–0.40), though debt has risen versus prior years, increasing financing/dilution risk if burn persists.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-3.49M-4.62M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-362.02M-328.74M-271.59M-204.54M-141.96M-73.56M
Net Income-354.30M-328.94M-255.86M-192.41M-140.24M-72.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets903.01M937.61M327.90M313.44M300.81M232.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments866.38M900.76M287.08M265.71M259.28M219.68M
Total Debt238.65M253.15M17.47M18.85M19.65M3.15M
Total Liabilities295.31M301.24M71.61M55.63M45.08M17.91M
Stockholders Equity607.69M636.37M256.29M257.80M255.74M214.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-286.27M-266.00M-208.36M-156.42M-125.50M-60.48M
Operating Cash Flow-284.82M-264.44M-207.79M-153.62M-118.64M-58.76M
Investing Cash Flow-505.36M-399.53M38.28M-97.82M-124.72M-1.72M
Financing Cash Flow905.80M878.23M214.45M163.54M163.56M37.98M

Cogent Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.25
Price Trends
50DMA
35.32
Negative
100DMA
36.24
Negative
200DMA
29.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Negative
RSI
38.87
Neutral
STOCH
43.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COGT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.73, above the 50-day MA of 35.32, and above the 200-day MA of 29.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for COGT.

Cogent Biosciences Risk Analysis

Cogent Biosciences disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cogent Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cogent Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.79B12.7517.19%20.71%-5.53%
62
Neutral
$2.98B-46.92-5.89%157.97%86.11%
61
Neutral
$1.50B-77.26-4.83%23.64%-29.23%
58
Neutral
$2.45B-17.99-13.96%3118.14%55.95%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$2.60B-11.21-36.95%-68.57%
45
Neutral
$5.60B-6.14-83.29%0.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COGT
Cogent Biosciences
32.26
26.62
471.99%
IDYA
IDEAYA Biosciences
28.40
7.30
34.60%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
29.55
12.40
72.30%
IRON
Disc Medicine
70.35
23.03
48.67%
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings
32.10
-3.06
-8.70%
IMCR
Immunocore Holdings
28.65
-9.05
-24.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026