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IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA)
NASDAQ:IDYA

IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA) AI Stock Analysis

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IDYA

IDEAYA Biosciences

(NASDAQ:IDYA)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(11.50% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—strong balance sheet strength offset by continued losses and weak cash flow quality. Technicals are a clear headwind with bearish momentum and the stock trading below key moving averages, while corporate updates provide some support via funded clinical progress despite the GSK collaboration termination. Valuation is difficult to assess due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
IDEAYA’s balance sheet shows very low leverage and substantial equity, giving durable financial flexibility to fund multi-year clinical programs without immediate reliance on dilutive capital. This reduces execution risk for registrational trials and supports strategic optionality through 2–6+ months.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitability
Despite recent revenue uptick, IDEAYA remains loss‑making with deep negative margins, indicating the company’s capital base is not yet producing returns. Continued operating losses may require further financing if clinical progress stalls, increasing dilution and long‑term shareholder risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet
IDEAYA’s balance sheet shows very low leverage and substantial equity, giving durable financial flexibility to fund multi-year clinical programs without immediate reliance on dilutive capital. This reduces execution risk for registrational trials and supports strategic optionality through 2–6+ months.
Read all positive factors

IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IDEAYA Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc., a synthetic lethality-focused precision medicine oncology company, focuses on the discovery and development of targeted therapeutics for patient populations selected using molecular diagnostics. The company's lead product...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

IDEAYA Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: a strong, lightly levered balance sheet (very low debt and substantial equity) supports flexibility, but profitability remains weak with ongoing losses and the cash flow profile reflects heavy burn/limited self-funding despite a sharp 2025 revenue rebound.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue218.71M7.00M23.39M50.93M27.94M
Gross Profit214.12M3.17M19.38M48.83M26.22M
EBITDA-154.72M-270.64M-108.95M-56.55M-48.04M
Net Income-113.70M-274.48M-112.96M-58.66M-49.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.12B649.32M387.97M381.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments639.39M676.32M525.11M364.83M246.77M
Total Debt27.91M19.17M2.87M3.48M5.18M
Total Liabilities86.39M64.94M28.23M38.51M79.83M
Stockholders Equity1.02B1.06B621.09M349.45M301.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-73.47M-251.44M-117.59M-90.62M-58.42M
Operating Cash Flow-71.10M-247.58M-115.22M-87.17M-55.78M
Investing Cash Flow69.98M-502.56M-158.46M-33.40M-69.67M
Financing Cash Flow29.78M677.55M362.72M97.17M145.45M

IDEAYA Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.39
Price Trends
50DMA
33.31
Negative
100DMA
33.60
Negative
200DMA
29.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
42.83
Neutral
STOCH
25.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IDYA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.17, below the 50-day MA of 33.31, and above the 200-day MA of 29.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IDYA.

IDEAYA Biosciences Risk Analysis

IDEAYA Biosciences disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IDEAYA Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IDEAYA Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$2.82B-228.91-10.26%129.21%80.35%
56
Neutral
$5.10B-29.60-179.00%-40.75%
54
Neutral
$2.35B-34.27-7.31%-84.07%-157.71%
52
Neutral
$2.76B-26.90-11.10%5376.27%20.97%
52
Neutral
$1.73B-3.82-31.07%36.26%-158.98%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$2.54B-39.23-79.16%114.22%77.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IDYA
IDEAYA Biosciences
31.39
13.95
79.99%
AGIO
Agios Pharma
29.59
-0.81
-2.66%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
27.56
6.77
32.56%
CELC
Celcuity
110.22
99.78
955.75%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
22.74
6.27
38.07%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
23.12
1.21
5.52%

IDEAYA Biosciences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
IDEAYA updates precision oncology strategy at JPM 2026
Positive
Jan 12, 2026
On January 12, 2026, IDEAYA Biosciences posted an updated corporate presentation for investors in connection with the JPM 2026 Annual Healthcare Conference, outlining its strategy to build a leading precision oncology franchise and detailing progr...
Business Operations and Strategy
IDEAYA sets 2026 objectives to advance registrational trials
Positive
Jan 12, 2026
On January 11, 2026, IDEAYA Biosciences outlined its 2026 corporate objectives, highlighting plans to advance four registrational trials, including darovasertib across the uveal melanoma disease continuum and IDE849 as a monotherapy in neuroendocr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026