IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA)
NASDAQ:IDYA
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IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA) AI Stock Analysis

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IDYA

IDEAYA Biosciences

(NASDAQ:IDYA)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▼(-5.72% Downside)
IDEAYA Biosciences' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which highlights significant challenges due to declining revenues and consistent net losses. The technical analysis shows moderate bullish momentum, providing some positive outlook. However, the valuation remains a concern due to the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Equity Position
A strong equity position with minimal leverage provides financial stability, allowing the company to withstand operational challenges and invest in growth opportunities.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships provide financial support and access to resources, enhancing drug development capabilities and potential revenue streams.
Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth indicates successful product development and market acceptance, supporting long-term business expansion.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenues
A sharp decline in revenue poses a risk to financial sustainability, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend and achieve profitability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow from operations can limit investment in R&D and growth initiatives, requiring careful financial management to maintain liquidity.
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies, necessitating cost management and revenue enhancement strategies to achieve financial health.

IDEAYA Biosciences (IDYA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IDEAYA Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIDEAYA Biosciences, Inc., a synthetic lethality-focused precision medicine oncology company, focuses on the discovery and development of targeted therapeutics for patient populations selected using molecular diagnostics. The company's lead product candidates include IDE397, a methionine adenosyltransferase 2a inhibitor that is in Phase I clinical trial for patients with solid tumors having methylthioadenosine phosphorylase deletions; and IDE196, a protein kinase C inhibitor that is in Phase I/II clinical trial for genetically defined cancers having GNAQ or GNA11 gene mutations. Its preclinical pipeline includes various synthetic lethality programs targeting PARG inhibitor in tumors for patients having tumors with a defined biomarker based on genetic mutations and/or molecular signatures; Pol Theta inhibitors in tumors with BRCA or other homologous recombination deficiency mutations; and WRN inhibitors in tumors with high microsatellite instability. The company has a research collaboration agreement with Cancer Research UK and the University of Manchester to develop small molecule inhibitors of Poly (ADP-ribose) glycohydrolase; and a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Pfizer Inc. for Phase I/II study in metastatic uveal melanoma, skin melanoma, and other solid tumors, as well as a strategic partnership with GlaxoSmithKline plc. IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyIDEAYA Biosciences generates revenue through a combination of its own product development efforts and strategic partnerships. The company primarily earns money by advancing its pipeline of drug candidates through various stages of clinical trials, leading to potential commercialization. Additionally, IDEAYA enters into collaborations and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments based on development progress, and royalties on future sales. These partnerships not only offer financial support but also access to resources and expertise necessary for efficient drug development. The company may also receive funding through grants and investments to support its research initiatives.

IDEAYA Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IDEAYA Biosciences faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and consistent net losses. The company maintains a strong equity position, suggesting stability, but profitability and cash flow constraints pose risks. Strategic improvements are necessary for future growth.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The company has seen a significant decline in revenue over the past year, with a negative growth rate of 70%. Gross profit margin remains at 100% due to no cost of goods sold reported. However, high negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins reflect operational challenges and lack of profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
IDEAYA Biosciences maintains a strong equity base, with an equity ratio of 94%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating minimal leverage, but return on equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, indicating cash burn from operations. However, the company has managed substantial financing activities, improving cash reserves significantly, albeit not enough to cover the free cash flow deficit.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue214.83M7.00M23.39M50.93M27.94M19.54M
Gross Profit210.79M3.17M19.38M48.83M26.22M18.16M
EBITDA-156.70M-270.64M-108.95M-56.55M-48.04M-33.11M
Net Income-160.74M-274.48M-112.96M-58.66M-49.76M-34.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.19B1.12B649.32M387.97M381.35M298.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments786.89M676.32M525.11M364.83M246.77M283.58M
Total Debt27.25M19.17M2.87M3.48M5.18M6.72M
Total Liabilities93.10M64.94M28.23M38.51M79.83M100.00M
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.06B621.09M349.45M301.51M198.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-105.39M-251.44M-117.59M-90.62M-58.42M54.97M
Operating Cash Flow-102.26M-247.58M-115.22M-87.17M-55.78M55.46M
Investing Cash Flow-29.61M-502.56M-158.46M-33.40M-69.67M-146.24M
Financing Cash Flow30.40M677.55M362.72M97.17M145.45M128.75M

IDEAYA Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.82
Price Trends
50DMA
28.01
Positive
100DMA
25.76
Positive
200DMA
22.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.01
Positive
RSI
61.28
Neutral
STOCH
79.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IDYA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.73, above the 50-day MA of 28.01, and above the 200-day MA of 22.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IDYA.

IDEAYA Biosciences Risk Analysis

IDEAYA Biosciences disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IDEAYA Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IDEAYA Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$2.54B-27.57%36.26%-158.98%
59
Neutral
$2.87B-28.17%129.21%80.35%
54
Neutral
$3.26B-410.78%114.22%77.02%
53
Neutral
$2.80B-14.15%5376.27%20.97%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
$3.61B-122.04%-40.75%
40
Neutral
$2.22B-4.88-47.19%-84.07%-157.71%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IDYA
IDEAYA Biosciences
31.82
2.35
7.97%
AGIO
Agios Pharma
42.54
-12.86
-23.21%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
33.89
15.42
83.49%
CELC
Celcuity
86.00
71.89
509.50%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
22.86
12.93
130.21%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
21.66
-4.65
-17.67%

IDEAYA Biosciences Corporate Events

IDEAYA Biosciences Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. is a precision medicine oncology company focused on developing targeted therapies for cancer, utilizing expertise in small-molecule drug discovery and bioinformatics to address genetic drivers of disease. The company has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting significant progress in its clinical trials and strategic partnerships.

Product-Related Announcements
IDEAYA Biosciences Presents Promising Phase 2 Data
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 17, 2025, IDEAYA Biosciences announced positive median overall survival data from its Phase 1/2 trial of darovasertib combined with Pfizer’s crizotinib for first-line treatment of metastatic uveal melanoma, showing a median OS of 21.1 months. Additionally, on October 20, 2025, IDEAYA presented promising Phase 2 data for darovasertib in the neoadjuvant setting of primary uveal melanoma, demonstrating significant tumor shrinkage and eye preservation, with manageable safety profiles.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDYA) stock is a Buy with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IDEAYA Biosciences stock, see the IDYA Stock Forecast page.

Ideaya Biosciences Advances IDE849 Study for DLL3-Expressing Tumors
Sep 26, 2025

Ideaya Biosciences is conducting a clinical study titled ‘A Multicenter Study Evaluating the Safety, Efficacy, and Pharmacokinetics of IDE849 in Patients With DLL3-Expressing Tumors Including Small Cell Lung Cancer.’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of IDE849, a potential treatment for tumors expressing DLL3, particularly small cell lung cancer (SCLC). This research is significant as it explores new therapeutic options for a challenging cancer type.

Product-Related Announcements
IDEAYA Biosciences Reports Promising Phase 1 Data for IDE849
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

IDEAYA Biosciences, in collaboration with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals, presented promising Phase 1 data for IDE849, a DLL3-targeting TOP1 ADC, at the IASLC 2025 World Conference on Lung Cancer. The trial showed a robust overall response rate and disease control rate in small cell lung cancer patients, with manageable safety profiles across various dose levels. Additionally, IDEAYA shared positive interim results from its Phase 2 trial of darovasertib for primary uveal melanoma, demonstrating significant tumor shrinkage and improved visual outcomes. The company also reported encouraging data from its Phase 1/2 trial of IDE397 combined with Trodelvy in MTAP-deletion urothelial cancer, highlighting a favorable safety profile and notable response rates.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDYA) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IDEAYA Biosciences stock, see the IDYA Stock Forecast page.

Ideaya Biosciences Advances in Metastatic Uveal Melanoma Treatment Study
Sep 7, 2025

Ideaya Biosciences is conducting a clinical study titled ‘IDE196 (Darovasertib) in Combination With Crizotinib Versus Investigator’s Choice of Treatment as First-line Therapy in HLA-A2 Negative Metastatic Uveal Melanoma (DAR-UM-2).’ The study aims to evaluate the efficacy of IDE196 combined with Crizotinib compared to standard treatments for patients with metastatic uveal melanoma, a rare eye cancer. This research is significant as it explores a new potential first-line treatment option for this challenging condition.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
IDEAYA Biosciences Licenses Darovasertib to Servier
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On August 29, 2025, IDEAYA Biosciences entered into a License Agreement with Les Laboratoires Servier, granting Servier exclusive rights to develop and commercialize darovasertib outside the United States. This agreement includes an upfront payment of $210 million to IDEAYA, with potential additional milestone payments and royalties, extending the company’s cash runway by at least twelve months and funding operations into 2030. The agreement outlines conditions for termination and includes customary transaction provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDYA) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IDEAYA Biosciences stock, see the IDYA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025