Verona Pharma (VRNA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.67B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.25M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.78
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: -157.53%
• Country: US
• Employees: 209
• Sector: Healthcare
• Sector Strength: 40
• Industry: Biotechnology
• EPS (TTM): -0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 85,132,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,039,756
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,245,459
• PEG Ratio: -24.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 59.92
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -230.56
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $118.00
• Price Target Upside: 30.99% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Verona Pharma's stock is bolstered by strong revenue growth and a successful product launch, contributing to positive momentum. However, profitability challenges, high valuations, and potential overbought conditions temper enthusiasm. The company's improved financial flexibility is a key strength, though ongoing operating losses and high SG&A expenses are notable risks.

Positive Factors

Market Potential

The potential for Ohtuvayre in the bronchiectasis market is seen positively and could significantly impact the stock's valuation.

Product Performance

Ohtuvayre's launch is performing exceptionally well, exceeding expectations by tracking above Trelegy by over three times.

Sales Growth

Ohtuvayre sales nearly doubled in Q1, resulting in a +35% beat over consensus.

Negative Factors

Competitor Benchmark

The risk of underperforming Trelegy has been declining with each passing quarter, justifying ~$3B+ in potential peak sales.

Guideline Mention

Despite inclusion in the GOLD treatment guidelines for COPD, Ohtuvayre is only briefly mentioned with weak language.

Verona Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Verona Pharma plc, a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on development and commercialization of therapies for the treatment of respiratory diseases with unmet medical needs. The company's product candidate is ensifentrine, an inhaled and dual inhibitor of the phosphodiesterase (PDE) 3 and PDE4 enzymes that acts as both a bronchodilator and an anti-inflammatory agent in a single compound, which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and cystic fibrosis. It is developing ensifentrine in three formulations, including nebulizer, dry powder inhaler, and pressurized metered-dose inhaler. Verona Pharma plc was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Verona Pharma makes money through the development and potential commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates, primarily focusing on ensifentrine. The company's revenue model is centered around advancing its drug candidates through clinical trials, securing regulatory approvals, and ultimately marketing the approved therapies to healthcare providers and patients. Revenue streams may include sales of approved drugs, milestone payments from strategic partnerships, and potential royalties on licensed products. Additionally, Verona Pharma may engage in collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies to leverage their resources for co-development and commercialization, which can provide upfront payments and funding support for clinical trials.

Verona Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Verona Pharma shows strong revenue growth, but remains unprofitable with negative margins and relies on external funding. Liquidity is strong, but there are concerns about profitability and cash flow sustainability.

Income Statement

Verona Pharma's income statement shows a significant year-over-year revenue growth, particularly notable in the TTM period with a revenue of $118.54 million compared to $42.28 million in the previous year. However, despite the revenue increase, the company remains unprofitable, with negative EBIT and Net Income, indicating challenges in managing operational costs. Margins are negative across the board, reflecting ongoing financial instability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a strong liquidity position with substantial cash reserves of $401.42 million in TTM, significantly exceeding its total debt of $2.13 million. The equity ratio is favorable at 43.10%, showcasing financial stability. However, the company has experienced limited equity growth, and the negative net debt indicates reliance on external financing for operations.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement highlights substantial negative operating cash flow of $119.80 million in TTM, indicating cash burn from operations. Despite negative free cash flow, the company has managed to secure significant financing cash flow of $267.04 million, which has supported its liquidity. Nonetheless, the company's dependency on external financing raises concerns about long-term sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	118.53M	42.28M	0.00	458.00K	40.00M	0.00
Gross Profit	112.28M	39.70M	-679.62K	112.00K	40.00M	-627.85K
EBITDA	-176.07M	-142.19M	-52.47M	-67.29M	-42.19M	-47.81M
Net Income	-164.02M	-173.42M	-54.37M	-68.70M	-55.57M	-65.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	525.94M	474.24M	308.12M	259.47M	186.59M	204.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	401.42M	399.76M	271.77M	227.83M	148.38M	187.99M
Total Debt	2.13M	122.70M	51.33M	10.65M	5.81M	5.95M
Total Liabilities	299.34M	269.68M	58.84M	29.00M	38.58M	19.35M
Stockholders Equity	226.59M	204.56M	249.28M	230.47M	148.00M	184.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-120.37M	-122.78M	-50.22M	-59.89M	-33.27M	-45.16M
Operating Cash Flow	-119.80M	-122.20M	-50.22M	-59.86M	-33.25M	-45.08M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.10M	-580.00K	0.00	-29.00K	-12.00K	9.71M
Financing Cash Flow	267.04M	250.78M	92.87M	140.82M	-6.12M	192.34M

Verona Pharma Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 90.08
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRNA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.18, above the 50-day MA of 79.38, and above the 200-day MA of 55.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VRNA.

Verona Pharma Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KRYS	80 Outperform	$4.02B	34.04	13.90%	―	247.53%	118.34%
ALKS	77 Outperform	$4.78B	13.81	25.71%	―	-12.31%	-17.53%
VRNA	68 Neutral	$7.67B	―	-72.73%	―	―	-157.53%
GH	57 Neutral	$6.22B	―	-4584.47%	―	28.20%	13.87%
Sector *	46 Neutral	C$194.85M	-4.28	-8.56%	2.84%	13.52%	-1.74%
CYTK	45 Neutral	$4.02B	―	435.49%	―	412.21%	1.75%
NUVL	43 Neutral	$5.78B	―	-35.69%	―	―	-81.09%

Verona Pharma Corporate Events

Verona Pharma Enhances Financial Flexibility with Loan Amendments

On March 27, 2025, Verona Pharma announced an amendment to its credit agreement with Oaktree, increasing the Tranche C Term Loans from $75 million to $125 million and reducing the interest rate from 11% to 9.7%, with a further reduction to 9.35% upon meeting sales milestones. The amendment also includes a $75 million basket for a future working capital facility. On March 28, 2025, Verona Pharma repurchased its $100 million RIPSA obligation with reduced fees and increased its term loan facility to $450 million with improved terms. This strategic move enhances Verona Pharma’s financial flexibility and supports the continued growth of its COPD treatment, Ohtuvayre, while maintaining access to an additional $200 million under the term loan facility.