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ADMA Biologics (ADMA)
NASDAQ:ADMA
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ADMA Biologics (ADMA) AI Stock Analysis

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ADMA

ADMA Biologics

(NASDAQ:ADMA)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(10.47% Upside)
ADMA Biologics exhibits strong financial performance and promising earnings call insights, driving the overall score. Technical analysis presents mixed signals, while valuation remains fair. The company's strategic initiatives and robust guidance further bolster its position.
Positive Factors
Production Expansion
Expansion of collection centers from 50-70 to over 250 increases raw plasma acquisition capabilities.
Supply Chain
Long-term plasma supply agreements have set the stage for achieving over $1 billion in sales by 2030.
Negative Factors
Filing Delay
ADMA stated it would be unable to file its 2024 10-K within the prescribed timeframe.
Filing Uncertainty
The filing of ADMA's 10-K is seen as a clearing event, resolving previous accounting concerns and shifting focus to the expansion of ASCENIV.

ADMA Biologics (ADMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ADMA Biologics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionADMA Biologics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing, manufacturing, and marketing specialty plasma-derived biologics for the treatment of immune deficiencies and infectious diseases in the United States and internationally. It offers BIVIGAM, an intravenous immune globulin (IVIG) product indicated for the treatment of primary humoral immunodeficiency (PI); ASCENIV, an IVIG product for the treatment of PI; and Nabi-HB for the treatment of acute exposure to blood containing Hepatitis B surface antigen and other listed exposures to Hepatitis B. The company also develops a pipeline of plasma-derived therapeutics, including products related to the methods of treatment and prevention of S. pneumonia infection for an immunoglobulin. In addition, it operates source plasma collection facilities. The company sells its products through independent distributors, sales agents, specialty pharmacies, and other alternate site providers. ADMA Biologics, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ramsey, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyADMA Biologics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its immunoglobulin products to hospitals, clinics, and specialty distributors. The company benefits from a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales to healthcare providers and potentially through partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies for distribution and co-marketing of its products. Additionally, ADMA may receive revenue from government contracts or grants aimed at supporting its research and development efforts. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other healthcare organizations are also key contributors to its earnings, as these can provide access to new markets and enhance product distribution capabilities.

ADMA Biologics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by ADMA Biologics with significant revenue growth, successful strategic initiatives, and promising advancements in R&D. While there are challenges related to growth guidance and payer dynamics, the positive developments in yield enhancement, market penetration, and infrastructure expansion outweigh these concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Substantial Revenue Growth
Total revenues reached $122 million, representing a 29% year-over-year growth on an underlying basis, excluding the nonrecurring Medicaid rebate accrual reversal.
ASCENIV Utilization and Market Penetration
ASCENIV utilization reached record highs, with expanded availability and positive feedback from the medical community, indicating strong market potential and demand.
Yield Enhancement Process
The FDA-approved yield enhancement process is underway, achieving a 20% or greater increase in bulk IG output, expected to drive meaningful gross margin expansion.
Debt Refinancing
Completed a JPMorgan-led debt refinancing, lowering borrowing costs and enhancing liquidity, providing additional financial flexibility for long-term growth.
Infrastructure Expansion
Acquired a facility and adjacent land near the Boca Raton campus, expected to support growth through expanded cold storage, warehousing, and potential manufacturing space expansion.
R&D Progress
Initiated studies on SG-001, a potential $300-$500 million annual revenue opportunity, with promising preclinical results and patent protection through at least 2037.
Negative Updates
Guidance and Growth Challenges
Despite strong performance, guidance for the second half of 2025 suggests modest growth, with a conservative approach due to uncertainties in production ramp-up and lot releases.
Payer Challenges
Reimbursement challenges remain for ASCENIV, requiring prior authorizations for about 70% of IG products, although efforts to support clinicians are ongoing.
Company Guidance
During the ADMA Biologics Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance, highlighting significant financial and operational achievements. Total revenue for the quarter reached $122 million, reflecting a 29% year-over-year growth when adjusting for a nonrecurring Medicaid rebate accrual reversal. Adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA grew approximately 85% and 59% year-over-year, respectively. The company reaffirmed its financial guidance for 2025, expecting total revenue of $500 million or more, adjusted EBITDA of at least $235 million, and adjusted net income of $175 million or more. Looking ahead to 2026, ADMA anticipates at least $625 million in total revenue, adjusted EBITDA of $340 million or more, and adjusted net income of at least $245 million. The company also highlighted the successful implementation of an FDA-approved yield enhancement process, which is expected to increase bulk IG output by 20% or greater, driving gross margin expansion from early 2026. Additionally, ADMA completed a debt refinancing with JPMorgan, securing a $300 million credit facility to lower borrowing costs and enhance financial flexibility. The acquisition of a new facility near their Boca Raton campus is expected to support future growth by expanding operating capacity and infrastructure.

ADMA Biologics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ADMA Biologics demonstrates strong financial health with significant improvements in revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage and high equity ratios, minimizing financial risk. Strong cash flow management supports its operations, although careful monitoring of cash reserves is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ADMA Biologics has shown impressive revenue growth, with a TTM increase in Total Revenue of 7.72% compared to the previous annual report. The company has achieved a Gross Profit Margin of 52.54% and a Net Profit Margin of 45.00% in the TTM period, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins at 33.08% and 34.46% respectively, further demonstrate efficient operational management. Overall, the income statement reflects a solid turnaround from previous losses, showcasing strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
ADMA Biologics has a strong equity position, with Stockholders' Equity accounting for 73.13% of Total Assets in the TTM period. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.22, indicating a low reliance on debt financing, which mitigates financial risk. However, the decreasing cash and short-term investments over time warrant attention. The Return on Equity of 55.39% in the TTM period is exceptionally high, reflecting strong profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company has shown strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.44 in the TTM period, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. While Operating Cash Flow decreased slightly from the previous period, it remains robust and supports the company's operations. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decrease compared to previous years, highlighting the need for cautious cash management in future periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue474.17M426.45M258.21M154.08M80.94M42.22M
Gross Profit251.32M219.55M88.94M35.27M1.17M-19.07M
EBITDA163.11M147.69M5.12M-39.72M-53.33M-59.82M
Net Income208.93M197.67M-28.24M-85.18M-84.45M-87.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets558.38M488.68M329.18M348.46M276.25M207.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.28M103.15M51.35M86.52M51.09M55.92M
Total Debt83.83M82.12M141.42M154.44M102.92M97.67M
Total Liabilities160.06M139.66M193.98M196.49M135.08M119.42M
Stockholders Equity398.32M349.02M135.21M151.97M141.17M88.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.09M110.10M3.82M-73.42M-125.88M-114.73M
Operating Cash Flow76.71M118.67M8.80M-59.51M-112.37M-102.00M
Investing Cash Flow-11.10M-8.57M-4.98M-13.91M-13.51M-12.72M
Financing Cash Flow-63.57M-58.30M-38.99M108.85M121.05M143.90M

ADMA Biologics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.20
Price Trends
50DMA
18.50
Negative
100DMA
19.59
Negative
200DMA
18.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
43.74
Neutral
STOCH
38.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADMA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.75, below the 50-day MA of 18.50, and below the 200-day MA of 18.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADMA.

ADMA Biologics Risk Analysis

ADMA Biologics disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ADMA Biologics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ADMA Biologics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.91B19.2971.23%43.58%491.01%
68
Neutral
$9.05B-36.38%34.29%
54
Neutral
$6.51B-59.83%16.04%30.61%
54
Neutral
$3.81B-28.39%32.56%33.33%
51
Neutral
$7.42B-0.36-40.86%2.27%22.89%-2.16%
50
Neutral
$3.89B-21.65%11.84%
43
Neutral
$4.11B435.49%2635.74%4.66%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADMA
ADMA Biologics
17.20
-0.37
-2.11%
CYTK
Cytokinetics
36.88
-19.00
-34.00%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
43.10
-3.75
-8.00%
VRNA
Verona Pharma
105.20
77.89
285.21%
ZLAB
Zai Lab
35.63
19.38
119.26%
PCVX
Vaxcyte
31.55
-45.40
-59.00%

ADMA Biologics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ADMA Biologics Secures $300M Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, ADMA Biologics entered into a $300 million credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, which includes a $75 million term loan and a $225 million revolving credit facility. This refinancing replaces existing debt, lowers borrowing costs, and enhances strategic financial flexibility. Additionally, ADMA reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 14% year-over-year revenue increase and significant earnings growth. The company also initiated commercial-scale manufacturing with an FDA-approved process, acquired a new facility to expand its U.S. supply chain, and repurchased $15 million in common stock, positioning itself for accelerated growth in the latter half of 2025 and beyond.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADMA) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ADMA Biologics stock, see the ADMA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ADMA Biologics Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, ADMA Biologics, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made, including the election of two Class III directors, ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, approval of executive compensation, and setting the frequency of future advisory votes on executive pay to annually. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADMA) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ADMA Biologics stock, see the ADMA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025