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ADMA Biologics (ADMA)
NASDAQ:ADMA
US Market

ADMA Biologics (ADMA) AI Stock Analysis

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ADMA Biologics

(NASDAQ:ADMA)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(25.00%Upside)
ADMA Biologics' strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the primary drivers of the stock score. Although technical indicators show mixed signals, the improved guidance and strategic initiatives, such as FDA approval and stock repurchase, highlight significant growth potential. Valuation remains moderate, supporting a favorable outlook for long-term investors.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The filing of ADMA's 10-K is seen as a clearing event, resolving previous accounting concerns and shifting focus to the expansion of ASCENIV.
Supply Chain
The recent long-term plasma contracts have alleviated supply concerns, supporting the growth potential for ASCENIV.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Expectations
Key triggers behind the sell-off were a more modest than expected 2025 guide, ambiguity on bullish implications of the enhanced supply agreements, and valuation friction.

ADMA Biologics (ADMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ADMA Biologics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionADMA Biologics (ADMA) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of specialty plasma-derived biologics. The company's primary emphasis is on immune globulin products used to treat patients with immune deficiencies and other related conditions. ADMA operates in the healthcare sector, providing critical therapies for individuals with compromised immune systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyADMA Biologics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its plasma-derived products, including BIVIGAM and ASCENIV, which are used for treating immune deficiencies. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, managing the collection of plasma from its donation centers, the manufacturing process, and the distribution of its products. Key revenue streams include direct sales to hospitals, specialty pharmacies, and healthcare providers. ADMA also earns revenue through strategic partnerships and agreements that enhance its distribution and reach within the market. The focus on niche markets and the critical nature of its products contribute significantly to its financial performance.

ADMA Biologics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for ADMA Biologics reflected strong financial growth and operational achievements, notably with the FDA approval for a new production process and raised financial guidance. However, challenges such as voluntary product withdrawals and high operating expenses were also evident. Overall, the sentiment remains optimistic, supported by strategic initiatives and financial strength.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Growth
Total revenues reached $114.8 million, a $32.9 million increase year-over-year, marking a growth rate of approximately 40%. Adjusted EBITDA grew by approximately 81% year-over-year. Adjusted net income increased by 87% year-over-year.
FDA Approval for Yield Enhancement Process
ADMA received FDA approval for a novel yield enhancement production process, which is expected to provide 20% more bulk IG from the same starting plasma volumes.
Raised Financial Guidance
Guidance for 2025 and 2026 was raised, with 2025 total revenue guidance increased to $500 million or more, and 2026 total revenue guidance increased to $625 million or more.
Stock Repurchase Program
The Board authorized a stock repurchase program allowing ADMA to purchase up to $500 million of its common stock, approximately 8% of the company’s total current market cap.
Debt Reorganization
Debt reorganization with Ares Capital Management was completed, reducing the total cost of debt by 1.1%.
Negative Updates
Voluntary Product Withdrawals
The company faced voluntary product withdrawals during the first quarter, affecting revenues. This involved a $3.8 million impact due to adverse events experienced by patients.
Ongoing High Operating Expenses
The company expects a normalization in operating expenses as it progresses through 2025, which were elevated due to strategic increases in medical education and promotion activities.
Company Guidance
During ADMA Biologics' first quarter 2025 conference call, the company announced a significant financial and operational upturn, with total revenues reaching $114.8 million, reflecting an impressive 40% year-over-year growth. The adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA surged by approximately 87% and 81% year-over-year, respectively. In light of these robust results, ADMA revised its 2025 guidance, projecting total revenues of $500 million or more, adjusted EBITDA of at least $235 million, and reaffirmed adjusted net income guidance of at least $175 million. For 2026, expectations were increased to $625 million in total revenue, $340 million or more in adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted net income of at least $245 million. The company also anticipates reaching $1.1 billion in total annual revenue before 2030. Additionally, ADMA announced a $500 million stock repurchase program, emphasizing its strategic capital allocation and commitment to enhancing shareholder value. The company's confidence is further bolstered by its FDA-approved yield enhancement production process, enabling a 20% increase in bulk IG production from the same plasma volumes, positioning ADMA as a leader in the plasma-derived therapies market.

ADMA Biologics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ADMA Biologics demonstrates strong financial health with significant improvements in revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage and high equity ratios, minimizing financial risk. Strong cash flow management supports its operations, although careful monitoring of cash reserves is advisable. Overall, the company is well-positioned within the Biotechnology industry, benefiting from improved financial metrics.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ADMA Biologics has shown impressive revenue growth, with a TTM increase in Total Revenue of 7.72% compared to the previous annual report. The company has achieved a Gross Profit Margin of 52.54% and a Net Profit Margin of 45.00% in the TTM period, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins at 33.08% and 34.46% respectively, further demonstrate efficient operational management. Overall, the income statement reflects a solid turnaround from previous losses, showcasing strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
ADMA Biologics has a strong equity position, with Stockholders' Equity accounting for 73.13% of Total Assets in the TTM period. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.22, indicating a low reliance on debt financing, which mitigates financial risk. However, the decreasing cash and short-term investments over time warrant attention. The Return on Equity of 55.39% in the TTM period is exceptionally high, reflecting strong profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company has shown strong cash flow management with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.44 in the TTM period, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. While Operating Cash Flow decreased slightly from the previous period, it remains robust and supports the company's operations. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decrease compared to previous years, highlighting the need for cautious cash management in future periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue459.38M426.45M258.21M154.08M80.94M42.22M
Gross Profit241.40M219.55M88.94M35.27M1.17M-19.07M
EBITDA158.29M147.69M5.12M-39.72M-53.33M-59.82M
Net Income206.77M197.67M-28.24M-85.18M-84.45M-87.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets510.57M488.68M329.18M348.46M276.25M207.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.63M103.15M51.35M86.52M51.09M55.92M
Total Debt82.01M82.12M141.42M154.44M102.92M97.67M
Total Liabilities137.15M139.66M193.98M196.49M135.08M119.42M
Stockholders Equity373.42M349.02M135.21M151.97M141.17M88.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.66M110.10M3.82M-73.42M-125.88M-114.73M
Operating Cash Flow101.22M118.67M8.80M-59.51M-112.37M-102.00M
Investing Cash Flow-10.93M-8.57M-4.98M-13.91M-13.51M-12.72M
Financing Cash Flow-63.98M-58.30M-38.99M108.85M121.05M143.90M

ADMA Biologics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.40
Price Trends
50DMA
20.72
Negative
100DMA
19.26
Negative
200DMA
18.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Positive
RSI
40.52
Neutral
STOCH
13.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADMA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.71, below the 50-day MA of 20.72, and below the 200-day MA of 18.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADMA.

ADMA Biologics Risk Analysis

ADMA Biologics disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ADMA Biologics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ADMA Biologics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.20B21.8078.45%62.22%
68
Neutral
$8.10B-72.73%-157.53%
58
Neutral
$6.37B-118.53%-7.65%-11.81%
56
Neutral
$4.17B-32.05%43.72%28.63%
51
Neutral
$7.41B0.32-61.11%2.34%16.99%1.69%
50
Neutral
$4.27B-19.66%7.75%
43
Neutral
$3.95B435.49%412.21%1.75%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADMA
ADMA Biologics
18.40
7.22
64.58%
CYTK
Cytokinetics
33.91
-20.27
-37.41%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
39.78
-7.88
-16.53%
VRNA
Verona Pharma
94.40
79.94
552.84%
ZLAB
Zai Lab
36.19
18.86
108.83%
PCVX
Vaxcyte
32.88
-42.63
-56.46%

ADMA Biologics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ADMA Biologics Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, ADMA Biologics, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made, including the election of two Class III directors, ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, approval of executive compensation, and setting the frequency of future advisory votes on executive pay to annually. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADMA) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ADMA Biologics stock, see the ADMA Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ADMA Biologics Announces $500M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 7, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, ADMA Biologics reported a significant financial performance with a 40% increase in total revenue and an 81% rise in adjusted EBITDA year-over-year. The company announced a $500 million share repurchase program and a debt reorganization that reduced its cost of debt by 1.1%. Additionally, the FDA approved ADMA’s yield enhancement production process, expected to boost production output by 20%, supporting revenue growth and margin expansion. The company has increased its revenue guidance for 2025 and 2026, projecting total annual revenues to exceed $1.1 billion by 2030.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2025