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Cytokinetics (CYTK)
NASDAQ:CYTK

Cytokinetics (CYTK) AI Stock Analysis

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CYTK

Cytokinetics

(NASDAQ:CYTK)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$65.00
▲(2.99% Upside)
Cytokinetics' overall score reflects significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, offset by positive corporate events and potential growth from recent FDA approval. The technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, while the earnings call indicates progress but also highlights financial and regulatory risks.
Positive Factors
FDA Approval of MYQORZO
The FDA approval of MYQORZO for oHCM enhances Cytokinetics' market position and provides a new revenue stream, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Financial Position
A robust cash position provides Cytokinetics with the financial flexibility to invest in R&D and commercialization efforts, supporting sustainable growth.
European Expansion Plans
Expansion into the European market with aficamten could significantly increase Cytokinetics' market reach and revenue potential over the long term.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting Cytokinetics' ability to meet obligations and invest in growth.
Negative Profitability
Persistent negative profitability indicates operational challenges, which could hinder long-term financial health and require strategic adjustments.
Pending Regulatory Approvals
Pending regulatory approvals create uncertainty in market penetration and revenue realization, impacting strategic planning and investor confidence.

Cytokinetics (CYTK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cytokinetics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCytokinetics, Incorporated, a late-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing muscle activators and inhibitors as potential treatments for debilitating diseases. The company develops small molecule drug candidates primarily engineered to impact muscle function and contractility. Its drug candidates include omecamtiv mecarbil, a novel cardiac myosin activator that is in Phase III clinical trial in patients with heart failure; and reldesemtiv, a skeletal muscle troponin activator, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and spinal muscular atrophy. The company also develops CK-136, a novel cardiac troponin activator that is in Phase I clinical trial; aficamten, a novel cardiac myosin inhibitor, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; and CK-3772271, a small molecule cardiac myosin inhibitor that is in Phase I clinical trial. Cytokinetics, Incorporated has a strategic alliance with Astellas Pharma Inc. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCytokinetics generates revenue primarily through the development of its drug candidates, which may include licensing agreements, collaboration deals, and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies. The company may receive milestone payments and royalties from these collaborations, particularly if their clinical trials lead to successful product approvals. Additionally, Cytokinetics may generate revenue through grants and government funding for research and development. The company's financial performance is closely tied to the progress of its clinical trials and the commercialization of its therapeutic products.

Cytokinetics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Highlights revenue contributions from different business segments, providing insight into which areas drive growth and how diversified the company’s income streams are.
Chart InsightsCytokinetics' revenue is heavily reliant on sporadic license and milestone payments, with no consistent revenue stream from other segments. The recent earnings call highlights a strong financial position with $1.1 billion in cash, but increased R&D and administrative expenses are impacting profitability. The early completion of the ACACIA-HCM trial enrollment is a positive sign, yet the PDUFA date extension for aficamten could delay revenue from this key drug. Investors should watch for developments in the Sanofi partnership in China, which could open new revenue opportunities.
Data provided by:The Fly

Cytokinetics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress towards the approval and commercial readiness of aficamten, supported by strong clinical trial results and a solid financial position. However, increased net loss and pending regulatory approvals present challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Progress Towards FDA Approval of Aficamten
Cytokinetics made significant progress in preparing for the potential FDA approval of aficamten for patients with oHCM, with constructive engagements with the FDA and completion of key commercial launch readiness activities.
MAPLE-HCM Trial Success
The MAPLE-HCM trial demonstrated the superiority of aficamten over metoprolol in patients with oHCM, showing significant improvements in exercise capacity and challenging the use of beta blockers as the standard-of-care therapy.
Strong Financial Position
Cytokinetics has a strong balance sheet with approximately $1.25 billion in cash and investments, bolstered by a convertible note offering that provides additional capital and financial flexibility.
European and Global Expansion Plans
Preparations for potential commercial launch of aficamten in the EU and coordination with Sanofi for potential approval in China are well underway, with expected EMA approval in the first half of 2026.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
The net loss for the third quarter of 2025 was $306.2 million, a significant increase from the net loss of $160.5 million for the same period in 2024, driven by a debt conversion expense.
Pending Regulatory Approval and Market Uncertainties
While progress has been made, aficamten's approval by the FDA and EMA is still pending, with uncertainties around the finalization of the REMS program and potential market penetration.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during the Cytokinetics Q3 2025 earnings call was comprehensive, focusing on the anticipated FDA approval of aficamten for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM) by the end of 2025. Key metrics discussed included the completion of GCP inspections with no observations noted and the absence of pre-approval inspection notifications from the FDA. The company is preparing for a commercial launch with a newly onboarded cardiovascular sales team averaging over 20 years of industry experience, aiming to reach nearly 80% of the estimated 650 HCM prescribing healthcare providers within the first few weeks of January 2026. The metrics for measuring launch success include healthcare provider (HCP) prescribing breadth and depth, and the volume of patients on aficamten, with a goal to achieve parity access by the second half of 2026. Additionally, they expect potential European approval in the first half of 2026, with a launch in Germany planned for the same period, and efforts are ongoing with Sanofi for potential approval in China. Financially, the company reported a net loss of $306.2 million for Q3 2025, with cash and investments totaling $1.25 billion, bolstered by a convertible note offering.

Cytokinetics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cytokinetics faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and high leverage. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with high costs and negative cash flows, indicating financial instability.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Cytokinetics has experienced significant revenue growth in recent periods, but it remains unprofitable with negative margins across the board. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are deeply negative, indicating high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
10
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning level of leverage, with a negative debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity. This indicates financial instability and potential risk in meeting debt obligations. The return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is not favorable.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cytokinetics has negative operating and free cash flows, although there is some growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue87.21M18.47M7.53M94.59M70.43M55.83M
Gross Profit-111.22M-320.93M-322.59M-146.22M-89.51M-41.12M
EBITDA-646.17M-493.48M-456.68M-329.40M-176.34M-86.78M
Net Income-751.94M-589.53M-526.24M-388.95M-215.31M-127.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.44B1.40B824.32M1.01B841.32M533.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments962.53M1.08B614.82M782.58M471.64M464.06M
Total Debt1.20B788.68M755.77M750.30M269.93M138.94M
Total Liabilities1.96B1.54B1.21B1.12B597.46M420.42M
Stockholders Equity-521.12M-135.37M-386.32M-107.90M243.86M113.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-453.38M-399.80M-415.75M-310.85M-191.39M-2.11M
Operating Cash Flow-432.93M-395.89M-414.33M-299.52M-142.52M8.94M
Investing Cash Flow198.72M-553.10M239.25M-262.13M-147.78M-196.51M
Financing Cash Flow416.14M930.61M221.32M516.17M319.98M234.12M

Cytokinetics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.11
Price Trends
50DMA
62.80
Positive
100DMA
55.16
Positive
200DMA
45.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.77
Neutral
STOCH
35.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CYTK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.49, above the 50-day MA of 62.80, and above the 200-day MA of 45.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CYTK.

Cytokinetics Risk Analysis

Cytokinetics disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cytokinetics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cytokinetics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$10.87B-17.30-32.44%106.27%-43.90%
59
Neutral
$7.34B-35.45-240.36%54.92%28.47%
57
Neutral
$7.72B-10.002609.26%-17.08%
57
Neutral
$7.67B-32.54-275.50%65.83%28.50%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$4.16B-17.25-22.60%74.91%31.54%
43
Neutral
$7.57B-19.58-38.79%-52.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CYTK
Cytokinetics
63.11
15.96
33.85%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
152.05
67.27
79.35%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
110.00
53.66
95.24%
LEGN
Legend Biotech
22.53
-10.24
-31.25%
RNA
Avidity Biosciences
72.13
42.95
147.19%
NUVL
Nuvalent
104.10
26.23
33.68%

Cytokinetics Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cytokinetics Gains FDA Approval for MYQORZO in oHCM
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Cytokinetics announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved MYQORZO (aficamten) tablets in multiple strengths for the treatment of adults with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy to improve functional capacity and symptoms. MYQORZO, an allosteric and reversible inhibitor of cardiac myosin motor activity, works by reducing cardiac contractility and left ventricular outflow tract obstruction in oHCM patients, marking a significant commercial and clinical milestone that strengthens Cytokinetics’ position in the cardiovascular therapeutics market and expands treatment options for patients with this serious cardiac condition.

Product-Related Announcements
Cytokinetics Receives EU Recommendation for MYQORZO®
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Cytokinetics announced that the European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use has recommended marketing authorization for MYQORZO® (aficamten) in the EU. This cardiac myosin inhibitor is intended for treating symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in adults, with a final decision expected from the European Commission in early 2026.

Executive/Board Changes
Cytokinetics Appoints New Executive VP and CLO
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Cytokinetics announced the appointment of Jeffrey J. Hessekiel as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer, effective November 14, 2025. Mr. Hessekiel brings extensive legal and compliance experience from his previous roles at Exelixis, Arnold & Porter LLP, and Gilead Sciences, Inc. His compensation package includes a base salary of $660,000, a signing bonus, and an equity award, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on strengthening its leadership team to enhance its market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025