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TG Therapeutics (TGTX)
NASDAQ:TGTX

TG Therapeutics (TGTX) AI Stock Analysis

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TGTX

TG Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:TGTX)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▼(-1.46% Downside)
The score is driven by strong operational/guidance momentum (raised BRIUMVI outlook and positive commercial updates) and a low P/E, but capped by weak cash conversion with still-negative operating/free cash flow and by bearish technicals with the stock trading below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Commercial traction & revenue growth
BRIUMVI delivered sustained commercial uptake with U.S. net sales driving a sharp revenue increase, reflecting expanding prescriber adoption and patient awareness. Durable commercial traction supports multiyear revenue scaling, a larger sales infrastructure, and stronger long-run cash generation if maintained.
Raised guidance and multi-year revenue targets
Management's raised guidance and explicit 2026 revenue targets provide multi-period visibility, signaling confidence in uptake and planning. This structural guidance supports capital allocation for manufacturing, R&D and commercialization and frames expectations for sustainable top-line growth over the next several years.
Improved balance sheet and lower leverage
Equity increases and reduced leverage improve financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and solvency risk. A healthier capital structure enables funding of inventory builds, manufacturing scale-up and R&D without immediate excessive dilution, supporting execution of medium-term commercial and pipeline plans.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Despite revenue growth, the company remains cash-negative at the operating level, indicating it is not yet self-funding. Persistent negative cash conversion forces reliance on external capital or balance sheet draws, constraining sustainable investment pace and increasing execution risk over the next 2–6 months.
Earnings quality concerns from non-operating items
TTM net income outpacing operating profit and unusually elevated ROE point to one-time or non-operational gains boosting reported earnings. This undermines confidence in repeatable profitability and raises volatility risk if those items reverse, reducing predictability of future cash earnings.
Concentration risk and rising operating spend for scale-up
Revenue remains heavily concentrated in BRIUMVI with limited ex-U.S. sales; at the same time management plans substantial opex and a $100M manufacturing build. This combination raises execution and concentration risk: delays in approvals, manufacturing or international expansion would materially stress cash flow and growth.

TG Therapeutics (TGTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TG Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTG Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for B-cell malignancies and autoimmune diseases. Its therapeutic product candidates include Ublituximab, an investigational glycoengineered monoclonal antibody for the treatment of B-cell non-hodgkin lymphoma, chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), and relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis; and Umbralisib, an oral inhibitor of PI3K-delta and CK1-epsilon for the treatment of CLL, marginal zone lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma. The company also develops Cosibelimab, a human monoclonal antibody of IgG1 subtype that binds to programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) and blocks its interactions with PD-1 and B7.1 receptors; TG-1701 is an orally available and covalently-bound Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor that exhibits selectivity to BTK compared to ibrutinib in in vitro kinase screening; and TG-1801, a bispecific CD47 and CD19 antibody. In addition, it has various licensed preclinical programs for BET, interleukin-1 receptor associated kinase-4, and GITR; and collaboration agreements with Checkpoint Therapeutics, Inc., Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., Novimmune SA, Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, and Jubilant Biosys. The company has strategic alliances with LFB Biotechnologies S.A.S; GTC Biotherapeutics; LFB/GTC LLC; Ildong Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd.; and Rhizen Pharmaceuticals, S A. TG Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTG Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its therapeutics once they are approved by regulatory agencies and brought to market. The company also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of products developed through these partnerships. Additionally, TG Therapeutics may receive funding from grants or government programs aimed at supporting the development of innovative therapies. As the company progresses in clinical trials and gains regulatory approvals, its revenue potential increases significantly through market access and sales of its product portfolio.

TG Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, positive developments in clinical trials, and an increase in market presence and revenue guidance. However, there were challenges with increased operating expenses and limited ex-U.S. sales growth. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Total revenue reached $161.7 million, an increase of 93% compared to Q3 '24 and 15% over Q2 '25. U.S. BRIUMVI net sales in Q3 totaled approximately $153 million, exceeding internal targets and Street expectations.
Positive Clinical Developments
Enrollment for the ENHANCE study completed quickly, indicating strong interest. The Phase III subcutaneous ublituximab study is on track, with potential approval and launch in 2028.
Share Repurchase Program
Completed initial $100 million share repurchase program, buying back 3.5 million shares. An additional $100 million program authorized.
Sustained Demand and Market Expansion
The CD20 class now represents nearly $10 billion in annual U.S. MS sales. BRIUMVI's market presence expanded with new prescribers and accounts.
Raised Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Full year 2025 U.S. BRIUMVI net revenue guidance increased to approximately $585 million.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses increased compared to the second quarter of '25, primarily due to investment in R&D for subcutaneous BRIUMVI and higher SG&A spend.
Limited Ex-U.S. Sales
Ex-U.S. sales of $6.4 million, showing limited expansion outside the U.S. market.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, TG Therapeutics provided comprehensive guidance on its financial outlook and product development. The company reported strong third-quarter performance, with U.S. net sales for BRIUMVI, their flagship product for relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS), totaling approximately $153 million. This exceeded both internal targets and market expectations, driven by sustained physician engagement and increasing patient awareness. TG Therapeutics raised its full-year 2025 U.S. BRIUMVI net revenue guidance to approximately $585 million, reflecting strong demand trends. They also discussed ongoing pivotal studies, including the ENHANCE trial aiming for a simplified dosing schedule by 2027 and the Phase III subcutaneous ublituximab study, with potential approval in 2028. The company completed a $100 million share repurchase program and announced another $100 million authorization. Despite market temptations, TG Therapeutics remains financially disciplined, focusing on long-term growth and maintaining operational profitability, with a reported GAAP net income of $390.9 million for the quarter.

TG Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement momentum is strong with sharply scaling revenue and high reported profitability, and the balance sheet appears improved with lower leverage. However, cash flow is the major drag: operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative, and the mix of very high net income alongside negative operating cash flow suggests weaker earnings quality/cash conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Results have improved materially versus prior years, with revenue scaling sharply (2023 surge followed by continued growth into 2024 and 2025-09-30 TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)). Profitability is now strong on the surface, supported by very high gross margin and solid operating profitability in the latest periods. The key weakness is earnings quality/volatility risk: net income in TTM is exceptionally high relative to operating profit, suggesting meaningful non-operating items may be driving bottom-line results, making repeatability less certain.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet strengthened with equity rising substantially in the latest TTM period, bringing leverage down to a more conservative level (debt-to-equity improves meaningfully versus 2024). Assets have expanded alongside the business, and the company is no longer in a highly levered position. Offsetting this, returns on equity are unusually elevated in TTM, which likely reflects one-time or non-operational earnings effects rather than steady capital efficiency, and total debt remains sizable in absolute dollars.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash generation remains the primary weak spot: operating cash flow and free cash flow are still negative across the historical periods provided, including 2025-09-30 TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). While the cash burn has improved compared with earlier years and free cash flow growth is positive in TTM, the business is not yet self-funding from operations. The combination of positive net income with negative operating cash flow also signals a disconnect between reported profits and cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue531.90M329.00M233.66M2.79M6.69M152.00K
Gross Profit453.87M290.52M219.11M2.52M5.90M152.00K
EBITDA115.24M49.90M26.10M-213.11M-341.97M-272.68M
Net Income447.47M23.38M12.67M-223.81M-348.10M-279.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B577.69M329.59M193.57M379.63M625.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.58M311.00M217.51M161.68M314.76M605.43M
Total Debt253.72M253.72M110.80M83.06M79.05M41.98M
Total Liabilities417.81M355.33M169.09M134.99M142.48M106.29M
Stockholders Equity607.22M222.36M160.50M58.59M237.15M519.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-70.24M-40.56M-31.41M-176.18M-296.04M-214.86M
Operating Cash Flow-70.07M-40.52M-31.41M-176.17M-295.63M-214.51M
Investing Cash Flow45.23M-1.04M-50.65M-20.01M-332.00K-24.51M
Financing Cash Flow-96.86M128.53M72.70M-391.00K41.42M679.83M

TG Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.43
Price Trends
50DMA
30.72
Negative
100DMA
32.29
Negative
200DMA
33.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
43.02
Neutral
STOCH
16.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.04, below the 50-day MA of 30.72, and below the 200-day MA of 33.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TGTX.

TG Therapeutics Risk Analysis

TG Therapeutics disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TG Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TG Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$10.00B-27.10-9.06%4.14%-179.96%
62
Neutral
$4.67B10.59111.96%100.88%
56
Neutral
$13.39B-48.31-39.99%20.39%34.00%
55
Neutral
$9.29B-39.43-275.50%65.83%28.50%
54
Neutral
$7.48B-19.35-38.79%-52.84%
53
Neutral
$6.84B-33.04-240.36%54.92%28.47%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
29.43
-2.05
-6.51%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
82.67
50.54
157.30%
JAZZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals
164.49
42.52
34.86%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
184.25
76.82
71.51%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
102.52
43.11
72.56%
NUVL
Nuvalent
102.89
18.04
21.26%

TG Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TG Therapeutics Announces Strong 2025 BRIUMVI Revenue Outlook
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, TG Therapeutics reported unaudited preliminary results showing U.S. BRIUMVI net product revenue of about $182 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 and $594 million for the full year, contributing to approximately $616 million in total global revenue for 2025, underscoring rapid commercial traction in the multiple sclerosis market since launch. For 2026, the company is targeting total global revenue of roughly $875 million to $900 million, driven largely by anticipated U.S. BRIUMVI sales of $825 million to $850 million, alongside planned operating expenses of about $350 million (excluding non-cash compensation) and roughly $100 million tied to scaling subcutaneous BRIUMVI manufacturing, while advancing a series of pivotal and exploratory clinical milestones intended to expand BRIUMVI’s use, support a subcutaneous and consolidated IV dosing strategy, and progress its azer-cel CAR-T program in autoimmune disease, which together aim to reinforce TG Therapeutics’ growth profile and broaden its autoimmune franchise.

The most recent analyst rating on (TGTX) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TG Therapeutics stock, see the TGTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026