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TG Therapeutics (TGTX)
NASDAQ:TGTX

TG Therapeutics (TGTX) AI Stock Analysis

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TGTX

TG Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:TGTX)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(9.63% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow conversion (persistent negative operating/free cash flow) and a major revenue/earnings-quality concern in the latest annual figures, despite improved solvency. Offsetting these risks are a favorable valuation (P/E ~10.85) and an upbeat earnings call with reaffirmed 2026 growth guidance, multiple catalysts, and ongoing buybacks, while technical signals remain broadly neutral.
Positive Factors
Commercial Momentum (BRIUMVI Sales)
Sustained rapid uptake of BRIUMVI demonstrates durable market acceptance and growing prescriber adoption across academic and community settings. High-year growth and sequential gains indicate expanding patient starts and persistence, underpinning multi-year revenue visibility independent of short-term seasonality.
Durable Clinical Evidence
Long-term JAMA-published outcomes showing low relapse rates and sustained disability findings strengthen physician confidence and payer support. Robust safety/efficacy data materially reduce adoption friction, support treatment persistence, and buttress long-term BRIUMVI market positioning versus competitors.
Improved Balance Sheet & Capital Flexibility
Material reduction in leverage and sizable current assets provide runway to fund commercialization, pivotal launches and subcutaneous scale-up without immediate equity dilution. Active buybacks and stated cash guidance signal management confidence and give optionality for strategic investments or M&A to extend franchise.
Negative Factors
Chronic Negative Cash Generation
Persistent inability to convert reported profits into positive operating/free cash flow raises sustainability concerns for funding ongoing R&D, manufacturing scale-up and working capital. Continued negative cash conversion could pressure liquidity if revenue growth or payer timing slips.
Earnings Quality Anomaly
A materially inconsistent 2025 reporting profile — revenue collapse paired with a large net income boost from a one‑time tax benefit — undermines confidence in recurring earnings. This raises risk that reported profitability may not translate into predictable operating cash flows or sustainable margins.
Execution & Clinical Readout Dependence
Future growth materially depends on timely positive pivotal data and successful subcutaneous commercialization. Trial delays, negative readouts, or competitive subcutaneous launches could derail the planned TAM expansion and pressure projected revenue and margin improvements over 2027–2028.

TG Therapeutics (TGTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TG Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTG Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for B-cell malignancies and autoimmune diseases. Its therapeutic product candidates include Ublituximab, an investigational glycoengineered monoclonal antibody for the treatment of B-cell non-hodgkin lymphoma, chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), and relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis; and Umbralisib, an oral inhibitor of PI3K-delta and CK1-epsilon for the treatment of CLL, marginal zone lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma. The company also develops Cosibelimab, a human monoclonal antibody of IgG1 subtype that binds to programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) and blocks its interactions with PD-1 and B7.1 receptors; TG-1701 is an orally available and covalently-bound Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor that exhibits selectivity to BTK compared to ibrutinib in in vitro kinase screening; and TG-1801, a bispecific CD47 and CD19 antibody. In addition, it has various licensed preclinical programs for BET, interleukin-1 receptor associated kinase-4, and GITR; and collaboration agreements with Checkpoint Therapeutics, Inc., Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., Novimmune SA, Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, and Jubilant Biosys. The company has strategic alliances with LFB Biotechnologies S.A.S; GTC Biotherapeutics; LFB/GTC LLC; Ildong Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd.; and Rhizen Pharmaceuticals, S A. TG Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTG Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its therapeutics once they are approved by regulatory agencies and brought to market. The company also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of products developed through these partnerships. Additionally, TG Therapeutics may receive funding from grants or government programs aimed at supporting the development of innovative therapies. As the company progresses in clinical trials and gains regulatory approvals, its revenue potential increases significantly through market access and sales of its product portfolio.

TG Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial momentum and rapid revenue growth for BRIUMVI, reinforced by encouraging long‑term clinical data and a clear pipeline with multiple near‑term catalysts (ENHANCE, subcutaneous pivotal, early CAR‑T activity). Financially, the company is positioned with positive cash flow expectations, share repurchase activity and reaffirmed 2026 guidance. Notable cautionary items include that reported FY2025 net income was materially boosted by a one‑time tax benefit, near‑term margin/headwind items (inventory reserve and gross‑to‑net seasonality), and elevated near‑term R&D/manufacturing investment for subcutaneous rollout. Overall, the highlights (strong growth, pipeline momentum, capital flexibility) outweigh the lowlights (one‑time accounting benefit, short‑term expense impacts and execution risks), supporting an optimistic outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Quarterly Acceleration
Total global revenue of ~$616M for FY2025, driven predominantly by U.S. BRIUMVI net sales of ~$594M. Q4 2025 U.S. net sales were $182.7M (total Q4 net product revenue $189.1M), representing ~92% year‑over‑year growth and ~20% sequential growth versus Q3.
Robust Operating Performance and Profitability (Adjusted)
Operating income for FY2025 was $123M. Reported net income was $447.2M ($2.77 diluted EPS) compared to $23.4M ($0.15) in 2024, noting the FY2025 results include a nonrecurring income tax benefit of ~ $340M from release of a deferred tax asset valuation allowance.
Positive Clinical and Long‑Term Data Supporting Uptake
Six‑year open‑label ULTIMATE I/II extension data showed nearly 90% of patients free from 24‑week confirmed disability progression and extremely low relapse rate (equivalent to 1 relapse per ~83 patient‑years); no new safety signals reported — data cited as a key driver of physician confidence and persistence.
Pipeline Momentum with Near‑Term Catalysts
ENHANCE Phase III (single consolidated 600 mg infusion) enrollment complete with topline data expected mid‑2026 and potential 2027 launch. Subcutaneous BRIUMVI Phase III ~75% enrolled with pivotal topline data expected late 2026/early 2027 and potential 2028 launch. Azer‑cel (allogeneic anti‑CD19 CAR‑T) and earlier‑stage programs (e.g., Myasthenia Gravis Phase I) showing early demand/momentum.
Reaffirmed and Growth‑Oriented 2026 Guidance
Reaffirmed FY2026 U.S. BRIUMVI net revenue guidance of $825M–$850M and total global revenue guidance of $875M–$900M. Q1 2026 U.S. revenue expected to be ~$185M–$190M (sequential growth over Q4). Management cites new patient starts tracking to the strongest level since launch.
Strong Balance Sheet & Capital Allocation Actions
Ended year with >$600M in current assets (including ~$200M cash/cash equivalents & investments, ~$300M AR, ~$140M inventory). Completed $100M share repurchase (≈3.5M shares at $28.55 avg) and Board authorized an additional $100M repurchase program. Management expects positive cash flow in 2026 and beyond.
Commercial Execution and Market Share Gains
Broad‑based growth across academic and community settings, expanding prescriber base, record new patient enrollments, strong persistence, and continued share gains within the IV anti‑CD20 segment driven by efficacy, multiyear safety data and operational advantages (1‑hour, twice‑year maintenance).
Negative Updates
Net Income Influenced by One‑Time Tax Benefit
FY2025 reported net income of $447.2M was materially impacted by a nonrecurring income tax benefit of ~ $340M (release of deferred tax asset valuation allowance), meaning reported profitability is not fully reflective of recurring operating performance.
Gross Margin & One‑Time Inventory Reserve Headwind
Quarterly gross margin was slightly below typical due to timing of sales to ex‑U.S. partner and a one‑time inventory reserve, creating near‑term margin pressure.
Rising Operating Costs and Subcutaneous Investment
Full year 2025 operating expenses (R&D + SG&A excl. noncash comp) were ~$328M (slightly above prior guidance of $300M–$320M) driven by incremental manufacturing and development costs for subcutaneous BRIUMVI and continued commercial investment. FY2026 outlook includes ~ $350M in operating expenses plus ~ $100M in subcu manufacturing/secondary manufacturer start‑up costs.
Quarterly Gross‑to‑Net & Seasonal Headwinds
Q1 revenue dynamics are subject to typical industry seasonality (benefit reverifications, deductible resets, high utilization of co‑pay programs) which can create quarter‑to‑quarter gross‑to‑net variability and dampen early‑year net revenue despite strong demand.
Competitive and Execution Risks in Subcutaneous Market
Competitors (noted Roche and Novartis) are accelerating subcutaneous offerings; while management expects subcu BRIUMVI to materially expand TAP (management estimates potential to nearly double TAM), successful commercialization depends on Phase III outcomes and competitive dynamics in a growing but contested subcu market.
Reliance on Upcoming Trial Readouts and Execution
Near‑term commercial expansion and expected market benefits depend on several pivotal readouts (ENHANCE mid‑2026, subcu pivotal late 2026/early 2027). Any delays or negative outcomes would meaningfully affect the 2027–2028 commercialization timeline and projected growth.
Company Guidance
TG reiterated full-year 2026 financial guidance of U.S. BRIUMVI net revenue of $825–$850 million and total global revenue of $875–$900 million, with Q1 2026 U.S. revenue expected to be roughly $185–$190 million (ex‑U.S. ~$5–$10 million); they forecast ~ $350 million of operating expenses in 2026 (excluding noncash comp) plus ~ $100 million of subcutaneous BRIUMVI manufacturing/secondary‑manufacturer start‑up costs (currently recorded to R&D), expect to continue generating positive cash flow in 2026 and beyond, and noted balance‑sheet flexibility after ending 2025 with >$600 million in current assets (≈$200M cash/cash equivalents/securities, $300M AR, $140M inventory) and completing a $100M share repurchase (~3.5M shares at $28.55 avg) with an additional $100M authorized; operationally, ENHANCE enrollment is complete with topline midyear, the subcu Phase III is ~75% enrolled with pivotal topline data late 2026/early 2027 (potential 2028 launch), and Q1 gross‑to‑net variability from deductible resets and co‑pay utilization is expected and baked into the full‑year guide.

TG Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed financial picture: the company shows a strong profitability turnaround and improved balance-sheet strength (low debt relative to equity by 2025), but cash generation is a major weakness with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in every year shown. Additionally, the 2025 annual report anomaly of revenue dropping to zero despite a profit spike is a significant durability/earnings-quality red flag.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
The company showed a strong multi-year step-up in revenue through 2024 (including very strong growth in 2023 and solid growth in 2024), with consistently high gross margins and improving profitability (positive EBIT/EBITDA and positive net income in 2023–2024). However, the 2025 annual report shows revenue dropping to zero while net income spikes sharply, which creates a major sustainability and quality-of-earnings concern versus the prior operating trajectory. Profitability has improved dramatically from heavy losses in 2020–2022, but the latest year’s revenue profile is a clear red flag.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Balance sheet strength improved materially by 2025, with very low debt relative to equity and a much larger equity base versus 2023–2024, indicating meaningfully reduced leverage risk. Return on equity is strong in 2025 and positive in 2023–2024, reflecting the shift into profitability. The key weakness is volatility: leverage was elevated in 2022–2024 (including debt higher than equity in 2024 and 2022), so the capital structure has not been consistently conservative across the period.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation remains the main weak spot: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative every year shown (2020–2025), even as reported earnings turned positive in 2023–2025. Cash burn improved substantially by 2025 versus the very large outflows in 2020–2022, but free cash flow also worsened versus 2024, and the business has not yet demonstrated an ability to consistently convert profits into positive cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue616.29M329.00M233.66M2.79M6.69M
Gross Profit515.33M290.52M219.11M2.52M5.90M
EBITDA134.36M49.90M26.10M-213.11M-341.97M
Net Income447.18M23.38M12.67M-223.81M-348.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06B577.69M329.59M193.57M379.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments141.97M311.00M217.51M161.68M314.76M
Total Debt260.73M253.72M110.80M83.06M79.05M
Total Liabilities415.23M355.33M169.09M134.99M142.48M
Stockholders Equity648.02M222.36M160.50M58.59M237.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.99M-40.56M-31.41M-176.18M-296.04M
Operating Cash Flow-24.77M-40.52M-31.41M-176.17M-295.63M
Investing Cash Flow13.80M-1.04M-50.65M-20.01M-332.00K
Financing Cash Flow-89.73M128.53M72.70M-391.00K41.42M

TG Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.19
Price Trends
50DMA
29.82
Negative
100DMA
31.18
Negative
200DMA
32.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
46.79
Neutral
STOCH
34.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.33, below the 50-day MA of 29.82, and below the 200-day MA of 32.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TGTX.

TG Therapeutics Risk Analysis

TG Therapeutics disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TG Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TG Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$11.62B12.74-8.47%4.14%-179.96%
61
Neutral
$4.61B10.40102.75%100.88%
53
Neutral
$12.99B-33.22-70.72%20.39%34.00%
52
Neutral
$8.39B-49.60-252.11%65.83%28.50%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$7.46B-17.19-36.70%-52.84%
50
Neutral
$6.12B-35.39-244.45%54.92%28.47%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
29.19
-5.92
-16.86%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
79.45
45.70
135.41%
JAZZ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals
188.69
48.46
34.56%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
164.08
38.98
31.16%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
91.00
38.03
71.80%
NUVL
Nuvalent
102.67
30.68
42.62%

TG Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TG Therapeutics Announces Strong 2025 BRIUMVI Revenue Outlook
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, TG Therapeutics reported unaudited preliminary results showing U.S. BRIUMVI net product revenue of about $182 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 and $594 million for the full year, contributing to approximately $616 million in total global revenue for 2025, underscoring rapid commercial traction in the multiple sclerosis market since launch. For 2026, the company is targeting total global revenue of roughly $875 million to $900 million, driven largely by anticipated U.S. BRIUMVI sales of $825 million to $850 million, alongside planned operating expenses of about $350 million (excluding non-cash compensation) and roughly $100 million tied to scaling subcutaneous BRIUMVI manufacturing, while advancing a series of pivotal and exploratory clinical milestones intended to expand BRIUMVI’s use, support a subcutaneous and consolidated IV dosing strategy, and progress its azer-cel CAR-T program in autoimmune disease, which together aim to reinforce TG Therapeutics’ growth profile and broaden its autoimmune franchise.

The most recent analyst rating on (TGTX) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TG Therapeutics stock, see the TGTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026