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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Inc (RYTM)
NASDAQ:RYTM

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) AI Stock Analysis

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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:RYTM)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$94.00
▲(8.42%Upside)
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals' stock score is bolstered by strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, such as successful trial results. However, financial performance issues due to ongoing unprofitability and negative valuation metrics weigh significantly on the overall score.
Positive Factors
BMI Reduction
Bivamelagon demonstrates robust reductions in BMI, exceeding the 10% bar at higher doses despite a short study duration.
Efficacy Data
The stock is up over 30% and investor feedback has been highly positive on the efficacy, with minimal concerns on safety.
Market Potential
Analyst reiterates an Overweight rating and raises the price target, reflecting increased market potential.
Negative Factors
Formulation Issues
Biva’ formulation contained lactose which could be causing the GI event incidence.
Safety Concerns
There was also one SAE of rectal bleeding for 1 patient after 4 doses that was deemed probably related to drug.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for the treatment of rare genetic diseases of obesity. The company's lead product candidate is IMCIVREE, a potent melanocortin-4 receptor for the treatment of pro-opiomelanocortin (POMC), proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 1, leptin receptor (LEPR) deficiency obesity, and Bardet-Biedl and Alström syndrome. It is also developing setmelanotide, which is in Phase II clinical trials for treating POMC or LEPR heterozygous deficiency obesities, steroid receptor coactivator 1 deficiency obesity, SH2B1 deficiency obesity, MC4 receptor deficiency obesity, Smith-Magenis syndrome obesity, POMC epigenetic disorders, and other MC4R disorders. Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has a collaborative research agreement with the Clinical Registry Investigating Bardet-Biedl Syndrome. The company was formerly known as Rhythm Metabolic, Inc. and changed its name to Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. in October 2015. Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyRhythm Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its approved therapeutic product, IMCIVREE. The company earns money by selling this medication to healthcare providers, hospitals, and specialty pharmacies, which then distribute it to patients diagnosed with specific genetic conditions related to obesity. The pricing strategy and reimbursement from insurance companies and government programs also play a critical role in the company's revenue model. Additionally, Rhythm may enter into partnerships or licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies to expand the reach and development of its products, potentially leading to milestone payments and royalties.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 38.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in the growth of global sales, successful Phase 3 trial results, and strong demand for IMCIVREE. However, challenges such as revenue impacts due to inventory shifts and patient discontinuations were noted. The company's financial position remains robust with a cash runway projected into 2027.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Global Sales Revenue Growth
Revenue from global sales of IMCIVREE was $37.7 million in the first quarter of 2025, with the number of patients on reimbursed therapy increasing 14% globally during the quarter.
Phase 3 Trial Results for Setmelanotide
Phase 3 study showed a 16.5% reduction in BMI in the setmelanotide cohort compared to a 3.3% increase in BMI in the placebo group, for a placebo-adjusted difference of 19.8%.
Demand for IMCIVREE
Continued increasing demand for IMCIVREE, with a consistent number of new prescriptions received over the past several quarters, resulting in ongoing growth in patients on reimbursed therapy.
International Expansion
Steady global growth in the number of patients on paid therapy, with notable contributions from France, Germany, and Italy.
Financial Position
Rhythm remains well-capitalized with a projected cash runway into 2027.
Negative Updates
Inventory-Driven Revenue Decrease
There was a net revenue decrease of $4.1 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting timing difference from inventory shipment patterns.
Patient Discontinuation
There were 17 out of 81 setmelanotide-treated patients who were not considered responders, with a percentage discontinuing treatment prematurely.
Bridge Program Impact
During the first quarter, there was an increase in the number of patients that temporarily transitioned from receiving commercial drug to receiving free drug from the Bridge program.
Company Guidance
On the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided positive guidance on their ongoing projects and future outlook. CEO David Meeker confirmed that they are on track for a Q3 filing for their Phase 3 trial on acquired hypothalamic obesity. The trial showed a 16.5% reduction in BMI for the setmelanotide cohort compared to a 3.3% increase in the placebo group, yielding a placebo-adjusted difference of 19.8%. The company also reported solid commercial performance for their product, IMCIVREE, with a 14% increase in global patients on reimbursed therapy. Internationally, the BBS launch is progressing well, contributing to revenue growth, particularly in France and Italy. Financially, Rhythm ended the quarter with $314.5 million in cash, projecting a cash runway into 2027. Additionally, they are looking forward to upcoming data readouts, including the bivamelagon Phase 2 results in Q3 and updates on their Prader-Willi and RM-718 studies by year-end. Overall, the company feels well-positioned with a strong pipeline and ongoing commercial success.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals has shown significant revenue growth, but remains unprofitable with negative EBIT and net income. The high gross profit margin indicates efficient cost management, but ongoing challenges in achieving operational profitability and negative cash flow persist.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals has shown significant revenue growth from $3.15 million in 2021 to $136.86 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. However, the company remains unprofitable with negative EBIT and net income, leading to negative profit margins. The gross profit margin is relatively high at 89.5% for TTM 2025, indicating efficient cost management in production. Despite this, the negative net and EBIT margins highlight ongoing challenges in achieving operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.025 in TTM 2025, reflecting minimal leverage. However, return on equity (ROE) is negative due to continued net losses. The equity ratio stands at 42.2%, indicating a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity. Although liquidity appears stable with significant cash and short-term investments, the low equity base and ongoing losses present financial risks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its core business operations. Free cash flow improved from negative $151.44 million in 2021 to negative $73.49 million in TTM 2025, suggesting better cash management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, emphasizing ongoing operational cash challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue136.86M130.13M77.43M23.64M3.15M0.00
Gross Profit122.48M116.76M68.13M21.50M2.56M-690.00K
EBITDA-149.70M-238.09M-168.46M-174.51M-68.45M-135.88M
Net Income-170.02M-260.60M-184.68M-183.08M-68.01M-130.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets329.52M392.27M332.75M382.48M329.52M187.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments294.86M320.56M275.85M333.29M294.86M172.79M
Total Debt2.55M3.94M1.26M1.94M2.55M3.09M
Total Liabilities45.37M227.72M162.99M118.22M45.37M20.55M
Stockholders Equity284.15M21.73M169.76M264.26M284.15M166.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-73.49M-113.88M-136.20M-177.71M-151.44M-122.19M
Operating Cash Flow-113.49M-113.88M-136.16M-173.43M-146.00M-121.98M
Investing Cash Flow-53.41M-48.17M-5.67M28.03M-62.16M158.53M
Financing Cash Flow219.50M191.24M74.37M213.83M166.48M2.01M

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price86.70
Price Trends
50DMA
64.41
Positive
100DMA
59.87
Positive
200DMA
57.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.06
Negative
RSI
76.93
Negative
STOCH
85.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 86.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.18, above the 50-day MA of 64.41, and above the 200-day MA of 57.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.93 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYTM.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rhythm Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$5.66B-418.97%48.88%39.30%
61
Neutral
$3.54B-51.57%730.42%31.63%
60
Neutral
$4.15B-27.92%-31.37%
60
Neutral
$3.29B69.678.99%-34.02%-65.83%
54
Neutral
$4.91B-19.71%-86.13%-67.29%
RNRNA
53
Neutral
$3.79B-34.19%-17.87%-1.89%
46
Neutral
C$201.94M-3.14-23.14%2.74%21.17%-0.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
86.70
34.80
67.05%
PTGX
Protagonist Therapeutics
53.00
16.25
44.22%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
56.80
-0.66
-1.15%
AKRO
Akero Therapeutics
51.57
24.12
87.87%
SWTX
Springworks Therapeutics
46.99
5.15
12.31%
RNA
Avidity Biosciences
31.45
-14.17
-31.06%

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Announces Stock Offering Agreement
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals entered into an underwriting agreement with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and BofA Securities, Inc. for the sale of 2,058,824 shares of its common stock at $85.00 per share, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 308,823 shares. The offering is expected to close on July 11, 2025, generating approximately $188.7 million in net proceeds, which the company plans to use for clinical development, commercialization activities for IMCIVREE, and general corporate purposes. This financial move is anticipated to support the company’s operations for at least the next 24 months.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYTM) stock is a Buy with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rhythm Pharmaceuticals stock, see the RYTM Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Reports Positive Phase 2 Trial Results
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals announced positive topline results from its Phase 2 trial of bivamelagon, an investigational oral MC4R agonist, in patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity. The trial demonstrated statistically significant and clinically meaningful reductions in BMI over 14 weeks, with bivamelagon achieving reductions comparable to those seen with setmelanotide in similar patient populations. The trial also showed meaningful reductions in hunger scores and consistent safety and tolerability results. Rhythm plans to engage with regulatory authorities to advance bivamelagon to a Phase 3 trial, aiming to establish it as a treatment for acquired hypothalamic obesity.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYTM) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rhythm Pharmaceuticals stock, see the RYTM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Updates Exculpation Provision in Charter
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders approved an amendment to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. This amendment updates the exculpation provision for certain officers, aligning with recent changes in Delaware’s General Corporation Law. The amendment was filed and became effective on June 25, 2025. Additionally, Jennifer Good and Edward T. Mathers were elected as Class II Directors, and other proposals, including the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the company’s accounting firm, were approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYTM) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rhythm Pharmaceuticals stock, see the RYTM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025