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Springworks Therapeutics (SWTX)
NASDAQ:SWTX
US Market

Springworks Therapeutics (SWTX) AI Stock Analysis

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Springworks Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:SWTX)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
Springworks Therapeutics holds potential due to its strong revenue growth and the strategic merger with Merck. However, ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges, coupled with a negative P/E ratio, weigh on the stock's attractiveness. Technical indicators show upward momentum, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
Merck KGaA's acquisition of SpringWorks is expected to strengthen their US presence and allow expansion into international markets.
Product Potential
Gomekli is poised to become the preferred agent for NF1-PN given strong data, improved compliance, broad approval in both adults and pediatrics, and ease of administration.
Negative Factors
Market Sentiment
The market for rare tumors like those targeted by SpringWorks is uncertain, affecting investor confidence and the valuation of the acquisition.
Valuation Concerns
A price of $3.4B EV is only 2x consensus peak sales of $1.7B, which is considered shockingly low for a company not in distress.

Springworks Therapeutics (SWTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Springworks Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc. acquires, develops, and commercializes medicines for underserved patient populations suffering from rare diseases and cancer. Its lead product candidate is nirogacestat, an oral small molecule gamma secretase inhibitor that is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of desmoid tumors. The company is also developing mirdametinib, an oral small molecule MEK inhibitor that is in Phase 2b clinical trials for the treatment of neurofibromatosis type 1-associated plexiform neurofibromas, as well as Phase 1/2a clinical trial for the treatment of NF1-PN; mirdametinib + lifirafenib, a combination therapy that is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial in patients with advanced or refractory solid tumors; and mirdametinib in monotherapy and combination approaches to treat solid tumors. In addition, it develops BGB-3245, an oral selective small molecule inhibitor of monomeric and dimeric forms of activating BRAF mutations, which is in Phase I clinical trial. The company has collaborations with BeiGene, Ltd., GlaxoSmithKline LLC, and Allogene to develop combination approaches with nirogacestat and mirdametinib; and license agreements with Pfizer Inc. for nirogacestat and mirdametinib. It also has a license agreement with Katholieke Universiteit Leuven and the Flanders Institute for Biotechnology for a portfolio of novel small molecule inhibitors of the TEA Domain; and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute for a portfolio of novel small molecule inhibitors of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor. In addition, the company has clinical collaboration agreement with Janssen Biotech, Inc., Precision BioSciences, Inc., Seagen Inc., and AbbVie, Inc. SpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneySpringworks Therapeutics primarily generates revenue through strategic partnerships, licensing agreements, and potential future sales of its drug candidates. The company enters into collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to co-develop or out-license its therapies, which can include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. Additionally, as its drug candidates progress through clinical trials and gain regulatory approval, Springworks anticipates generating revenue from product sales. The company is also involved in research collaborations that may provide additional funding and resources to support its development pipeline.

Springworks Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call displayed a strong performance for OGSIVEO with significant revenue growth and positive market trends. Expansion efforts into Europe and the promising outlook for mirdametinib contribute to a positive sentiment. However, challenges with the blister pack transition and summer seasonality were noted as short-term hurdles.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth for OGSIVEO
Generated $49.3 million in net product revenue in Q3, representing a 23% growth quarter-over-quarter, driven by robust demand in the U.S. market.
Positive Market Trends and Physician Adoption
High enthusiasm for OGSIVEO with 90% of prescribers likely to use it as a frontline treatment. 65% of patients transitioned to new blister packs, improving adherence.
Significant Opportunity with Mirdametinib
NDA for mirdametinib granted priority review with a potential for approval in early 2025. Strong efficacy and safety profile reported in pivotal trials.
Expansion into European Markets
EU regulatory reviews for OGSIVEO and mirdametinib underway with anticipated approvals in 2025. European headquarters established and commercial leadership onboarded.
Robust Financial Position
Strong balance sheet with $498 million in cash and marketable securities, expected to fund operations through profitability by the first half of 2026.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Blister Pack Transition
Transition to new blister packs caused short-term delays in prescriptions, impacting July's performance due to the need for new prescriptions.
Summer Seasonality Impact
Experienced summer seasonality that impacted new patient starts in July, although demand returned in August and September.
Limited Visibility on Dose Reductions
Incomplete visibility into dose reductions due to ongoing transition to blister packs, with a majority of patients still on the 150 mg dose.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2024 earnings call for SpringWorks Therapeutics, several key metrics were discussed regarding the company's performance and future outlook. Notably, OGSIVEO, a treatment for desmoid tumors, generated $49.3 million in net product revenue, marking a 23% growth quarter-over-quarter. The enthusiasm for OGSIVEO was evident in the increasing demand from both new and existing patients, with over 800 unique patients filling prescriptions in September. The company introduced 150-milligram and 100-milligram strength tablets in blister packaging, which improved patient adherence and convenience. Additionally, the ICD-10 data indicated a desmoid tumor patient population larger than initially estimated, with 10,000 unique patients identified in the U.S. using the new diagnosis code. The company is also preparing for the potential FDA approval of mirdametinib for NF1-PN by its February 28, 2025, PDUFA date, aiming to serve an estimated 40,000 patients in the U.S. These metrics underscore SpringWorks' strong commercial execution and set the stage for continued growth in the upcoming quarters.

Springworks Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Springworks Therapeutics is experiencing strong revenue growth, but profitability challenges persist with negative EBIT and net income margins. The balance sheet shows a stable cash position but declining equity, and cash flow issues highlight the need for better operational efficiency.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Springworks Therapeutics has shown significant revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $219.67 million compared to earlier years. However, the company continues to face profitability challenges with negative EBIT and net income margins, reflecting high operational costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a relatively stable cash position with significant cash reserves. However, the company's equity has been decreasing, and the debt-to-equity ratio is low due to minimal debt, which could be beneficial for future leverage. Yet, overall equity health remains a concern.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash burn typical of pre-profitability biotech firms. The cash flow to net income ratios indicate challenges in converting income into cash flow, but the recent improvement in investing cash flow is a positive sign.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
219.67M191.59M5.45M6.15M0.0035.00M
Gross Profit
204.79M179.04M5.03M4.25M-490.00K34.65M
EBIT
-264.74M-278.13M-343.01M-280.67M-173.47M-46.32M
EBITDA
-262.00M-278.13M-341.35M-280.67M-172.98M-45.98M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-253.93M-258.13M-325.10M-274.16M-173.21M-44.24M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
287.87M307.99M479.20M597.01M373.50M508.48M
Total Assets
505.36M587.28M725.79M630.24M452.49M576.19M
Total Debt
7.39M7.91M7.06M5.25M1.29M2.73M
Net Debt
-56.38M-61.84M-169.00M-62.24M-102.67M-144.35M
Total Liabilities
87.96M106.17M99.57M72.05M30.10M19.13M
Stockholders Equity
417.39M481.10M626.22M-569.93M422.40M557.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-174.33M-180.05M-230.18M-171.76M-129.89M-32.83M
Operating Cash Flow
-165.43M-175.60M-222.79M-161.56M-127.88M-32.19M
Investing Cash Flow
116.47M64.55M34.75M-215.60M83.59M-418.83M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.29M4.76M296.64M340.70M1.16M270.49M

Springworks Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.76
Price Trends
50DMA
44.01
Positive
100DMA
45.93
Positive
200DMA
40.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Positive
RSI
61.05
Neutral
STOCH
56.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.55, above the 50-day MA of 44.01, and above the 200-day MA of 40.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SWTX.

Springworks Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Springworks Therapeutics disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Springworks Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Springworks Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$4.13B-418.97%48.88%39.30%
60
Neutral
$3.59B-19.71%-86.13%-67.29%
60
Neutral
$4.22B-27.92%-31.37%
60
Neutral
$3.43B74.048.99%-34.02%-65.83%
54
Neutral
$3.52B-51.57%730.42%31.63%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.31-45.11%3.29%16.82%0.04%
46
Neutral
$3.55B-386.33%33.46%26.72%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWTX
Springworks Therapeutics
46.76
8.21
21.30%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
39.29
0.24
0.61%
PTGX
Protagonist Therapeutics
56.32
22.93
68.67%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
41.36
-22.20
-34.93%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
62.90
20.13
47.07%
AKRO
Akero Therapeutics
55.62
31.64
131.94%

Springworks Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Springworks Therapeutics Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, SpringWorks Therapeutics held its annual stockholders meeting, during which key proposals were voted on. Stockholders elected Class III directors, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWTX) stock is a Hold with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Springworks Therapeutics stock, see the SWTX Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
SpringWorks Therapeutics Merges with Merck for $3.9 Billion
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 27, 2025, SpringWorks Therapeutics entered into a merger agreement with Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, where SpringWorks will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Merck. The acquisition, valued at approximately $3.9 billion, aims to strengthen Merck’s presence in the U.S. healthcare market and expand the reach of SpringWorks’ therapies for rare tumors. The merger is expected to enhance Merck’s revenue and earnings growth, while providing SpringWorks with the opportunity to leverage Merck’s global resources and expand its market reach.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.