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SmartRent (SMRT)
NYSE:SMRT
US Market

SmartRent (SMRT) AI Stock Analysis

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SmartRent

(NYSE:SMRT)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(12.36%Upside)
SmartRent's stock score reflects a challenging financial and operational environment, with a strategic pivot towards SaaS offering potential but not without execution risks. Technical indicators signal bearish momentum, and the company's valuation metrics highlight profitability challenges. Despite these hurdles, the strong balance sheet and strategic realignment provide a foundation for potential future growth.
Positive Factors
Capitalization Strength
The company is well capitalized with $142.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, no debt and an undrawn credit facility of $75 million.
Hosted Services Profitability
Hosted services gross profit rose to $12.5 million from $11.4 million last year, continuing to be the most profitable revenue stream.
SaaS Revenue Growth
SaaS revenue grew by 17% year-over-year, resulting in a record SaaS ARR of $54.4 million.
Negative Factors
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
The company reported negative Adjusted EBITDA of $(6.4) million, down from $400K year-over-year.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin slightly decreased to 32.8% from 38.5% a year ago, driven from changes to product mix.
Revenue Decrease
Quarterly revenue totaled $35.4 million, marking a 41% decrease from the previous year, driven by fewer units shipped and new units deployed.

SmartRent (SMRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SmartRent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSmartRent, Inc., an enterprise software company, provides an integrated smart home operating system to residential property owners and operators, homebuilders, institutional home buyers, developers, and residents in the United States. Its solution is designed to provide communities with visibility and control their assets while delivering cost savings and additional revenue opportunities through all-in-one home control offerings for residents. The company's products and solutions include smart apartments and homes, access control for buildings, common areas, rental units, asset protection and monitoring, parking management, self-guided tours, and community and resident Wi-Fi. It also offers professional services to customers, which include training, installation, and support services. SmartRent, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneySmartRent generates revenue primarily through the sale and subscription of its smart home technology products and services to property owners and managers. The company's revenue streams include hardware sales from devices like smart locks, thermostats, and sensors, as well as recurring subscription fees from its software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform which provides property management and automation capabilities. Additionally, SmartRent establishes strategic partnerships with real estate developers and property management companies, enabling them to integrate SmartRent's solutions into their developments, which further drives sales and adoption. The combination of upfront hardware sales and ongoing software subscription fees constitutes the core of SmartRent's revenue model.

SmartRent Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Units Deployed
Units Deployed
Shows the number of SmartRent units actively installed, indicating market penetration and adoption rate of its smart home solutions.
Chart InsightsSmartRent's units deployed have shown consistent growth, reflecting strong adoption of their solutions. However, the latest earnings call reveals a strategic pivot towards a SaaS-focused model amid declining hardware sales, which could impact future deployment trends. Despite a 41% revenue drop in Q4 2024, SaaS revenue grew by 17%, now comprising 38% of total revenue. This shift aims to enhance margins and stabilize financials, but challenges in hardware demand and channel partner programs pose risks. Investors should watch how this transition affects unit deployments and overall growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

SmartRent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for SmartRent. While there is strong growth in SaaS revenue and robust customer retention, the company faces challenges with declining total and hardware revenue, increased net loss, and gross margin compression. The strategic shift towards a recurring revenue model and substantial cost savings are positive steps, but current financial metrics indicate challenges in achieving immediate profitability.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong SaaS Revenue Growth
SaaS revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $14 million, with improved ARPU and strong customer retention.
Customer Retention and Market Leadership
SmartRent sustained a customer retention rate above 99.9% over the past three years, with over 800,000 units deployed.
Cost Savings and Operational Restructuring
The company completed over $10 million in annualized cost savings aimed at improving cash flow and profitability.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ended the quarter with $125.6 million in cash, no debt, and $75 million in undrawn credit.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue for the first quarter was $41.3 million, down 18% compared to the same period in the prior year.
Decrease in Hardware Revenue
Hardware revenue was $18.8 million, down 35% year-over-year due to a strategic shift away from hardware sales.
Net Loss and Goodwill Impairment
Net loss increased to $40.2 million, primarily due to a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $24.9 million.
Gross Margin Compression
Gross margin in Q1 was 32.8%, down from 38.5% in the prior year due to lower hardware volume and product mix shift.
Company Guidance
During the SmartRent Q1 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and strategic changes were highlighted to guide the company's future growth and profitability. The company reported total revenue of $41.3 million for the quarter, reflecting an 18% year-over-year decline, primarily due to a 35% drop in hardware revenue as SmartRent shifts focus towards expanding its annual recurring revenue (ARR). SaaS revenue, however, grew by 17% year-over-year to $14 million, supported by a SaaS ARPU increase to $5.69. The company has achieved over $10 million in annualized cost savings to improve cash flow and enhance profitability, with SaaS gross margins at 70.7%. Despite a net loss of $40.2 million mainly due to a non-cash goodwill impairment charge, SmartRent maintains confidence in its strategic plan, emphasizing sustainable and predictable ARR growth, platform superiority, and operational excellence. The company aims to achieve non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA profitability, leveraging a strong balance sheet with $125.6 million in cash and no debt, while navigating potential cost pressures from tariff developments. The CEO search is in its final stages, with new leadership expected to bolster SmartRent's strategic execution in the coming weeks.

SmartRent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SmartRent's financial performance is mixed. The company has shown revenue growth but faces profitability challenges with consistent losses. Its balance sheet is strong, with no debt, but cash flow generation is inconsistent, which is a major area for improvement.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
SmartRent has shown fluctuations in revenue over the years, with a significant increase in revenue from 2020 to 2023, but a decline in 2024. The gross profit margin improved considerably in 2024 compared to earlier years, indicating better cost management. However, the company remains unprofitable, with negative EBIT and net income margins, which is a concern. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, posing a challenge for sustained profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
SmartRent's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with zero total debt in recent years, which is favorable. The equity ratio has remained robust, showing a strong capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative due to continuous net losses, highlighting inefficient utilization of equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company has struggled to generate positive operating and free cash flows consistently. Despite having substantial cash reserves, the lack of consistent free cash flow is concerning. The positive free cash flow in 2023 is a positive sign but requires sustained improvement.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
174.88M236.84M167.82M110.64M52.53M
Gross Profit
60.34M49.53M1.35M-10.07M-4.30M
EBIT
-41.77M-43.16M-104.25M-71.65M-35.72M
EBITDA
-35.28M-37.63M-96.04M-71.13M-35.65M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-33.64M-34.59M-96.32M-71.96M-37.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
142.48M215.21M210.41M430.84M38.62M
Total Assets
420.18M509.76M560.85M579.68M103.85M
Total Debt
7.02M1.31M0.000.004.82M
Net Debt
-135.46M-215.21M-210.41M-430.84M-33.80M
Total Liabilities
130.74M167.31M196.65M130.18M70.67M
Stockholders Equity
289.44M342.45M364.20M449.50M33.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-40.51M2.21M-82.15M-71.85M-28.79M
Operating Cash Flow
-32.91M5.98M-81.04M-70.38M-28.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-7.60M-6.02M-130.79M-9.37M-2.68M
Financing Cash Flow
-32.96M-1.91M-2.80M473.93M48.22M

SmartRent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.89
Price Trends
50DMA
0.89
Positive
100DMA
1.12
Negative
200DMA
1.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.67
Neutral
STOCH
61.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.86, above the 50-day MA of 0.89, and below the 200-day MA of 1.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMRT.

SmartRent Risk Analysis

SmartRent disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SmartRent reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SmartRent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$11.93B10.60-7.51%3.00%7.40%-8.09%
60
Neutral
$174.44M13.0323.24%0.20%
56
Neutral
$240.41M-24.47%-8.39%7.79%
53
Neutral
$194.42M-27.44%16.03%30.99%
52
Neutral
$138.62M-123.26%-18.56%69.22%
51
Neutral
$167.48M-22.66%-25.43%-135.09%
MRMRT
42
Neutral
$198.24M103.42%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMRT
SmartRent
0.92
-1.47
-61.51%
MAPS
WM Technology
1.05
0.04
3.96%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
15.61
-9.14
-36.93%
ONTF
ON24
5.50
-0.19
-3.34%
VCSA
Vacasa
5.39
1.16
27.42%
MRT
Marti Technologies
2.73
0.91
50.00%

SmartRent Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SmartRent Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 13, 2025, SmartRent held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders voted on two key proposals. The first proposal involved the election of Ann Sperling as a Class I director to serve until the 2028 annual meeting, which was approved. The second proposal was the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, which was also ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMRT) stock is a Hold with a $2.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SmartRent stock, see the SMRT Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SmartRent Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results and Strategy Shift
Negative
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, SmartRent reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a strategic shift towards a SaaS-focused revenue model. Despite a decrease in total revenue by 18% year-over-year to $41.3 million, the company achieved a 17% increase in SaaS revenue, reflecting its transition away from hardware-led growth. The net loss increased to $40.2 million due to a goodwill impairment, and the company repurchased 1.0 million shares. SmartRent’s management emphasized foundational steps to rebuild the company as a customer-centric organization, aiming for long-term profitable growth and sustained value creation.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
SmartRent CEO Resignation and Interim Appointment
Negative
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, SmartRent announced the resignation of Shane Paladin as President, CEO, and Board member, effective April 9, 2025. John Dorman, the Board Chair, has been appointed as interim CEO. The company is actively searching for a permanent CEO while Paladin will serve as an advisor for three months to ensure a smooth transition. The company also reported a preliminary first-quarter revenue decrease of 18-20% compared to the previous year, highlighting potential challenges in maintaining its market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.