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Sweetgreen (SG)
NYSE:SG
US Market

Sweetgreen (SG) AI Stock Analysis

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SG

Sweetgreen

(NYSE:SG)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-8.74% Downside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and negative free cash flow). Technicals are only mildly supportive with neutral momentum and a longer-term downtrend. Earnings call updates add some offsetting positives (transformation plan and liquidity from the Spyce sale), but guidance still points to negative EBITDA, and valuation remains challenged due to losses and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Sweet Growth Transformation Plan
The Sweet Growth Transformation Plan aims to enhance operational efficiency and brand strength, potentially improving long-term profitability and market position.
Strategic Sale of Spyce
The sale of Spyce provides significant liquidity, reducing financial strain and allowing Sweetgreen to focus on core operations and growth initiatives.
New Restaurant Openings
Expanding into new markets with innovative restaurant formats supports long-term revenue growth and strengthens Sweetgreen's competitive position.
Negative Factors
Same-Store Sales Decline
A decline in same-store sales indicates challenges in maintaining customer engagement and market share, impacting long-term revenue stability.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Ongoing EBITDA losses reflect operational inefficiencies and cost management issues, posing risks to financial sustainability and profitability.
Challenges with Younger Consumer Base
Decreased spending by a key demographic could affect future growth, as this group represents a significant portion of the customer base.

Sweetgreen (SG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sweetgreen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSweetgreen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and operates fast-casual restaurants serving healthy foods prepared from seasonal and organic ingredients. The company also accepts orders through its online and mobile ordering platforms, as well as sells gift cards that can be redeemed in its restaurants. As of September 26, 2021, it owned and operated 140 restaurants in 13 states and Washington, D.C. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySweetgreen generates revenue primarily through the sale of its food and beverage offerings in its restaurants. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, allowing customers to place orders online or through its mobile app for both in-store pickup and delivery. Key revenue streams include dine-in sales, takeout orders, and digital sales through its app and website. Additionally, Sweetgreen has explored partnerships with delivery services to enhance its reach and convenience for customers. The company also emphasizes its focus on customer loyalty programs and subscription services, providing incentives for repeat purchases and fostering a dedicated customer base, which contributes significantly to its earnings.

Sweetgreen Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Restaurant Count
Restaurant Count
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Sweetgreen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflects both strategic initiatives and significant financial challenges. While the Sweet Growth Transformation Plan and the strategic sale of Spyce indicate a proactive approach to future growth and financial stability, current financial metrics such as same-store sales decline, adjusted EBITDA loss, and increased costs highlight ongoing challenges that need to be addressed.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sweet Growth Transformation Plan
Introduced a comprehensive plan focused on operational excellence, brand relevance, food quality, personalized digital experience, and disciplined profitable investment. Early results show improved peak hour throughput and increased restaurant operational standards from 33% to 60%.
Strategic Sale of Spyce
Sold Spyce to Wonder for $186.4 million, expected to infuse approximately $100 million in liquidity and reduce G&A expenses by $8 million annually. Sweetgreen will continue to utilize and expand Infinite Kitchen technology at cost plus 5%.
New Restaurant Openings
Opened 8 new restaurants in Q3, including 6 Infinite Kitchens, and successfully entered the Arizona market. Plans to open 17 new restaurants in Q4, entering new markets such as Sacramento, Cincinnati, and Northwest Arkansas.
SG Rewards Program
Positive trends in frequency among loyal guests, with significant potential for personalized CRM efforts. Recent rollout of Scan to Pay feature is improving customer experience and throughput.
Negative Updates
Same-Store Sales Decline
Reported a 9.5% decline in same-store sales for Q3, impacted by softer sales trends in Northeast and Los Angeles markets, which represent 60% of the comp base.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $4.4 million compared to a positive $6.8 million last year, driven by lower restaurant-level profit.
Challenges with Younger Consumer Base
Notable decline in spending among younger guests, particularly the 25- to 35-year-old age group, which decreased by 15% and constitutes 30% of the consumer base.
Increased Costs
Experiencing higher protein costs, tariffs, and duties impacting food, beverage, and packaging costs, leading to a 320 basis point increase year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Sweetgreen, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and strategic insights. For Q3, Sweetgreen reported sales of $172.4 million with a same-store sales decline of 9.5%. The restaurant-level margin stood at 13.1%, and the adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $4.4 million. The company's performance was notably affected by softer sales trends in the Northeast and Los Angeles markets, which make up about 60% of their comp base, and reduced spending among the 25- to 35-year-old demographic. Looking ahead, Sweetgreen introduced the Sweet Growth Transformation Plan focusing on operational excellence, brand relevance, food quality and menu innovation, personalized digital experiences, and disciplined profitable investment. The company has also decided to sell its business unit, Spyce, responsible for developing the Infinite Kitchen, to Wonder, expecting to infuse its balance sheet with approximately $100 million in liquidity. For 2025, the company expects to open 37 net new restaurants, with revenue guidance between $682 million and $688 million, and adjusted EBITDA projected between negative $13 million and negative $10 million.

Sweetgreen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sweetgreen shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but improving margins and cash flow is crucial for future growth.
Income Statement
Sweetgreen's revenue shows a positive growth trend, with a TTM growth rate of 13.7%. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 15.99%, indicating challenges in cost management. Overall, while revenue growth is promising, profitability remains a significant concern.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid capital structure. While the company maintains a reasonable balance between debt and equity, the lack of profitability impacts overall financial health.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant negative growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but overall cash flow management needs improvement to support long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue685.18M676.83M584.04M470.11M339.87M220.62M
Gross Profit96.97M132.95M101.92M69.29M40.41M-8.70M
EBITDA-42.56M-23.16M-52.51M-142.32M-117.39M-113.97M
Net Income-113.37M-90.37M-113.38M-190.44M-153.18M-141.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets824.77M856.76M856.56M908.93M762.65M265.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments129.97M214.79M257.23M331.61M471.97M102.64M
Total Debt356.41M330.71M302.87M300.74M0.000.00
Total Liabilities431.47M410.61M373.96M367.71M109.53M573.04M
Stockholders Equity393.30M446.14M482.60M541.23M653.12M-307.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-107.37M-48.81M-69.31M-145.43M-157.30M-147.25M
Operating Cash Flow2.08M43.39M26.48M-43.17M-64.53M-90.35M
Investing Cash Flow-111.05M-92.21M-95.67M-102.02M-97.55M-58.41M
Financing Cash Flow5.81M8.89M-5.20M4.63M531.61M2.15M

Sweetgreen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.67
Price Trends
50DMA
6.60
Positive
100DMA
7.47
Positive
200DMA
11.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
64.28
Neutral
STOCH
76.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.00, above the 50-day MA of 6.60, and below the 200-day MA of 11.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG.

Sweetgreen Risk Analysis

Sweetgreen disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sweetgreen reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sweetgreen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$11.94B27.9731.55%1.63%14.40%12.45%
70
Neutral
$8.07B59.9919.84%23.93%153.50%
66
Neutral
$2.84B17.4939.14%2.11%4.90%27.14%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$3.92B90.188.83%13.49%402.23%
57
Neutral
$1.24B32.894.72%-0.64%-60.71%
48
Neutral
$907.93M-7.94-26.47%2.43%-23.25%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG
Sweetgreen
7.67
-23.87
-75.68%
PZZA
Papa John's International
37.78
1.32
3.62%
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse
180.57
3.01
1.70%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
56.99
9.41
19.78%
SHAK
Shake Shack
91.80
-29.79
-24.50%
CAVA
CAVA Group, Inc.
69.60
-41.43
-37.31%

Sweetgreen Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Sweetgreen Finalizes Spyce Sale and Strategic Refocus
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On December 29, 2025, Sweetgreen completed the previously announced sale of its Spyce business unit, which developed the Infinite Kitchen automation technology, to Wonder Group for $100 million in cash and $86.4 million in Series C preferred stock. The deal, which follows Sweetgreen’s roughly $70 million acquisition of Spyce in 2021, transfers ownership of the Infinite Kitchen automation business and related assets to Wonder while allowing Sweetgreen to retain long-term access to the technology through a supply and services agreement and an intellectual property license, ensuring continued use of Infinite Kitchen systems in many of its restaurants. The transaction marks a strategic shift that lets Sweetgreen narrow its focus on core restaurant operations and operational efficiency, while offloading the capital-intensive automation platform yet preserving its role as a key component of the guest experience; certain Spyce employees moved to Wonder, and the two companies established ongoing commercial and licensing arrangements that define future responsibilities and risk allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sweetgreen stock, see the SG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026