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Repay Holdings (RPAY)
:RPAY
US Market

Repay Holdings (RPAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Repay Holdings

(NASDAQ:RPAY)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(4.60%Upside)
Repay Holdings is grappling with profitability issues and negative net income, which are major concerns. However, strong cash flow generation and strategic investments in growth, highlighted by the recent increase in the share repurchase program, provide some optimism. Technical indicators suggest short-term positive momentum, but the valuation remains a significant risk factor due to a negative P/E ratio. The mixed earnings call results reflect both challenges and growth opportunities.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
Free cash flow conversion is expected to be above 60%.
Growth Strategy
The company expects sequential quarterly acceleration in normalized gross profit growth, including high-single to low-double-digit growth.
Monetization Opportunities
There is potential for Repay Holdings to capitalize on incremental monetization opportunities, such as targeting non-card payment volumes.
Negative Factors
Client Losses
Recent customer attrition needs to be addressed to assure investors it is not indicative of a trend.
Financial Performance
In Q1, revenue and gross profit declined 4% and 5% y/y, respectively.
Stock Performance
The stock is down 48% year-to-date and is trading approximately five times below its three-year average.

Repay Holdings (RPAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Repay Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRepay Holdings Corporation provides integrated payment processing solutions to industry-oriented markets. The company's payment processing solutions enable consumers and businesses to make payments using electronic payment methods. It also offers a range of solutions relating to electronic payment methods, including credit and debit processing, virtual credit card processing, automated clearing house (ACH) processing, enhanced ACH processing, and instant funding that are processed through its proprietary payment channels, such as Web-based, mobile application, text-to-pay, interactive voice response, and point of sale. In addition, the company provides payment processing solutions to customers primarily operating in the personal loans, automotive loans, receivables management, and business-to-business verticals. It sells its products through direct sales representatives and software integration partners. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRepay Holdings generates revenue through a combination of transaction fees, subscription fees, and gateway service charges. The company earns transaction fees by processing payments on behalf of its clients, which include a percentage of the transaction value. Additionally, Repay offers subscription-based services for access to its payment platforms and value-added features, contributing to a steady revenue stream. Key revenue streams include partnerships with financial institutions and businesses in target sectors, where Repay integrates its solutions to offer seamless payment processing. Strategic acquisitions and collaborations further support its earnings by expanding its market presence and service offerings.

Repay Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter with declines in revenue and profitability due to client losses and macroeconomic uncertainties. However, the company demonstrated resilience and growth in specific segments, such as Business Payments and Instant Funding, and is optimistic about future growth driven by new partnerships and strategic investments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Business Payments Segment Growth
Business Payments segment reported a gross profit increase of 7% year-over-year. When excluding political media contributions in Q1 2024, the growth accelerated to approximately 12%.
Instant Funding Product Success
Instant Funding product achieved a 19% year-over-year increase in transaction volumes, demonstrating robust growth and potential for further revenue enhancement.
New Partnerships and Client Onboarding
REPAY signed two new software partnerships in the Consumer Payments segment, bringing the total to 182, and onboarded 14 new credit unions, increasing the total to 343.
Positive Outlook for Second Half of 2025
Confidence in sequential quarterly normalized gross profit growth, with expectations of high single-digit to low double-digit growth in Q4 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for Q1 2025 was $77.3 million, representing a decrease of 4% year-over-year. Reported gross profit declined by 5%.
Impact of Client Losses
Reported gross profit and adjusted EBITDA declined approximately 5% and 7% year-over-year, respectively, due to client losses.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Reported Q1 Free Cash Flow was negative $8 million, impacted by net working capital and client losses. Free cash flow conversion was lower compared to the previous year.
Conclusion of Strategic Review
The strategic review was concluded without any significant changes due to macroeconomic uncertainties, opting instead for organic growth investments.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, REPAY reported gross profit and adjusted EBITDA declines of approximately 5% and 7% year-over-year, respectively, with the adjusted EBITDA margin standing at 43%. The drop in gross profit was attributed to client losses in 2024 and strategic technology migrations. Excluding these impacts, gross profit growth would have been in the low single digits. The consumer payments segment experienced a gross profit decline of 5%, while the business payments segment saw a 7% increase in gross profit, which normalized to 12% when excluding political media contributions from Q1 2024. Reported free cash flow conversion was negative, impacted by a $16 million working capital reversal and client losses, but would have been similar to the 38% conversion rate from Q1 2024 without these factors. The company forecasts a sequential increase in gross profit growth, aiming for high single-digit to low double-digit growth by Q4 2025, with free cash flow conversion expected to exceed 50% in Q2 and accelerate above 60% by year-end, excluding one-time impacts.

Repay Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Repay Holdings faces profitability challenges with consistent net losses and negative EBIT. However, strong gross profit margins and positive cash flow metrics provide some stability. Debt levels are manageable, but improvements in profitability are essential for long-term growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Repay Holdings has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with a declining trend from 2024 to TTM. The gross profit margin is strong but the consistent negative net income and EBIT margins indicate profitability challenges. The EBITDA margin remains positive but volatile.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting balanced leverage, though the equity ratio has slightly decreased over time. Return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, posing a risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has shown positive growth, and operating cash flow exceeds net income, indicating strong cash generation despite negative earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting efficient cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
309.65M313.04M296.63M279.23M219.26M155.04M
Gross Profit
238.52M241.41M226.92M214.40M163.77M113.59M
EBIT
-8.89M-7.77M-111.41M24.08M-69.08M-37.03M
EBITDA
95.92M100.66M78.27M65.34M43.72M-54.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-12.89M-10.16M-110.49M8.74M-56.04M-46.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
165.47M189.53M118.10M64.89M50.05M91.13M
Total Assets
1.54B1.57B1.52B1.63B1.69B1.11B
Total Debt
508.90M508.51M443.04M461.88M459.57M267.08M
Net Debt
343.43M318.99M324.95M396.98M409.52M175.95M
Total Liabilities
768.19M798.74M689.04M698.51M772.80M553.80M
Stockholders Equity
755.72M761.27M815.13M894.56M874.00M509.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
126.74M149.10M102.88M34.68M29.82M4.21M
Operating Cash Flow
127.79M150.09M103.61M74.22M53.33M28.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-44.26M-44.85M-24.09M-39.54M-397.34M-145.98M
Financing Cash Flow
-29.17M-12.67M-28.94M-17.46M313.84M186.10M

Repay Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.78
Price Trends
50DMA
4.50
Positive
100DMA
5.59
Negative
200DMA
6.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
50.45
Neutral
STOCH
37.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.78, above the 50-day MA of 4.50, and below the 200-day MA of 6.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RPAY.

Repay Holdings Risk Analysis

Repay Holdings disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Repay Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Repay Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$720.36M12.0828.20%12.51%390.09%
77
Outperform
$486.79M24.8122.21%0.64%42.25%65.02%
75
Outperform
$495.67M23.1210.42%1.21%17.89%-23.37%
72
Outperform
$560.08M131.961.94%3.62%-53.21%
62
Neutral
$11.97B10.08-7.46%2.96%7.37%-8.22%
61
Neutral
$677.90M57.39%15.76%82.78%
54
Neutral
$472.55M-1.64%2.26%85.37%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPAY
Repay Holdings
4.78
-6.02
-55.74%
LYTS
Lsi Industries
16.11
1.59
10.95%
CTLP
Cantaloupe
9.50
2.69
39.50%
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions
105.00
48.55
86.01%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
7.80
3.46
79.72%
PUBM
PubMatic
10.71
-10.44
-49.36%

Repay Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Repay Holdings Conducts Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Repay Holdings Corporation conducted its annual stockholders meeting where three key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected directors for terms expiring in 2026, approved executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis, and ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton, LLP as the independent registered public accountant for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPAY) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repay Holdings stock, see the RPAY Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Repay Holdings Boosts Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Repay Holdings announced its first quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a strategic focus on growth despite a reported decline in gross profit due to client losses. The company concluded its strategic review process and increased its share repurchase program authorization to $75 million, signaling confidence in future growth and shareholder value. The Business Payments segment showed a 12% year-over-year growth, while the Consumer Payments segment experienced a decline. The company anticipates improved free cash flow conversion and gross profit growth throughout 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPAY) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repay Holdings stock, see the RPAY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Repay Holdings CFO Timothy Murphy Resigns
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

On April 21, 2025, Timothy J. Murphy announced his resignation as Chief Financial Officer of Repay Holdings Corporation, effective May 15, 2025, to pursue an opportunity outside the payments industry. Thomas E. Sullivan, the current Chief Accounting Officer, will serve as the Interim CFO until a permanent replacement is found. Murphy, who played a pivotal role in REPAY’s public listing and acquisitions, is leaving on good terms, with the company expressing gratitude for his contributions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.