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Repay Holdings Corp (RPAY)
NASDAQ:RPAY
US Market

Repay Holdings (RPAY) AI Stock Analysis

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RPAY

Repay Holdings

(NASDAQ:RPAY)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-4.11% Downside)
Repay Holdings' overall stock score is driven by its financial performance challenges, particularly profitability issues, and a bearish technical outlook. While the earnings call provided some positive insights, the negative valuation and recent executive departure weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Strong free cash flow conversion indicates efficient cash management, providing the company with the ability to reinvest in growth initiatives and maintain financial flexibility.
Expansion of Software Partnerships
Expanding software partnerships enhances Repay's service offerings and market reach, supporting long-term growth and competitive positioning in the payment solutions industry.
Supplier Network Growth
A growing supplier network strengthens Repay's market position and operational capabilities, enabling the company to capitalize on increased transaction volumes and broaden its customer base.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges with negative net income and EBIT margins can hinder Repay's ability to sustain growth and invest in future opportunities, impacting long-term financial health.
Leadership Instability
The departure of a key executive may disrupt strategic initiatives and affect leadership stability, potentially impacting Repay's ability to execute its business strategy effectively.
Client Loss Impacts
Client losses can lead to reduced revenue and hinder growth prospects, challenging Repay's ability to maintain its market position and achieve sustainable long-term expansion.

Repay Holdings (RPAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Repay Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRepay Holdings Corporation provides integrated payment processing solutions to industry-oriented markets. The company's payment processing solutions enable consumers and businesses to make payments using electronic payment methods. It also offers a range of solutions relating to electronic payment methods, including credit and debit processing, virtual credit card processing, automated clearing house (ACH) processing, enhanced ACH processing, and instant funding that are processed through its proprietary payment channels, such as Web-based, mobile application, text-to-pay, interactive voice response, and point of sale. In addition, the company provides payment processing solutions to customers primarily operating in the personal loans, automotive loans, receivables management, and business-to-business verticals. It sells its products through direct sales representatives and software integration partners. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRepay Holdings generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for processing payments. The company earns a percentage of each transaction processed through its platform, which varies based on the volume and type of transactions. Additionally, Repay offers value-added services such as billing and invoicing solutions, which contribute to its revenue streams. The company has established significant partnerships with various industry players, including fintech companies and financial institutions, which enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base. These collaborations often lead to increased transaction volumes, further driving revenue growth.

Repay Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several positive developments, including revenue growth, strong free cash flow, and expansion of software partnerships. However, challenges such as client losses impacting growth, margin compression, and lower political media contributions present notable concerns. The sentiment is balanced with significant positive trends countered by ongoing challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Growth
Repay achieved 5% revenue growth and 1% gross profit growth on a normalized year-over-year basis, with adjusted EBITDA margins remaining robust at 40%.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Repay generated strong free cash flow conversion of 67% while reinvesting into organic growth initiatives.
Expansion of Software Partnerships
The company added five new software partners, bringing the total to 291 across consumer and business payment segments.
Business Payments Segment Growth
Normalized gross profit in the Business Payments segment increased 12% year over year, driven by accounts payable platform and payment monetization initiatives.
Supplier Network Expansion
The supplier network increased to over 524,000 suppliers, growing approximately 60% year over year.
Debt Reduction and Share Repurchase
Repay retired $73.5 million of their 2026 convertible notes at a discount and repurchased approximately 3% of outstanding shares in August.
Negative Updates
Client Loss Impacts
Q3 growth was impacted by approximately 4% due to previously discussed client losses from 2024.
Gross Profit Margin Compression
Gross profit margins compressed approximately 3.4% year over year due to a larger mix of clients with volume discounts and increased mix of revenue from ACH and check volumes.
Political Media Contributions Decline
The company is lapping strong political media contributions causing an approximate 10% impact to Q4 reported growth.
Lower Free Cash Flow Conversion Outlook
The updated Q4 free cash flow conversion outlook is expected to be above 50%, compared to the prior outlook of 60%, due to the timing of net working capital.
Company Guidance
During Repay's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted significant financial metrics, showcasing a robust performance and strategic progress. Repay achieved a 5% revenue growth and 1% gross profit growth on a normalized year-over-year basis, excluding prior political media contributions. Adjusted EBITDA margins remained strong at 40%, with a free cash flow conversion rate of 67%. The company reported a gross profit of $57.8 million, with a revenue of $77.7 million. Despite a 3.4% year-over-year compression in gross profit margins due to client volume discounts and increased transaction values, the business payments segment experienced a 12% growth. Repay's supplier network expanded to 524,000, reflecting a 60% year-over-year increase, driven by strategic partnerships and enhanced ACH offerings. The company also repurchased 3% of its outstanding shares in August and reduced outstanding debt by retiring $73.5 million of 2026 convertible notes at a discount. Looking ahead, Repay anticipates a 6% to 8% normalized gross profit growth in Q4, with free cash flow conversion expected to be above 50%.

Repay Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Repay Holdings faces profitability challenges with consistent net losses and negative EBIT. However, strong gross profit margins and positive cash flow metrics provide some stability. Debt levels are manageable, but improvements in profitability are essential for long-term growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Repay Holdings has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with a declining trend from 2024 to TTM. The gross profit margin is strong but the consistent negative net income and EBIT margins indicate profitability challenges. The EBITDA margin remains positive but volatile.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting balanced leverage, though the equity ratio has slightly decreased over time. Return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, posing a risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has shown positive growth, and operating cash flow exceeds net income, indicating strong cash generation despite negative earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue308.95M313.04M296.63M279.23M219.26M155.04M
Gross Profit233.39M241.41M226.92M214.40M163.77M113.59M
EBITDA-26.41M100.66M58.48M127.04M35.26M26.29M
Net Income-120.73M-10.16M-110.49M12.84M-50.08M-105.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.57B1.52B1.63B1.69B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.69M189.53M118.10M64.89M50.05M91.13M
Total Debt436.56M508.51M443.04M461.88M459.57M267.08M
Total Liabilities711.08M798.74M689.04M698.51M772.80M553.80M
Stockholders Equity616.90M761.27M815.13M894.56M874.00M509.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.42M105.24M39.25M34.68M29.82M4.21M
Operating Cash Flow69.82M150.09M103.61M74.22M53.33M28.49M
Investing Cash Flow-31.80M-44.85M-24.09M-39.54M-397.33M-145.98M
Financing Cash Flow-44.30M-12.67M-28.94M-17.46M313.84M186.10M

Repay Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.65
Price Trends
50DMA
3.87
Negative
100DMA
4.66
Negative
200DMA
4.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.66
Neutral
STOCH
64.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.52, below the 50-day MA of 3.87, and below the 200-day MA of 4.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RPAY.

Repay Holdings Risk Analysis

Repay Holdings disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Repay Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Repay Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$856.40M158.910.58%-23.69%-95.61%
70
Outperform
$295.03M39.7720.36%32.61%-8.26%
69
Neutral
$2.06B29.319.79%10.58%-45.52%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$463.39M10.389.51%
51
Neutral
$616.73M-2.67-17.60%-0.58%-57.43%
48
Neutral
$329.92M-2.04-48.63%101.97%58.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPAY
Repay Holdings
3.65
-4.22
-53.62%
IIIV
I3 Verticals
26.30
2.28
9.49%
PAYS
PaySign
5.23
1.91
57.53%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
5.52
-6.32
-53.38%
PAYO
Payoneer
5.56
-4.65
-45.54%
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
10.34
-20.07
-66.00%

Repay Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Repay Holdings Announces EVP Departure in December
Negative
Dec 11, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Repay Holdings Corporation announced the termination of employment for Jacob H. Moore, Executive Vice President – Consumer Payments, effective December 23, 2025.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Repay Holdings Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Repay Holdings reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting stable growth and continued free cash flow generation. The company retired $73.5 million of convertible notes and repurchased $15.6 million of outstanding shares during the quarter. Despite a slight decline in revenue and gross profit due to client losses and political media spending impacts, the company achieved normalized revenue and gross profit growth. Repay’s strategic focus remains on optimizing digital payment flows across its Consumer and Business Payments verticals, aiming for sustainable growth by the end of the year. The company also expanded its integrated software partnerships and accelerated its AP supplier network, indicating a robust strategy for long-term growth.

Executive/Board Changes
Repay Holdings Director Robert Hartheimer Resigns
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Robert H. Hartheimer resigned from the Board of Directors of Repay Holdings Corporation, effective immediately. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company regarding its operations, policies, or practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 12, 2025