tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
I3 Verticals (IIIV)
NASDAQ:IIIV

I3 Verticals (IIIV) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
172 Followers

Top Page

IIIV

I3 Verticals

(NASDAQ:IIIV)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(4.68% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is supported most by improving fundamentals and balance sheet strength (low leverage, positive free cash flow) and a generally positive FY26 outlook driven by recurring revenue/ARR and strong SaaS growth. Offsetting this are weak technical trends (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a demanding valuation (very high P/E) alongside near-term margin pressure and acquisition multiple risk.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue / ARR growth
A high and growing recurring revenue base and rising ARR materially improve revenue predictability and cash flow stability. With 80% recurring mix and ARR expansion, the business can better plan investments, retain customers via integrated workflows, and drive long-term margin leverage from subscription economics.
SaaS revenue acceleration
Sustained >20% SaaS growth signals durable product-market fit in targeted verticals and rising revenue quality. Faster SaaS mix boosts recurring revenue, typically yields higher gross margins than services, and strengthens cross-sell opportunities that support multi-year ARR expansion and superior lifetime customer economics.
Balance sheet strength and cash generation
Low leverage, positive free cash flow and a cash buffer provide financial flexibility for acquisitions, product investment and buybacks without immediate refinancing risk. Strong balance-sheet positioning underpins disciplined capital allocation and resilience through cyclical variability in payments and services volumes.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility and thin operating margins
A recent decline in TTM revenue and low operating margins indicate earnings sensitivity to mix shifts and cost swings. Persistent margin thinness limits reinvestment capacity and makes long-term profitability reliant on sustained SaaS mix gains and effective cost control across hosting and R&D investments.
Near-term margin pressure from investments and lower services
Deliberate investments, rising hosting costs and falling nonrecurring professional services reduce near-term EBITDA and compress margins. If these trends persist or investments take longer to monetize, margin recovery could be delayed, stressing free cash flow conversion and operational scalability over multiple quarters.
High acquisition multiple and integration risk
Paying ~15x EBITDA for an acquisition raises execution and capital-return risk versus historical targets. Higher multiples demand stronger organic growth and integration execution to justify the price, and missteps could pressure returns, leverage covenants under the revolver, and future M&A discipline.

I3 Verticals (IIIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

I3 Verticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptioni3 Verticals, Inc. provides integrated payment and software solutions to small- and medium-sized businesses and organizations in education, non-profit, public sector, and healthcare markets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Merchant Services, and Proprietary Software and Payments. The company offers payment processing services that enables clients to accept electronic payments, facilitating the exchange of funds and transaction data between clients, financial institutions, and payment networks. The company also licenses software; and provides ongoing support, and other point of sale-related solutions. It offers its solutions to clients through direct sales force; distribution partners, including independent software vendors, value-added resellers, and independent sales organizations; and referral partners, such as financial institutions, trade associations, chambers of commerce, and card issuers. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyI3 Verticals generates revenue primarily through its payment processing services, which involve charging fees for each transaction processed through its platform. The company earns money from a mix of fixed and variable fees, including transaction fees, monthly service fees, and setup fees. Additionally, I3 Verticals offers software solutions that provide recurring revenue through subscription models. Key partnerships with financial institutions, technology providers, and industry-specific software companies enhance its revenue streams by broadening its client base and integrating its services into existing systems. The company's focus on specific vertical markets allows it to capture niche segments, further contributing to its earnings through specialized offerings tailored to the unique needs of those industries.

I3 Verticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

I3 Verticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call painted a largely positive strategic picture: strong recurring revenue and robust SaaS growth, a strategic acquisition that materially enhances the transportation SaaS footprint, and product/AI momentum across core verticals. These positives are tempered by near-term margin pressure (adjusted EBITDA and margin declines), weaker nonrecurring professional services and maintenance revenues, higher hosting and investment costs, and a higher-than-normal multiple on the recent acquisition. Management reiterated disciplined capital allocation, a healthy balance sheet prior to the acquisition, and constructive FY26 guidance, and expects recurring revenue growth and margin improvement later in the year.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Recurring Revenue Growth and ARR Expansion
Recurring revenue increased 8% year-over-year; Annual Recurring Revenue rose to $169.6 million from $156.4 million for Q1 2026, demonstrating stronger alignment with long-term growth objectives.
SaaS Revenue Acceleration
SaaS revenue grew over 24% in the quarter; the company reported four consecutive quarters of >20% SaaS growth and expects SaaS growth to remain north of that level through the year.
Overall Revenue and FY26 Guidance
Total revenues for Q1 increased 1% to $52.7 million (from $52.2 million prior year). Fiscal 2026 guidance set revenue range at $223 million to $234 million, adjusted EBITDA $61.0 million to $66.5 million, and adjusted diluted EPS $1.08 to $1.16.
Strong Recurring Revenue Mix and Transaction Growth
Recurring sources comprised 80% of quarterly revenue; transaction-based revenue grew 12% and payments revenue grew 8%, reinforcing the shift toward recurring, higher-quality revenue streams.
Strategic Acquisition to Expand Transportation Market
Acquired a state-level driver/insurance verification software provider for $60 million in cash (closed Jan 1). Deal metrics: ~15x EBITDA, company growing >20% with EBITDA margin above 50%. Acquisition expands geographic reach in transportation and augments SaaS growth profile.
Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Allocation
As of Dec 31, the company reported $37 million of cash and no debt and maintains a $400 million revolving credit facility. Management reported opportunistic share buybacks in the quarter and reaffirmed disciplined, acquisition-focused capital deployment.
Product Momentum and AI/Market Initiatives
Notable commercial traction across JusticeTech (CourtOne and Jury solution), education (i3 Marketplace with SSO/MFA), and transportation. The company delivered AI-enabled upgrades (e.g., Georgia JusticeTech) and is positioning AI as a product and engineering enabler.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA declined $1.0 million to $13.6 million for Q1 2026 from $14.6 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 25.8% from 27.9%, driven by investments, higher hosting costs, and lower professional services revenue.
Decline in Nonrecurring Professional Services and Maintenance
Nonrecurring professional services and software license revenues fell by approximately $3.0 million. Maintenance revenues declined 8%. Management expects FY2026 professional services to decline to about $31 million (down from $40 million in FY2025), affecting near-term revenue cadence and margins.
Higher Near-Term Costs from Investments and Hosting
Margin compression was attributed in part to deliberate investments in Justice and Utility markets and increased hosting costs, which are expected to impact near-term profitability before anticipated margin improvement later in the year.
Acquisition Multiple Above Historical Sweet Spot
The January acquisition was completed at ~15x EBITDA, well above the company's historical preferred 7–10x range. While management cited high growth and strong margins to justify the price, the higher multiple represents increased capital intensity and potential integration/valuation risk.
Slower Near-Term AI Adoption in GovTech
Management noted potential headwinds to rapid AI proliferation within government customers due to required policy, regulatory and security frameworks, implying slower customer-driven adoption than vendor capability in the near term.
Company Guidance
The company guided FY2026 continuing operations to revenues of $223M–$234M, adjusted EBITDA of $61M–$66.5M and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.08–$1.16 (excludes unclosed acquisitions/transaction costs), and expects recurring revenues to grow at a double‑digit rate for FY26 (organic recurring ~8–10% as previously noted) with long‑term organic revenue growth in the high single digits and adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 50–100 bps per year. For Q1 (ended Dec 31, 2025) revenues were $52.7M (vs $52.2M), ARR was $169.6M (vs $156.4M), 80% of revenue was recurring, SaaS +24% (four quarters >20%), transaction revenue +12%, payments +8%, maintenance −8%; adjusted EBITDA was $13.6M (25.8% margin vs 27.9% prior) and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.26; cash was $37M and the company reported no debt. The company completed a $60M cash acquisition priced at ~15x EBITDA of a business growing >20% with >50% EBITDA margin, maintains a $400M revolver with a 5x leverage covenant, expects professional services to decline (now modeled to about $31M) and forecasts FY26 revenue seasonality of Q1 23%, Q2 25%, Q3 25% and Q4 27%.

I3 Verticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is the main support (low TTM debt-to-equity ~0.10; sizable equity base), but operating performance is mixed: TTM revenue declined (-3.9%) and operating margin is thin (~4.7%) despite solid gross margin (~60%). Cash flow is positive (TTM FCF ~$10.8M; FCF > net income), though year-to-year conversion has been uneven.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-3.9%) and profitability looks pressured at the operating line (EBIT margin ~4.7%), but the company remains profitable (net margin ~7.3%) with solid gross profitability (~60%). Results have been volatile across annual periods—2023 showed a small net loss while 2024 posted unusually high net income and margins—so overall earnings quality/consistency is a key watch item despite the recent return to positive profits.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully versus earlier years: debt-to-equity is low in TTM (~0.10) and equity is sizable (~$359M) relative to the asset base (~$596M). That said, the capital structure was much more levered in 2021–2023 (debt-to-equity above 1.0 and as high as ~1.69), highlighting that the balance sheet has a history of higher leverage even though current positioning is stronger.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is mixed. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is positive (~$10.8M) and notably exceeds net income (free cash flow to net income ~1.30), which is a constructive sign. However, operating cash flow is modest (~$8.3M) and cash conversion has been inconsistent year-to-year, with a sharp step down from the very strong 2024 operating and free cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.53M213.16M229.92M189.68M187.75M224.12M
Gross Profit134.41M118.67M211.35M134.87M174.92M166.42M
EBITDA39.44M41.08M33.23M33.27M22.59M27.00M
Net Income16.30M17.87M113.34M-811.00K-17.10M-4.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets595.93M638.41M730.67M884.42M770.31M651.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.52M66.67M86.54M3.10M3.49M3.64M
Total Debt7.39M7.75M38.31M400.63M305.58M215.77M
Total Liabilities112.59M120.69M215.32M556.12M462.62M362.21M
Stockholders Equity358.51M389.58M379.74M236.75M218.38M204.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.46M3.75M45.45M20.80M33.40M38.57M
Operating Cash Flow8.32M5.69M48.41M37.17M45.85M46.77M
Investing Cash Flow76.04M76.46M396.15M-121.52M-113.05M-156.31M
Financing Cash Flow-134.40M-104.41M-367.36M72.98M73.03M102.10M

I3 Verticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.45
Price Trends
50DMA
23.99
Negative
100DMA
26.10
Negative
200DMA
27.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
49.07
Neutral
STOCH
77.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IIIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.74, below the 50-day MA of 23.99, and below the 200-day MA of 27.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IIIV.

I3 Verticals Risk Analysis

I3 Verticals disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. I3 Verticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

I3 Verticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.42B33.6419.01%1.33%10.27%3.52%
68
Neutral
$469.26M12.3726.84%-6.57%-29.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$684.18M219.240.58%-23.69%-95.61%
55
Neutral
$689.65M16.74%9.46%
49
Neutral
$412.49M17.4127.12%3.08%-54.07%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IIIV
I3 Verticals
23.35
-1.56
-6.26%
ATEN
A10 Networks
20.40
0.54
2.70%
RPD
Rapid7
6.59
-22.08
-77.01%
IMXI
International Money Express
15.77
1.07
7.28%
YEXT
Yext
5.67
-0.94
-14.22%

I3 Verticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
i3 Verticals Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Mar 3, 2026

At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on March 3, 2026, i3 Verticals reported that 28,382,815 shares, or about 91.6% of its outstanding common stock, were represented in person or by proxy, ensuring a strong quorum for decision-making. Shareholders elected eight directors, including Gregory Daily and Clay Whitson, to one-year terms, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditors for fiscal 2026, and approved on an advisory basis the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

These voting outcomes signal continued shareholder support for i3 Verticals’ current leadership, governance structure, and executive pay practices, which may contribute to management stability and confidence in the company’s strategic direction. The ratification of the external auditor also reinforces oversight of the firm’s financial reporting, which is important for investors and other stakeholders monitoring its performance in the fintech market.

The most recent analyst rating on (IIIV) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on I3 Verticals stock, see the IIIV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
i3 Verticals boosts outlook after acquisition and buyback
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

For its fiscal first quarter ended December 31, 2025, i3 Verticals reported modest top-line growth, with revenue from continuing operations rising 0.9% year on year to $52.7 million, while profitability softened as net income from continuing operations declined to $1.1 million and adjusted EBITDA fell to $13.6 million, or 25.8% of revenue. Recurring revenue remained a bright spot, with annualized recurring revenue climbing 8.4% to $169.6 million and SaaS revenue growing 24%, underscoring the company’s strategic shift toward subscription and transaction-based models. Effective January 1, 2026, i3 Verticals completed the $60 million cash acquisition of a driver and motor vehicle insurance verification software provider, with up to $20 million in contingent consideration, bolstering its transportation-market footprint with a business management describes as having a strong competitive moat and perfect customer retention. The company’s board also authorized a new share repurchase program for up to $60 million of Class A common stock to replace an exhausted prior authorization, providing additional capital-return flexibility through early 2027 while remaining subject to market conditions and credit facility constraints. Reflecting these moves and first-quarter performance, i3 Verticals slightly raised its full-year 2026 outlook for revenue and adjusted EBITDA and tightened its adjusted EPS range, signaling confidence in the earnings contribution from its higher-margin, recurring software strategy and recent acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (IIIV) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on I3 Verticals stock, see the IIIV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026