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Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT)
NYSE:BKKT
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Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT) AI Stock Analysis

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BKKT

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:BKKT)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(4.53% Upside)
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow management, which heavily impact its overall score. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing down the score. Valuation concerns, driven by a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, also contribute to the low score. While strategic initiatives and corporate events are positive, they are not enough to offset the financial and technical weaknesses.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT) is a digital asset platform that operates within the fintech sector. The company provides a secure and regulated ecosystem designed to help individuals and institutions unlock the value of digital assets, including cryptocurrencies, loyalty points, and gift cards. Bakkt aims to bridge the gap between traditional finance and digital assets, thereby offering seamless and integrated financial solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyBakkt Holdings, Inc. generates revenue primarily through its digital asset management and exchange platform. Key revenue streams include transaction fees from trading digital assets, such as cryptocurrencies, as well as fees from institutional clients who use Bakkt's custody and storage services. The company also monetizes its loyalty program management by facilitating the conversion of loyalty points and gift cards into cash or other digital assets. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and retailers enhance Bakkt's service offerings and expand its user base, contributing to its earnings.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Bakkt's earnings call presented a strategic pivot towards becoming a pure-play crypto infrastructure company, supported by successful divestitures and new capital, alongside new product launches and strategic initiatives. However, the sequential decline in trading volumes and revenue, combined with a net loss, shows challenges in the short term.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Strategic Realignment
Bakkt completed the sale of Bakkt Trust Company to Intercontinental Exchange and entered into a definitive agreement to divest the Loyalty business, marking a pivot to focus entirely on crypto infrastructure.
Strong Capital Position
Bakkt successfully closed a $75 million SEC registered offering of common stock and warrants, significantly recapitalizing the balance sheet to support growth initiatives.
New Institutional Clients
Bakkt onboarded three new institutional clients: Longbridge, AscendEX, and BTSE.
Launch of Bakkt Agent and Bitcoin Treasury Strategy
The Bakkt Agent, an AI-powered global transfers product, is in private beta. Bakkt initiated a Bitcoin treasury strategy with the acquisition of a 30% stake in Marusho Hotta Co Ltd.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $577.9 million, up 13.3% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Crypto Trading Volumes
Crypto trading volumes declined sequentially in Q2 2025, impacted by regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic pressures.
Decreased Revenue from Loyalty Segment
Net Loyalty revenues were $9.8 million, down 23.3% year-over-year.
Net Loss
Bakkt reported a net loss of $30.2 million for the quarter, though this was an improvement year-over-year.
Sequential Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined 46.2% sequentially, reflecting a moderation after a record-breaking Q4 2024 performance.
Company Guidance
During Bakkt's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company outlined its strategic realignment into a pure-play crypto infrastructure firm, emphasizing the divestiture of its Custody business to Intercontinental Exchange and the pending sale of its Loyalty business for $11 million, expected to close in Q3. Bakkt highlighted the integration of Distributed Technologies Research's stablecoin and AI payment infrastructure into its platform, alongside a successful $75 million SEC-registered offering to support growth initiatives. The company reported a decline in crypto trading volumes, with total notional volume at $733 million and total revenues of $577.9 million, reflecting a 13.3% year-over-year increase. Bakkt's adjusted EBITDA loss for Q2 was $12.6 million, showing a 29.9% improvement year-over-year. The call also detailed Bakkt's focus on expanding its Brokerage-in-a-box solution and launching Bakkt Agent, an AI-powered global transfers product.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow generation. The low leverage is positive, but the low equity ratio and negative returns on equity are concerning.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. has shown significant revenue growth from $780.1 million in 2023 to $3.49 billion in 2024, indicating a strong upward trajectory. However, profitability remains a concern, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -2.95% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. This suggests challenges in managing operational costs despite revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the equity ratio stands at 12.58%, reflecting a relatively low proportion of equity to assets. Return on equity is negative, at -304.18%, suggesting that the company is not currently generating profits for its shareholders.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Bakkt's cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.21, indicating insufficient cash generation relative to net losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.21, showing challenges in converting revenue into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.78B3.49B780.14M54.57M37.27M28.50M
Gross Profit1.93B87.01M61.63M-113.04M-137.83M-30.14M
EBITDA-50.48M-83.36M-116.09M-153.67M-134.75M-42.30M
Net Income-29.10M-46.66M-74.85M-578.11M-242.66M-79.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets190.14M269.38M966.87M455.50M2.41B468.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.83M127.61M70.28M239.39M391.40M77.18M
Total Debt39.33M23.54M27.16M26.42M11.26M2.30M
Total Liabilities132.31M206.52M831.15M119.43M108.40M58.59M
Stockholders Equity35.29M33.89M48.28M96.26M479.80M409.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-87.67M-24.29M-70.13M-148.14M-149.99M-51.51M
Operating Cash Flow-89.59M-21.20M-60.70M-117.60M-134.30M-30.94M
Investing Cash Flow16.51M14.13M65.97M-171.96M16.92M-7.93M
Financing Cash Flow20.89M43.82M-2.63M-2.58M256.83M37.49M

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.61
Price Trends
50DMA
14.00
Negative
100DMA
12.40
Negative
200DMA
15.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.68
Negative
RSI
38.40
Neutral
STOCH
30.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKKT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.30, below the 50-day MA of 14.00, and below the 200-day MA of 15.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BKKT.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$2.44B25.6713.86%13.02%-2.57%
62
Neutral
$429.51M-2.90%14.51%58.41%
62
Neutral
$3.26B-2.60%24.41%40.20%
61
Neutral
$1.21B-10.44%16.93%85.85%
56
Neutral
$4.26B8.73-8.77%-20.82%-154.29%
54
Neutral
$298.66M3.86-5.40%2.71%9.11%-73.63%
41
Neutral
$191.58M-70.04%111.83%73.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
8.61
-5.11
-37.24%
BAND
Bandwidth
14.85
-2.73
-15.53%
JG
Aurora Mobile
10.17
6.35
166.23%
STNE
Stoneco
15.92
2.73
20.70%
AVPT
AvePoint
15.80
4.32
37.63%
PAYO
Payoneer
6.79
-0.60
-8.12%

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Approves Increase in Authorized Shares
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. held a special meeting where stockholders approved an amendment to increase the number of authorized Class A Common Stock shares from 60 million to 560 million. Additionally, stockholders approved the potential adjournment of the meeting to solicit more proxies if needed, reflecting strategic moves to enhance the company’s capital structure and flexibility.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Acquires Stake in MarushoHotta
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Bakkt Crypto Solutions, a subsidiary of Bakkt Holdings, Inc., entered into a Commercial Agreement with Distributed Technologies Research Global Ltd. (DTR) to integrate Bakkt’s financial transaction processing and cryptocurrency trading solutions with DTR’s stablecoin-powered global payment technology. This agreement includes a non-exclusive license for both parties to use each other’s technologies and sets a three-year initial term. On August 6, 2025, Bakkt announced a share purchase agreement with RIZAP Group, Inc. to acquire approximately 30% of MarushoHotta Co., Ltd., a Tokyo-listed company. This acquisition is part of Bakkt’s multinational bitcoin treasury strategy and will make Bakkt the largest shareholder of MarushoHotta, which will be renamed bitcoin.jp, subject to shareholder approval.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Announces $75 Million Stock Offering
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. announced an underwriting agreement to sell 6,753,627 shares of Class A common stock and pre-funded warrants, raising approximately $75 million. The offering, which closed on July 30, 2025, is intended to fund Bitcoin and digital asset purchases, working capital, and general corporate purposes. Concurrently, Bakkt terminated a $40 million credit facility with Intercontinental Exchange Holdings, Inc., and approved a $74.5 million stock option award for employees, subject to stockholder approval.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Sells Loyalty Business to Focus on Crypto
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. announced a definitive agreement to sell its Loyalty business to Project Labrador Holdco, LLC, a subsidiary of Roman DBDR Technology Advisors, Inc., as part of its strategic realignment to focus solely on its core crypto offerings and stablecoin payments infrastructure. The transaction, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, will allow Bakkt to streamline operations and dedicate resources to enhancing its crypto services, aiming for long-term value creation for customers and shareholders.

Shareholder Meetings
Bakkt Holdings Reschedules 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. adjourned its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to allow more time for shareholders to review updates to the company’s investment policy, which includes allocating capital into Bitcoin and other digital assets. The meeting is rescheduled for June 17, 2025, and will remain a virtual event, with no changes to the proposals to be voted on. Stockholders who have already voted do not need to take any further action unless they wish to change their vote.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Considers Increasing Authorized Class A Shares
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. has updated its investment policy to allow capital allocation into Bitcoin and other digital assets, although no purchases have been made yet. The company is also considering increasing its authorized shares of Class A Common Stock to enhance flexibility for future transactions, which could potentially dilute current stockholders’ interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025