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Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT)
:BKKT
US Market

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT) AI Stock Analysis

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BKKT

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:BKKT)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▼(-10.52% Downside)
Bakkt Holdings' overall score is driven by financial challenges, including profitability and cash flow issues, and a weak valuation. However, positive strategic moves and earnings call sentiment provide some upside potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's ability to grow revenue and improve margins indicates strong market demand and effective cost management, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Focus
This strategic move allows Bakkt to streamline operations and focus on high-growth areas like digital assets, enhancing its competitive position and growth potential.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with significant cash reserves and no long-term debt provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and affect long-term financial health, posing a risk to sustained performance.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative return on equity indicates inefficiency in generating returns from shareholders' investments, which could impact investor confidence and capital raising.
Operating Cash Flow Issues
Negative operating cash flow suggests the company is not generating enough cash from operations to sustain itself, potentially leading to liquidity issues.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A (BKKT) is a financial technology company specializing in digital assets, cryptocurrency, and blockchain solutions. Founded in 2018, Bakkt operates in the fintech sector, providing a platform that enables consumers and institutions to buy, sell, store, and spend digital assets seamlessly. The company’s core products include a digital wallet for cryptocurrency transactions, a trading platform for institutional investors, and various solutions for merchants to accept digital assets as payment.
How the Company Makes MoneyBakkt generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by facilitating transactions on its platform, charging fees for trading and storage services, and offering value-added services to institutional clients. Key revenue sources include transaction fees from buying and selling digital assets, subscription fees for premium features of its trading platform, and partnerships with major financial institutions and payment processors that integrate Bakkt's technology. Additionally, Bakkt may benefit from increased adoption of digital currencies and blockchain technology, enhancing its earnings potential through strategic alliances and expanding its user base.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive trajectory for Bakkt, with significant progress in restructuring and strengthening the financial foundation. Highlights such as strong adjusted EBITDA growth, balance sheet improvements, and strategic initiatives for international expansion outweigh the lowlights, which include temporary transition impacts and accounting noise from the Loyalty business.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Bakkt reported $29 million in adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025, demonstrating scalability and efficiency, compared to a loss of $20.4 million in Q3 2024.
Balance Sheet Improvement
Closed the quarter with $64 million in cash and restricted cash and no long-term debt, reflecting disciplined execution and a strengthened financial foundation.
Simplification of Capital Structure
Eliminated the dual-class share system and completed the collapse of the Up-C structure, aligning shareholders, management, and employees under a single corporate entity.
Strategic International Expansion
Initiated investment in Japan and planning further expansion into Korea and India to extend digital asset infrastructure globally.
Negative Updates
Residual Impact from Loyalty Business
Q3 2025 results still reflect some residual impact from the Loyalty business, which will remain part of the results through year-end 2025.
Continuing Transition Noise
Accounting noise due to discontinued operations and transition activities, impacting GAAP figures until Q1 2026 when the financial reporting will be clean.
Company Guidance
During Bakkt's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's strategic transformation and future outlook. Bakkt reported strong financial performance with an adjusted EBITDA of $29 million and approximately $64 million in cash and no debt, highlighting their scalable and efficient business model. The call emphasized Bakkt's strategic focus on becoming a leading digital asset infrastructure platform, with plans to enhance its Markets, Agent, and Global divisions. The company outlined its investment and expansion strategies, particularly in Japan, Korea, and India, and stressed the importance of stablecoin and tokenization markets to future growth. Bakkt aims to complete its transformation by the end of Q4 2025, with a focus on accelerating platform integration, expanding regulated custody, and advancing strategic partnerships. Looking ahead, Bakkt plans to release 2026 KPIs and host an Investor Day in Q1 2026 to provide further clarity on its growth trajectory.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. shows revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The company has improved its gross profit margin, but negative net income and rising leverage are concerning. The balance sheet shows moderate stability, but cash flow issues need to be addressed for long-term financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced significant revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin has improved significantly in the TTM period, but the company still struggles to achieve positive net income.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased in the TTM period, indicating rising leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity remains negative, highlighting profitability challenges. However, the equity ratio suggests a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges for Bakkt Holdings, Inc. The company has negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow difficulties. Although the free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating some alignment, the overall cash flow situation remains concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.85B3.49B780.14M56.22M37.25M28.50M
Gross Profit1.63B87.01M61.63M54.57M37.25M-30.14M
EBITDA-80.24M-83.36M-114.29M-151.97M-134.75M-43.38M
Net Income-41.12M-46.66M-74.85M-578.11M-133.55M-79.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets258.26M269.38M966.87M455.50M2.42B468.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.53M39.05M70.28M239.39M407.86M77.18M
Total Debt0.0023.54M27.16M26.42M28.96M2.30M
Total Liabilities129.70M206.52M831.15M119.43M122.31M80.05M
Stockholders Equity114.39M33.89M48.28M96.26M468.40M388.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-114.84M-24.29M-70.13M-148.14M-149.99M-51.51M
Operating Cash Flow-111.18M-21.20M-60.70M-117.60M-134.30M-30.94M
Investing Cash Flow-9.16M14.13M65.97M-171.96M16.92M-7.93M
Financing Cash Flow81.09M43.82M-2.63M-2.58M256.83M37.49M

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.97
Price Trends
50DMA
24.22
Negative
100DMA
18.49
Negative
200DMA
15.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.70
Negative
RSI
32.82
Neutral
STOCH
11.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKKT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.72, below the 50-day MA of 24.22, and below the 200-day MA of 15.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BKKT.

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$302.19M41.7520.36%32.61%-8.26%
68
Neutral
$458.86M12.1026.84%-6.57%-29.62%
66
Neutral
$4.51B61.5220.46%18.37%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$41.12M-81.84-5.30%20.68%84.51%
58
Neutral
$373.23M33.031.63%4.02%34.45%
48
Neutral
$360.82M-2.28-48.63%101.97%58.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
11.56
-20.88
-64.36%
IMXI
International Money Express
15.44
-5.93
-27.75%
JG
Aurora Mobile
6.85
-0.28
-3.93%
DAVA
Endava
6.96
-23.25
-76.96%
PAYS
PaySign
5.49
2.32
73.19%
CLBT
Cellebrite DI
17.85
-2.44
-12.03%

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Sells Loyalty Business to Project Labrador
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. completed the sale of its Loyalty Business, which included Bridge2 Solutions and Aspire Loyalty Travel Solutions, to Project Labrador Holdco, LLC. This strategic move led to the reclassification of the Loyalty Business as discontinued operations in Bakkt’s financial statements, impacting the company’s historical financial data and ongoing operations. The sale reflects Bakkt’s commitment to streamline its operations and focus on its core digital asset services, potentially affecting stakeholders by altering the company’s financial landscape and market strategy.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Bakkt Holdings Invests in Transchem with Warrants Deal
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A announced its decision to subscribe to 47,500,000 warrants issued by Transchem Ltd., an Indian company listed on BSE Ltd. The investment, valued at approximately $10 million, allows Bakkt to exercise these warrants for shares in Transchem’s common stock within 18 months, with an option for additional warrants. Transchem has identified a potential acquisition target in India within the stock broking sector, which is registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India. The completion of this investment is contingent upon shareholder and regulatory approvals, and Bakkt anticipates providing further updates on the investment structure, potential rebranding, and management changes.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Approves Management Stock Option Grant
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. held a special meeting where shareholders approved the grant of options to select management members to purchase up to 2,000,000 shares of Class A Common Stock. This decision, which was detailed in the Proxy Statement and Supplemental Solicitation Materials, reflects a strategic move to incentivize management and potentially align their interests with those of the shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Board Member David Clifton Resigns
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, David Clifton, a founding board member and former interim CEO of Bakkt Holdings, Inc., resigned from the company’s board. His departure marks a strategic transition as Bakkt moves towards an independent board under the leadership of CEO Akshay Naheta. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), a major shareholder, continues to support Bakkt, indicating confidence in its future growth and transformation.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Bakkt Holdings Revises Stock Option Proposal
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. filed a definitive proxy statement with the SEC for a special meeting scheduled on October 31, 2025, to vote on an amended proposal for granting stock options to management. The proposal was revised to reduce the number of options from 7,450,000 to 2,000,000, addressing shareholder concerns about dilution and value transfer. The revised plan aims to align management’s interests with those of shareholders by encouraging direct investment in the company.

Executive/Board Changes
Bakkt Holdings Expands Board, Appoints Lyn Alden
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 19, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from seven to eight members, appointing Madelyn Alden Schwartzer, also known as Lyn Alden, as a Class II director. The Board confirmed her independence according to the New York Stock Exchange standards, and there are no conflicts of interest or arrangements influencing her appointment. Schwartzer, a private investor and author, has a background in Bitcoin financial services and engineering, and she will receive standard non-employee director compensation. The company will also provide her with indemnification against liabilities related to her board service.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bakkt Holdings Completes Sale of Loyalty Business
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. completed the sale of its Loyalty business to Project Labrador Holdco, LLC, marking a significant shift in its operational focus. This transaction, initially announced on July 23, 2025, allows Bakkt to streamline operations, reduce costs, and concentrate on its core areas of Bitcoin, tokenization, digital asset trading, stablecoin payments, and AI-driven finance. The sale is seen as a pivotal move to enhance Bakkt’s position as a pure-play digital asset infrastructure platform, aligning with its mission to drive growth and create long-term value for shareholders.

Executive/Board Changes
Bakkt Holdings Appoints Michael Alfred as New Director
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 17, 2025, De’Ana Dow resigned from her position as a director of Bakkt Holdings, Inc. and as a member of the Audit and Risk Committee, with her resignation unrelated to any disagreements with the company. Her unvested RSUs vested upon her resignation. Concurrently, Michael Alfred was appointed as a Class II director to fill the vacancy, with the Board confirming his independence and compliance with New York Stock Exchange requirements. Alfred, a seasoned investor and advisor, brings extensive experience in financial technology and digital assets, enhancing the company’s strategic direction.

Private Placements and Financing
Bakkt Holdings Redeems Outstanding Convertible Debenture
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Bakkt Holdings, Inc. redeemed the outstanding principal amount of its 0.00% convertible debenture due June 18, 2026, for $7,875,000, including a 5% payment premium. This redemption follows a previous agreement with YA II PN, LTD., where the investor had converted $17,500,000 of the debenture into Bakkt’s Class A common stock, leaving $7,500,000 outstanding, which was fully redeemed.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025