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Cellebrite DI (CLBT)
NASDAQ:CLBT
US Market

Cellebrite DI (CLBT) AI Stock Analysis

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CLBT

Cellebrite DI

(NASDAQ:CLBT)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(6.89% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash flow and a strengthened, low-debt balance sheet, reinforced by upbeat FY2026 guidance for growth, profitability, and >30% free-cash-flow margins. This is tempered by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a premium P/E that heightens sensitivity to execution and federal/FedRAMP timing and FX risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Sustained, high-margin free cash flow provides durable funding for R&D, cloud investment, and tuck-in M&A without needing debt. High FCF conversion versus earnings (~91% TTM) strengthens liquidity, supports discretionary spend, and reduces reliance on volatile external financing over the medium term.
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage gives management financial flexibility to invest in product development, absorb acquisition costs, and withstand timing delays (e.g., FedRAMP). A strong equity base reduces solvency risk and preserves optionality for strategic moves over the next several quarters.
Recurring ARR and SaaS Momentum
High and growing recurring ARR, plus rapid SaaS/cloud and Guardian adoption, strengthens revenue predictability and long-term margin profile. Cloud mix expansion and >50% SaaS ARR growth amplify lifetime customer value and create sticky revenue that should support durable profitability and FCF.
Negative Factors
FedRAMP / Federal Timing Risk
Dependence on federal certifications creates multi-quarter timing risk: delays impede cloud/Guardian adoption in a core customer segment, deferring ARR and margin expansion. Because government customers are strategic, protracted approval cycles can structurally slow growth and elongate payback on product investments.
Earnings Volatility / Prior Losses
Historic swings to large net losses in recent years show operating leverage and one-off items can materially affect profitability. This earnings volatility raises execution risk for maintaining target margins and makes forward results sensitive to integration, FX, and federal timing over the next several quarters.
Acquisition Cash Use & Integration Impact
Material cash deployed to buy Keryllium and smaller tuck-ins increases near-term capital commitments and integration burden. Upfront cash use plus short-term margin compression from acquisition-related costs can constrain reinvestment pace and raise execution risk until realized synergies and ARR accretion materialize.

Cellebrite DI (CLBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cellebrite DI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCellebrite DI Ltd. develops solutions for legally sanctioned investigations. Its DI platform allows users to collect, review, analyze, and manage digital data across the investigative lifecycle with respect to legally sanctioned investigations and solutions are used in a various case, including child exploitation, homicide, anti-terror, border control, sexual crimes, human trafficking, corporate security, intellectual property theft, and civil litigation. The company's Universal Forensic Extraction Device solution addresses problems in accessing digital information, including complicated device locks, encryption barriers, deleted and unknown content, and other obstacles that can prevent critical evidence from coming to light. It also offers Seeker solution that provides the ability to analyze video footage; OSINT Analyze, a real-time deep dive solution used to analyze open-source information, such as the surface web, deep web, and the dark web; and Crypto Tracer, which analyzes blockchain transactions together with related data from an extensive list of sources to identify and categorize wallets, and transactions. The company serves federal and state and local agencies, as well as enterprise companies and service providers. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Singapore, Australia, Brazil, United Kingdom, France, Canada, Japan, and India. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Petah Tikva, Israel. Cellebrite Mobile Synchronization Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Sun Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyCellebrite generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software and hardware products, including digital extraction devices and analytics tools. The company employs a subscription model for its software services, which provides ongoing revenue through annual licenses and renewals. Additionally, Cellebrite benefits from training and support services offered to its clients, which further contribute to its revenue streams. Key partnerships with government agencies, law enforcement bodies, and enterprises enhance its market presence, while the increasing demand for digital forensics solutions in various sectors, including cybersecurity, also drives its earnings.

Cellebrite DI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveys a predominantly positive outlook: the company reported healthy ARR, revenue, profitability and free cash flow expansion in 2025, demonstrated strong SaaS/cloud and Guardian growth, achieved above-target Insights conversion, completed the Keryllium acquisition and announced a strategic drone-forensics tuck-in. Management acknowledged transitory headwinds — U.S. federal disruptions earlier in 2025, FedRAMP timing, FX impacts, and near-term acquisition-related margin pressure — but presented a clear path to ARR reacceleration and durable FCF margins (>30%) in 2026 with conservative guidance that leaves upside from AI monetization and integration gains.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARR Growth
ARR grew 21% to $481M in 2025 (includes Keryllium). Excluding Keryllium, ARR grew 17% year-over-year. Sequential ARR increased 6% over Q3 2025. Keryllium contributed $16.1M of ARR following a Dec 1 close.
Revenue and Profitability Expansion
Q4 revenue grew 18% to $128.8M (including ~ $1M from Keryllium); full-year revenue grew 19% to $475.7M. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $38.3M, up 33% YoY with a 29.8% margin (expanded ~340 bps). Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $127.6M, or a 26.8% margin.
Very Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
Free cash flow for FY2025 was $160M (34% FCF margin), a 30% increase vs. 2024 ($124M). Cash, cash equivalents and investments ended at $535M (up $52M despite $147M net cash used for Keryllium).
SaaS/Cloud and Guardian Momentum
SaaS/cloud ARR grew north of 50% and now represents 22% of total ARR. Guardian continued its trajectory with six straight quarters of >100% YoY growth and is becoming a core evidence repository for customers.
Insights Conversion & Forensics Leadership
Converted 55% of installed digital forensics base to Insights (above the 50% target). Investments in mobile research aim to extend Android leadership and reassert iOS leadership, with new capabilities expected to market within ~6 weeks.
Strategic Acquisitions and Product Expansion
Completed acquisition of Keryllium (ARM virtualization technology seen as industry-unique and accretive). Announced planned purchase of SCG Canada (drone-forensics leader) expected to close by end of Q1; SCG ARR run-rate is low single-digit millions, and enterprise purchase price expected ~$15–$20M.
Geographic and Solution Mix Strength
Geographic ARR growth: Americas +19%, EMEA +24%, Asia Pacific +23%. Higher-growth solutions (Pathfinder, Guardian, Keryllium) represented 14% of ARR at year-end 2025 with an expectation to approach ~20% by year-end 2026.
Positive 2026 Outlook and Rules of Performance
Initial FY2026 guidance calls for ARR $567–573M (+18–19%), revenue $565–571M (+19–20%), and adjusted EBITDA $149–155M (26–27% margin). Company expects FCF margins >30% in 2026 and signaled intent to target a combined 'rule of x' (ARR growth + FCF margin) in the 50+ range.
Negative Updates
U.S. Federal Segment Disruptions (2025 Headwind)
The U.S. federal unit experienced disruptions in 2025 and produced an approximately four-point headwind to ARR growth versus original plan; performance was roughly flat in 2025 but management expects reacceleration in 2026.
FedRAMP / ATO Delays and Dependency
Lengthy FedRAMP/ATO process (18+ months) constrained some federal market opportunity; while management expects FedRAMP Level 4 ATO imminently, timing created near-term uncertainty and delayed federal cloud/Guardian penetration.
Foreign Exchange Pressure
Strengthening Israeli shekel versus the USD created a material FX headwind that weighed on margins. Management cited more than a one-point (discussed as ~1–2 points) margin burden attributable to FX volatility in the near term.
Integration and Acquisition-Related Margin Impact
Keryllium added incremental costs that compressed margins by roughly one point in the near term; management expects absorption/leverage over the course of 2026 as top line expands.
Acquisition Cash Outflow
Net cash outflow of $147M was used to acquire Keryllium in December 2025, representing a near-term cash deployment despite ending cash balance growth; SCG acquisition priced ~$15–$20M will require additional cash and integration resources.
Conservative / Tighter Guidance Ranges and Unmonetized AI Upside
Management adopted a more conservative/tighter guidance posture (smaller ranges) and stated that potential AI-driven monetization (agentic applications) was not assumed in 2026 guidance, leaving upside dependent on future monetization decisions and market adoption.
Company Guidance
Cellebrite guided to full‑year 2026 ARR of $567–$573 million (18%–19% growth vs. FY25), revenue of $565–$571 million (19%–20% growth), and adjusted EBITDA of $149–$155 million (26%–27% margin); for Q1 it sees ARR of $491–$493 million (20%–21% growth), revenue of $127–$129 million (18%–20%) and adjusted EBITDA of $26–$28 million (21%–22% margin). Management expects free cash flow margins in excess of 30% for 2026, about 60% of adjusted EBITDA dollars in the back half of the year (H2 weighting), a reacceleration versus 2025’s ~17% organic ARR growth (FY25 ARR $481M, +21% incl. Keryllium; Keryllium ARR $16.1M), and emphasized tighter guidance ranges (≈$6M ARR spread vs. prior ~$15M) while targeting a rule‑of‑x in the upper‑40s with an objective of 50+.

Cellebrite DI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$174M; free cash flow ~$160M, ~34% FY2025 FCF margin) and a conservative balance sheet (low debt vs. sizable equity) are major positives. Offsetting this is historically volatile net income/returns (notably 2023–2024 losses) despite steady multi-year revenue growth and consistently high gross margins.
Income Statement
74
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows strong profitability with ~84% gross margin and ~17% net margin, and revenue up ~4.3%. The multi-year top-line trend is solid (2020–TTM: ~$195M to ~$476M). However, earnings have been volatile—large net losses in 2023 and 2024 before returning to profitability in TTM—suggesting uneven cost/one-time item impacts despite consistently high gross margins.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Leverage is very conservative in TTM, with low debt (~$22.7M) against sizable equity (~$484.3M), supporting financial flexibility. Asset and equity growth improved meaningfully versus prior years, and TTM return on equity is healthy (~19.6%). Key risk is historical equity/return volatility (including negative equity in 2021 and very weak returns in 2023–2024), which points to prior balance sheet instability that appears improved but is worth monitoring.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout: TTM operating cash flow (~$174M) and free cash flow (~$160M) are strong, with free cash flow up ~15%. Free cash flow conversion versus earnings is solid (free cash flow running at ~91% of net income in TTM), and cash flow has remained positive even during loss-making years, indicating resilient underlying cash profitability. The main weakness is variability over time (e.g., weaker cash generation relative to earnings in 2022).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue475.68M401.20M325.11M270.65M246.25M
Gross Profit400.50M338.61M271.88M219.91M203.69M
EBITDA78.35M67.51M-64.80M130.10M89.47M
Net Income78.33M-283.01M-81.10M120.81M71.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets938.85M690.57M532.88M403.29M339.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments437.05M447.22M302.92M183.62M181.56M
Total Debt22.67M10.97M14.13M15.36M0.00
Total Liabilities454.53M354.55M498.67M329.43M413.13M
Stockholders Equity484.32M336.02M34.21M73.86M-73.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow155.73M121.56M94.14M11.49M27.94M
Operating Cash Flow168.96M132.17M102.06M20.58M36.05M
Investing Cash Flow-268.25M-149.47M-22.54M-91.23M45.23M
Financing Cash Flow29.64M20.65M21.77M13.97M-68.40M

Cellebrite DI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.63
Price Trends
50DMA
16.36
Negative
100DMA
17.08
Negative
200DMA
16.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.91
Positive
RSI
43.44
Neutral
STOCH
31.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLBT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.13, below the 50-day MA of 16.36, and below the 200-day MA of 16.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CLBT.

Cellebrite DI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.02B43.7819.10%18.37%
70
Outperform
$1.61B11.1725.05%0.68%9.67%75.67%
69
Neutral
$970.54M50.786.09%10.40%
67
Neutral
$1.39B31.974.87%4.71%13.36%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$2.18B-63.29-9.95%11.05%45.23%
54
Neutral
$2.55B-24.53%11.37%-34.44%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLBT
Cellebrite DI
13.72
-4.78
-25.84%
RDWR
Radware
22.99
0.45
2.00%
EVTC
Evertec
25.30
-12.03
-32.23%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
22.72
-19.78
-46.54%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
19.00
-18.74
-49.66%
TUYA
Tuya
2.58
-0.97
-27.24%

Cellebrite DI Corporate Events

Cellebrite Completes Acquisition of Corellium, Enhancing Digital Investigation Platform
Dec 2, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Cellebrite DI Ltd. completed its acquisition of Corellium, a leader in Arm-based virtualization software, significantly enhancing its digital investigation capabilities. This acquisition strengthens Cellebrite’s market position by integrating Corellium’s virtualization technology, which enhances digital forensics, investigations, analytics, and intelligence. The merger is expected to benefit a wide range of customers, including defense and intelligence sectors, by providing advanced virtualization for secure mobile application development and operational testing. The acquisition was completed with an enterprise value of $170 million, with additional performance-based payments possible. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States has permitted the acquisition to close, pending formal clearance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CLBT) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cellebrite DI stock, see the CLBT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026