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Cellebrite DI (CLBT)
NASDAQ:CLBT
US Market
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Cellebrite DI (CLBT) AI Stock Analysis

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Cellebrite DI

(NASDAQ:CLBT)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(20.36%Upside)
Cellebrite DI's overall stock score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. However, technical analysis shows bearish signals, and valuation is impacted by net losses and the absence of a dividend yield. The company's growth outlook is positive, but current net profitability challenges and market technicals moderate the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Cellebrite's acquisition of Corellium for $170 million in cash expands the company's total addressable market in both public and private sectors.
Market Opportunities
Local and state spending on public safety tech remains robust, with signs of improving European software and defense expenditures.
Product Development
The collaboration with Corellium enhances Cellebrite’s digital investigative solutions and industry leadership with a new digital twins tool for law enforcement.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Cellebrite's shares fell 12% following mixed first-quarter results, as revenue fell short of expectations despite EBITDA exceeding them.
Revenue Guidance
The company lowered its full-year revenue guidance and issued second-quarter guidance below consensus, citing delays in U.S. federal deal closures.
Spending Environment
Cellebrite's 1QCY25 results highlighted constrained spending in the U.S. Federal vertical, which is expected to persist, affecting revenue performance.

Cellebrite DI (CLBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cellebrite DI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCellebrite DI Ltd. develops solutions for legally sanctioned investigations. Its DI platform allows users to collect, review, analyze, and manage digital data across the investigative lifecycle with respect to legally sanctioned investigations and solutions are used in a various case, including child exploitation, homicide, anti-terror, border control, sexual crimes, human trafficking, corporate security, intellectual property theft, and civil litigation. The company's Universal Forensic Extraction Device solution addresses problems in accessing digital information, including complicated device locks, encryption barriers, deleted and unknown content, and other obstacles that can prevent critical evidence from coming to light. It also offers Seeker solution that provides the ability to analyze video footage; OSINT Analyze, a real-time deep dive solution used to analyze open-source information, such as the surface web, deep web, and the dark web; and Crypto Tracer, which analyzes blockchain transactions together with related data from an extensive list of sources to identify and categorize wallets, and transactions. The company serves federal and state and local agencies, as well as enterprise companies and service providers. It has operations in the United States, Germany, Singapore, Australia, Brazil, United Kingdom, France, Canada, Japan, and India. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Petah Tikva, Israel. Cellebrite Mobile Synchronization Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Sun Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyCellebrite generates revenue through the sale of its digital intelligence solutions, which include hardware, software, and service offerings tailored to different investigative needs. Key revenue streams include licensing fees for their software products, sales of digital forensics hardware such as data extraction devices, and ongoing service and maintenance contracts. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with law enforcement agencies and government bodies globally, which allows it to secure long-term contracts and recurring revenue streams. Additionally, Cellebrite offers training and consulting services, adding another layer to its revenue model.

Cellebrite DI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -27.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Cellebrite showed strong growth in several key areas, including ARR and specific product lines like Guardian, and hosted successful events and product releases. However, challenges in the U.S. Federal and EMEA markets moderated some of the positive impacts. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth, particularly in the second half of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARR and Revenue Growth
Cellebrite delivered a 23% year-on-year ARR growth, reaching $408 million, and a 20% increase in revenue to $107.5 million for the first quarter of 2025.
Significant Growth in Guardian Product
Guardian achieved its third consecutive quarter of over 100% ARR growth, reflecting strong adoption and interest in this product.
Successful User Conference and Product Release
Cellebrite hosted its first user conference with around 700 attendees and launched the Spring 2025 product release, featuring cloud and AI innovations.
U.S. State and Local, LATAM and Asia Pacific Growth
Cellebrite saw strong performance and momentum in the U.S. state and local, LATAM, and Asia Pacific regions.
Robust Financial Performance
The company achieved a 34% year-on-year growth in adjusted EBITDA, resulting in a 22% margin.
Negative Updates
U.S. Federal Market Challenges
There were modest shortfalls in the U.S. Federal segment due to spending constraints, impacting the company's revenue expectations.
EMEA Market Weakness
EMEA experienced a 15% ARR growth but faced challenges with order timing and spending headwinds.
Pressure on Professional Services Revenue
There was near-term pressure on one-time professional services revenue from U.S. federal agencies, contributing to adjusted revenue guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Cellebrite First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported a strong 23% year-on-year growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), reaching $408 million, and a 34% increase in adjusted EBITDA, resulting in a 22% margin. The first quarter revenue amounted to $107.5 million, marking a 20% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by a 21% rise in subscription revenue. The gross retention rate held steady at 92%, with notable retention in the U.S. and Asia Pacific regions. Despite challenges in the U.S. Federal and EMEA sectors, the company remains optimistic about future growth, projecting second quarter ARR between $416 million to $426 million, and revenue of $110 million to $116 million. The full-year guidance remains unchanged, anticipating continued expansion, especially in the U.S. state and local, Latin America, and Asia Pacific markets. The firm highlighted an ongoing focus on strategic areas like Guardian and Pathfinder solutions, with Guardian achieving over 100% ARR growth for three consecutive quarters.

Cellebrite DI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cellebrite DI exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with net profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow generation is robust, supporting liquidity. Attention to improving net income will be crucial for enhancing financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cellebrite DI has shown positive revenue growth from 2024 to TTM, with a TTM revenue of $419.17M. Gross profit margin remains strong at 84.05%, but the net profit margin is negative due to a net loss of $194.235M, indicating profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, reflecting operational efficiency, but overall profitability is impacted by net losses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a total stockholders' equity of $363.494M and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. The equity ratio is 51.20%, indicating a strong equity base in relation to total assets. However, net income losses have impacted return on equity, highlighting a need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cellebrite DI has demonstrated strong operating cash flow, with a TTM figure of $143.008M, and a positive free cash flow of $132.18M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high due to the net loss, suggesting a disconnect between cash generation and accounting profits. Free cash flow growth is positive, which is a healthy sign for liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue401.20M325.11M270.65M246.25M194.91M
Gross Profit338.61M271.88M219.91M203.69M157.03M
EBITDA67.51M-64.80M10.24M89.88M16.95M
Net Income-283.01M-81.10M120.81M71.40M5.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets690.57M532.88M403.29M339.78M364.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments447.22M302.92M183.62M181.56M237.64M
Total Debt10.97M14.13M15.36M0.000.00
Total Liabilities354.55M498.67M329.43M413.13M300.58M
Stockholders Equity336.02M34.21M73.86M-73.35M63.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow121.56M94.14M11.49M27.94M60.33M
Operating Cash Flow132.17M102.06M20.58M36.05M66.51M
Investing Cash Flow-149.47M-22.54M-91.23M45.23M-6.45M
Financing Cash Flow20.65M21.77M13.97M-68.40M-8.59M

Cellebrite DI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.54
Price Trends
50DMA
16.51
Negative
100DMA
17.68
Negative
200DMA
19.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
34.36
Neutral
STOCH
18.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLBT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.35, below the 50-day MA of 16.51, and below the 200-day MA of 19.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CLBT.

Cellebrite DI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.00B28.3040.23%9.58%12.41%
67
Neutral
$4.03B-12.09%11.79%35.35%
64
Neutral
$5.63B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
SS
64
Neutral
$5.89B-26.98%32.25%20.56%
63
Neutral
$34.26B5.42-11.67%1.85%5.30%-18.55%
63
Neutral
$3.40B-115.35%22.04%-65.97%
RPRPD
58
Neutral
$1.45B55.94164.75%6.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLBT
Cellebrite DI
14.54
1.99
15.86%
QLYS
Qualys
139.31
-3.24
-2.27%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
51.30
4.33
9.22%
RPD
Rapid7
22.31
-17.69
-44.23%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
33.04
-10.33
-23.82%
S
SentinelOne
17.72
-4.00
-18.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025