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Cellebrite Di Ltd. (CLBT)
NASDAQ:CLBT
US Market
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Cellebrite DI (CLBT) AI Stock Analysis

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CLBT

Cellebrite DI

(NASDAQ:CLBT)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(10.02% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (profitability, cash flow, and low leverage) and a positive earnings-call setup with reaffirmed guidance and AI/FedRAMP catalysts. These are tempered by weak technical trend signals and a demanding valuation (high P/E with no dividend), which increase sensitivity to any growth or execution disappointment.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
A very low leverage profile and large equity cushion provide durable financial flexibility. This capital structure supports sustained investment in R&D, product rollouts and selective M&A while reducing refinancing and solvency risks through business cycles, aiding multi‑year growth execution.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Deceleration
A marked slowdown in top-line growth reduces visibility into ARR momentum and makes future margin expansion more dependent on execution. Slower revenue trends amplify sensitivity to deal timing, budget cycles and require stronger conversion from new products to sustain investment cadence.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
A very low leverage profile and large equity cushion provide durable financial flexibility. This capital structure supports sustained investment in R&D, product rollouts and selective M&A while reducing refinancing and solvency risks through business cycles, aiding multi‑year growth execution.
Read all positive factors

Cellebrite DI Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Maps where sales are coming from across regions, indicating dependence on particular markets, exposure to geopolitical or regulatory risk, and where expansion or slowdown might materially affect overall growth.
Chart InsightsCellebrite’s revenue mix shows the Americas driving absolute growth while EMEA and APAC post faster percentage gains, signaling international demand for SaaS/Guardian is accelerating. The Americas’ late‑2025 reacceleration aligns with management’s view that prior U.S. federal and FedRAMP headwinds were transitory. That geographic diversification lowers concentration risk, and management’s 2026 guidance (ARR reacceleration, >30% FCF) implies further upside—contingent on FedRAMP clearance, successful integration of tuck‑ins (Keryllium/SCG) and potential AI monetization.
Data provided by:The Fly

Cellebrite DI (CLBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cellebrite DI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops solutions for legally sanctioned investigations. Its DI platform allows users to collect, review, analyze, and manage digital data across the investigative lifecycle with respect to legally sanctioned investigations and...
How the Company Makes Money
Cellebrite makes money primarily by selling subscriptions and licenses to its digital intelligence software and platforms, along with associated maintenance/support and professional services. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Software/pla...

Cellebrite DI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call featured multiple strong financial and strategic highlights: ARR growth of 21% to $493M, revenue +19% to $128.3M, adjusted EBITDA +29% and robust free cash flow. Management delivered major product milestones (Genesis AI, Guardian Investigate), FedRAMP High authorization, improving regional momentum (U.S. Fed pipeline +35%, EMEA growth at 25%), and optimistic Q2 guidance that implies meaningful sequential acceleration. Lowlights were primarily execution and timing risks (seasonal Q1 softness, deal push-outs, acquisition-related costs), a modest near-term net-new ARR cadence, FX headwinds (~2 points) and the need to convert strong early AI adoption into paying customers. Overall the positives—especially the combination of strong financials, rapid AI adoption, large estimated AI TAM and strategic certifications—outweigh the transitory negatives, though execution will be important to sustain the opportunity.
Positive Updates
ARR Growth
ARR increased 21% year-over-year to $493 million in Q1 2026, with sequential ARR growth of $12 million and management reaffirming full-year guidance.
Negative Updates
Q1 ARR Net-New Pace and Seasonality
Q1 net new ARR was modest (Q1 is historically the most difficult quarter), with some deal timing and push-outs cited; management noted an unusually small pool of contract expirations which weighed on net-new ARR in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
ARR Growth
ARR increased 21% year-over-year to $493 million in Q1 2026, with sequential ARR growth of $12 million and management reaffirming full-year guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cellebrite reiterated its full‑year 2026 thesis and gave Q2 guidance: following Q1 ARR of $493M (+21% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $30.6M (+29%), management expects Q2 ARR of $510–513M (net new ARR $17–20M, roughly 50% sequential growth at the midpoint), Q2 revenue of $130–133M (+15–17% YoY), and Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $29–31M (margin 22–23%), factoring in an estimated ~2‑point FX headwind; they also highlighted strong cash and profitability metrics (cash, equivalents & investments ≈ $535M; TTM free cash flow $159M with a 32% FCF margin; adjusted EBITDA margin 23.9% in Q1), reiterated that growth products should comprise ~20% of ARR by year‑end, and noted upside to prior plans from AI (Genesis) with a multi‑year Investigative AI TAM estimated at ~$12.5B.

Cellebrite DI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong current profitability and cash generation (high gross margins, solid EBIT/net margins, and robust operating/free cash flow) supported by a very low-leverage balance sheet. Main offsets are the sharp deceleration in recent revenue growth and a history of earnings volatility, which reduces confidence in the durability of the current run-rate.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue496.43M475.68M401.20M325.11M270.65M246.25M
Gross Profit416.32M400.50M338.61M271.88M219.91M203.69M
EBITDA117.81M103.07M-265.35M-65.41M130.10M89.47M
Net Income71.86M78.33M-283.01M-81.10M120.81M71.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets952.29M938.85M690.57M532.88M403.29M339.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments429.07M437.05M447.22M302.92M183.62M181.56M
Total Debt22.80M22.67M10.97M14.13M15.36M0.00
Total Liabilities441.75M454.53M354.55M498.67M329.43M413.13M
Stockholders Equity510.54M484.32M336.02M34.21M73.86M-73.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.04M155.73M121.56M94.14M11.49M27.94M
Operating Cash Flow167.97M168.96M132.17M102.06M20.58M36.05M
Investing Cash Flow-155.32M-268.25M-149.47M-22.54M-91.23M45.23M
Financing Cash Flow29.53M29.64M20.65M21.77M13.97M-68.40M

Cellebrite DI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.18
Price Trends
50DMA
13.29
Negative
100DMA
14.28
Negative
200DMA
15.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
44.53
Neutral
STOCH
55.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLBT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.17, below the 50-day MA of 13.29, and below the 200-day MA of 15.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CLBT.

Cellebrite DI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.22B77.6315.53%18.43%
71
Outperform
$1.29B79.465.71%9.83%65.00%
70
Outperform
$2.85B346.71-3.71%10.74%74.22%
69
Neutral
$1.30B22.466.22%4.71%5.43%208.11%
63
Neutral
$1.47B18.3620.68%0.68%9.44%3.45%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$3.56B-16.86-26.10%15.27%-39.93%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLBT
Cellebrite DI
12.70
-4.27
-25.16%
RDWR
Radware
29.01
5.42
22.98%
EVTC
Evertec
23.88
-12.19
-33.80%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
30.24
-16.95
-35.92%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
24.45
-7.55
-23.59%
TUYA
Tuya
2.10
-0.34
-14.00%

Cellebrite DI Corporate Events

Cellebrite Posts Strong Q1 2026 Growth, Expands AI and Drone Forensics Portfolio
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Cellebrite reported first-quarter 2026 results showing revenue of $128.3 million, up 19% year over year, with subscription revenue rising 23% to $117.9 million and annual recurring revenue climbing 21% to $493 million. The company...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026