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Aurora Mobile Ltd (JG)
NASDAQ:JG
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Aurora Mobile (JG) AI Stock Analysis

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JG

Aurora Mobile

(NASDAQ:JG)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(8.86% Upside)
Aurora Mobile's overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The most significant strength is the positive sentiment from the latest earnings call, highlighting revenue growth and profitability improvements. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest challenges with profitability. Financial performance shows recovery signs but remains constrained by revenue growth issues.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, contributing to long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances liquidity and provides the company with more flexibility for investments and debt servicing, supporting sustainable growth.
Product Expansion
Significant growth in Engage Labs' ARR demonstrates successful product adoption and positions the company for continued expansion in its core markets.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline in Market Intelligence
The decline in market intelligence revenue suggests challenges in maintaining market share and could impact overall revenue diversification and stability.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative return on equity indicates inefficiencies in generating profits from shareholders' investments, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital raising.
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue signals potential difficulties in sustaining growth and could hinder the company's ability to invest in future opportunities.

Aurora Mobile (JG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aurora Mobile Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurora Mobile Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a mobile app developer service provider in China. The company provides push notification, instant messaging, analytics, sharing and short message service, one-click verification, and other services. Its vertical applications have expanded to market intelligence, financial risk management, and location-based intelligence; and offers real-time market intelligence solutions, such as product iApp, which provides analysis and statistical results on the usage and trends of mobile apps to investment funds and corporations. The company also provides financial risk management solutions to assist financial institutions, licensed lenders, and credit card companies in making informed lending and credit decisions; and location-based intelligence solutions to help retailers and other traditional brick-and-mortar industries, such as real estate developers, track and analyze foot traffic, conduct targeted marketing, and make more informed and impactful operating decisions, such as site selection. In addition, it offers targeted marketing solutions to help advertisers to target the right audience with the right content at the right time; application programming interfaces that create connectivity and automate the process of message exchange between the mobile apps and its backend network; and an interactive web-based service dashboard that allows app developers to utilize and monitor its services through controls on an ongoing basis. The company primarily serves mobile app developers in a range of industries, such as media, entertainment, gaming, financial services, tourism, ecommerce, education, and healthcare. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurora Mobile generates revenue primarily through its mobile marketing and data service offerings. The company employs a subscription-based model for its services, allowing clients to access its platform for a fee. Key revenue streams include fees for mobile push notifications, SMS services, and analytics tools, which are charged based on usage volume or subscription tiers. Additionally, Aurora Mobile has established partnerships with various businesses and platforms, enabling them to integrate its services into their applications, thereby expanding its customer base and increasing revenue. The company's focus on big data analytics also allows it to monetize insights and data services, contributing further to its earnings.

Aurora Mobile Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Aurora Mobile's Q3 2025 earnings call was predominantly positive, with significant achievements in revenue growth, profitability, and business expansion, particularly in the Engage Labs and financial risk management sectors. Despite a decline in market intelligence revenue, the overall performance and financial metrics indicate strong company health and growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Back-to-Back GAAP Net Profit
Aurora Mobile achieved its first-ever back-to-back quarterly net GAAP profit in Q3 2025, marking a significant milestone in the company's history.
Revenue Growth
The group's revenue reached RMB 19,900,000, achieving a 15% year-over-year growth and 1% sequential growth, hitting the high end of the guidance provided.
Engage Labs ARR Growth
Engage Labs recorded a new milestone with an ARR of RMB 53,700,000, representing a 160% year-over-year growth.
Financial Risk Management Success
The financial risk management business recorded its highest quarterly revenue of RMB 222,600,000, with a 43% year-over-year growth.
Gross Profit and Margin Improvement
Gross profit grew 20% year-over-year, achieving the highest level for the past fifteen quarters, with improved gross margin both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter.
Positive Cash Flow
Net operating cash inflow was RMB 23,300,000, the highest level since 2020, indicating a strong cash position.
Net Dollar Retention Rate
The net dollar retention rate for the core developer service business hit 104%, exceeding the 100% milestone for the first time.
Deferred Revenue Milestone
Total deferred revenue reached a historical high of RMB 166,300,000, indicating strong future revenue and customer loyalty.
Negative Updates
Market Intelligence Revenue Decline
Market intelligence revenue decreased by 23% year-over-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter due to continued weak demand for Chinese APP data.
Company Guidance
During the Aurora Mobile Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the management provided a positive outlook for the upcoming quarter, underscored by significant financial achievements in Q3. The company reported a record revenue of RMB 19,900,000, marking a 15% year-over-year increase and a 1% sequential growth. Aurora Mobile achieved its first back-to-back quarterly GAAP net profit, driven by a strong performance across its business lines. The gross profit rose by 20% year-over-year, while gross margin also improved. The flagship product, EngageLab, reached an ARR of RMB 53,700,000, showing a remarkable 160% year-over-year growth. The financial risk management segment also had a stellar quarter with RMB 222,600,000 in revenue, growing 43% year-over-year. Additionally, the company generated a net operating cash inflow of RMB 23,300,000, the highest since 2020, and maintained a healthy cash position with a balance of RMB 141,200,000. For Q4 2025, Aurora Mobile expects revenue between RMB 94,000,000 to RMB 96,000,000, reflecting a 1-3% year-over-year growth.

Aurora Mobile Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurora Mobile is showing signs of recovery with improvements in profit margins, cash flow, and operational efficiency. However, challenges remain in revenue growth and achieving consistent profitability. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, and the cash flow position is improving, indicating potential for future growth and financial stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Aurora Mobile has shown a positive trend in gross profit margin, increasing from 68.7% in 2023 to 66.1% in 2024, indicating improved efficiency in cost management despite a decrease in total revenue. The net profit margin improved significantly from -21.4% in 2023 to -2.2% in 2024, suggesting better control over expenses. However, the company experienced a revenue decline of 9.1% in 2024, which signals a potential struggle in maintaining market share. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show improvement, moving towards break-even, highlighting operational efficiencies. The company is on a path to recovery but still faces challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Aurora Mobile's balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 in 2024, indicating a conservative leverage approach. The return on equity remains negative due to ongoing net losses, but stockholders' equity decreased slightly. The equity ratio fell to 18.0% in 2024 from 21.0% in 2023, suggesting a decline in asset financing through equity. Overall, while the company maintains a manageable debt level, the consistent net losses are a concern, albeit with signs of improvement.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement for Aurora Mobile shows a substantial turnaround in operating cash flow, moving from a negative position in 2023 to a positive $8.5 million in 2024, indicating better cash management and operational improvements. Free cash flow also improved significantly, which is a positive sign for future investments and debt servicing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow generation is improving faster than income, which is a positive indicator for liquidity. Despite these improvements, the company still needs to consistently generate positive free cash flow to ensure long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue299.74M316.17M290.23M328.82M357.32M471.61M
Gross Profit205.80M209.03M199.29M225.76M264.93M206.18M
EBITDA-77.77M-570.00K-52.22M-75.36M-99.92M-171.19M
Net Income-77.51M-7.05M-62.10M-106.96M-140.58M-225.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets359.50M378.03M350.19M433.11M595.54M787.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.89M119.17M114.52M120.76M120.55M436.12M
Total Debt12.36M20.84M4.64M30.09M150.00M225.23M
Total Liabilities239.00M278.63M246.47M274.87M380.09M466.09M
Stockholders Equity90.64M67.92M73.55M127.69M215.44M321.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow537.27M3.56M-18.43M-18.60M-95.59M53.48M
Operating Cash Flow217.01M8.54M-17.91M-17.48M-76.65M75.81M
Investing Cash Flow866.47M-5.38M25.13M26.85M26.44M-144.41M
Financing Cash Flow-4.21B1.23M-8.65M-148.04M-54.52M315.00K

Aurora Mobile Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.43
Price Trends
50DMA
7.74
Negative
100DMA
8.96
Negative
200DMA
9.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
39.04
Neutral
STOCH
53.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.63, below the 50-day MA of 7.74, and below the 200-day MA of 9.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JG.

Aurora Mobile Risk Analysis

Aurora Mobile disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aurora Mobile reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aurora Mobile Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$61.04M53.284.27%15.29%-84.06%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$39.56M-5.29%19.41%85.27%
49
Neutral
$69.74M-3.40-14.38%9.16%20.13%
44
Neutral
$137.35M-35.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JG
Aurora Mobile
6.43
-0.55
-7.88%
VHC
Virnetx Holding
22.15
17.06
335.17%
ALAR
Alarum Technologies
9.16
-3.56
-27.99%
STEM
Stem Inc
17.30
9.67
126.74%
ZENV
Zenvia
1.20
-0.36
-23.08%
UBXG
U-BX Technology Ltd.
2.01
-2.40
-54.40%

Aurora Mobile Corporate Events

Aurora Mobile Reports Q3 2025 Financial Growth and Announces Share Repurchase
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Aurora Mobile Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting a 15% year-over-year revenue increase to RMB90.9 million. The company achieved its first back-to-back quarterly U.S. GAAP net income, with notable growth in its flagship product, EngageLab, and a significant rise in its Annual Recurring Revenue. The company also announced a share repurchase program of up to US$10 million, reflecting a strong financial position and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Aurora Mobile Releases Interim Financial Report for Mid-2025
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Aurora Mobile Limited released its unaudited consolidated interim financial statements for the six months ending June 30, 2025. The report highlights a stable financial position with total assets slightly increasing from RMB 378,033 thousand at the end of 2024 to RMB 380,994 thousand by mid-2025. The company’s liabilities also saw a marginal increase, indicating a balanced approach to managing its financial obligations. This release provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and operational stability during the first half of 2025.

Aurora Mobile Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results with First U.S. GAAP Net Income
Aug 28, 2025

Aurora Mobile Limited announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a 13% year-over-year revenue growth to RMB89.9 million. The company achieved its first-ever quarterly U.S. GAAP net income, driven by the expansion of EngageLab, which saw a 67% revenue increase and the addition of 210 new customers. The Financial Risk Management business also reported a 27% revenue growth. The company remains optimistic about its future performance, projecting continued revenue growth in the third quarter.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025