tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
RLI Corp (RLI)
NYSE:RLI

RLI (RLI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
210 Followers

Top Page

RLI

RLI

(NYSE:RLI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 83 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
â–²(10.89% Upside)
RLI's strong financial performance and strategic dividend announcements are the most significant factors driving its high score. The company's robust profitability, minimal leverage, and effective cash flow management underpin its financial health. Technical indicators suggest moderate positive momentum, while valuation metrics highlight a balanced growth and income potential. The earnings call provided positive insights into the company's performance, despite some challenges in specific segments.
Positive Factors
Strong Underwriting Profitability
RLI's strong underwriting profitability, indicated by an 85 combined ratio, showcases its effective risk management and operational efficiency, contributing to sustained financial health and competitive advantage in the insurance sector.
Significant Growth in Book Value
The significant growth in book value per share reflects RLI's strong financial performance and shareholder value creation, indicating robust capital management and long-term financial stability.
Leadership Succession Planning
The planned CFO transition demonstrates RLI's commitment to strong financial stewardship and proactive succession planning, ensuring continuity in leadership and strategic direction.
Negative Factors
Property Segment Premium Decline
The decline in property segment premiums suggests potential challenges in market conditions or competitive pressures, which could impact revenue growth if not addressed.
Surety Premium Downturn
The downturn in surety premiums indicates potential weaknesses in demand or market positioning, which may affect overall segment performance and revenue stability.
Challenges in Transportation Division
The decline in transportation premiums highlights competitive and market challenges, which could hinder growth and profitability in this division if not strategically managed.

RLI (RLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLI Corp is a specialty insurance company that provides property and casualty insurance products, primarily through its insurance subsidiaries. The company operates in three main segments: Property, Casualty, and Surety. RLI focuses on niche markets, offering tailored insurance solutions that cater to specific industry needs, including environmental, construction, and commercial insurance. Its commitment to underwriting discipline and innovative products has positioned RLI as a leader in the specialty insurance sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLI generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and the collection of premiums from its policyholders. The company employs a disciplined underwriting approach, which helps it achieve profitability by managing risk effectively. Key revenue streams include premiums from its property, casualty, and surety insurance segments. Additionally, RLI earns investment income from its portfolio of invested assets, which consists of fixed-income securities and equity investments. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agents also enhance its distribution network, contributing to policy sales and overall revenue growth.

RLI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLI demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in book value and underwriting profitability, supported by increases in investment income. However, challenges in the property segment and surety premium declines indicate areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Underwriting Profitability
RLI achieved an 85 combined ratio with underwriting profitability across all segments, contributing to a 20% plus return on equity.
Significant Growth in Book Value
Book value per share has grown 26% year to date inclusive of dividends.
Increase in Net Investment Income
There was a 12% increase in investment income, contributing to the overall financial performance.
Hawaii Homeowners Growth
Premiums in the Hawaii homeowners segment were up 33% in the quarter, with a 16% rate increase.
Improvement in Casualty Segment
Casualty gross premiums advanced 8%, with a 98 combined ratio for Q3.
Negative Updates
Property Segment Premium Decline
The property segment experienced an 11% decline in gross premiums, influenced by rate and exposure declines in U.S. property.
Surety Premium Downturn
Surety's gross premium was down 3% over last year, driven by modest declines in commercial and contract.
Challenges in Transportation Division
Transportation premium was down 1% for the quarter due to competition and market challenges, despite achieving 15% rate increases.
Company Guidance
During RLI Corp.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the management highlighted several key metrics showcasing their financial performance. The company achieved an 85 combined ratio, indicating underwriting profitability across all segments. Year-to-date, the book value per share has increased by 26%, inclusive of dividends, with a return on equity exceeding 20%. Operating earnings per share for the quarter were reported at $0.83, supported by underwriting performance and a 12% rise in investment income. The total combined ratio was 85.1%, an improvement from the previous year's 89.6%, largely due to a benign hurricane season. While the property segment saw an 11% decline in gross premiums, it maintained a strong 60 combined ratio. Meanwhile, the casualty segment grew its gross premiums by 8%, achieving a 98 combined ratio, with notable reserve releases. The surety segment posted an 85 combined ratio despite a modest premium decline. Overall, RLI continues to demonstrate strong financial health by navigating market volatility and maintaining a stable underwriting strategy.

RLI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLI exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, minimal leverage, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains strong revenue growth and efficient capital utilization, though there is a slight concern regarding the recent decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RLI has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.16%. The company maintains strong profitability, evidenced by a TTM net profit margin of 19.02% and an EBIT margin of 23.78%. Despite a slight decline in EBITDA margin, the overall profitability metrics remain robust, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
RLI's balance sheet is characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.016, indicating minimal leverage and a strong equity position. The return on equity (ROE) is solid at 12.71% TTM, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is high, suggesting financial stability and a strong asset base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -6.37% TTM, which could be a concern if it continues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 5.33, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.77B1.51B1.70B1.18B987.68M
Gross Profit466.31M454.63M390.87M731.77M459.60M307.76M
EBITDA445.36M441.55M393.11M736.71M359.39M204.88M
Net Income353.02M345.78M304.61M583.41M279.35M157.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.25B5.63B5.18B4.77B4.51B3.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.65B114.70M3.03B2.73B2.50B2.26B
Total Debt100.00M100.00M200.00M399.73M199.68M149.49M
Total Liabilities4.37B4.11B3.77B3.59B3.28B2.80B
Stockholders Equity1.87B1.52B1.41B1.18B1.23B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow585.01M555.51M458.34M244.56M376.60M257.49M
Operating Cash Flow585.53M560.22M464.26M250.45M384.90M263.26M
Investing Cash Flow-349.30M-318.87M-211.80M48.88M-274.83M-167.99M
Financing Cash Flow-244.25M-237.98M-238.85M-365.31M-83.49M-79.26M

RLI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price64.93
Price Trends
50DMA
61.07
Positive
100DMA
62.48
Positive
200DMA
66.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.30
Negative
RSI
59.57
Neutral
STOCH
76.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 64.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.59, above the 50-day MA of 61.07, and below the 200-day MA of 66.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RLI.

RLI Risk Analysis

RLI disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$6.10B17.0119.49%3.96%3.72%-16.23%
77
Outperform
$6.61B10.7220.02%1.96%5.26%72.46%
77
Outperform
$5.17B13.1012.22%1.83%10.98%74.87%
73
Outperform
$5.30B38.042.95%0.05%-4.24%-78.10%
69
Neutral
$5.28B11.9621.47%1.34%6.18%-21.28%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
$2.39B10.609.03%3.13%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLI
RLI
64.93
-15.27
-19.04%
MCY
Mercury General
94.93
27.34
40.45%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
85.05
-8.17
-8.76%
THG
Hanover Insurance
185.53
33.33
21.90%
KMPR
Kemper
40.63
-24.15
-37.28%
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
2,090.90
161.35
8.36%

RLI Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
RLI Announces CFO Retirement and Successor Appointment
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, RLI Corp. announced that Todd W. Bryant, the Chief Financial Officer, will retire from his role on December 31, 2025, after over 30 years with the company. Bryant will remain in an advisory role through mid-2026 to support the transition of responsibilities to his successor, Aaron P. Diefenthaler, who has been appointed as the new CFO effective January 1, 2026. Diefenthaler, who has been with RLI since 2012, will receive an increased salary and participate in the Market Value Potential Executive Incentive Program as part of his new role. This leadership change reflects RLI’s commitment to strong financial stewardship and proactive succession planning.

Dividends
RLI Announces Special and Regular Dividends
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, RLI Corp. announced that its Board of Directors approved a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share, totaling approximately $184 million, and a regular quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share. Both dividends are scheduled for payment on December 19, 2025, to shareholders recorded by November 28, 2025. This move reflects RLI’s robust financial position and commitment to long-term shareholder value, having returned over $1.6 billion to shareholders in the past decade.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025