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RLI Corp (RLI)
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RLI (RLI) AI Stock Analysis

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RLI

RLI

(NYSE:RLI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$78.00
▲(11.97%Upside)
RLI's overall stock score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and robust cash flow management. While the technical analysis shows bearish trends, the company's solid dividend yield and strategic focus on profitability and value creation provide a positive outlook. The recent dividend increase further bolsters investor confidence, despite challenges in specific market segments.
Positive Factors
Casualty Premium Growth
Casualty gross written premiums beat expectations, growing 18% compared to the 15% estimate.
Underwriting Excellence
RLI shares are believed to deserve to trade at a premium to peers due to the company's exemplary underwriting and book value growth track record, as well as management's ability to capitalize on hard market conditions.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
RLI reported operating EPS of $0.41, missing the estimate of $0.54 and consensus of $0.52, primarily due to a higher-than-projected Casualty loss ratio and lower-than-expected equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees.
Premium Growth Challenges
Growing competition in specialty lines and lighter premium growth are expected to result in a challenging environment for RLI Corp.
Top-line Growth Decline
Top-line growth fell to 5% for the quarter compared to 13% in the year-ago period.

RLI (RLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLI Corp., an insurance holding company, underwrites property and casualty insurance in the United States and internationally. Its Casualty segment provides commercial and personal coverage products; and general liability products, such as coverage for third-party liability of commercial insureds, including manufacturers, contractors, apartments, and mercantile. It also offers coverages for security guards and in the areas of onshore energy-related businesses and environmental liability for underground storage tanks, contractors and asbestos, and environmental remediation specialists; and professional liability coverages focuses on providing errors and omission coverage to small to medium-sized design, technical, computer, and miscellaneous professionals. This segment provides commercial automobile liability and physical damage insurance to local, intermediate and long haul truckers, public transportation entities, and other types of specialty commercial automobile risks; incidental and related insurance coverages; inland marine coverages; management liability coverages, such as directors and officers liability insurance, fiduciary liability and coverages, employment practice liability, and for various classes of risks, including public and private businesses; and healthcare liability and home business insurance products. The company's Property segment offers commercial property, cargo, hull, protection and indemnity, marine liability, inland marine, homeowners' and dwelling fire, and other property insurance products. Its Surety segment offers commercial surety bonds for medium to large-sized businesses; small bonds for businesses and individuals; and bonds for small to medium-sized contractors. The company also underwrites various reinsurance coverages. It markets its products through branch offices, brokers, carrier partners, and underwriting and independent agents. RLI Corp. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLI Corp. generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and investment income. The company's key revenue streams include premiums collected from policyholders in its Casualty, Property, and Surety segments. The Casualty segment covers general liability, commercial and personal umbrella, and transportation insurance, while the Property segment includes commercial property, marine, and earthquake insurance. The Surety segment provides contract, commercial, and fidelity bonding for small to large businesses. Additionally, RLI earns income from investing its reserves and surplus funds into a diversified portfolio of securities, which contributes significantly to its overall earnings. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and a strong distribution network that enhance its market reach and customer base.

RLI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLI Corp. reported solid underwriting profitability and growth in investment income, with a notable increase in book value per share and favorable reserve development. However, the company faced challenges with flat top line growth, increased competition in the Property segment, and pressures in the transportation sector.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Underwriting Profitability
RLI achieved an 84.5% combined ratio in the second quarter, with underwriting profitability across all segments.
Investment Income Growth
Second quarter operating earnings were $0.84 per share, supported by a 16% increase in investment income.
Book Value Increase
Year-to-date, book value per share has grown 16%, inclusive of dividends.
Favorable Reserve Development
The company benefited from favorable development on prior year's reserves across all three segments, including $10 million in Property and $15.5 million in Casualty.
Surety Segment Growth
Surety's gross premium was up 7% over last year, with all subsegments experiencing growth.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for Q2 totaled $175 million, up $33 million from last year.
Negative Updates
Flat Top Line Growth
Overall top line was flat between periods, with Property segment experiencing a 10% decline in gross premiums.
Increased Competition in Property
Property segment faced increased competition and rate pressure, particularly in the E&S Property market.
Expense Ratio Increase
The expense ratio increased by 3 points in the Property segment due to changes in reinsurance and higher acquisition-related expenses.
Challenges in Transportation
RLI faces significant double-digit loss cost inflation in commercial vehicles, with increased competition from MGAs in the transportation sector.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter earnings call, RLI Corp. provided guidance emphasizing their strong financial performance and strategic focus. The company reported an impressive second quarter combined ratio of 84.5% and highlighted underwriting profitability across all segments. Despite flat top-line growth due to softening in the commercial property market, RLI maintained a solid 16% year-to-date growth in book value per share, inclusive of dividends, and a significant increase in net investment income. The call detailed a 16% rise in investment income and a 62% combined ratio for the Property segment, alongside a 96.5% combined ratio for Casualty. Surety saw a 7% premium growth with an 87.9% combined ratio. RLI's strategic approach involves being selective in wheels-based exposures by taking significant rates and leveraging strong underwriting practices to address legal system abuses. The company continues to prioritize profitability and long-term value creation over short-term results, taking a disciplined approach in adjusting strategy to evolving market conditions.

RLI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLI demonstrates strong financial health across all major verticals. The income statement shows high profitability despite some fluctuations in net margins. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with low leverage and strong equity. Cash flow metrics are exceptional, showcasing efficient cash management and growth in free cash flow. The company is well-positioned within the industry, though monitoring margin trends will be crucial.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company's income statement shows strong profitability metrics. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is impressive, indicating high efficiency. However, the net profit margin saw a decline from the previous year, which requires attention. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, but the company has maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
RLI's balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio, implying low financial leverage. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) has fluctuated, reflecting variable profitability. Overall, the company maintains a strong equity base, minimizing financial risk.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow metrics are strong, characterized by a significant growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The company's ability to generate free cash flow surpasses net income, highlighting robust cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77B1.52B1.70B1.18B983.63M
Gross Profit1.77B1.52B1.70B1.18B983.63M
EBITDA441.55M-5.54M736.71M322.33M184.64M
Net Income345.78M304.61M583.41M279.35M157.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.63B5.18B4.77B4.51B3.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.70M36.42M59.05M88.80M62.22M
Total Debt100.00M100.00M199.86M199.68M149.49M
Total Liabilities4.11B3.77B3.59B3.28B2.80B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.41B1.18B1.23B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow555.51M458.34M244.56M376.60M257.49M
Operating Cash Flow560.22M464.26M250.45M384.90M263.26M
Investing Cash Flow-318.87M-211.80M48.88M-274.83M-167.99M
Financing Cash Flow-237.98M-238.85M-365.31M-83.49M-79.26M

RLI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.66
Price Trends
50DMA
73.10
Negative
100DMA
74.57
Negative
200DMA
76.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Positive
RSI
39.26
Neutral
STOCH
33.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.96, below the 50-day MA of 73.10, and below the 200-day MA of 76.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RLI.

RLI Risk Analysis

RLI disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.94B13.7915.74%2.12%3.09%168.29%
74
Outperform
$6.39B19.9317.99%7.02%11.22%
74
Outperform
$7.64B9.5115.43%1.81%6.76%54.56%
72
Outperform
$5.53B24.797.48%1.64%13.37%-35.09%
66
Neutral
$10.73B13.5018.51%7.71%3.76%-9.12%
65
Neutral
$4.61B156.180.61%0.06%-4.09%-94.77%
61
Neutral
C$14.89B6.4022.28%5.40%30.07%-22.51%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLI
RLI
69.66
0.92
1.34%
AFG
American Financial Group
128.51
12.24
10.53%
AXS
Axis Capital
96.99
26.58
37.75%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
90.40
4.21
4.88%
THG
Hanover Insurance
167.81
39.56
30.85%
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
1,791.35
83.67
4.90%

RLI Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
RLI Corp. Announces New Chairman After Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 13, 2025, RLI Corp. held its annual meeting of shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected nominees to the Board of Directors, appointed David B. Duclos as Chairman, approved executive compensation on an advisory basis, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
RLI Announces 6.7% Dividend Increase for 2025
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, RLI Corp. announced a 6.7% increase in its regular quarterly dividend to $0.16 per share, payable on June 20, 2025, to shareholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This marks the 50th consecutive year of dividend increases, reflecting RLI’s consistent financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders, with a current dividend yield of 0.86% based on the latest stock price.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025