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RLI Corp (RLI)
NYSE:RLI
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RLI (RLI) AI Stock Analysis

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RLI

RLI

(NYSE:RLI)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(18.37% Upside)
RLI's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to its high score. The company's robust profitability, minimal leverage, and effective cash flow management are complemented by a reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield. Technical indicators suggest potential resistance, but the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Strong Underwriting Profitability
The strong underwriting profitability across segments indicates effective risk management and operational efficiency, contributing to sustainable financial performance.
Partnership with Netradyne
The partnership with Netradyne enhances RLI's value proposition in the transportation sector, potentially reducing claims and improving customer retention through innovative safety solutions.
Low Leverage
Minimal leverage provides RLI with financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting long-term stability and the ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth could limit RLI's ability to fund operations and investments, potentially impacting future growth and financial health if the trend continues.
Property Segment Premium Decline
Declining premiums in the property segment may indicate competitive pressures or market challenges, potentially affecting revenue and profitability in this key area.
Surety Premium Downturn
A downturn in surety premiums suggests challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, which could affect RLI's growth in this segment.

RLI (RLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLI Corp., an insurance holding company, underwrites property and casualty insurance in the United States and internationally. Its Casualty segment provides commercial and personal coverage products; and general liability products, such as coverage for third-party liability of commercial insureds, including manufacturers, contractors, apartments, and mercantile. It also offers coverages for security guards and in the areas of onshore energy-related businesses and environmental liability for underground storage tanks, contractors and asbestos, and environmental remediation specialists; and professional liability coverages focuses on providing errors and omission coverage to small to medium-sized design, technical, computer, and miscellaneous professionals. This segment provides commercial automobile liability and physical damage insurance to local, intermediate and long haul truckers, public transportation entities, and other types of specialty commercial automobile risks; incidental and related insurance coverages; inland marine coverages; management liability coverages, such as directors and officers liability insurance, fiduciary liability and coverages, employment practice liability, and for various classes of risks, including public and private businesses; and healthcare liability and home business insurance products. The company's Property segment offers commercial property, cargo, hull, protection and indemnity, marine liability, inland marine, homeowners' and dwelling fire, and other property insurance products. Its Surety segment offers commercial surety bonds for medium to large-sized businesses; small bonds for businesses and individuals; and bonds for small to medium-sized contractors. The company also underwrites various reinsurance coverages. It markets its products through branch offices, brokers, carrier partners, and underwriting and independent agents. RLI Corp. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLI generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and the collection of premiums from its policyholders. The company employs a disciplined underwriting approach, which helps it achieve profitability by managing risk effectively. Key revenue streams include premiums from its property, casualty, and surety insurance segments. Additionally, RLI earns investment income from its portfolio of invested assets, which consists of fixed-income securities and equity investments. Strategic partnerships with brokers and agents also enhance its distribution network, contributing to policy sales and overall revenue growth.

RLI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLI demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in book value and underwriting profitability, supported by increases in investment income. However, challenges in the property segment and surety premium declines indicate areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Underwriting Profitability
RLI achieved an 85 combined ratio with underwriting profitability across all segments, contributing to a 20% plus return on equity.
Significant Growth in Book Value
Book value per share has grown 26% year to date inclusive of dividends.
Increase in Net Investment Income
There was a 12% increase in investment income, contributing to the overall financial performance.
Hawaii Homeowners Growth
Premiums in the Hawaii homeowners segment were up 33% in the quarter, with a 16% rate increase.
Improvement in Casualty Segment
Casualty gross premiums advanced 8%, with a 98 combined ratio for Q3.
Negative Updates
Property Segment Premium Decline
The property segment experienced an 11% decline in gross premiums, influenced by rate and exposure declines in U.S. property.
Surety Premium Downturn
Surety's gross premium was down 3% over last year, driven by modest declines in commercial and contract.
Challenges in Transportation Division
Transportation premium was down 1% for the quarter due to competition and market challenges, despite achieving 15% rate increases.
Company Guidance
During RLI Corp.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the management highlighted several key metrics showcasing their financial performance. The company achieved an 85 combined ratio, indicating underwriting profitability across all segments. Year-to-date, the book value per share has increased by 26%, inclusive of dividends, with a return on equity exceeding 20%. Operating earnings per share for the quarter were reported at $0.83, supported by underwriting performance and a 12% rise in investment income. The total combined ratio was 85.1%, an improvement from the previous year's 89.6%, largely due to a benign hurricane season. While the property segment saw an 11% decline in gross premiums, it maintained a strong 60 combined ratio. Meanwhile, the casualty segment grew its gross premiums by 8%, achieving a 98 combined ratio, with notable reserve releases. The surety segment posted an 85 combined ratio despite a modest premium decline. Overall, RLI continues to demonstrate strong financial health by navigating market volatility and maintaining a stable underwriting strategy.

RLI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLI exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, minimal leverage, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains strong revenue growth and efficient capital utilization, though there is a slight concern regarding the recent decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RLI has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 2.16%. The company maintains strong profitability, evidenced by a TTM net profit margin of 19.02% and an EBIT margin of 23.78%. Despite a slight decline in EBITDA margin, the overall profitability metrics remain robust, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
RLI's balance sheet is characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.016, indicating minimal leverage and a strong equity position. The return on equity (ROE) is solid at 12.71% TTM, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is high, suggesting financial stability and a strong asset base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -6.37% TTM, which could be a concern if it continues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 5.33, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing that the company effectively converts its earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.77B1.51B1.70B1.18B987.68M
Gross Profit466.31M454.63M390.87M731.77M459.60M307.76M
EBITDA445.36M441.55M393.11M736.71M359.39M204.88M
Net Income353.02M345.78M304.61M583.41M279.35M157.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.25B5.63B5.18B4.77B4.51B3.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.65B114.70M3.03B2.73B2.50B2.26B
Total Debt100.00M100.00M200.00M399.73M199.68M149.49M
Total Liabilities4.37B4.11B3.77B3.59B3.28B2.80B
Stockholders Equity1.87B1.52B1.41B1.18B1.23B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow585.01M555.51M458.34M244.56M376.60M257.49M
Operating Cash Flow585.53M560.22M464.26M250.45M384.90M263.26M
Investing Cash Flow-349.30M-318.87M-211.80M48.88M-274.83M-167.99M
Financing Cash Flow-244.25M-237.98M-238.85M-365.31M-83.49M-79.26M

RLI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.67
Price Trends
50DMA
60.47
Positive
100DMA
62.80
Negative
200DMA
67.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Negative
RSI
58.38
Neutral
STOCH
-4.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.52, above the 50-day MA of 60.47, and below the 200-day MA of 67.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -4.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RLI.

RLI Risk Analysis

RLI disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$5.66B16.1519.49%4.26%3.72%-16.23%
78
Outperform
$4.77B12.1712.22%1.99%10.98%74.87%
77
Outperform
$6.62B10.7420.02%1.94%5.26%72.46%
69
Neutral
$5.13B11.6721.47%1.67%6.18%-21.28%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$5.15B36.822.95%0.05%-4.24%-78.10%
52
Neutral
$2.38B10.629.03%3.15%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLI
RLI
61.67
-21.38
-25.74%
MCY
Mercury General
92.59
16.59
21.83%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
79.04
-18.94
-19.33%
THG
Hanover Insurance
185.91
25.24
15.71%
KMPR
Kemper
40.67
-29.01
-41.63%
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
2,024.89
36.64
1.84%

RLI Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
RLI Announces CFO Retirement and Successor Appointment
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, RLI Corp. announced that Todd W. Bryant, the Chief Financial Officer, will retire from his role on December 31, 2025, after over 30 years with the company. Bryant will remain in an advisory role through mid-2026 to support the transition of responsibilities to his successor, Aaron P. Diefenthaler, who has been appointed as the new CFO effective January 1, 2026. Diefenthaler, who has been with RLI since 2012, will receive an increased salary and participate in the Market Value Potential Executive Incentive Program as part of his new role. This leadership change reflects RLI’s commitment to strong financial stewardship and proactive succession planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Buy with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
RLI Announces Special and Regular Dividends
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, RLI Corp. announced that its Board of Directors approved a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share, totaling approximately $184 million, and a regular quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share. Both dividends are scheduled for payment on December 19, 2025, to shareholders recorded by November 28, 2025. This move reflects RLI’s robust financial position and commitment to long-term shareholder value, having returned over $1.6 billion to shareholders in the past decade.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Buy with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

RLI Corp’s Omission of Key Disclosures: A Risk to Investor Confidence and Market Reputation
Oct 23, 2025

RLI Corp faces a business risk related to the lack of disclosures in certain regulatory areas, such as mine safety and unregistered sales of equity securities, which are marked as not applicable. This absence of information could raise concerns among stakeholders about the company’s transparency and compliance with industry regulations. While these specific disclosures may not be directly relevant to RLI Corp’s operations, the omission might still affect investor confidence and potentially impact the company’s reputation in the financial market. Therefore, it is crucial for RLI Corp to ensure clarity and transparency in all regulatory aspects to mitigate any potential risks associated with perceived non-compliance.

RLI Corp. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 22, 2025

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurer that operates in niche property, casualty, and surety markets, offering deep underwriting expertise and superior service to both commercial and personal lines customers across the United States. The company is known for its consistent dividend payments and strong underwriting performance.

RLI Corp’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 22, 2025

RLI Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, with strong growth in book value and underwriting profitability. The sentiment was largely positive, bolstered by increases in investment income. However, there were noted challenges in the property segment and a decline in surety premiums, which present areas of concern for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 17, 2025