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RLI Corp (RLI)
NYSE:RLI
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RLI (RLI) AI Stock Analysis

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RLI

RLI

(NYSE:RLI)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$76.00
â–²(13.15% Upside)
RLI's strong financial performance and stable dividend policy are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. Technical analysis indicates some bearish trends, which slightly offset the positive financial and earnings call insights. The company's valuation is fair, with an attractive dividend yield supporting the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
RLI reported second-quarter operating EPS of $0.84, which is higher than the consensus of $0.79.
Negative Factors
Growth Slowdown
Top-line growth fell to 5% for the quarter compared to 13% in the year-ago period.
Margin Decline
Margin took a step back this quarter as both the expense ratio and underlying loss ratio increased.
Property Segment Performance
The property segment declined 10% in the quarter as competition picks up and rates decline, affecting top-line growth.
Reserves and Litigation
Uncertainty around favorable reserves due to higher litigation rates and greater severity presents downside potential for the commercial P&C sector, including RLI.

RLI (RLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLI Corp., an insurance holding company, underwrites property and casualty insurance in the United States and internationally. Its Casualty segment provides commercial and personal coverage products; and general liability products, such as coverage for third-party liability of commercial insureds, including manufacturers, contractors, apartments, and mercantile. It also offers coverages for security guards and in the areas of onshore energy-related businesses and environmental liability for underground storage tanks, contractors and asbestos, and environmental remediation specialists; and professional liability coverages focuses on providing errors and omission coverage to small to medium-sized design, technical, computer, and miscellaneous professionals. This segment provides commercial automobile liability and physical damage insurance to local, intermediate and long haul truckers, public transportation entities, and other types of specialty commercial automobile risks; incidental and related insurance coverages; inland marine coverages; management liability coverages, such as directors and officers liability insurance, fiduciary liability and coverages, employment practice liability, and for various classes of risks, including public and private businesses; and healthcare liability and home business insurance products. The company's Property segment offers commercial property, cargo, hull, protection and indemnity, marine liability, inland marine, homeowners' and dwelling fire, and other property insurance products. Its Surety segment offers commercial surety bonds for medium to large-sized businesses; small bonds for businesses and individuals; and bonds for small to medium-sized contractors. The company also underwrites various reinsurance coverages. It markets its products through branch offices, brokers, carrier partners, and underwriting and independent agents. RLI Corp. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLI generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and the collection of premiums from policyholders. The company earns money by assessing risks and charging premiums that are intended to cover potential claims, operating expenses, and generate profit. Key revenue streams include the sale of specialty insurance products in commercial and personal lines, as well as fees associated with surety bonds. Additionally, RLI invests the premiums it collects in various financial instruments, which can provide further income through investment returns. The company's strategic partnerships with agents and brokers also contribute to its earnings by expanding its distribution network and market reach.

RLI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLI Corp's second quarter results reflected strong underwriting profitability and notable growth in investment income and book value per share. However, the company faced challenges with flat top line growth and a decline in the Property segment due to market softening and increased competition. While the highlights demonstrate robust financial performance, the lowlights indicate significant challenges, particularly in the Property market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Underwriting Profitability
RLI achieved an 84.5% combined ratio and underwriting profitability across all segments despite market challenges.
Significant Increase in Investment Income
Investment income increased by 16%, supporting operating earnings of $0.84 per share.
Growth in Book Value Per Share
Book value per share grew by 16% year-to-date, inclusive of dividends.
Positive Segment Performance
The Casualty and Surety segments posted 7% growth in premiums, contributing positively to the overall performance.
Favorable Reserve Development
All three segments benefited from favorable reserve development, with specific contributions from general liability, excess liability, and personal umbrella.
Negative Updates
Flat Top Line Growth
Overall top line growth was flat due to significant softening in the commercial property market.
Decline in Property Segment
The Property segment experienced a 10% decline in gross premiums due to increased competition and rate pressure, especially in the E&S Property market.
Increased Expense Ratios
Expense ratios increased due to changes in reinsurance and higher acquisition-related expenses, impacting the Property and Surety segments.
Pressure from Increased Competition
Increased competition from MGAs and new entrants in certain markets, particularly in the E&S Property space, has pressured rates and win rates.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, RLI Corp. reported a combined ratio of 84.5% and operating earnings of $0.84 per share, reflecting strong underwriting performance and a 16% increase in investment income. Despite a flat top line due to softening in the commercial property market, RLI achieved a 16% year-to-date growth in book value per share. The Property segment experienced a 10% decline in gross premiums, influenced by increased competition and rate pressure, yet maintained a 62% combined ratio. Casualty gross premiums grew by 7%, with a 96.5% combined ratio, while Surety also saw a 7% increase in gross premiums and an 87.9% combined ratio. The company focused on discipline and sustainability, adjusting strategies in response to market conditions, particularly in wheels-based exposures and property risks. Investments in technology and people, along with a focus on high-quality fixed income, contributed to a 2.9% total return for the quarter.

RLI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLI demonstrates strong financial health across all major verticals. The income statement shows high profitability despite some fluctuations in net margins. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with low leverage and strong equity. Cash flow metrics are exceptional, showcasing efficient cash management and growth in free cash flow. The company is well-positioned within the industry, though monitoring margin trends will be crucial.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company's income statement shows strong profitability metrics. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is impressive, indicating high efficiency. However, the net profit margin saw a decline from the previous year, which requires attention. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, but the company has maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
RLI's balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio, implying low financial leverage. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) has fluctuated, reflecting variable profitability. Overall, the company maintains a strong equity base, minimizing financial risk.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow metrics are strong, characterized by a significant growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The company's ability to generate free cash flow surpasses net income, highlighting robust cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77B1.51B1.70B1.18B983.63M
Gross Profit1.77B1.51B731.77M1.18B983.63M
EBITDA441.55M-5.54M736.71M322.33M184.64M
Net Income345.78M304.61M583.41M279.35M157.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.63B5.18B4.77B4.51B3.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.70M3.03B59.05M88.80M62.22M
Total Debt100.00M100.00M199.86M199.68M149.49M
Total Liabilities4.11B3.77B3.59B3.28B2.80B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.41B1.18B1.23B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow555.51M458.34M244.56M376.60M257.49M
Operating Cash Flow560.22M464.26M250.45M384.90M263.26M
Investing Cash Flow-318.87M-211.80M48.88M-274.83M-167.99M
Financing Cash Flow-237.98M-238.85M-365.31M-83.49M-79.26M

RLI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.17
Price Trends
50DMA
68.60
Negative
100DMA
71.64
Negative
200DMA
75.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
45.62
Neutral
STOCH
22.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.29, below the 50-day MA of 68.60, and below the 200-day MA of 75.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RLI.

RLI Risk Analysis

RLI disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.21B11.5819.23%2.00%4.47%102.98%
79
Outperform
$4.27B10.9521.56%1.65%14.93%22.19%
76
Outperform
$6.22B19.2619.49%3.89%10.29%-4.70%
75
Outperform
$4.76B12.8512.19%1.92%12.27%66.53%
69
Neutral
$4.73B22.824.47%0.06%8.08%-57.76%
68
Neutral
$17.88B11.6610.24%3.76%9.66%1.70%
58
Neutral
$3.37B10.2412.21%2.35%2.75%572.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLI
RLI
67.17
-7.54
-10.09%
MCY
Mercury General
77.02
15.47
25.13%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
79.22
-10.00
-11.21%
THG
Hanover Insurance
177.43
33.39
23.18%
KMPR
Kemper
53.94
-7.13
-11.68%
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
1,772.52
-58.23
-3.18%

RLI Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
RLI Announces Quarterly Dividend Amidst Strong Performance
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, RLI Corp. announced that its Board of Directors approved a regular quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on September 19, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This announcement marks the continuation of RLI’s impressive track record of increasing dividends for 50 consecutive years, reflecting the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to delivering shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
RLI Corp. Announces New Chairman After Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 13, 2025, RLI Corp. held its annual meeting of shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected nominees to the Board of Directors, appointed David B. Duclos as Chairman, approved executive compensation on an advisory basis, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025