RLI Corp (RLI)
NYSE:RLI
Advertisement

RLI (RLI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
202 Followers

Top Page

RLI

RLI

(NYSE:RLI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(7.79% Upside)
RLI's overall stock score of 74 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, which are offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's solid valuation and attractive dividend yield further support the score, despite challenges in certain segments.
Positive Factors
Strong Underwriting Profitability
The strong underwriting profitability, indicated by an 85 combined ratio, showcases RLI's effective risk management and pricing strategy, which is crucial for long-term financial stability and competitiveness in the insurance industry.
Significant Growth in Book Value
The significant growth in book value per share reflects RLI's ability to enhance shareholder equity, indicating robust financial health and potential for sustained value creation for investors.
Increase in Net Investment Income
The 12% increase in investment income enhances RLI's overall profitability and provides a stable income stream, supporting its financial resilience and ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Property Segment Premium Decline
The decline in property segment premiums suggests potential challenges in maintaining market share and pricing power, which could impact revenue growth and profitability in the long term.
Surety Premium Downturn
The downturn in surety premiums indicates pressure in this business line, potentially affecting RLI's diversification and revenue stability if the trend continues.
Challenges in Transportation Division
The decline in transportation premiums, despite rate increases, highlights competitive pressures and market challenges that could hinder growth and profitability in this segment.

RLI (RLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RLI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLI Corp., an insurance holding company, underwrites property and casualty insurance in the United States and internationally. Its Casualty segment provides commercial and personal coverage products; and general liability products, such as coverage for third-party liability of commercial insureds, including manufacturers, contractors, apartments, and mercantile. It also offers coverages for security guards and in the areas of onshore energy-related businesses and environmental liability for underground storage tanks, contractors and asbestos, and environmental remediation specialists; and professional liability coverages focuses on providing errors and omission coverage to small to medium-sized design, technical, computer, and miscellaneous professionals. This segment provides commercial automobile liability and physical damage insurance to local, intermediate and long haul truckers, public transportation entities, and other types of specialty commercial automobile risks; incidental and related insurance coverages; inland marine coverages; management liability coverages, such as directors and officers liability insurance, fiduciary liability and coverages, employment practice liability, and for various classes of risks, including public and private businesses; and healthcare liability and home business insurance products. The company's Property segment offers commercial property, cargo, hull, protection and indemnity, marine liability, inland marine, homeowners' and dwelling fire, and other property insurance products. Its Surety segment offers commercial surety bonds for medium to large-sized businesses; small bonds for businesses and individuals; and bonds for small to medium-sized contractors. The company also underwrites various reinsurance coverages. It markets its products through branch offices, brokers, carrier partners, and underwriting and independent agents. RLI Corp. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLI generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and the collection of premiums from policyholders. The company earns money by assessing risks and charging premiums that are intended to cover potential claims, operating expenses, and generate profit. Key revenue streams include the sale of specialty insurance products in commercial and personal lines, as well as fees associated with surety bonds. Additionally, RLI invests the premiums it collects in various financial instruments, which can provide further income through investment returns. The company's strategic partnerships with agents and brokers also contribute to its earnings by expanding its distribution network and market reach.

RLI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLI demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in book value and underwriting profitability, supported by increases in investment income. However, challenges in the property segment and surety premium declines indicate areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Underwriting Profitability
RLI achieved an 85 combined ratio with underwriting profitability across all segments, contributing to a 20% plus return on equity.
Significant Growth in Book Value
Book value per share has grown 26% year to date inclusive of dividends.
Increase in Net Investment Income
There was a 12% increase in investment income, contributing to the overall financial performance.
Hawaii Homeowners Growth
Premiums in the Hawaii homeowners segment were up 33% in the quarter, with a 16% rate increase.
Improvement in Casualty Segment
Casualty gross premiums advanced 8%, with a 98 combined ratio for Q3.
Negative Updates
Property Segment Premium Decline
The property segment experienced an 11% decline in gross premiums, influenced by rate and exposure declines in U.S. property.
Surety Premium Downturn
Surety's gross premium was down 3% over last year, driven by modest declines in commercial and contract.
Challenges in Transportation Division
Transportation premium was down 1% for the quarter due to competition and market challenges, despite achieving 15% rate increases.
Company Guidance
During RLI Corp.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the management highlighted several key metrics showcasing their financial performance. The company achieved an 85 combined ratio, indicating underwriting profitability across all segments. Year-to-date, the book value per share has increased by 26%, inclusive of dividends, with a return on equity exceeding 20%. Operating earnings per share for the quarter were reported at $0.83, supported by underwriting performance and a 12% rise in investment income. The total combined ratio was 85.1%, an improvement from the previous year's 89.6%, largely due to a benign hurricane season. While the property segment saw an 11% decline in gross premiums, it maintained a strong 60 combined ratio. Meanwhile, the casualty segment grew its gross premiums by 8%, achieving a 98 combined ratio, with notable reserve releases. The surety segment posted an 85 combined ratio despite a modest premium decline. Overall, RLI continues to demonstrate strong financial health by navigating market volatility and maintaining a stable underwriting strategy.

RLI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLI demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, efficient operations, and a solid balance sheet. The company maintains low leverage, ensuring financial stability, and exhibits strong cash generation capabilities. While there are minor declines in certain metrics, the overall trajectory remains positive, positioning RLI well within the insurance industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
RLI's income statement shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 80.8% and a net profit margin of 19.0%. Revenue growth is positive at 4.8% TTM, indicating a healthy upward trend. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 23.8% and 23.0%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in net income from the previous year suggests potential challenges in maintaining profit levels.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.016, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 12.7%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 28.9%, reflecting a stable capital structure. However, the slight decrease in ROE from the previous year suggests a need for improved equity utilization.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 6.2% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 5.7, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that the company effectively converts its profits into cash. However, the slight decline in free cash flow growth compared to the previous year suggests potential challenges in sustaining cash flow momentum.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.77B1.51B1.70B1.18B983.63M
Gross Profit1.35B1.77B1.51B731.77M1.18B983.63M
EBITDA427.75M441.55M-5.54M736.71M322.33M184.64M
Net Income353.02M345.78M304.61M583.41M279.35M157.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.25B5.63B5.18B4.77B4.51B3.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments218.33M114.70M3.03B59.05M88.80M62.22M
Total Debt100.00M100.00M100.00M199.86M199.68M149.49M
Total Liabilities4.37B4.11B3.77B3.59B3.28B2.80B
Stockholders Equity6.25B1.52B1.41B1.18B1.23B1.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow585.01M555.51M458.34M244.56M376.60M257.49M
Operating Cash Flow585.53M560.22M464.26M250.45M384.90M263.26M
Investing Cash Flow-349.30M-318.87M-211.80M48.88M-274.83M-167.99M
Financing Cash Flow-244.25M-237.98M-238.85M-365.31M-83.49M-79.26M

RLI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price62.16
Price Trends
50DMA
63.24
Negative
100DMA
65.92
Negative
200DMA
70.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.43
Negative
RSI
53.28
Neutral
STOCH
91.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.44, below the 50-day MA of 63.24, and below the 200-day MA of 70.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RLI.

RLI Risk Analysis

RLI disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.76B10.8421.47%1.67%6.18%-21.28%
75
Outperform
$6.49B10.5420.02%1.99%5.26%72.46%
74
Outperform
$5.67B16.1719.49%4.21%3.72%-16.23%
74
Outperform
$4.75B12.1012.22%1.99%10.98%74.87%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$4.86B34.592.95%0.05%-4.24%-78.10%
58
Neutral
$2.16B9.629.03%2.90%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLI
RLI
62.16
-23.40
-27.35%
MCY
Mercury General
87.28
14.27
19.55%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
79.12
-18.98
-19.35%
THG
Hanover Insurance
182.39
23.28
14.63%
KMPR
Kemper
36.85
-31.49
-46.08%
WTM
White Mountains Insurance Group
1,934.47
23.72
1.24%

RLI Corporate Events

RLI Corp’s Omission of Key Disclosures: A Risk to Investor Confidence and Market Reputation
Oct 23, 2025

RLI Corp faces a business risk related to the lack of disclosures in certain regulatory areas, such as mine safety and unregistered sales of equity securities, which are marked as not applicable. This absence of information could raise concerns among stakeholders about the company’s transparency and compliance with industry regulations. While these specific disclosures may not be directly relevant to RLI Corp’s operations, the omission might still affect investor confidence and potentially impact the company’s reputation in the financial market. Therefore, it is crucial for RLI Corp to ensure clarity and transparency in all regulatory aspects to mitigate any potential risks associated with perceived non-compliance.

RLI Corp. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 22, 2025

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurer that operates in niche property, casualty, and surety markets, offering deep underwriting expertise and superior service to both commercial and personal lines customers across the United States. The company is known for its consistent dividend payments and strong underwriting performance.

RLI Corp’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 22, 2025

RLI Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, with strong growth in book value and underwriting profitability. The sentiment was largely positive, bolstered by increases in investment income. However, there were noted challenges in the property segment and a decline in surety premiums, which present areas of concern for the company.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
RLI Announces Quarterly Dividend Amidst Strong Performance
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, RLI Corp. announced that its Board of Directors approved a regular quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on September 19, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 29, 2025. This announcement marks the continuation of RLI’s impressive track record of increasing dividends for 50 consecutive years, reflecting the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to delivering shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (RLI) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RLI stock, see the RLI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025