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Rocket Companies (RKT)
NYSE:RKT
US Market

Rocket Companies (RKT) AI Stock Analysis

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Rocket Companies

(NYSE:RKT)

52Neutral
Rocket Companies' overall score reflects a balanced view of mixed financial performance, neutral technical indicators, and challenging valuation due to recent losses. Strong Q1 performance and strategic moves like acquisitions are positive highlights, but operational and cash flow challenges pose risks. The company's focus on AI and strategic growth initiatives provide potential upside, yet market volatility remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The inclusion of a merger model reflects potential growth opportunities from recent acquisitions.
Technology and Brand
Rocket Companies maintains a strong technology and brand position.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Risks
There are concerns about the integration of two large acquisitions, which increases execution risk.
Dividend Yield
Dividend yield remains low, which may not be attractive to income-focused investors.
Market Conditions
Unfavorable market conditions are affecting Rocket Companies Inc.

Rocket Companies (RKT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Rocket Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRocket Companies, Inc. engages in the tech-driven real estate, mortgage, and e-Commerce businesses in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Direct to Consumer and Partner Network. The company's solutions include Rocket Mortgage, a mortgage lender; Amrock that provides title insurance, property valuation, and settlement services; Rocket Homes, a home search platform and real estate agent referral network, which offers technology-enabled services to support the home buying and selling experience; Rocket Auto, an automotive retail marketplace that provides centralized and virtual car sales support to online car purchasing platforms; and Rocket Loans, an online-based personal loans business. It also offer Core Digital Media, a digital social and display advertiser in the mortgage, insurance, and education sectors; Rocket Solar, which connect homeowners with digital financing solutions through a team of trained solar advisors; Truebill, a personal finance app that helps clients manage every aspect of their financial lives; Lendesk, a technology services company that provides a point of sale system for mortgage professionals and a loan origination system for private lenders; and Edison Financial, a digital mortgage broker. In addition, the company originates, closes, sells, and services agency-conforming loans. Rocket Companies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan. Rocket Companies, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Rock Holdings, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyRocket Companies generates revenue primarily through the origination of residential mortgages, with Rocket Mortgage being a significant contributor. The company earns money through the fees associated with originating and servicing loans, including interest rate spreads and origination fees. Additionally, Rocket Companies generates revenue from the sale of mortgages in the secondary market, which involves bundling and selling loans to investors. Ancillary revenue streams include services provided by Rocket Homes and Rocket Auto, which generate income through real estate and auto sales transactions. Strategic partnerships and technology platforms also play a role in enhancing Rocket Companies' service offerings and expanding its customer base.

Rocket Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsRocket Companies is experiencing a resurgence in revenue from the 'Sale of Loans' and 'Other' segments, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The latest earnings call highlights strategic acquisitions of Redfin and Mr. Cooper, aiming to enhance their homeownership platform, which could further bolster revenue streams. Despite April's market volatility impacting consumer sentiment, the company's AI initiatives and increased client origination suggest a positive trajectory. However, challenges remain in the purchase market due to rising mortgage rates and decreased gain on sale margins.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Rocket Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rocket Companies exhibits a mixed financial performance. Recent revenue growth and reduced leverage are promising, but the company faces challenges with operational profitability and cash flow generation. The high gross profit margin and improved equity position are strengths, but cash flow issues and historical volatility in earnings signal potential risks that need to be managed to ensure sustainable financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a significant recovery in revenue compared to the previous year, with a revenue growth rate of 33.44%. However, the company has experienced fluctuating net income, resulting in an unstable net profit margin. The gross profit margin remains high at approximately 98.86% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Despite these positives, the volatility in EBIT and negative EBITDA in previous years highlight operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strengthened equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio effectively reduced to zero in the TTM, thanks to the elimination of total debt. The equity ratio is robust at 36.90% TTM, indicating a solid asset backing by stockholders' equity. However, previous years showed significant leverage, which poses historical risk concerns. The improved ROE of 7.71% TTM is a positive sign of profitability on equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning negative operating cash flow in the TTM, a significant drop from the positive cash flow in 2023. Free cash flow has also turned negative, marking a decline in cash-generating capability. The company's ability to convert operating cash flow to net income is currently adverse, indicating potential liquidity issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.10B3.61B5.68B12.68B15.55B
Gross Profit
4.93B3.50B5.59B12.61B15.47B
EBIT
3.38B-294.87M160.92M420.95M330.33M
EBITDA
465.38M67.35M0.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
29.37M-15.51M699.93M6.07B9.40B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.27B1.14B722.29M2.13B1.97B
Total Assets
24.51B19.23B20.08B32.77B37.53B
Total Debt
5.34B9.56B8.71B19.26B21.95B
Net Debt
4.06B8.43B7.98B17.13B19.98B
Total Liabilities
15.47B10.93B11.61B23.02B29.65B
Stockholders Equity
9.04B624.90M576.70M665.66M490.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.43B49.99M10.72B7.44B-1.78B
Operating Cash Flow
-2.63B110.33M10.82B7.74B-1.68B
Investing Cash Flow
-495.47M861.15M578.74M-664.85M517.20M
Financing Cash Flow
3.28B-623.56M-12.82B-6.92B1.76B

Rocket Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.24
Price Trends
50DMA
12.96
Positive
100DMA
12.29
Positive
200DMA
14.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
57.08
Neutral
STOCH
80.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RKT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.33, above the 50-day MA of 12.96, and below the 200-day MA of 14.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RKT.

Rocket Companies Risk Analysis

Rocket Companies disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rocket Companies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rocket Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$8.43B14.9712.39%6.44%-7.86%
WDWD
67
Neutral
$2.51B25.165.62%3.57%6.68%6.08%
64
Neutral
$12.83B9.837.64%16985.66%12.34%-5.73%
62
Neutral
$5.26B15.469.32%1.09%23.79%121.61%
RKRKT
52
Neutral
$26.48B68.510.45%24.58%-88.86%
52
Neutral
$796.91M18.433.71%3.91%42.92%64.72%
41
Neutral
$6.92B37.74-5.74%9.24%9.19%-171.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RKT
Rocket Companies
13.24
-0.62
-4.47%
WD
Walker & Dunlop
73.83
-24.19
-24.68%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
101.77
8.87
9.55%
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
131.81
48.01
57.29%
UWMC
UWM Holding
4.33
-2.41
-35.76%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
12.81
-0.18
-1.39%

Rocket Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Rocket Companies delivered strong Q1 results with significant achievements in AI integration, strategic acquisitions, and growth in home equity loans. However, the company faced challenges due to April's market volatility, which impacted consumer sentiment and purchase applications. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and integration efforts.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 2025 Performance
Rocket Companies reported $1.3 billion in adjusted revenue, at the high end of guidance, and $0.04 in adjusted diluted EPS. The company served 21% more origination clients in March compared to March 2023, and reduced turn times by 14%.
Innovative Use of AI
AI initiatives such as Agentic AI and call analysis tools have significantly improved productivity, with an estimated 50% reduction in remediation costs and projected savings of over $1 million in 2025. These innovations have enabled a 50% increase in clients served per production team member.
Strategic Acquisitions
Announced acquisitions of Redfin and Mr. Cooper aim to transform Rocket's business model by integrating real estate search, origination scale, and servicing strength into an end-to-end homeownership platform.
Growth in Home Equity Loans
Rocket Companies experienced a 17% year-over-year increase in net rate lock volume, driven by growth in refinance and home equity loan offerings.
Negative Updates
April Market Volatility
April saw a sharp reversal in housing market momentum due to global tariff announcements, leading to increased volatility in stock and bond markets. Mortgage rates climbed back to nearly 7%, causing a decline in consumer sentiment and purchase applications.
Challenges in Purchase Market
The spring home buying season started slower than expected, with April purchase application data declining to the lowest level since February. This was attributed to market volatility and consumer concerns about job security and affordability.
Decreased Gain on Sale Margin
The gain on sale margin decreased to 289 basis points in Q1 2025, compared to 311 basis points in the same period last year, and 298 basis points in the prior quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Rocket Companies First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a robust set of metrics reflecting their performance and future outlook. The company reported $1.3 billion in adjusted revenue, which was at the high end of their guidance, and achieved $0.04 in adjusted diluted EPS. They saw a 21% increase in origination clients in March compared to March 2023 and reduced turn times by 14%. Rocket Companies reported serving 50% more clients per production team member compared to March 2023. Additionally, the company noted a significant impact from their AI initiatives, such as a 50% reduction in remediation costs through an AI tool and a projected $1 million cost saving in 2025. The call also highlighted strategic acquisitions planned to enhance their integrated homeownership platform, including acquisitions of Redfin and Mr. Cooper, which are expected to strengthen their business model and expand their data and ecosystem partnerships.

Rocket Companies Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies Ends Credit Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
May 2, 2025

Rocket Companies terminated its Revolving Credit Agreement dated July 4, 2024, with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., without incurring any early termination penalties or prepayment premiums. This move may impact the company’s financial strategy and liquidity management, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Spark’s Take on RKT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, RKT is a Neutral.

Rocket Companies receives an overall score of 57, reflecting a mixed outlook. Strong revenue growth, reduced leverage, and strategic acquisitions are key strengths. However, high valuation concerns, cash flow challenges, and market volatility pose significant risks. The company’s strategic initiatives and technological advancements provide potential for future growth, but these must be weighed against current financial and market challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on RKT stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies Announces Acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Rocket Companies announced a definitive agreement to acquire Mr. Cooper Group Inc. in an all-stock transaction valued at $9.4 billion. This merger aims to create a combined servicing portfolio of $2.1 trillion, enhancing Rocket’s market position by integrating Mr. Cooper’s servicing platform with Rocket’s origination capabilities. The transaction is expected to generate significant revenue and cost synergies, contributing to organic growth and increased operating leverage. The merger, which has been approved by both companies’ boards, is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending shareholder and regulatory approvals.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies Announces Up-C Collapse Restructuring Plan
Neutral
Mar 10, 2025

On March 9, 2025, Rocket Companies announced a significant restructuring plan known as the Up-C Collapse, which involves a series of mergers and reorganizations to streamline its corporate structure. This plan will consolidate voting power and economic rights, allowing public stockholders and key stakeholders like Mr. Gilbert to participate directly in the company’s economics through common stock ownership. The restructuring is expected to maintain Rocket Companies as a ‘controlled company’ under NYSE rules, with Mr. Gilbert retaining a majority of the voting power. Additionally, Rocket Companies has entered into a merger agreement to acquire Redfin Corporation, which is subject to various approvals and conditions. This acquisition aims to enhance Rocket’s market position and operational capabilities, although it carries potential risks and uncertainties related to integration and market reactions.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies to Acquire Redfin in $1.75B Deal
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

On March 9, 2025, Rocket Companies announced an agreement to acquire Redfin in an all-stock transaction valued at $1.75 billion, with each Redfin share being exchanged for 0.7926 shares of Rocket’s Class A common stock. The merger aims to integrate Redfin’s real estate platform with Rocket’s mortgage services, enhancing the home-buying experience and driving growth in Rocket’s purchase mortgage market. The transaction is expected to close in the second or third quarter of 2025, pending shareholder approval and regulatory conditions. The merger is projected to generate significant synergies and be accretive to Rocket’s earnings by the end of 2026.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.