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Rocket Companies (RKT)
NYSE:RKT
US Market

Rocket Companies (RKT) AI Stock Analysis

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RKT

Rocket Companies

(NYSE:RKT)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(31.22% Upside)
Rocket Companies' overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and valuation, with high leverage and overvaluation concerns. However, strong strategic moves, including successful integrations and AI advancements, provide a positive outlook. The technical analysis suggests a moderate bullish trend, but the high P/E ratio remains a concern. The earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic growth, but the challenging housing market and increased expenses pose risks.
Positive Factors
Successful Integration and Expansion
The integration of Redfin and Mr. Cooper enhances Rocket's market position, adding millions of clients and prospects, which strengthens its competitive advantage and potential for revenue growth.
AI-Driven Enhancements
AI advancements improve operational efficiency and conversion rates, reducing costs and enhancing customer service, which supports long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Market Share Gains
Increased market share in key segments indicates strong competitive positioning and potential for sustained revenue growth, even in challenging market conditions.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes, which could impact long-term financial stability.
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins reflect operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges, which could hinder long-term growth and shareholder value.
Increased Expenses
Rising expenses, driven by acquisitions and variable costs, could pressure margins and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain financial health.

Rocket Companies (RKT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rocket Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRocket Companies, Inc. engages in the tech-driven real estate, mortgage, and e-Commerce businesses in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Direct to Consumer and Partner Network. The company's solutions include Rocket Mortgage, a mortgage lender; Amrock that provides title insurance, property valuation, and settlement services; Rocket Homes, a home search platform and real estate agent referral network, which offers technology-enabled services to support the home buying and selling experience; Rocket Auto, an automotive retail marketplace that provides centralized and virtual car sales support to online car purchasing platforms; and Rocket Loans, an online-based personal loans business. It also offer Core Digital Media, a digital social and display advertiser in the mortgage, insurance, and education sectors; Rocket Solar, which connect homeowners with digital financing solutions through a team of trained solar advisors; Truebill, a personal finance app that helps clients manage every aspect of their financial lives; Lendesk, a technology services company that provides a point of sale system for mortgage professionals and a loan origination system for private lenders; and Edison Financial, a digital mortgage broker. In addition, the company originates, closes, sells, and services agency-conforming loans. Rocket Companies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan. Rocket Companies, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Rock Holdings, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyRocket Companies generates revenue primarily through its mortgage origination and servicing activities. The company earns money by charging fees and interest on the loans it originates, which includes origination fees, processing fees, and points collected at closing. Additionally, Rocket Companies earns ongoing revenue from servicing the loans it retains in its portfolio, receiving monthly servicing fees from borrowers. Another significant revenue stream comes from its technology platform, which offers various services to real estate agents and brokers, including lead generation and CRM solutions. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology firms further enhance its offerings and drive additional revenue growth. The company also benefits from market conditions, such as low interest rates, which can increase loan origination volumes, contributing to its overall earnings.

Rocket Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and revealing strategic focus and potential vulnerabilities.
Chart InsightsRocket Companies is experiencing a rebound in 'Sale of Loans' revenue, driven by strategic acquisitions and AI-driven efficiencies, despite previous declines. The 'Interest' segment shows steady growth, reflecting effective cost management. However, 'Change in Value of MSRs' remains volatile, posing a risk. The earnings call highlights strong Q1 2025 results and optimism about future growth, despite market volatility impacting consumer sentiment. Strategic acquisitions like Redfin and Mr. Cooper are expected to bolster their integrated platform, potentially mitigating risks and enhancing revenue stability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Rocket Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance and successful strategic integrations, with significant market share gains and promising AI innovations. However, challenges remain in the housing market, and there are concerns about seasonal slowdowns and increased expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q3 Financial Performance
Rocket Companies delivered $1.783 billion in adjusted revenue, exceeding the high end of guidance, with a $36 billion net rate lock volume, up 26% over the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA reached $349 million, with margins expanding to 20% from 13% in the prior quarter.
Successful Integration and Expansion
Rocket successfully integrated Redfin and Mr. Cooper, with Mr. Cooper's financials to be consolidated in Q4 and Redfin contributing to a 13% increase in Rocket’s purchase closings. The integration has added approximately 60 million clients and prospects to the Rocket ecosystem.
AI-Driven Enhancements
Rocket launched three AI agents improving efficiency and effectiveness, resulting in a 10% lift in conversion for refinance applications and saving over 150,000 employee hours annually.
Increased Market Share
Rocket gained market share in both purchase and refinance markets, achieving the strongest purchase and refinance quarter in the last three years.
Negative Updates
Challenging Housing Market
Despite a thawing purchase market, existing home sales remain at historical lows, making 2025 potentially the slowest year for home sales since 1995.
Seasonal Q4 Outlook
Q4 is expected to experience typical seasonal slowdowns due to holidays, with potential softer housing activity and slower mortgage demand.
Increased Expenses
Total expenses in Q3 were $1.789 billion, up $450 million from Q2 due to Redfin expenses, higher variable costs, and $90 million in onetime costs.
Company Guidance
During Rocket Companies' third quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and achievements were highlighted. The company reported $1.783 billion in adjusted revenue, exceeding their guidance, with a net rate lock volume of $36 billion, a 26% increase over the previous quarter. Closed loan volume reached $32 billion, up 11% from Q2, marking the strongest purchase and refinance quarter in three years. The gain on sale margin remained stable, and adjusted EBITDA hit $349 million, expanding margins to 20%. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.07. The integration of Redfin and Mr. Cooper was significant, contributing to increased market share and a stronger purchase and refinance pipeline. AI advancements played a crucial role, with new AI agents enhancing efficiency and conversion rates. The company also closed the Mr. Cooper transaction, expecting its financial consolidation in Q4, further strengthening their recapture strategy. Looking ahead, Rocket Companies provided Q4 guidance with adjusted revenue projected between $2.100 billion and $2.300 billion, reflecting continued market share gains despite typical seasonal slowdowns.

Rocket Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rocket Companies faces profitability challenges and high leverage, despite strong revenue growth. The company needs to address its debt levels and improve operational efficiency to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rocket Companies shows a volatile revenue growth trajectory with a recent TTM growth of 20.27% following a decline in previous years. Gross profit margins remain strong, but net profit margins have turned negative, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. Return on equity has been negative recently, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved significantly in the TTM period, but free cash flow growth is negative, indicating cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.18B5.40B4.01B6.00B13.18B15.90B
Gross Profit5.73B4.93B3.65B5.68B12.68B15.46B
EBITDA681.96M780.97M-292.63M835.93M6.26B9.61B
Net Income-102.15M29.37M-15.51M46.42M308.21M197.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.58B24.51B19.23B20.08B32.77B37.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.84B1.27B1.11B722.29M4.05B7.67B
Total Debt22.26B13.98B9.56B10.35B21.18B27.65B
Total Liabilities24.72B15.47B10.93B11.61B23.02B29.65B
Stockholders Equity8.85B702.50M624.90M576.70M665.66M490.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.08B-3.43B49.99M10.72B7.44B-1.78B
Operating Cash Flow-854.23M-2.63B110.33M10.82B7.74B-1.68B
Investing Cash Flow-93.29M-495.47M861.15M578.74M-664.85M517.20M
Financing Cash Flow5.56B3.28B-623.56M-12.82B-6.92B1.76B

Rocket Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.48
Price Trends
50DMA
17.56
Positive
100DMA
18.04
Positive
200DMA
15.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
51.93
Neutral
STOCH
25.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RKT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.58, below the 50-day MA of 17.56, and below the 200-day MA of 15.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RKT.

Rocket Companies Risk Analysis

Rocket Companies disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rocket Companies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rocket Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.24B50.9710.53%23.81%
69
Neutral
$6.59B13.6612.55%0.92%25.42%190.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
2.27%-17.46%
54
Neutral
$53.47B242.32-2.15%22.56%
52
Neutral
$8.98B11.37%7.43%-8.66%
47
Neutral
$936.39M-25.72%3.91%27.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RKT
Rocket Companies
18.71
7.25
63.26%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
130.48
26.96
26.04%
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
210.79
114.86
119.73%
LDI
loanDepot
2.60
0.53
25.60%
UWMC
UWM Holding
5.38
-0.20
-3.58%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
20.01
7.08
54.76%

Rocket Companies Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies Extends Master Repurchase Agreement
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Rocket Mortgage, LLC, a subsidiary of Rocket Companies, Inc., extended its Master Repurchase Agreement with Morgan Stanley Bank, N.A., pushing the expiration date to November 26, 2027. Despite the extension, the company’s total funding capacity remained stable at $26.4 billion as of November 26, 2025, compared to previous figures of $26.4 billion in September 2025 and $27.5 billion in December 2024.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Rocket Companies Completes Historic Acquisition of Mr. Cooper
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Rocket Companies completed its acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group, marking the largest independent mortgage deal in history. This acquisition combines the largest home loan originator with the largest mortgage servicer in the U.S., creating a combined servicing portfolio of nearly 10 million homeowners. The merger aims to transform homeownership by integrating Mr. Cooper’s servicing expertise with Rocket’s origination capabilities and AI technology, ultimately lowering costs and simplifying the homeownership process. Jay Bray, CEO of Mr. Cooper, will join Rocket as the new President and CEO of Rocket Mortgage, further strengthening the company’s leadership.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies Extends Repurchase Agreement with UBS
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Rocket Mortgage, LLC and One Reverse Mortgage, LLC, both subsidiaries of Rocket Companies, Inc., extended their Master Repurchase Agreement with UBS AG New York Branch to September 16, 2027. This amendment increased the company’s total funding capacity to $26.4 billion, up from $26.2 billion in June 2025, indicating a strategic move to enhance liquidity and financial flexibility.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies Announces Acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Rocket Companies announced its pending acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group Inc. and the conditional redemption of Nationstar Mortgage Holdings’ senior notes, set for October 1, 2025, contingent on the acquisition’s completion. The acquisition is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, and Rocket plans an internal reorganization post-acquisition, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and Financing
Rocket Companies Extends Repurchase Agreement with Bank
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Rocket Mortgage, LLC, a subsidiary of Rocket Companies, Inc., entered into an Amended and Restated Master Repurchase Agreement with Bank of Montreal, extending the agreement’s expiration to September 3, 2027, and increasing the facility to $1.0 billion. This agreement, along with other financial facilities, raised Rocket Companies’ total funding capacity to $26.4 billion, reflecting a slight increase from $26.2 billion in June 2025, but a decrease from $27.5 billion at the end of 2024.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025