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Mr Cooper Group (COOP)
NASDAQ:COOP
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Mr Cooper Group (COOP) AI Stock Analysis

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COOP

Mr Cooper Group

(NASDAQ:COOP)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$191.00
▲(2.75% Upside)
Mr Cooper Group's stock score is primarily supported by its strong operational performance and positive technical indicators. Despite financial challenges in revenue growth and cash flow, the company's strategic initiatives and positive earnings call outlook drive a moderately positive score. The valuation remains fair, with the absence of a dividend yield being a minor drawback.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Rocket acquisition makes it uncontested heavyweight in servicing, resets bar for stock valuations connected to achieving scale.
Synergies
The COOP deal supports at least $500 million of expected synergies, including $100 million of revenue synergies from achieving a stronger recapture rate.
Negative Factors
Market Skepticism
The market is currently pricing in some level of skepticism regarding the deal’s eventual closing, possibly due to concerns from regulatory entities about RKT/COOP’s combined market dominance.
Valuation Concerns
Downgrading COOP shares to Market Perform from Market Outperform as the shares are now reasonably fairly valued with limited price appreciation potential after the announcement of the acquisition.

Mr Cooper Group (COOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mr Cooper Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMr. Cooper Group Inc. (COOP) is a prominent player in the mortgage finance industry, primarily operating in the United States. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services, including mortgage servicing, origination, and transaction-based services. Its main sectors include residential mortgage servicing and mortgage origination, where it caters to a wide range of customers including homeowners, investors, and real estate professionals. The company is committed to providing innovative solutions and exceptional customer service, aiming to simplify homeownership for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyMr. Cooper Group generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is its mortgage servicing operations, where the company earns fees for managing and administrating mortgage loans on behalf of clients. This involves collecting payments, managing escrow accounts, and handling customer service for borrowers. Another significant revenue stream is mortgage origination, where the company earns origination fees by issuing new home loans. Additionally, Mr. Cooper Group benefits from transaction-based services which include title insurance and real estate services. The company’s earnings are also influenced by partnerships with financial institutions and investors, which enhance its capacity to offer competitive mortgage products and services. Interest income from its mortgage servicing rights and other financial assets also contributes to its revenue.

Mr Cooper Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operating performance and successful strategic initiatives, such as the MSR fund launch and Servicing segment growth. However, challenges in subservicing UPB and loan delinquencies were noted. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative, demonstrating robust performance in a challenging market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating ROTCE
Operating ROTCE was 17.2% for Q2 2025, up from 16.8% last quarter, reflecting strong performance within the company's guidance range of 16% to 20%.
Servicing Segment Growth
Servicing generated $332 million in pretax income, up 15% year-over-year, showing significant gains despite a challenging market.
Successful MSR Fund Launch
Successfully launched a maiden MSR fund with $200 million in initial commitments, indicating a new asset-light strategy for growth.
Improvement in Delinquencies
Delinquencies declined to 1%, indicating pristine asset quality and effective risk management strategies.
Recognition as a Great Place to Work
The company was recognized by The Great Places to Work foundation as one of the best places to work in Texas, highlighting a positive work environment.
Strong Momentum in Home Equity Loans
Completed two securitizations during the quarter and continued strong performance in the correspondent channel, being a top 5 player.
Negative Updates
Decreases in Subservicing UPB
Subservicing UPB saw a decline due to a single client deboarding $62 billion in loans as part of a different strategy.
Challenges in FHA Loan Sector
Delinquencies increased in the FHA sector, although the company limited this to 15% of the MSR portfolio and avoided higher-risk vintages.
Impact of Student Loan Delinquencies
End of the student loan moratorium led to elevated student loan delinquencies, with a peak of 8.7% in April, settling at 7.9% in June.
Company Guidance
During the call, Mr. Cooper Group provided detailed guidance and performance metrics for the second quarter of 2025. The company recorded an operating ROTCE of 17.2%, aligning with their guidance range of 16% to 20%. The capital ratio stood strong at 26.6%, supported by robust liquidity of $3.8 billion. Asset quality was highlighted with delinquencies declining to 1%. The Servicing segment generated $332 million in pretax income, up 15% year-over-year, while the Originations segment contributed $64 million despite high rates. The company celebrated its strong market position in subservicing and announced plans to board a new $40 billion loan portfolio by year-end. Additionally, Mr. Cooper successfully launched a maiden MSR fund with $200 million in commitments, and the integration with Rocket, which recently acquired Redfin, was emphasized as a strategic priority. Looking forward, the company anticipates sustained performance, leveraging their scale, technology, and human resources to navigate the challenging mortgage environment.

Mr Cooper Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mr Cooper Group demonstrates strong operational efficiency with a high gross profit margin and solid equity position. However, challenges in revenue growth, declining net profit margin, and significant cash flow issues weigh down the financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mr Cooper Group has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 53.17%, which indicates a strong ability to convert revenue into profit. However, the TTM net profit margin is 23.75%, which is lower than previous years, showing a decline in net profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decrease in recent periods, highlighting potential challenges in revenue generation. The EBIT margin is healthy at 33.81%, and EBITDA margin is 35.29%, reflecting operational efficiency, though both have declined from prior periods.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0 in the TTM period, indicating no reliance on debt. Return on equity is strong at 11.78%, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 26.51% suggests a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a TTM free cash flow of -$1,734 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting operational cash flow issues. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating difficulties in converting earnings into free cash flow. The company must address these cash flow challenges to ensure sustainable financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29B2.23B1.79B2.46B3.19B2.41B
Gross Profit1.68B1.53B1.79B1.43B1.80B1.30B
EBITDA839.00M989.00M699.00M1.06B1.47B1.05B
Net Income570.00M669.00M500.00M923.00M1.45B305.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.50B18.94B14.20B12.78B14.20B24.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments783.00M753.00M571.00M527.00M895.00M695.00M
Total Debt11.06B11.39B7.45B5.56B7.67B13.30B
Total Liabilities13.40B14.13B9.91B8.72B10.84B21.66B
Stockholders Equity5.10B4.81B4.28B4.06B3.37B2.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-953.00M-762.00M-972.00M2.15B1.67B144.00M
Operating Cash Flow-361.00M-724.00M896.00M3.77B2.63B331.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45B-2.70B-1.84B-1.32B1.19B-134.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.96B3.65B978.00M-2.78B-3.70B104.00M

Mr Cooper Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price185.88
Price Trends
50DMA
150.51
Positive
100DMA
134.13
Positive
200DMA
116.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.85
Negative
RSI
69.26
Neutral
STOCH
90.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 185.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 162.34, above the 50-day MA of 150.51, and above the 200-day MA of 116.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COOP.

Mr Cooper Group Risk Analysis

Mr Cooper Group disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mr Cooper Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mr Cooper Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$12.21B21.2511.76%2.27%-17.46%
67
Neutral
$17.02B11.609.79%3.95%10.61%2.06%
64
Neutral
$5.13B13.7610.05%1.22%20.77%96.22%
58
Neutral
$37.94B68.51>-0.01%21.52%-103.65%
57
Neutral
$1.24B28.613.71%2.51%42.92%64.72%
48
Neutral
$620.23M-29.48%3.76%16.19%
48
Neutral
$6.75B37.748.18%8.89%9.19%-171.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
185.88
98.80
113.46%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
98.18
2.27
2.37%
LDI
loanDepot
1.74
-0.66
-27.50%
UWMC
UWM Holding
4.50
-3.33
-42.53%
RKT
Rocket Companies
17.55
0.55
3.24%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
19.90
3.75
23.22%

Mr Cooper Group Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Mr Cooper Group Advances Merger with Rocket Companies
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with Rocket Companies, Inc., involving a series of mergers that will result in Mr. Cooper becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Rocket. The expiration of the HSR Act waiting period on June 4, 2025, marked a significant step towards the completion of the mergers, which are expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending other regulatory approvals and stockholder consent.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOP) stock is a Hold with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mr Cooper Group stock, see the COOP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mr Cooper Group Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were approved. Stockholders elected seven directors for the upcoming term and approved advisory votes on executive compensation, deciding to hold these votes annually. Additionally, the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOP) stock is a Hold with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mr Cooper Group stock, see the COOP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025