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Mr Cooper Group (COOP)
NASDAQ:COOP
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Mr Cooper Group (COOP) AI Stock Analysis

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COOP

Mr Cooper Group

(NASDAQ:COOP)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$197.00
▼(-7.37% Downside)
Mr Cooper Group's overall stock score reflects a balance of strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights against financial performance concerns and legal challenges in the merger process. The stock's valuation is moderate, but liquidity issues and high leverage remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Servicing Income Growth
The growth in servicing income indicates a strong market position and effective management in the mortgage servicing sector, providing a stable revenue stream.
High Capital Ratio and Liquidity
A high capital ratio and strong liquidity position enhance financial stability, allowing the company to withstand market fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Launch of MSR Fund
The launch of the MSR fund diversifies revenue streams and leverages the company's expertise in mortgage servicing, potentially attracting more institutional investors.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, especially in volatile markets, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Negative Cash Flow Trends
Negative cash flow trends indicate liquidity challenges, which could hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and meet financial obligations.
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue reflects potential market challenges and could pressure profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to sustain growth.

Mr Cooper Group (COOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mr Cooper Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMr. Cooper Group Inc. is a leading technology-driven mortgage services company based in the United States. The company operates primarily in the mortgage servicing and originations sectors, offering a range of products and services including loan servicing, mortgage origination, and refinancing solutions. Mr. Cooper is focused on providing innovative solutions to enhance the customer experience in homeownership, leveraging technology to streamline processes and improve efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyMr. Cooper Group generates revenue through several key streams within the mortgage industry. The primary source of income comes from mortgage servicing fees, which are collected for managing mortgage loans on behalf of investors. Additionally, the company earns money through mortgage origination fees when new loans are created. Other significant revenue sources include gains from the sale of loans on the secondary market, as well as ancillary services such as escrow and insurance products. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various financial institutions and technology providers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base.

Mr Cooper Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong operating metrics, growth in servicing income, and strategic achievements such as launching a new MSR fund. However, there were some challenges, including a paused stock repurchase program and increased delinquencies in certain sectors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operating ROTCE
Operating ROTCE was 17.2%, up from 16.8% last quarter, within the guidance range of 16% to 20%.
High Capital Ratio and Liquidity
The company reported a strong capital ratio of 26.6% and robust liquidity of $3.8 billion.
Servicing Income Growth
Servicing generated $332 million in pretax income, up 15% year-over-year.
Home Equity Loan Momentum
Two securitizations completed, with favorable investor feedback, and a massive multiyear opportunity with home equity loans.
Launch of MSR Fund
Successfully launched a maiden MSR fund with $200 million in initial commitments.
Recognition as a Great Place to Work
The company was recognized by The Great Places to Work foundation as one of the best places to work in Texas.
New Client Wins
A new client win is expected to bring a sizable portfolio of about $40 billion in loans by year-end.
Negative Updates
Paused Stock Repurchase Program
The stock repurchase program was paused due to the pending merger with Rocket.
Decreasing UPB in Subservicing
Subservicing saw a slight decline in UPB due to a single client pursuing a different strategy, resulting in deboarding $12 billion in loans.
Challenges in FHA Sector
FHA delinquencies increased, though still below peers, and FHA loans were limited to 15% of the MSR portfolio.
Impact of Student Loan Delinquencies
Approximately 16% of customers have student loans, with elevated student loan delinquencies observed.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Mr. Cooper Group demonstrated strong financial performance, with an operating return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 17.2%, up from 16.8% in the previous quarter, and within the guidance range of 16% to 20%. The company's balance sheet remained robust with a capital ratio of 26.6% and liquidity of $3.8 billion. Servicing income rose by 15% year-over-year, reaching $332 million, with the servicing portfolio holding steady at around $1.5 trillion. Originations generated $64 million in pretax income, with $9.4 billion in fundings and a significant focus on home equity loans, where the company completed two securitizations. Net income for the quarter was $198 million, including $269 million in pretax operating income. The company also initiated its maiden MSR fund with $200 million in initial commitments, while maintaining a strong position in the correspondent channel as a top 5 player. With a focus on innovation and efficiency, Mr. Cooper continues to leverage AI and has received recognition as one of the best places to work in Texas. The company anticipates continued consistent performance into the third quarter, despite challenges such as high mortgage rates and affordability issues in the housing market.

Mr Cooper Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mr Cooper Group's financial performance is mixed. While profitability margins are strong, declining revenue and high leverage pose risks. The negative cash flow trends are particularly concerning, suggesting liquidity issues. The company must focus on improving revenue growth and managing debt to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin has improved to 73.4% in TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, revenue has declined by 6.7% in the TTM period, reflecting potential market challenges. Net profit margin remains healthy at 24.9%, but the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17 in TTM, indicating significant leverage. While the return on equity is moderate at 11.7%, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential financial risk. The company needs to manage its debt levels to improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows concerning trends, with negative operating and free cash flows in TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 10.6, indicating reliance on non-operational sources for cash. The negative growth in free cash flow highlights liquidity challenges that need addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29B2.23B1.79B2.46B3.19B2.41B
Gross Profit1.68B1.53B1.79B1.43B1.80B1.30B
EBITDA865.00M989.00M699.00M1.06B1.47B1.05B
Net Income570.00M669.00M500.00M923.00M1.45B305.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.50B18.94B14.20B12.78B14.20B24.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments783.00M753.00M571.00M527.00M895.00M695.00M
Total Debt11.06B11.39B7.45B5.56B7.67B8.33B
Total Liabilities13.40B14.13B9.91B8.72B10.84B21.66B
Stockholders Equity5.10B4.81B4.28B4.06B3.37B2.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-668.00M-762.00M-972.00M2.15B1.67B144.00M
Operating Cash Flow-63.00M-724.00M896.00M3.77B2.63B331.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.57B-2.70B-1.84B-1.32B1.19B-134.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.78B3.65B978.00M-2.78B-3.70B104.00M

Mr Cooper Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price212.68
Price Trends
50DMA
188.99
Positive
100DMA
162.90
Positive
200DMA
134.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.08
Positive
RSI
58.72
Neutral
STOCH
15.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 212.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 208.78, above the 50-day MA of 188.99, and above the 200-day MA of 134.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COOP.

Mr Cooper Group Risk Analysis

Mr Cooper Group disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mr Cooper Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mr Cooper Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$13.70B24.4711.76%2.27%-17.46%
64
Neutral
6.38B17.078.13%0.97%20.77%96.22%
61
Neutral
41.23B-402.26>-0.01%21.52%-103.65%
58
Neutral
1.08B-9.64-15.29%6.60%44.77%
58
Neutral
1.24B51.132.12%34.62%-7.94%
53
Neutral
10.30B-97.136.73%6.21%12.27%-21.43%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
212.68
122.80
136.63%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
123.32
12.40
11.18%
LDI
loanDepot
3.26
0.47
16.85%
UWMC
UWM Holding
6.44
-1.33
-17.12%
RKT
Rocket Companies
19.59
1.78
9.99%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
19.94
3.78
23.39%

Mr Cooper Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Mr Cooper Group Approves Merger with Rocket Companies
Neutral
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. held a special meeting where stockholders approved the merger with Rocket Companies, Inc. Under the merger terms, Mr. Cooper stockholders will receive 11 shares of Rocket Class A common stock for each share of Mr. Cooper common stock. The merger-related compensation proposal was also approved, although it is not a binding condition for the merger’s completion. The acquisition’s completion remains subject to the satisfaction or waiver of remaining closing conditions.

M&A TransactionsLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
Mr Cooper Faces Legal Challenges in Merger Process
Negative
Aug 22, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Rocket Companies, Inc., which involves Mr. Cooper becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Rocket. This merger is subject to shareholder approval, with a special meeting scheduled for September 3, 2025. However, the merger process has faced legal challenges, as three lawsuits have been filed by Mr. Cooper’s stockholders alleging misstatements and omissions in the proxy statement related to the merger. Despite these allegations, Mr. Cooper plans to supplement the proxy statement to address these claims, although the company maintains that the original disclosures were compliant with applicable laws.

M&A Transactions
Mr Cooper Group Advances Merger with Rocket Companies
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with Rocket Companies, Inc., involving a series of mergers that will result in Mr. Cooper becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Rocket. The expiration of the HSR Act waiting period on June 4, 2025, marked a significant step towards the completion of the mergers, which are expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending other regulatory approvals and stockholder consent.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025