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Mr Cooper Group (COOP)
NASDAQ:COOP

Mr Cooper Group (COOP) AI Stock Analysis

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Mr Cooper Group

(NASDAQ:COOP)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$160.00
▲(10.67%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects solid technical momentum and positive recent earnings call insights, including strategic mergers and acquisitions. However, ongoing financial challenges in revenue and cash flow generation, as well as valuation concerns, temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Rocket acquisition makes it uncontested heavyweight in servicing, resets bar for stock valuations connected to achieving scale.
Financial Performance
The COOP deal supports at least $500 million of expected synergies, including $100 million of revenue synergies from achieving a stronger recapture rate.
Valuation
With COOP shares currently trading at just 7.9x our 2025 operating EPS estimate of $13.50 versus a mortgage operating company median of 9.1x, shares are considered undervalued.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
The combination could create a modest headwind for MBS investors given the lower refinancing costs expected to manifest from RKT having more meaningful scale.
Market Valuation
Downgrading COOP shares to Market Perform from Market Outperform as the shares are now reasonably fairly valued with limited price appreciation potential after the announcement of the acquisition.
Regulatory Concerns
The market is currently pricing in some level of skepticism regarding the deal’s eventual closing, possibly due to concerns from regulatory entities about RKT/COOP’s combined market dominance.

Mr Cooper Group (COOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mr Cooper Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMr. Cooper Group Inc. (COOP) is a prominent player in the mortgage finance industry, primarily operating in the United States. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services, including mortgage servicing, origination, and transaction-based services. Its main sectors include residential mortgage servicing and mortgage origination, where it caters to a wide range of customers including homeowners, investors, and real estate professionals. The company is committed to providing innovative solutions and exceptional customer service, aiming to simplify homeownership for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyMr. Cooper Group generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is its mortgage servicing operations, where the company earns fees for managing and administrating mortgage loans on behalf of clients. This involves collecting payments, managing escrow accounts, and handling customer service for borrowers. Another significant revenue stream is mortgage origination, where the company earns origination fees by issuing new home loans. Additionally, Mr. Cooper Group benefits from transaction-based services which include title insurance and real estate services. The company’s earnings are also influenced by partnerships with financial institutions and investors, which enhance its capacity to offer competitive mortgage products and services. Interest income from its mortgage servicing rights and other financial assets also contributes to its revenue.

Mr Cooper Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 29.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong performance across several key areas, including the successful integration of the Flagstar acquisition, increased ROTCE, and receipt of operational excellence awards. However, there are some challenges, including negative MSR mark-to-market adjustments and additional legal charges. Overall, the positive developments in core business areas outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Combination with Rocket
The pending combination with Rocket is expected to create a scaled homeownership experience and provide significant opportunities for shareholders through an integrated platform combining Mr. Cooper's servicing capabilities with Rocket's brand and marketing.
Strong ROTCE and Balance Sheet
ROTCE increased to 16.8% from 15.8% last quarter. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a capital ratio of 25.5% and liquidity at $3.9 billion.
Successful Integration of Flagstar
Flagstar acquisition was the company's largest, and the integration is on schedule, contributing $332 million in pretax income to the servicing segment.
Operational Excellence Awards
Received the Fannie Mae Star Award for operational excellence in all three categories: general servicing, solution delivery, and timeline management.
Servicing Segment Performance
Reported $332 million in pretax income, up 22% year-over-year, driven by slower CPR speeds, lower amortization, and improved operating leverage.
Originations Segment Growth
$53 million in pretax income with strong performance in cash-out refinances and second liens, reflecting a long-term growth opportunity.
High Asset Quality
MSR delinquencies down to 1.1%, with exceptional performance in Ginnie Mae loans.
Negative Updates
Negative MSR Mark-to-Market
A negative MSR mark of $82 million due to falling interest rates and expectations for higher CPRs.
Additional Legal Charges
Incurred an additional $33 million charge associated with a legal ruling, closing out all liabilities related to it.
Subservicing Portfolio Decline
Total portfolio slightly down, with $60 billion in subserviced loans shifted to other servicers due to the Flagstar transaction.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic progress, highlighted by a 16.8% ROTCE, up from the previous quarter's 15.8%, and a robust capital ratio of 25.5%. The company reported net income of $88 million, bolstered by $255 million in pretax operating earnings. The servicing segment achieved a pretax income of $332 million, driven by operating leverage and lower amortization rates, while originations exceeded expectations with $53 million in pretax income, supported by strong momentum in home equity loans and cash-out refinancing. The balance sheet remained solid with liquidity rising to $3.9 billion, thanks to a strategic payoff of $350 million in MSR lines. The company's recent Flagstar acquisition was smoothly integrated, contributing to a 21% decrease in delinquencies to 1.1%. Looking ahead, the impending merger with Rocket is expected to enhance the company’s capabilities, although stock repurchases are on hold until the transaction's anticipated closure in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Mr Cooper Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mr Cooper Group shows a mixed financial performance with strong operational efficiency and equity position. However, challenges in revenue growth, declining net profit margin, and negative free cash flow are concerning and require strategic attention.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mr Cooper Group has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 53.17%, which indicates a strong ability to convert revenue into profit. However, the TTM net profit margin is 23.75%, which is lower than previous years, showing a decline in net profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decrease in recent periods, highlighting potential challenges in revenue generation. The EBIT margin is healthy at 33.81%, and EBITDA margin is 35.29%, reflecting operational efficiency, though both have declined from prior periods.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0 in the TTM period, indicating no reliance on debt. Return on equity is strong at 11.78%, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 26.51% suggests a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a TTM free cash flow of -$1,734 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting operational cash flow issues. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating difficulties in converting earnings into free cash flow. The company must address these cash flow challenges to ensure sustainable financial health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.04B3.02B2.32B2.46B3.32B3.07B
Gross Profit
1.49B1.53B1.15B1.43B1.80B1.30B
EBIT
796.00M920.00M661.00M923.00M1.47B534.00M
EBITDA
850.00M964.00M699.00M1.06B1.47B610.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
576.00M669.00M500.00M923.00M1.45B305.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
784.00M753.00M571.00M527.00M895.00M695.00M
Total Assets
18.45B18.94B14.20B12.78B14.20B24.16B
Total Debt
11.21B11.39B7.45B5.56B7.67B13.30B
Net Debt
10.43B10.63B6.88B5.03B6.77B12.61B
Total Liabilities
13.56B14.13B9.91B8.72B10.84B21.66B
Stockholders Equity
4.89B4.81B4.28B4.06B3.37B2.50B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.88B-762.00M-972.00M2.15B1.67B144.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-525.00M-724.00M896.00M3.77B2.63B331.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.01B-2.70B-1.84B-1.32B1.19B-134.00M
Financing Cash Flow
2.75B3.65B978.00M-2.78B-3.70B104.00M

Mr Cooper Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price144.57
Price Trends
50DMA
124.74
Positive
100DMA
116.89
Positive
200DMA
105.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.27
Negative
RSI
64.41
Neutral
STOCH
74.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 144.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.57, above the 50-day MA of 124.74, and above the 200-day MA of 105.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COOP.

Mr Cooper Group Risk Analysis

Mr Cooper Group disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mr Cooper Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mr Cooper Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
THTHG
79
Outperform
$6.00B13.9115.74%2.16%3.09%168.29%
PBPB
74
Outperform
$6.45B12.936.83%3.43%9.02%20.88%
SNSNV
74
Outperform
$6.66B13.4510.63%3.25%-1.56%22.50%
69
Neutral
$8.93B16.4212.39%6.44%-7.86%
67
Neutral
$6.41B12.5513.40%2.71%5.34%-25.43%
FAFAF
66
Neutral
$5.93B38.063.23%3.74%0.96%-27.04%
64
Neutral
$12.77B9.787.84%78.83%12.06%-7.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
144.57
62.80
76.80%
FAF
First American Financial
57.78
5.11
9.70%
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
67.70
10.03
17.39%
SNV
Synovus
47.92
10.76
28.96%
THG
Hanover Insurance
166.92
45.48
37.45%
VOYA
Voya Financial
66.54
-5.85
-8.08%

Mr Cooper Group Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Mr Cooper Group Advances Merger with Rocket Companies
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with Rocket Companies, Inc., involving a series of mergers that will result in Mr. Cooper becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Rocket. The expiration of the HSR Act waiting period on June 4, 2025, marked a significant step towards the completion of the mergers, which are expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending other regulatory approvals and stockholder consent.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOP) stock is a Hold with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mr Cooper Group stock, see the COOP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mr Cooper Group Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were approved. Stockholders elected seven directors for the upcoming term and approved advisory votes on executive compensation, deciding to hold these votes annually. Additionally, the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (COOP) stock is a Hold with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mr Cooper Group stock, see the COOP Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividends
Mr Cooper Group Merges with Rocket Companies
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Rocket Companies, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Mr. Cooper Group Inc., involving the merger of Maverick Merger Sub with Mr. Cooper, making Mr. Cooper a wholly owned subsidiary of Rocket. The merger, valued at $9.4 billion, involves an exchange of Mr. Cooper shares for Rocket’s Class A common stock and includes a special cash dividend for Mr. Cooper’s stockholders. The merger is subject to customary closing conditions, regulatory approvals, and stockholder votes, with provisions for termination under specified circumstances. Additionally, Mr. Cooper adopted a Change in Control Executive Severance Plan for its executive officers, excluding the CEO, providing severance benefits in case of employment termination following a change in control.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rocket Companies to Acquire Mr Cooper Group
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. and Rocket Companies, Inc. announced a definitive agreement for Rocket to acquire all outstanding shares of Mr. Cooper in an all-stock transaction. This merger is expected to accelerate Rocket’s mission to assist homeowners and could significantly impact the operations and market positioning of both companies. The transaction is subject to various conditions, including stockholder approval, and carries potential risks such as management distractions and legal proceedings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.