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UWM Holding (UWMC)
NYSE:UWMC
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UWM Holding (UWMC) AI Stock Analysis

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UWMC

UWM Holding

(NYSE:UWMC)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-5.98% Downside)
UWM Holding's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flows, which are major concerns. While the company shows strong revenue growth and operational achievements, these are overshadowed by financial instability. The technical analysis indicates mixed signals, and the valuation is hampered by a negative P/E ratio, though the high dividend yield provides some appeal.
Positive Factors
AI Integration Success
The successful deployment of AI technology enhances operational efficiency and customer engagement, positioning UWM as a tech-forward leader in the mortgage industry.
Record Loan Production
Achieving record loan production indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, bolstering UWM's competitive position in the mortgage sector.
Successful Bond Offering
The successful bond offering strengthens UWM's liquidity and financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt management.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting UWM's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns effectively.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows highlight liquidity issues, which can strain UWM's operations and limit its capacity to fund new initiatives or weather financial stress.
Decline at Fair Values
A decline in fair values impacts profitability and reflects potential valuation challenges, affecting investor confidence and financial stability.

UWM Holding (UWMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UWM Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUWM Holdings Corporation engages in the residential mortgage lending business in the United States. The company originates mortgage loans through wholesale channel. It originates primarily conforming and government loans. UWM Holdings Corporation was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Pontiac, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyUWM Holding generates revenue primarily through the origination and sale of mortgage loans. The company earns money by charging origination fees, which are typically a percentage of the loan amount, and by selling mortgages to investors in the secondary market, often at a premium. Additionally, UWMC benefits from interest income on loans held in its portfolio before they are sold. The company's revenue model is significantly bolstered by its relationships with thousands of independent mortgage brokers, who rely on UWMC for competitive pricing and efficient service. Strategic partnerships with investors and technology providers also enhance its operational efficiency and revenue potential.

UWM Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted UWM's strong operational performance, successful AI integration, and strategic financial management, with some challenges noted in fair value adjustments and leverage ratios. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Lock Day
UWM achieved an all-time record lock day in September with $4.8 billion in locks, showcasing their operational capacity and efficiency.
AI Integration Success
Mia, the generative AI loan officer assistant, made over 400,000 calls with a 40% answer rate, resulting in over 14,000 closings, surpassing expectations.
Strong Q3 Performance
Q3 production volume increased to $41.7 billion, with a gain margin of 130 basis points, indicating strong market performance.
Successful Bond Offering
UWM completed a $1 billion unsecured notes offering to manage debt and support growth, maintaining a strong liquidity position.
Consistent Purchase Business
UWM closed $25.2 billion in purchase loans, maintaining their position as a leader in the purchase market.
Negative Updates
Decline at Fair Values
UWM reported a $160 million decline at fair values affecting their income statement.
Higher Liquidity and Leverage Ratios
Liquidity and leverage ratios were slightly higher at the end of Q3 due to bond issuance timing and proactive liability management.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation showcased robust performance despite a challenging higher rate environment. The company locked a record $4.8 billion in a single day and achieved an impressive $41.7 billion in total loan production, surpassing its guidance. This included $25.2 billion in purchase loans and $16.5 billion in refinances. The gain margin was 130 basis points, slightly above the guidance provided. A standout achievement was the deployment of Mia, an AI loan officer assistant, which facilitated over 400,000 calls with an unexpected 40% answer rate, resulting in over 14,000 closed loans. The company also reported a net income of $12.1 million and adjusted EBITDA of $211.1 million. Looking forward, UWM expects fourth-quarter production between $43 billion and $50 billion, with gain margins raised to 105% to 130%. The company remains well-capitalized with $1.5 billion in total equity and plans to bring mortgage servicing in-house by early 2026.

UWM Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UWM Holding faces significant financial challenges, particularly with high leverage and cash flow constraints. While revenue growth is positive, profitability and cash flow metrics indicate underlying operational and financial pressures. The company needs to address its debt levels and improve cash flow generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
UWM Holding's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a modest revenue growth rate of 21.65%, but the net profit margin is low at 0.63%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The gross profit margin remains strong at 69.37%, suggesting efficient cost management. However, declining EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight pressure on operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.43 in the TTM period, indicating potential financial risk. The return on equity is low at 2.16%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is weak, reflecting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period, with a concerning free cash flow growth rate of -29.73%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, but overall cash flow management appears strained.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.91B1.11B2.15B2.83B4.85B
Gross Profit1.34B1.37B755.02M1.81B2.48B4.65B
EBITDA176.07M384.73M-26.23M984.07M1.62B3.96B
Net Income16.89M14.40M-13.23M41.72M98.44M3.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.02B15.67B11.87B13.60B22.53B11.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments870.70M507.34M497.47M704.90M731.09M1.22B
Total Debt14.53B12.84B8.73B9.78B18.79B8.21B
Total Liabilities15.44B13.62B9.40B10.43B19.36B9.12B
Stockholders Equity177.67M161.52M112.55M143.56M142.40M2.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.36B-6.28B138.81M8.24B-10.02B-876.00K
Operating Cash Flow-3.29B-6.24B165.24M8.27B-9.96B56.41M
Investing Cash Flow2.19B2.68B1.83B1.29B199.75M231.88M
Financing Cash Flow1.33B3.58B-2.20B-9.58B9.26B802.26M

UWM Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.85
Price Trends
50DMA
5.63
Positive
100DMA
5.37
Positive
200DMA
5.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
60.43
Neutral
STOCH
94.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UWMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.37, above the 50-day MA of 5.63, and above the 200-day MA of 5.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UWMC.

UWM Holding Risk Analysis

UWM Holding disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UWM Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UWM Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.24B50.9710.53%23.81%
68
Neutral
$6.59B13.6612.55%0.89%25.42%190.85%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
2.27%-17.46%
59
Neutral
$56.26B251.64-2.15%22.56%
46
Neutral
$9.36B11.37%7.07%-8.66%
44
Neutral
$943.06M-7.68-25.72%3.91%27.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UWMC
UWM Holding
5.85
-0.23
-3.78%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
134.57
28.82
27.25%
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
210.79
114.27
118.39%
LDI
loanDepot
2.83
0.57
25.22%
RKT
Rocket Companies
19.98
6.56
48.88%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
20.01
7.07
54.64%

UWM Holding Corporate Events

UWM Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Nov 7, 2025

UWM Holdings Corporation, a leading player in the mortgage lending industry, specializes in originating mortgage loans through the wholesale channel, making it the largest wholesale mortgage lender in the United States. The company is renowned for its innovative technology and strong partnerships with independent mortgage brokers.

UWM Holdings’ Earnings Call Highlights Strong Q3 Performance
Nov 7, 2025

UWM Holdings Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a predominantly positive picture, highlighting the company’s strong operational performance and strategic financial management. The integration of AI technology and successful bond offerings were notable achievements, although some challenges were acknowledged in fair value adjustments and leverage ratios. Overall, the positive aspects of the call significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
UWM Holding Announces Cash Dividend for Class A Shares
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation announced a cash dividend of $0.10 per share for Class A common stock, payable on January 8, 2026. The company reported a record loan origination volume of $41.7 billion for the third quarter of 2025, the highest since 2021, alongside a total revenue of $843.3 million and a net income of $12.1 million. UWM is also set to bring servicing in-house by January and has leveraged AI to generate over 14,000 loans, indicating its strong market positioning and commitment to innovation.

The most recent analyst rating on (UWMC) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UWM Holding stock, see the UWMC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
UWM Holding Issues $1 Billion Senior Notes
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, UWM Holdings LLC, a subsidiary of UWM Holdings Corporation, issued $1.0 billion in senior unsecured notes due in 2031 with a 6.250% interest rate. These notes, guaranteed by United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC, aim to strengthen the company’s financial position and offer flexibility in managing debt obligations. The issuance includes provisions for early redemption and is subject to customary covenants, potentially impacting UWM’s financial strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (UWMC) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UWM Holding stock, see the UWMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
UWM Holding Sells $1 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 9, 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation announced that its subsidiary, UWM Holdings, LLC, entered into a Purchase Agreement to sell $1.0 billion of senior unsecured notes due 2031, guaranteed by United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC. The proceeds are intended to repay existing senior notes and reduce outstanding amounts under MSR Facilities. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen UWM Holdings’ financial position and support its operational goals, reflecting its commitment to maintaining a robust market presence and enhancing stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (UWMC) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UWM Holding stock, see the UWMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025