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Walker & Dunlop (WD)
NYSE:WD
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Walker & Dunlop (WD) AI Stock Analysis

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WD

Walker & Dunlop

(NYSE:WD)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(3.79% Upside)
Walker & Dunlop's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with liquidity challenges and bearish technical indicators. Despite strong growth highlighted in the earnings call, the high P/E ratio and oversold technical conditions weigh on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Walker & Dunlop's services, suggesting a solid market position and potential for sustained financial performance.
Transaction Volume Increase
The significant increase in transaction volume reflects effective business strategies and market expansion, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Technology-Enabled Business Growth
Growth in technology-enabled segments indicates successful innovation and adaptation to market needs, supporting future competitiveness and revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Decrease in Mortgage Servicing Rights
A decrease in mortgage servicing rights could impact long-term revenue stability, as it reduces the company's ability to generate consistent servicing income.
Loan Repurchase Requests
Loan repurchase requests due to fraud may lead to financial liabilities and reputational damage, affecting future business operations and trust with partners.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows suggest liquidity constraints, which could hinder operational flexibility and investment capacity, impacting long-term growth and stability.

Walker & Dunlop (WD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Walker & Dunlop Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWalker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company offers first mortgage, second trust, supplemental, construction, mezzanine, preferred equity, small-balance, and bridge/interim loans. It also provides multifamily finance for manufactured housing communities, student housing, affordable housing, and senior housing properties under the Fannie Mae's DUS program; and construction and permanent loans to developers and owners of multifamily housing, affordable housing, senior housing, and healthcare facilities. In addition, the company acts as an intermediary in the placement of commercial real estate debt between institutional sources of capital, including life insurance companies, investment banks, commercial banks, pension funds, CMBS conduits, and other institutional investors, as well as owners of various types of commercial real estate. Further, it advises on capital structure; develops the financing package; facilitates negotiations between its client and institutional sources of capital; coordinates due diligence; and assists in closing the transaction. Additionally, the company offers property sales brokerage, underwriting and risk management, and servicing and asset management services. Walker & Dunlop, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyWalker & Dunlop generates revenue primarily through its loan origination and servicing activities. The company earns fees from originating loans for commercial properties, which typically includes a percentage of the loan amount. Additionally, it collects servicing fees for managing loans after they are originated, which provides a steady income stream. Other revenue sources include advisory services, property management, and capital markets activities. Significant partnerships with government agencies, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, enhance WD's ability to offer competitive financing options, further contributing to its earnings.

Walker & Dunlop Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong growth in transaction volumes, revenues, and technology-enabled business segments. However, the company faces challenges with decreased mortgage servicing rights due to shorter loan durations and loan repurchase requests tied to borrower fraud.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Transaction Volume Increase
Walker & Dunlop reported a total transaction volume of $15.5 billion for the third quarter, a 34% increase year-over-year.
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Third quarter revenues reached $338 million, up 16% year-over-year, with diluted earnings per share increasing by 15% to $0.98.
GSE Lending Volume Growth
Freddie Mac lending increased by 137% to $3.7 billion, and Fannie Mae volumes grew by 7% to $2.1 billion.
Investment Sales Volume Surge
Q3 investment sales volume increased by 30% to $4.7 billion, outperforming the overall market growth of 17%.
Technology-Enabled Business Growth
Appraisals revenue increased by 21%, and small balance lending revenues grew by 69%.
High Credit Quality in Portfolio
The at-risk servicing portfolio showed strong performance with only 10 defaulted loans, totaling just 21 basis points.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Mortgage Servicing Rights
The shift towards shorter duration 5-year loans has led to a significant decrease in the capitalized mortgage servicing rights.
Loan Repurchase Requests Due to Borrower Fraud
Negotiations with Freddie Mac on the indemnification of two loan portfolios totaling $100 million are underway due to borrower fraud.
Fannie Mae Volume Performance
Fannie Mae volumes were relatively light compared to Freddie Mac, with only a 7% increase.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Walker & Dunlop, Inc., several metrics highlighted the company's strong performance and future outlook. Total transaction volume for the quarter increased by 34% year-over-year to $15.5 billion, driven by a 137% rise in Freddie Mac lending to $3.7 billion and a 7% increase in Fannie Mae volumes to $2.1 billion. The company reported third-quarter revenues of $338 million, with a year-over-year growth of 16%, and diluted earnings per share of $0.98, up 15%. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 4% to $82 million, and adjusted core EPS increased 3% to $1.22. Despite a significant decrease in mortgage servicing rights due to a shift to shorter 5-year loans, the company anticipates opportunities for refinancing and asset sales over the next few years, particularly with upcoming refinancings on 10-year loans maturing in the coming years. Additionally, the brokered debt financing team placed $4.5 billion in Q3, up 12% from the previous year, while investment sales volume grew 30% to $4.7 billion, outperforming the overall market growth of 17%. The company's strategy includes leveraging technology and expanding its client base, with 16% of transaction volume year-to-date from new clients and 68% from new loans. Looking forward, Walker & Dunlop expects a gradual increase in commercial real estate capital markets activity, supported by strong forward pipelines and market dynamics similar to those observed in the early 2010s post-financial crisis period.

Walker & Dunlop Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Walker & Dunlop shows mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates moderate recovery with improved gross profit margins, but the balance sheet and cash flow statements reveal challenges with leverage and liquidity. The company needs to enhance profitability and cash flow management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Walker & Dunlop's income statement shows moderate performance with a recent TTM revenue growth rate of 2.25%, indicating a slight recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 62.6% in TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased to 9.38%, suggesting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, showing consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13 in TTM, indicating a manageable level of leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is relatively low at 6.31%, reflecting limited profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 37.4%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in equity financing.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis highlights challenges with negative operating and free cash flows in TTM, indicating liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.06, suggesting that despite negative cash flows, the company is generating enough cash relative to its net income. However, the decline in free cash flow growth rate by 32.5% is concerning and indicates potential cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.13B1.05B1.26B1.26B1.08B
Gross Profit602.35M503.56M471.67M617.15M647.71M606.34M
EBITDA409.44M369.23M363.50M500.00M569.23M499.28M
Net Income114.20M108.17M107.36M213.82M265.76M246.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.80B4.38B4.05B4.05B5.21B4.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments274.83M279.27M328.70M225.95M305.63M321.10M
Total Debt3.01B1.93B1.47B1.32B2.68B2.81B
Total Liabilities4.02B2.62B2.31B2.33B3.47B3.45B
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.75B1.72B1.69B1.55B1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-949.30M116.40M-16.72M1.56B861.25M-1.41B
Operating Cash Flow-936.86M129.36M-518.00K1.58B870.46M-1.41B
Investing Cash Flow-65.83M-38.13M126.87M-133.78M-377.55M115.18M
Financing Cash Flow1.07B-154.73M6.77M-1.58B-457.73M1.52B

Walker & Dunlop Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.37
Price Trends
50DMA
82.92
Negative
100DMA
79.61
Negative
200DMA
79.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.25
Positive
RSI
22.86
Positive
STOCH
7.76
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.13, below the 50-day MA of 82.92, and below the 200-day MA of 79.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.86 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.76 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WD.

Walker & Dunlop Risk Analysis

Walker & Dunlop disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Walker & Dunlop reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Walker & Dunlop Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$6.59B13.6612.55%0.99%25.42%190.85%
70
Outperform
$1.24B50.9710.52%28.67%
68
Neutral
$720.34M7.8816.05%41.99%27.50%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
$2.72B24.676.46%3.33%12.08%20.13%
49
Neutral
$876.95M-7.46-19.71%13.91%27.78%
49
Neutral
$43.93B203.53-2.15%22.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WD
Walker & Dunlop
69.37
-38.41
-35.64%
PFSI
PennyMac Financial
126.00
21.15
20.17%
LDI
loanDepot
2.75
-0.06
-2.14%
VEL
Velocity Financial
18.91
-1.16
-5.78%
RKT
Rocket Companies
16.16
1.26
8.46%
GHLD
Guild Holdings
19.95
6.10
44.04%

Walker & Dunlop Corporate Events

Walker & Dunlop Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Walker & Dunlop is a prominent commercial real estate finance and advisory services firm, known for its innovative approach and strong market presence in the United States and internationally. In the third quarter of 2025, Walker & Dunlop reported a significant increase in total transaction volume, reaching $15.5 billion, which marked a 34% rise from the previous year. The company’s total revenues grew by 16% to $337.7 million, while net income increased by 16% to $33.5 million, reflecting a robust financial performance. Key highlights include a 4% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 3% rise in adjusted core EPS. The company’s servicing portfolio also expanded to $139.3 billion, up 4% year-over-year. Walker & Dunlop’s strong performance was driven by a 61% increase in Agency debt financing volume and a 40% rise in property sales volume. Despite a slight decrease in adjusted EBITDA year-to-date, the company maintained a positive outlook, with plans to leverage its exceptional team, technology, and data to capitalize on future growth opportunities in the commercial real estate market.

Walker & Dunlop’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Walker & Dunlop’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth, tempered by some challenges. The company reported significant increases in transaction volumes, revenues, and technology-driven business segments. However, it also faces hurdles with decreased mortgage servicing rights and loan repurchase requests due to borrower fraud.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Walker & Dunlop Extends Agreement with JPMorgan Chase
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Walker & Dunlop, Inc. and its subsidiary entered into an amendment with JPMorgan Chase Bank to extend the termination date of their Master Repurchase Agreement to September 10, 2026. This amendment includes a temporary increase in the facility amount to $1.5 billion until November 20, 2025, and revises fee structures, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and its relationships with financial service providers.

The most recent analyst rating on (WD) stock is a Hold with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walker & Dunlop stock, see the WD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Walker & Dunlop Appoints Ernest Freedman to Board
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Walker & Dunlop, Inc. announced the election of Ernest M. Freedman to its Board of Directors, expanding the board from seven to eight members. Mr. Freedman, who brings extensive experience from his previous roles as CFO at Invitation Homes Inc. and Aimco, will also serve on the Audit and Risk Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance the board’s expertise in rental housing and capital markets, aligning with the company’s strategic growth and market leadership in the commercial real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (WD) stock is a Hold with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walker & Dunlop stock, see the WD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Walker & Dunlop Amends Financial Agreement with JPMorgan
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Walker & Dunlop, LLC, a subsidiary of Walker & Dunlop, Inc., entered into an amendment with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. to revise their existing financial agreement, temporarily increasing the Uncommitted Facility Amount to $1.45 billion until November 20, 2025, after which it will revert to $950 million. This amendment is part of an ongoing relationship between the two entities, which includes various financial services and credit facilities, indicating a strategic move to enhance liquidity and financial flexibility for Walker & Dunlop.

The most recent analyst rating on (WD) stock is a Hold with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walker & Dunlop stock, see the WD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Walker & Dunlop CEO Receives Performance Stock Award
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 24, 2025, Walker & Dunlop announced that CEO William Walker received a performance stock unit award under the company’s 2024 Equity Incentive Plan. This award is contingent on the company’s stock performance surpassing the S&P 600 Small Cap Financials Index by at least 1.0 percentage point over a three-year period ending in 2028, potentially impacting company operations and stakeholder interests by aligning executive incentives with shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (WD) stock is a Hold with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Walker & Dunlop stock, see the WD Stock Forecast page.

Walker & Dunlop’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Walker & Dunlop showcased a generally positive sentiment, driven by impressive growth in transaction volumes and robust performance in the multifamily sector. The company also highlighted significant advancements in technology and affordable housing initiatives. However, challenges were noted, including declines in adjusted metrics and servicing revenues, alongside a provision for loan losses.

Walker & Dunlop Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Walker & Dunlop is a prominent commercial real estate finance and advisory services firm, known for its innovative approach and technological capabilities in the industry. In its second quarter of 2025, Walker & Dunlop reported significant growth in transaction volume and revenue, with a 65% increase in total transaction volume to $14 billion and an 18% rise in total revenues to $319.2 million compared to the same period last year. The company also saw a 50% increase in net income to $34 million, driven by a strong rebound in the commercial real estate market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025