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Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT)
NASDAQ:PHAT
US Market

Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) AI Stock Analysis

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PHAT

Phathom Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:PHAT)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(8.39% Upside)
Phathom Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score reflects a mix of strong technical momentum and positive recent developments, tempered by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic focus and recent trial results are promising, but financial instability and reliance on external funding remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective execution of business strategy, enhancing long-term financial stability.
New Product Development
The new trial for VOQUEZNA in treating eosinophilic esophagitis could expand Phathom's market reach and address unmet medical needs, strengthening its product pipeline.
Leadership Strength
The addition of experienced leadership in financial roles can enhance strategic financial management, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
High liabilities and negative equity indicate financial instability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow reflects inefficiency in operations, which may hinder the company's ability to fund new projects and maintain operations without external financing.
Reliance on External Funding
Dependence on external funding poses a risk if capital markets tighten, potentially impacting the company's ability to sustain operations and growth.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for gastrointestinal diseases. The company has the rights in the United States, Europe, and Canada to vonoprazan, a potassium-competitive acid blocker (P-CAB) that blocks acid secretion in the stomach. It is also developing vonoprazan, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of erosive gastroesophageal reflux disease; and in combination with antibiotics for the treatment of Helicobacter pylori infection. Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhathom Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company's key revenue streams include sales from its marketed medications, which are aimed at treating gastrointestinal conditions. Additionally, Phathom may benefit from partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies for co-development or licensing agreements, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. These collaborative efforts can enhance its financial stability and expand its market reach, contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Phathom Pharmaceuticals had a strong Q3 with significant revenue growth and a substantial reduction in operating expenses and cash usage. The company is effectively executing its gastroenterology-focused strategy. However, there are potential challenges such as the temporary impact of sales force realignment and ongoing uncertainty in TRIPLE PAK supply.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Phathom Pharmaceuticals reported a 25% revenue growth in Q3 2025, with net revenue reaching $49.5 million, which exceeded expectations and is in line with the revenue guidance for the year.
Reduction in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were reduced by 43% quarter-over-quarter and nearly 50% since Q1 2025, contributing to a significant reduction in cash usage.
Cash Usage Down
Cash usage for Q3 was less than $15 million, a reduction of 77% compared to Q2 2025.
Strong Prescription Growth
There was a 36% growth in filled prescriptions since Q2, with 221,000 prescriptions in Q3, including 144,000 covered scripts and 77,000 cash prescriptions.
New Leadership Hires
The company welcomed Sanjeev Narula as the new Chief Financial and Business Officer and Nancy Phelan as the new SVP of Marketing and Analytics, both bringing significant experience to Phathom.
Negative Updates
Potential Temporary Impact of Sales Force Realignment
The realignment of sales territories to focus more on gastroenterology could have a temporary impact on Q4 performance.
TRIPLE PAK Supply Uncertainty
There is ongoing uncertainty regarding the availability of the clarithromycin component in the TRIPLE PAKs, though no disruption has occurred yet.
Company Guidance
During the Phathom Pharmaceuticals' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Call, the company reported notable financial and operational achievements. They achieved a 25% increase in net revenue, reaching $49.5 million, while significantly reducing operating expenses by 43% to $49.3 million, which was better than their target of below $60 million. The company also reported a substantial reduction in cash usage, down 77% to less than $15 million for the quarter. Phathom's strategy to focus on gastroenterology has yielded 790,000 filled prescriptions to date, a 36% increase since Q2, with 221,000 filled prescriptions in Q3 alone. They have narrowed their full-year revenue guidance to the top half of the previously communicated range due to these results. Looking ahead, Phathom expects to maintain cash operating expenses below $55 million in Q4, even with the additional costs from the start of the EoE Phase II trial, and aims for operating profitability in 2026 without requiring additional equity financing.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phathom Pharmaceuticals is experiencing significant financial challenges despite revenue growth. The company has substantial net losses, negative cash flows, and negative equity, indicating financial instability. The reliance on financing activities to sustain operations poses a risk if external funding becomes scarce.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Phathom Pharmaceuticals has shown significant revenue growth, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increasing to $81.86 million from $55.25 million annually. However, the company is experiencing substantial losses, with a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin in both TTM and annual reports. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 86.2% in TTM, but the net loss remains a concern, impacting the overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a negative stockholders' equity of $338.38 million, reflecting high liabilities compared to assets. Total debt has reduced, but the company still faces a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity. This presents a risk of instability. The equity ratio is also negative, further emphasizing the financial leverage and instability concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, with a worsening trend in TTM at -$282.68 million. Free cash flow also decreased, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the company has managed to maintain financing cash flows, which slightly offsets the negative operating cash flow impact. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects inefficiency in converting income to cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue147.19M55.25M682.00K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit128.42M47.28M515.00K-620.00K-521.00K-300.00K
EBITDA-203.56M-261.52M-159.05M-169.80M-136.57M-124.19M
Net Income-274.55M-334.33M-201.59M-197.72M-143.88M-129.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.29M378.32M413.84M164.81M189.43M295.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments135.16M297.26M381.39M155.38M183.26M287.50M
Total Debt2.71M554.95M139.03M97.07M91.34M49.02M
Total Liabilities662.82M631.90M486.60M239.62M117.28M100.84M
Stockholders Equity-422.53M-253.58M-72.76M-74.81M72.16M194.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-225.25M-266.90M-139.21M-147.57M-148.78M-70.73M
Operating Cash Flow-225.23M-266.77M-137.58M-146.53M-148.46M-69.69M
Investing Cash Flow-147.00K-135.00K-1.63M-1.04M-328.00K-1.04M
Financing Cash Flow25.86M182.77M367.58M120.04M44.71M114.46M

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.53
Price Trends
50DMA
14.23
Positive
100DMA
12.70
Positive
200DMA
9.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Negative
RSI
76.39
Negative
STOCH
78.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PHAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.05, above the 50-day MA of 14.23, and above the 200-day MA of 9.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PHAT.

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Phathom Pharmaceuticals disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phathom Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.25B-4.60460.30%33.03%
61
Neutral
$1.50B-15.49-64.93%-36.36%-945.72%
61
Neutral
$1.94B-7.98-68.33%-38.04%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$849.01M-11.06-29.57%522.13%62.68%
50
Neutral
$1.07B-6.598.00%-10.15%
49
Neutral
$852.00M-19.97-45.88%116.64%47.93%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PHAT
Phathom Pharmaceuticals
17.53
9.92
130.35%
GERN
Geron
1.33
-2.01
-60.18%
ABUS
Arbutus Biopharma
4.43
1.24
38.87%
URGN
Urogen Pharma
22.80
12.09
112.89%
TSHA
Taysha Gene Therapies
5.49
3.66
200.00%
ZBIO
Zenas BioPharma, Inc.
36.15
26.58
277.74%

Phathom Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Phathom Pharmaceuticals Begins Phase 2 EoE Trial
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Phathom Pharmaceuticals announced the commencement of its Phase 2 pHalcon EoE-201 clinical trial, marking the first dosing of a patient with VOQUEZNA® (vonoprazan) tablets for eosinophilic esophagitis in adults. This two-part, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study aims to enroll 80 adults with EoE and dysphagia, with results expected in 2027, potentially impacting Phathom’s market position in gastrointestinal treatments.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Phathom Pharmaceuticals Publishes Phase 3 Trial Results
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 25, 2025, Phathom Pharmaceuticals announced the publication of additional analyses from its Phase 3 pHalcon-NERD-301 trial in the American Journal of Gastroenterology, highlighting the effectiveness of VOQUEZNA® (vonoprazan) tablets in treating nighttime symptoms of Non-Erosive Reflux Disease (NERD). The trial demonstrated that VOQUEZNA significantly improved the percentage of heartburn-free nights and was generally well tolerated, offering a promising alternative for patients who experience inadequate relief from existing treatments. This development could enhance Phathom’s positioning in the gastrointestinal treatment market by addressing a significant gap in current GERD therapies.

Executive/Board Changes
Phathom Pharmaceuticals Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Phathom Pharmaceuticals appointed Sanjeev Narula as Chief Financial and Business Officer, succeeding Robert Breedlove as the principal financial officer. Mr. Narula’s extensive experience includes roles at Intra-Cellular Therapies, Viatris Inc., and Pfizer, bringing significant financial leadership to Phathom. His appointment is accompanied by a comprehensive employment agreement that outlines his compensation, severance benefits, and stock options, potentially impacting the company’s strategic financial management and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025