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Urogen Pharma (URGN)
NASDAQ:URGN
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Urogen Pharma (URGN) AI Stock Analysis

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URGN

Urogen Pharma

(NASDAQ:URGN)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(1.47% Upside)
Urogen Pharma's overall stock score is driven by its recent FDA approval and positive market momentum. However, financial weaknesses and valuation concerns weigh down the score. Technical analysis and earnings call results provide additional support, but the stock's financial challenges remain significant.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
UTOPIA trial completes enrollment on schedule, a key milestone in life cycle management strategy.
Market Potential
ZUSDURI delivers 78% complete response for patients at 3 months, and of those patients, 79% remained event-free 12 months later.
Product Approval
UroGen Pharma announced that the FDA had approved ZUSDURI, the first and only FDA-approved medication for adults with recurrent low-grade, intermediate-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer.
Negative Factors
Financial Projections
Revised projections indicate a significant decline in revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 due to the expected non-approval of UGN-102.
Regulatory Challenges
Deficiencies in the pivotal ENVISION trial, such as its non-randomized, single-arm design, and early termination of the ATLAS trial have been highlighted, challenging the approval of UGN-102.
Regulatory Requirements
The FDA may require additional clinical efficacy data from a randomized, controlled study, which could take two to three years to complete, increasing uncertainty for UGN-102's approval.

Urogen Pharma (URGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Urogen Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUrogen Pharma (URGN) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for urological and uro-oncological diseases. The company's core products include proprietary formulations designed to improve therapeutic outcomes for conditions such as low-grade upper tract urothelial cancer and other specialty cancers. Urogen Pharma leverages its unique drug delivery technology to address unmet medical needs in the urology sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyUrogen Pharma makes money primarily through the commercialization of its proprietary drug products and formulations. Its revenue model is centered around the sales of approved therapies, particularly for niche urological and uro-oncological conditions. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can contribute to revenue through licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties. Additionally, Urogen Pharma may receive funding from grants and research collaborations that support its development pipeline, although these are supplementary to its primary revenue streams from product sales.

Urogen Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights significant progress in UGN-102's FDA review process, strong clinical trial results, and a substantial market opportunity. JELMYTO's revenue growth and a strong financial position also contribute positively. However, there are concerns about the single-arm nature of the ENVISION trial, increased expenses, and net loss. The highlights and lowlights are relatively balanced.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
UGN-102 FDA Review Progress
UGN-102 is in the final stages of FDA review with a PDUFA target date of June 13th. An ODAC meeting is scheduled for May 21st, and the company is well-prepared to present a strong case for approval.
Strong Clinical Trial Results
Updated data from the pivotal ENVISION trial showed that 80.6% of patients who achieved a complete response at three months remained in response at 18 months.
Commercial Readiness and Market Opportunity
UGN-102 represents a transformative growth opportunity, targeting an addressable population of approximately 60,000 patients annually and a market opportunity of over $5 billion.
JELMYTO Revenue Growth
Reported $20.3 million in first-quarter sales, an 8% year-over-year growth compared to the first quarter of 2024, driven by underlying demand growth of 12%.
Strong Financial Position
Supported by a strong balance sheet with over $200 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of March 31st, 2025.
Negative Updates
Single-Arm Study Concerns
Concerns regarding the ENVISION trial being a single-arm study and the need to compare its results in the context of existing data.
340B Impact on JELMYTO
Higher 340B chargebacks have impacted JELMYTO's year-over-year revenue growth, although this is expected to stabilize going forward.
R&D and SG&A Expense Increase
R&D expenses increased to $19.9 million from $15.5 million year-over-year, and SG&A expenses rose to $35 million from $27.3 million, primarily due to UGN-102 commercial preparation activities.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $43.8 million or $0.92 per basic and diluted share in the first quarter of 2025, compared with a net loss of $32.3 million or $0.87 per share in the same period in 2024.
Company Guidance
During UroGen Pharma's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. They highlighted the potential impact of their lead candidate, UGN-102, which is under FDA review with a PDUFA target date of June 13th, 2025. UGN-102 is expected to be UroGen's primary growth driver, with an estimated market opportunity exceeding $5 billion, targeting approximately 60,000 patients annually. The company reported first-quarter JELMYTO sales of $20.3 million, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase. As part of their commercialization strategy, UroGen plans to expand their sales force from 50 to over 80 representatives by launch. The company also reported having $200.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of March 31st, 2025, ensuring a strong financial footing to support their growth and commercialization efforts.

Urogen Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth, Urogen Pharma's financial performance is hampered by significant profitability and cash flow challenges, coupled with a weak balance sheet marked by negative equity and high debt levels.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Urogen Pharma has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with Total Revenue increasing from $11.8M in 2020 to $91.9M in TTM 2025, a substantial positive trajectory. However, the company is currently unprofitable, with a net loss of $138.4M in TTM 2025. Gross Profit Margin is high at 89.7% for TTM 2025, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting significant operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a negative Stockholders' Equity of $-46.5M in TTM 2025, raising concerns about financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, indicating potential financial risk. Total Debt is $124.9M, which is high relative to the negative equity. The Equity Ratio is negative, highlighting balance sheet weaknesses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow is negative at $-107.1M in TTM 2025, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow is also negative, suggesting additional pressure on financial resources. However, the financing activities have provided significant cash inflow, helping to mitigate these cash flow challenges.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue90.40M82.71M64.36M48.04M11.80M
Gross Profit81.52M73.35M56.70M42.88M10.79M
EBITDA-110.33M-63.83M-78.03M-90.15M-122.71M
Net Income-126.87M-102.24M-109.16M-110.82M-128.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets285.71M178.31M136.24M119.75M122.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments236.69M136.97M99.96M89.81M103.91M
Total Debt123.39M100.21M99.12M398.00K1.50M
Total Liabilities294.51M243.52M224.98M111.33M25.65M
Stockholders Equity-8.80M-65.21M-88.74M8.41M96.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-97.06M-76.57M-87.81M-85.64M-107.10M
Operating Cash Flow-96.77M-76.38M-87.56M-84.89M-105.89M
Investing Cash Flow-20.61M-953.00K1.06M4.07M93.24M
Financing Cash Flow194.62M116.93M97.13M72.32M16.53M

Urogen Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.74
Price Trends
50DMA
13.65
Positive
100DMA
11.74
Positive
200DMA
11.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.57
Positive
RSI
54.85
Neutral
STOCH
41.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For URGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.70, above the 50-day MA of 13.65, and above the 200-day MA of 11.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for URGN.

Urogen Pharma Risk Analysis

Urogen Pharma disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Urogen Pharma reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Urogen Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$776.00M45.3237.36%29.77%
61
Neutral
$820.96M-452.20%8.98%6.32%
51
Neutral
$529.40M-31.58%-38.14%29.69%
51
Neutral
$7.27B-0.06-62.84%2.34%15.16%-2.86%
48
Neutral
$461.80M-35.41%
46
Neutral
$456.29M-75.77%-44.25%
39
Underperform
$482.12M
-25.10%-7.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
URGN
Urogen Pharma
17.74
3.23
22.26%
NAGE
Niagen Bioscience
9.73
6.91
245.04%
SVRA
Savara
2.64
-1.46
-35.61%
ARVN
Arvinas Holding Company
6.29
-18.27
-74.39%
BCYC
Bicycle Therapeutics
7.65
-15.40
-66.81%
OPT
Opthea Limited Sponsored ADR
3.20
0.96
42.86%

Urogen Pharma Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsExecutive/Board Changes
UroGen Pharma Approves Bonuses After FDA Approval
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On June 30, 2025, UroGen Pharma’s Board of Directors approved special bonuses for key executives, recognizing their leadership in achieving FDA approval for ZUSDURI, a treatment for recurrent low-grade intermediate risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. This approval marks a significant milestone for the company, potentially enhancing its market position and benefiting stakeholders by expanding its therapeutic offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (URGN) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urogen Pharma stock, see the URGN Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related Announcements
FDA Approves Urogen Pharma’s ZUSDURI for Bladder Cancer
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, the FDA approved Urogen Pharma‘s ZUSDURI™, a sustained-release gel formulation of mitomycin, for treating adults with recurrent low-grade intermediate risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (LG-IR-NMIBC). This approval is based on the Phase 3 ENVISION trial, where 78% of patients achieved complete response at three months, with 79% maintaining it at 12 months. ZUSDURI is expected to be available in the U.S. by July 1, 2025, and Urogen Pharma has committed to further trials and updates to the FDA to assess long-term benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (URGN) stock is a Buy with a $53.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urogen Pharma stock, see the URGN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025