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Urogen Pharma (URGN)
NASDAQ:URGN

Urogen Pharma (URGN) AI Stock Analysis

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Urogen Pharma

(NASDAQ:URGN)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(3.78%Upside)
The most significant factor is the FDA approval of ZUSDURI, which strongly boosts growth potential. However, financial stability concerns and valuation risks weigh down the score. Positive technical indicators and strategic advancements offset some risks.
Positive Factors
Analyst Rating
Analyst is upgrading the rating to Buy from Neutral, and instituting a 12-month price target of $50.
Efficacy
ZUSDURI delivers 78% complete response for patients at 3 months, and of those patients 79% remained event-free 12 months later.
FDA Approval
UroGen Pharma announced that the FDA had approved ZUSDURI, the first and only FDA-approved medication for adults with recurrent low-grade, intermediate-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer.
Negative Factors
FDA Requirements
The FDA may require additional clinical efficacy data from a randomized, controlled study, which could take two to three years to complete, increasing uncertainty for UGN-102's approval.
Regulatory Challenges
Deficiencies in the pivotal ENVISION trial, such as its non-randomized, single-arm design, and early termination of the ATLAS trial have been highlighted, challenging the approval of UGN-102.
Revenue Forecast
Revised projections indicate a significant decline in revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 due to the expected non-approval of UGN-102.

Urogen Pharma (URGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Urogen Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUroGen Pharma Ltd., a biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization novel solutions for specialty cancers and urothelial diseases. It offers RTGel, a polymeric biocompatible and reverse thermal gelation hydrogel to improve therapeutic profiles of existing drugs; and Jelmyto for pyelocalyceal solution. The company's lead product candidate is UGN-102, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of several forms of non-muscle invasive urothelial cancer that include low-grade upper tract urothelial carcinoma and low-grade non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. It is also developing UGN-301 for the treatment of high-grade non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. The company has a license agreement with Allergan Pharmaceuticals International Limited for developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products that contain RTGel and clostridial toxins; Agenus Inc. to develop, make, use, sell, import, and commercialize products of Agenus for the treatment of cancers of the urinary tract via intravesical delivery; and strategic research collaboration with MD Anderson to advance investigational treatment for high-grade bladder cancer. UroGen Pharma Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Princeton, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyUrogen Pharma makes money primarily through the commercialization of its proprietary drug products and formulations. Its revenue model is centered around the sales of approved therapies, particularly for niche urological and uro-oncological conditions. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can contribute to revenue through licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties. Additionally, Urogen Pharma may receive funding from grants and research collaborations that support its development pipeline, although these are supplementary to its primary revenue streams from product sales.

Urogen Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 29.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights significant progress in UGN-102's FDA review process, strong clinical trial results, and a substantial market opportunity. JELMYTO's revenue growth and a strong financial position also contribute positively. However, there are concerns about the single-arm nature of the ENVISION trial, increased expenses, and net loss. The highlights and lowlights are relatively balanced.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
UGN-102 FDA Review Progress
UGN-102 is in the final stages of FDA review with a PDUFA target date of June 13th. An ODAC meeting is scheduled for May 21st, and the company is well-prepared to present a strong case for approval.
Strong Clinical Trial Results
Updated data from the pivotal ENVISION trial showed that 80.6% of patients who achieved a complete response at three months remained in response at 18 months.
Commercial Readiness and Market Opportunity
UGN-102 represents a transformative growth opportunity, targeting an addressable population of approximately 60,000 patients annually and a market opportunity of over $5 billion.
JELMYTO Revenue Growth
Reported $20.3 million in first-quarter sales, an 8% year-over-year growth compared to the first quarter of 2024, driven by underlying demand growth of 12%.
Strong Financial Position
Supported by a strong balance sheet with over $200 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of March 31st, 2025.
Negative Updates
Single-Arm Study Concerns
Concerns regarding the ENVISION trial being a single-arm study and the need to compare its results in the context of existing data.
340B Impact on JELMYTO
Higher 340B chargebacks have impacted JELMYTO's year-over-year revenue growth, although this is expected to stabilize going forward.
R&D and SG&A Expense Increase
R&D expenses increased to $19.9 million from $15.5 million year-over-year, and SG&A expenses rose to $35 million from $27.3 million, primarily due to UGN-102 commercial preparation activities.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $43.8 million or $0.92 per basic and diluted share in the first quarter of 2025, compared with a net loss of $32.3 million or $0.87 per share in the same period in 2024.
Company Guidance
During UroGen Pharma's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. They highlighted the potential impact of their lead candidate, UGN-102, which is under FDA review with a PDUFA target date of June 13th, 2025. UGN-102 is expected to be UroGen's primary growth driver, with an estimated market opportunity exceeding $5 billion, targeting approximately 60,000 patients annually. The company reported first-quarter JELMYTO sales of $20.3 million, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase. As part of their commercialization strategy, UroGen plans to expand their sales force from 50 to over 80 representatives by launch. The company also reported having $200.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of March 31st, 2025, ensuring a strong financial footing to support their growth and commercialization efforts.

Urogen Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Urogen Pharma shows impressive revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by a negative net income and cash flow. The balance sheet is weak with negative equity, and operational challenges persist.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Urogen Pharma has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with Total Revenue increasing from $11.8M in 2020 to $91.9M in TTM 2025, a substantial positive trajectory. However, the company is currently unprofitable, with a net loss of $138.4M in TTM 2025. Gross Profit Margin is high at 89.7% for TTM 2025, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting significant operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a negative Stockholders' Equity of $-46.5M in TTM 2025, raising concerns about financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, indicating potential financial risk. Total Debt is $124.9M, which is high relative to the negative equity. The Equity Ratio is negative, highlighting balance sheet weaknesses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow is negative at $-107.1M in TTM 2025, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow is also negative, suggesting additional pressure on financial resources. However, the financing activities have provided significant cash inflow, helping to mitigate these cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.87M90.40M82.71M64.36M48.04M11.80M
Gross Profit82.39M81.52M73.35M56.70M42.88M10.79M
EBITDA-101.77M-110.33M-63.83M-78.03M-90.15M-122.71M
Net Income-138.43M-126.87M-102.24M-109.16M-110.82M-128.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets247.62M285.71M178.31M136.24M119.75M122.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments195.89M236.69M136.97M99.96M89.81M103.91M
Total Debt124.95M123.39M100.21M99.12M398.00K1.50M
Total Liabilities294.08M294.51M243.52M224.98M111.33M25.65M
Stockholders Equity-46.46M-8.80M-65.21M-88.74M8.41M96.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-107.39M-97.06M-76.57M-87.81M-85.64M-107.10M
Operating Cash Flow-107.06M-96.77M-76.38M-87.56M-84.89M-105.89M
Investing Cash Flow-60.09M-20.61M-953.00K1.06M4.07M93.24M
Financing Cash Flow140.00M194.62M116.93M97.13M72.32M16.53M

Urogen Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.49
Price Trends
50DMA
9.36
Positive
100DMA
9.98
Positive
200DMA
10.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.74
Negative
RSI
64.66
Neutral
STOCH
48.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For URGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.08, above the 50-day MA of 9.36, and above the 200-day MA of 10.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for URGN.

Urogen Pharma Risk Analysis

Urogen Pharma disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Urogen Pharma reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Urogen Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.12B82.3433.47%29.77%
61
Neutral
$621.99M-452.20%8.98%6.32%
54
Neutral
€4.82B18.16-49.50%1.91%13.92%-2.48%
54
Neutral
$550.36M-35.41%-39.92%7.38%
48
Neutral
$501.03M-37.13%-38.14%29.69%
46
Neutral
$381.97M-75.77%-44.25%
OPOPT
39
Underperform
$483.08M
-25.10%-7.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
URGN
Urogen Pharma
13.49
-2.99
-18.14%
NAGE
Niagen Bioscience
14.22
11.53
428.62%
SVRA
Savara
2.21
-2.43
-52.37%
ARVN
Arvinas Holding Company
7.54
-18.44
-70.98%
BCYC
Bicycle Therapeutics
7.24
-13.05
-64.32%
OPT
Opthea Limited Sponsored ADR
3.20
1.30
68.42%

Urogen Pharma Corporate Events

Product-Related Announcements
FDA Approves Urogen Pharma’s ZUSDURI for Bladder Cancer
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, the FDA approved Urogen Pharma‘s ZUSDURI™, a sustained-release gel formulation of mitomycin, for treating adults with recurrent low-grade intermediate risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (LG-IR-NMIBC). This approval is based on the Phase 3 ENVISION trial, where 78% of patients achieved complete response at three months, with 79% maintaining it at 12 months. ZUSDURI is expected to be available in the U.S. by July 1, 2025, and Urogen Pharma has committed to further trials and updates to the FDA to assess long-term benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (URGN) stock is a Buy with a $53.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urogen Pharma stock, see the URGN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025