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Paccar (PCAR)
NASDAQ:PCAR

Paccar (PCAR) AI Stock Analysis

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PCAR

Paccar

(NASDAQ:PCAR)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$110.00
▼(-1.46% Downside)
Paccar's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, indicating resilience amid market challenges. The technical analysis and valuation suggest a stable but cautious outlook, with potential for growth as tariff benefits materialize.

Paccar (PCAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paccar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods. It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers. This segment also offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers. In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment. The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyPaccar generates revenue primarily through the sale of trucks and related parts. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of new trucks, which accounts for a significant portion of its income, as well as aftermarket parts and services that provide ongoing revenue from existing customers. Additionally, Paccar's financial services division supports truck sales through financing solutions, further contributing to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and ongoing investments in technological advancements, such as electric and autonomous vehicles, also enhance Paccar's profitability by ensuring competitive product offerings in the evolving automotive market.

Paccar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
PACCAR delivered strong financial results with record revenues in parts and significant innovations and expansions planned. However, challenges from tariff impacts and market uncertainties, particularly in the truckload sector, remain. The upcoming Section 232 tariffs are expected to mitigate some of these challenges, offering a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
PACCAR achieved revenues of $6.7 billion and net income of $590 million in Q3 2025. PACCAR Parts reached record quarterly revenues of $1.72 billion with a 4% growth compared to the same period last year.
Expansion and Innovation
PACCAR Parts will open a new 180,000-square-foot distribution center in Calgary and a new engine remanufacturing center in Columbus, Mississippi. PACCAR Financial Services saw an 18% increase in pre-tax income, reaching $126 million.
Section 232 Tariff Benefits
The new Section 232 tariffs, effective November 1st, are expected to reduce costs and improve PACCAR's competitive position in the market.
European and South American Market Strength
The DAF XF truck was honored as the Fleet Truck of the Year in the UK. PACCAR's premium trucks are performing well in South America, especially in Brazil.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Truck parts and other gross margins were affected by the August steel and aluminum tariff increases, with potential impacts continuing until the new Section 232 tariffs take effect.
Uncertainty in the Truckload Market
The truckload market continues to face uncertainty, impacting order decisions and market dynamics.
Potential Pre-buy Concerns
There is ongoing uncertainty regarding EPA 2027 NOx regulations, which could affect market stability and pre-buy activities.
Company Guidance
During PACCAR's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company announced strong financial results, with revenues reaching $6.7 billion and a net income of $590 million. PACCAR Parts reported record quarterly revenues of $1.72 billion with a 4% year-over-year growth, achieving a pre-tax income of $410 million. Financial Services also performed well, with a pre-tax income of $126 million, marking an 18% increase from the previous year. PACCAR delivered 31,900 trucks in the third quarter and plans to deliver around 32,000 in the fourth quarter. The company anticipates the U.S. and Canadian Class 8 truck market for 2025 to range from 230,000 to 245,000 units, with a potential increase to 230,000 to 270,000 units in 2026. In Europe, the above 16-tonne market is projected to be between 275,000 and 295,000 vehicles, with 2026 expectations at 270,000 to 300,000. PACCAR's gross margins were impacted by tariffs, dropping to 12.5% in Q3, but are expected to improve as new tariff regulations under Section 232, effective November 1st, help reduce costs. Capital expenditures for this year are projected to be $750 to $775 million, with research and development expenses of $450 to $465 million. The company plans to invest $725 to $775 million in capital projects next year, alongside $450 to $500 million for R&D, focusing on technology and innovation in clean diesel, alternative powertrains, and integrated vehicle services.

Paccar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Paccar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price111.63
Price Trends
50DMA
101.15
Positive
100DMA
99.83
Positive
200DMA
97.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.50
Negative
RSI
64.86
Neutral
STOCH
67.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 111.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107.26, above the 50-day MA of 101.15, and above the 200-day MA of 97.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCAR.

Paccar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$275.61B30.2246.30%0.98%-1.51%-9.69%
74
Outperform
$58.91B21.9614.15%3.83%-15.29%-42.93%
71
Outperform
$8.13B12.5315.42%1.59%-2.28%-0.53%
66
Neutral
$131.23B26.2420.61%1.34%-11.66%-27.80%
59
Neutral
$7.94B21.208.69%1.09%-20.09%121.28%
55
Neutral
$12.00B20.197.77%2.60%-18.10%-65.24%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCAR
Paccar
111.63
8.23
7.96%
AGCO
Agco
106.36
13.28
14.27%
CAT
Caterpillar
561.89
203.41
56.74%
CNH
CNH Industrial
9.63
-1.21
-11.16%
DE
Deere
481.00
60.90
14.50%
OSK
Oshkosh
126.23
32.23
34.29%

Paccar Corporate Events

PACCAR Reports Strong Parts Revenue Amid Earnings Decline
Oct 22, 2025

PACCAR Inc is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and customer support of high-quality trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates, and also provides financial services and distributes truck parts. In its latest earnings report, PACCAR reported a net income of $590 million for the third quarter of 2025, a decrease from $972.1 million in the same period last year, with revenues also declining to $6.67 billion from $8.24 billion. Despite the decline, PACCAR Parts and PACCAR Financial Services delivered strong performance, contributing significantly to the company’s profitability. Key highlights from the report include global truck deliveries of 31,900 units, record PACCAR Parts revenues of $1.72 billion, and a robust cash flow from operations amounting to $1.53 billion. The company also made significant capital investments and R&D expenditures, reflecting its commitment to innovation and growth. Looking ahead, PACCAR remains optimistic about its market position, particularly with the upcoming Section 232 truck tariffs expected to bring clarity to the market. The company is also investing in next-generation technologies, including clean diesel and alternative powertrains, to enhance its product offerings and maintain its competitive edge.

PACCAR’s Earnings Call: Strong Results Amid Tariff Challenges
Oct 22, 2025

PACCAR’s recent earnings call revealed a strong financial performance, with the company achieving record revenues and announcing significant expansions and innovations. Despite these positive developments, challenges from tariffs and market uncertainties were acknowledged, but the upcoming Section 232 tariffs are expected to offer some relief and a positive outlook.

Executive/Board Changes
PACCAR Announces Executive Vice President Retirement
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 2, 2025, PACCAR announced the retirement of Darrin C. Siver, Executive Vice President, effective January 5, 2026, after 32 years with the company. John N. Rich will continue his role as Senior Vice President and Chief Technology Officer and will also take on responsibilities for Peterbilt Motors Company. Laura J. Bloch will maintain her role as Senior Vice President for Kenworth Truck Company and PACCAR Parts, while also assuming responsibilities for Corporate Quality and Purchasing.

The most recent analyst rating on (PCAR) stock is a Buy with a $109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Paccar stock, see the PCAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025