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Deere & Company (DE)
NYSE:DE
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Deere (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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Deere

(NYSE:DE)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$665.00
▲(12.62% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score reflects solid underlying financial strength and a supportive earnings update (maintained enterprise guidance and raised Construction & Forestry/Financial Services outlook), offset by notably weak technical momentum and cyclical headwinds in large agriculture plus ongoing tariff-related margin pressure (with Q2 benefiting from a one-time refund). Valuation signals are mixed/limited due to an uninterpretable P/E input and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Segment diversification & outperformance
Deere’s multi‑segment strength — double‑digit growth in Small Ag & Turf and Construction & Forestry — materially reduces reliance on large‑ag cycles. Durable outperformance across segments supports steadier revenues, margins and capital allocation through industry swings.
Negative Factors
Large‑ag demand weakness
Sustained weakness in large‑ag volumes and a lowered sales guide reflect structural farmer pressure in key markets. Because large‑ag contributes outsized revenue and margins, prolonged softness can reduce enterprise revenues, depress aftermarket demand and constrain margin recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Segment diversification & outperformance
Deere’s multi‑segment strength — double‑digit growth in Small Ag & Turf and Construction & Forestry — materially reduces reliance on large‑ag cycles. Durable outperformance across segments supports steadier revenues, margins and capital allocation through industry swings.
Read all positive factors

Deere Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Allocates sales across regions (e.g., North America, Europe, Asia), showing where Deere’s demand and growth are concentrated. Reveals risk from regional slowdowns, commodity-price swings, or trade barriers and highlights markets with expansion potential.
Chart InsightsDeere’s regions reflect a cyclical large‑ag trough in LATAM—driven by Brazil—that pulled down Production & Precision Ag through 2023–24 but shows a partial rebound in 2025, while Western Europe and Asia are recovering more steadily. Central Europe & CIS is the most erratic and remains subdued. Management’s commentary confirms Brazil-driven softness and tariff/cost headwinds, but diversification into Small Ag & Turf and Construction & Forestry plus inventory normalization are cushioning results; ongoing Brazil/input risk could still re‑pressure large‑ag revenue and margins.
Data provided by:The Fly

Deere (DE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deere Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Deere & Company is a global manufacturer and distributor of a wide range of equipment. The company's operations are organized into four primary business segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and F...
How the Company Makes Money
Deere makes money primarily by selling and leasing equipment and related solutions, and by providing aftermarket support and financing. Its revenue model includes: (1) Equipment sales: The largest source of revenue comes from the sale of new machi...

Deere Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a resilient, diversified Deere with solid execution: revenue and margin gains were supported by strong performance in Small Ag & Turf and Construction & Forestry, meaningful inventory improvements, continued product and technology momentum, and an unchanged enterprise net income guide. However, material near-term headwinds remain—most notably a weakened large-ag market (particularly Brazil), persistent tariff exposure (~3% margin impact), and elevated input/inflationary pressures. The quarter included a one-time $272M tariff refund that meaningfully aided margins, so underlying cost and tariff dynamics warrant monitoring. On balance, the positive operational execution, portfolio diversification, and maintained guidance outweigh the cyclical and policy-related challenges in the near term.
Positive Updates
Top-line and Profitability
Net sales and revenues up 5% year-over-year to $13.369B; equipment operations margin of 16.9% in Q2; net income attributable to Deere & Company of $1.773B ($6.55 diluted EPS).
Negative Updates
Large Ag Sales Decline
Production & Precision Ag net sales declined 14% YoY to $4.503B, primarily from lower shipment volumes; full-year segment net sales guide remains down 5–10%.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line and Profitability
Net sales and revenues up 5% year-over-year to $13.369B; equipment operations margin of 16.9% in Q2; net income attributable to Deere & Company of $1.773B ($6.55 diluted EPS).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Deere maintained its fiscal 2026 enterprise guidance with net income of $4.5–$5.0 billion and an effective tax rate of 24–26%, while guiding equipment operations cash flow of $4.5–$5.5 billion and raising Financial Services full‑year net income to $860 million; Q2 results included total net sales of $13.369 billion (up 5%), equipment operations net sales of $11.778 billion (up 5%) and equipment operations margin of 16.9%, with net income of $1.773 billion ($6.55 per diluted share). By segment, Production & Precision Ag Q2 sales were $4.503 billion (down 14%) with a 15.7% margin and full‑year PPA sales guide unchanged at down 5–10% and an 11–13% operating margin; Small Ag & Turf Q2 sales were $3.485 billion (up 16%) with a 20.6% margin and full‑year SAT sales guide up ~15% with a 13.5–15% margin; Construction & Forestry Q2 sales were $3.79 billion (up 29%) with a 14.8% margin and full‑year C&F sales guidance raised to ~+20% with a 10–12% margin. Management expects implied net price realization for equipment operations of ~1.5–2% (with segment price/currency tailwinds noted: PPA ~+1% price/≈+3 pts FX, SAT ~+1.5% price/≈+2.5 pts FX, C&F >+2.5% price/≈+3 pts FX), and reiterated tariff exposure of roughly $1.0–$1.2 billion (≈3% margin headwind) net of a $272 million IEEPA refund recognized in Q2 (lifting Q2 margins ~2.5 pts and about a 1‑pt full‑year benefit), while noting stronger back‑half seasonality (Q4 > Q3) and $635 million returned to shareholders in the quarter.

Deere Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation remain solid (TTM gross margin ~35.6%, net margin ~10.5%, operating cash flow ~$7.9B, FCF ~$3.8B), but results have normalized from 2023–2024 cycle highs and revenue has been uneven. Balance-sheet risk appears improved in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.57) versus several prior years of elevated leverage, which is a key positive if sustained.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.86B44.66B50.52B60.25B51.28B43.03B
Gross Profit16.59B16.30B19.50B22.31B15.73B13.71B
EBITDA11.46B11.66B14.67B17.48B12.08B10.64B
Net Income4.78B5.03B7.10B10.17B7.13B5.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets107.00B106.00B107.32B104.09B90.03B84.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.34B9.69B8.48B8.40B5.51B8.74B
Total Debt64.16B63.94B65.46B63.69B52.20B48.73B
Total Liabilities79.54B79.99B84.39B82.20B69.67B65.68B
Stockholders Equity27.41B25.95B22.84B21.79B20.26B18.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.77B3.23B4.43B4.12B911.00M5.15B
Operating Cash Flow7.93B7.46B9.23B8.59B4.70B7.73B
Investing Cash Flow-2.74B-2.06B-6.46B-8.75B-8.48B-5.75B
Financing Cash Flow-5.38B-4.58B-2.72B2.81B826.00M-1.08B

Deere Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price590.46
Price Trends
50DMA
574.91
Positive
100DMA
583.56
Positive
200DMA
528.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.55
Negative
RSI
61.49
Neutral
STOCH
81.27
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 590.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 582.91, above the 50-day MA of 574.91, and above the 200-day MA of 528.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE.

Deere Risk Analysis

Deere disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deere reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Deere Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$459.47B49.4347.51%0.98%11.85%-2.07%
68
Neutral
$8.70B15.1712.85%1.56%-0.92%-4.01%
65
Neutral
$63.51B25.6212.81%3.83%-14.13%-28.77%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$8.50B11.3117.90%1.10%-3.80%
61
Neutral
$165.54B34.6718.25%1.34%3.98%-14.68%
51
Neutral
$13.68B35.734.99%2.67%-4.04%-62.88%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE
Deere
613.24
109.74
21.80%
AGCO
Agco
117.35
15.22
14.90%
CAT
Caterpillar
997.47
613.42
159.72%
CNH
CNH Industrial
11.03
-1.81
-14.07%
OSK
Oshkosh
151.60
39.31
35.01%
PCAR
Paccar
120.68
27.97
30.17%

Deere Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Deere Director Stockton Plans 2027 Board Exit, Ensuring Continuity
Neutral
Jun 1, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Deere Company director Dmitri Stockton informed the board that he will not stand for re-election at the 2027 annual meeting of stockholders. The company said his decision is not due to any disagreement with its operations, polici...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Deere Appoints T. Brent Norwood as New CFO
Positive
May 1, 2026
On April 28, 2026, Deere Company’s board elected 44-year-old T. Brent Norwood as senior vice president and chief financial officer, effective May 1, 2026, succeeding acting CFO Ryan D. Campbell, who remains president of the Worldwide Constr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026