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Deere (DE)
NYSE:DE
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Deere (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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DE

Deere

(NYSE:DE)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$507.00
â–²(6.71% Upside)
Deere's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic investments in technology, offset by high leverage and challenges in agricultural equipment sales. The valuation suggests the stock is relatively expensive, and technical indicators show mixed signals.
Positive Factors
Technological Advancements
Deere's advancements in precision agriculture technology enhance operational efficiency and customer loyalty, strengthening its competitive edge.
Strong Segment Growth
Robust growth in the Construction and Forestry segment indicates strong demand and market position, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Record Net Income
Achieving record net income demonstrates effective cost management and profitability, reinforcing financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses risks to financial stability, potentially limiting flexibility in capital allocation and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Decline in Large Ag Equipment Sales
A significant decline in large agricultural equipment sales could impact revenue and market share, challenging growth in the core segment.
Tariff Impact on Margins
Tariff-related expenses are expected to pressure margins, affecting profitability and requiring strategic cost management to mitigate impacts.

Deere (DE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deere Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Production and Precision Agriculture segment provides mid-size tractors, combines, cotton pickers and strippers, sugarcane harvesters, harvesting front-end equipment, sugarcane loaders, pull-behind scrapers, and tillage and seeding equipment, as well as application equipment, including sprayers and nutrient management, and soil preparation machinery for grain growers. The Small Agriculture and Turf segment offers utility tractors, and related loaders and attachments; turf and utility equipment, including riding lawn equipment, commercial mowing equipment, golf course equipment, and utility vehicles, as well as implements for mowing, tilling, snow and debris handling, aerating, residential, commercial, golf, and sports turf care applications; other outdoor power products; and hay and forage equipment. This segment also resells products from other manufacturers. It serves dairy and livestock producers, crop producers, and turf and utility customers. The Construction and Forestry segment provides a range of backhoe loaders, crawler dozers and loaders, four-wheel-drive loaders, excavators, motor graders, articulated dump trucks, landscape and skid-steer loaders, milling machines, pavers, compactors, rollers, crushers, screens, asphalt plants, log skidders, log feller bunchers, log loaders and forwarders, log harvesters, and attachments; and roadbuilding equipment. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases agriculture and turf, and construction and forestry equipment. It also offers wholesale financing to dealers of the foregoing equipment; and extended equipment warranties, as well as finances retail revolving charge accounts. Deere & Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeere generates revenue primarily through the sale of its machinery and equipment across its three segments. The Agriculture and Turf segment constitutes the largest share of revenue, driven by strong demand for agricultural machinery, particularly in times of favorable crop prices and increasing global agricultural productivity. The Construction and Forestry segment contributes through the sale of construction equipment such as excavators and loaders, which are influenced by infrastructure spending and economic conditions. Additionally, Deere's Financial Services segment provides financing solutions for customers purchasing its equipment, creating a steady revenue stream from interest and fees. The company also capitalizes on partnerships with technology firms to enhance its precision agriculture offerings, further driving sales and customer loyalty.

Deere Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsDeere's revenue across all regions has been declining, with the U.S. and Western Europe showing significant drops. The earnings call highlights that despite strong operational performance, global uncertainties and tariff impacts are pressuring sales. However, Deere's strategic investments in U.S. manufacturing and precision technology could mitigate these challenges. The company's commitment to innovation and technology adoption, like the Precision Essentials package, suggests a focus on long-term growth, even as current revenues face headwinds.
Data provided by:The Fly

Deere Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 26, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with strong performance in certain segments like Construction and Forestry and technological advancements providing positive highlights. However, significant challenges such as the decline in large agricultural equipment sales and the impact of tariffs on profitability weigh heavily on the outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter net sales and revenues were up 11% to $12.4 billion, and equipment operations net sales were up 14% to $10.6 billion.
Record Net Income for Fiscal Year 2025
Deere & Company delivered over $5 billion in net income for the fiscal year, marking the best results for this point in the cycle.
Growth in Construction and Forestry Segment
Net sales for the Construction and Forestry segment were up 27% year over year, resulting in a 10.3% operating margin.
Technology and Innovation Advancements
Significant progress in technology including JDLink Boost and See and Spray, with increased adoption and utilization across various production systems.
Negative Updates
Decline in Large Agricultural Equipment Sales
Sales of large agricultural equipment in North America are expected to be down 15% to 20% in fiscal year 2026.
Impact of Tariffs on Profitability
Projected pretax direct tariff expense of approximately $1.2 billion for fiscal year 2026, negatively impacting margins.
Decreased Net Income in Fourth Quarter
Fourth quarter net income attributable to Deere & Company decreased to $1.1 billion, down from previous quarters.
Challenging Market Conditions
Continued challenges in global farm fundamentals and high input prices are putting pressure on farm profitability.
Company Guidance
During Deere & Company's fourth quarter earnings call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting a range of financial outcomes across its segments. Key metrics included a forecasted net income of $4 billion to $4.75 billion, with equipment operations' cash flow expected to be $4 billion to $5 billion. In fiscal 2025, Deere achieved a net income of $5 billion on net sales of $45.7 billion, despite a 12% decline in net sales and revenues. The company anticipates a subdued large ag market in North America but sees growth opportunities in small ag and turf and construction and forestry segments. Pricing strategies and operational efficiencies are expected to mitigate a $1.2 billion tariff impact in 2026, while the effective tax rate is projected to rise to between 25% and 27%. Additionally, Deere plans for a 10% increase in net sales for Small Ag and Turf, driven by favorable margins in the dairy and livestock sector, and a 10% rise in Construction and Forestry net sales, supported by robust earthmoving equipment demand.

Deere Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Deere shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. However, high leverage and recent declines in free cash flow growth are concerns. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and manage debt levels to sustain financial stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Deere's income statement shows a strong performance with consistent revenue growth over the years, except for a slight dip in 2024. The company maintains healthy gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent years suggest potential pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses a risk of financial leverage. Despite this, Deere has shown a strong return on equity, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, but the high leverage could be a concern if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Deere's cash flow statement reveals a mixed picture. While the operating cash flow remains positive, the free cash flow has shown volatility, with a significant decline in recent years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable, but the negative growth in free cash flow suggests potential challenges in cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.68B50.52B60.25B51.28B43.03B
Gross Profit17.52B19.50B22.31B15.73B13.71B
EBITDA11.66B14.67B17.48B12.08B10.64B
Net Income5.03B7.10B10.17B7.13B5.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.00B107.32B104.09B90.03B84.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.69B8.48B8.40B5.51B8.74B
Total Debt63.94B65.46B63.69B52.20B48.73B
Total Liabilities79.99B84.39B82.20B69.67B65.68B
Stockholders Equity25.95B22.84B21.79B20.26B18.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.23B4.43B4.12B911.00M5.15B
Operating Cash Flow7.46B9.23B8.59B4.70B7.73B
Investing Cash Flow-2.06B-6.46B-8.75B-8.48B-5.75B
Financing Cash Flow-4.58B-2.72B2.81B826.00M-1.08B

Deere Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price475.11
Price Trends
50DMA
467.64
Positive
100DMA
478.34
Negative
200DMA
481.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.97
Positive
RSI
50.42
Neutral
STOCH
47.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 475.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 476.78, above the 50-day MA of 467.64, and below the 200-day MA of 481.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE.

Deere Risk Analysis

Deere disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deere reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Deere Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$280.39B30.3546.30%0.97%-1.51%-9.69%
74
Outperform
$55.61B20.7314.15%3.92%-15.29%-42.93%
71
Outperform
$8.28B12.5015.42%1.56%-2.28%-0.53%
66
Neutral
$126.83B25.3620.61%1.34%-11.66%-27.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$7.89B20.948.69%1.10%-20.09%121.28%
54
Neutral
$11.80B19.927.77%2.64%-18.10%-65.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE
Deere
475.11
31.93
7.20%
AGCO
Agco
105.26
6.71
6.81%
CAT
Caterpillar
603.17
209.85
53.35%
CNH
CNH Industrial
9.44
-2.40
-20.27%
OSK
Oshkosh
129.43
26.70
25.99%
PCAR
Paccar
110.33
0.17
0.15%

Deere Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Deere Subsidiary Sells $500M in Notes Due 2030
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Deere Funding Canada Corporation, a subsidiary of Deere & Company, agreed to sell $500 million in 4.150% Notes due in 2030. These Notes are guaranteed by Deere & Company on a senior unsecured basis, aligning with their other senior unsecured debts. This financial move, facilitated by major underwriters including Goldman Sachs and RBC Capital Markets, reflects Deere’s strategic positioning in the financial markets, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (DE) stock is a Buy with a $609.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Deere stock, see the DE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Deere Announces Leadership Changes for Strategic Growth
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Deere & Company announced significant leadership changes as part of its Smart Industrial Strategy to enhance customer economic value through intelligent, connected machines and solutions. Cory Reed was elected as President of Lifecycle Solutions, Supply Management, and Customer Success, effective November 3, 2025, while Deanna Kovar and Justin Rose were appointed to new roles overseeing different divisions within the company. These changes reflect Deere’s commitment to building a purpose-driven leadership team focused on innovation and customer success, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning globally.

The most recent analyst rating on (DE) stock is a Hold with a $532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Deere stock, see the DE Stock Forecast page.

Deere & Company Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Resilience
Sep 1, 2025

Deere & Company Navigates Market Challenges with Strategic Focus

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025