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CNH Industrial (CNH)
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CNH Industrial (CNH) AI Stock Analysis

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CNH

CNH Industrial

(NYSE:CNH)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
â–²(6.04% Upside)
CNH Industrial's overall stock score reflects a challenging environment. The most significant factors are the declining revenue growth and high leverage, which weigh heavily on the financial performance score. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further impacting the score. Valuation is moderate but not compelling enough to offset these challenges.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Technology Integration
Recognition for innovation highlights CNH's commitment to advancing technology in agriculture, which can enhance product offerings and competitive positioning.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash flow generation enhances liquidity and operational flexibility, supporting long-term investments and stability.
EMEA Sales Growth
Strong sales growth in EMEA indicates successful market penetration and demand, contributing positively to the company's global revenue mix.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests challenges in maintaining market share and sales momentum, impacting long-term financial performance.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial stability and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, posing long-term risks.
North America Market Challenges
Weak demand and inventory issues in North America highlight regional challenges that could affect overall revenue and market strategy.

CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNH Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCNH Industrial is a global manufacturer of heavy machinery, with a range of products including agricultural and construction equipment. One of its most recognizable brands, Case IH, has served farmers for generations. The company's products are available through a robust dealer network, which includes over 3,600 dealer and distribution locations worldwide. CNH’s finance arm provides retail financing for equipment to its customers in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of product sales.
How the Company Makes MoneyCNH Industrial generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of its equipment and vehicles across its various segments. The Agriculture segment contributes significantly by offering a range of tractors, harvesters, and other farming machinery. The Construction segment generates income through the sale of excavators, loaders, and other heavy machinery. The Commercial Vehicles segment earns revenue from the production and sale of trucks and vans, catering to the logistics and transportation industries. Additionally, CNH Industrial has a Financial Services segment that provides financing solutions to customers, enabling them to purchase equipment and vehicles, which also contributes to the company's revenue. Key partnerships with dealers and distributors enhance its market reach, while ongoing investments in research and development drive innovation, helping to secure a competitive advantage and boost sales.

CNH Industrial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant challenges in revenue decline, particularly in North America and South America, and the impact of tariffs on costs. However, there were positive developments such as growth in the EMEA region, advancements in product quality, and innovation recognition. Despite these highlights, the substantial revenue and margin pressures, along with geopolitical and market challenges, indicate a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EMEA Sales Growth
EMEA sales were up 16%, particularly in tractors, especially in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, contributing positively to the segment despite overall global challenges.
Innovation Awards
CNH received two innovation awards, Silver Medals for corn header automation and ForageCam, highlighting advancements in AI and technology integration in agriculture.
Quality Improvements
Year-to-date, quality costs have been reduced by over $60 million, with significant improvements in product development, supply chain, and manufacturing processes.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Margin Decline
Consolidated revenues for the quarter were down 5% at $4.4 billion. The Global Ag segment sales were down 11%, and industrial adjusted EBIT was $104 million, down 69% compared to last year.
North America Market Challenges
North American market sales for the Global Ag segment were down 29%, with weak retail demand and dealer inventory destocking impacting results.
Tariff Impact and Cost Increases
The delayed impact of tariffs significantly affected the company's costs, with an expected impact of $100 million for agriculture and $40 million for construction for the year.
South America and Brazil Headwinds
Persistent geopolitical and market challenges in South America, particularly Brazil, continued to be a headwind, with increased risk costs in financial services and credit delinquencies.
Company Guidance
During the CNH 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and outlook for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026. Despite a 5% decline in consolidated revenues to $4.4 billion, CNH highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 69% year-over-year decrease in industrial adjusted EBIT to $104 million, primarily due to lower industry demand, tariffs, and geographic mix. Adjusted net income was $109 million, with an adjusted EPS of $0.08. CNH's global agriculture segment sales were down 11%, with notable regional variations: North America saw a 29% decline, while EMEA experienced a 16% increase. The company remains committed to its long-term strategy, focusing on expanding product leadership and advancing technology integration. As they look ahead, CNH expects global industry retail demand in 2026 to be flat to slightly down compared to 2025, with a continued focus on maintaining low production levels to manage inventory and improve margins amidst challenging market conditions and tariff impacts. The company’s outlook also includes an expected free cash flow range of $200 million to $500 million and an EPS forecast between $0.44 and $0.50 for the full year.

CNH Industrial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CNH Industrial's financial performance is mixed. While profitability remains stable, revenue growth is declining. The balance sheet shows high leverage and reduced ROE, but cash flow generation has improved, enhancing liquidity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CNH Industrial's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The TTM data shows a decline in revenue growth rate, indicating a contraction in sales. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin and a positive net profit margin, albeit lower than previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting reduced operational efficiency. Overall, while profitability remains positive, the declining revenue trend is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The return on equity has decreased in the TTM period, reflecting reduced profitability relative to shareholders' equity. Despite these challenges, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. The high leverage and declining ROE are key areas of concern.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates a strong free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, but the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash conversion. Despite past fluctuations, the recent improvement in free cash flow is a positive sign for liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.81B19.84B24.69B23.55B19.49B14.78B
Gross Profit5.11B6.49B7.85B6.97B5.40B3.63B
EBITDA2.83B3.67B4.61B3.88B2.98B1.02B
Net Income597.00M1.25B2.27B2.03B1.72B-493.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.26B42.93B46.27B39.38B49.42B48.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.96B3.87B5.04B5.13B5.04B9.63B
Total Debt27.41B27.16B27.63B23.19B31.16B26.51B
Total Liabilities35.42B35.16B38.12B32.41B42.56B43.69B
Stockholders Equity7.73B7.65B8.03B6.93B6.78B4.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.48B782.00M-288.00M-442.00M3.16B4.68B
Operating Cash Flow3.29B1.97B907.00M557.00M4.08B5.53B
Investing Cash Flow-2.08B-2.77B-3.70B-3.01B-5.00B-2.75B
Financing Cash Flow-705.00M-67.00M2.60B1.96B-1.45B659.00M

CNH Industrial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.43
Price Trends
50DMA
10.38
Negative
100DMA
11.34
Negative
200DMA
11.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
37.73
Neutral
STOCH
19.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.93, below the 50-day MA of 10.38, and below the 200-day MA of 11.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNH.

CNH Industrial Risk Analysis

CNH Industrial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNH Industrial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CNH Industrial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$268.49B29.4446.30%1.02%-1.51%-9.69%
74
Outperform
$55.12B20.5414.15%4.10%-15.29%-42.93%
71
Outperform
$8.04B12.3915.42%1.60%-2.28%-0.53%
66
Neutral
$127.02B25.4020.61%1.38%-11.66%-27.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$7.88B21.038.69%1.10%-20.09%121.28%
54
Neutral
$11.72B19.717.77%2.66%-18.10%-65.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNH
CNH Industrial
9.43
-2.71
-22.32%
AGCO
Agco
105.96
5.59
5.57%
CAT
Caterpillar
575.76
179.24
45.20%
DE
Deere
464.49
7.96
1.74%
OSK
Oshkosh
128.18
17.55
15.86%
PCAR
Paccar
105.42
-6.09
-5.46%

CNH Industrial Corporate Events

CNH Industrial NV Faces Mixed Earnings Outlook
Nov 9, 2025

The recent earnings call for CNH Industrial NV painted a mixed picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. While there were notable achievements in the EMEA region and advancements in product quality and innovation, the overall sentiment was cautious due to significant revenue and margin pressures. The impact of tariffs and geopolitical challenges further complicated the outlook, particularly in North and South America.

CNH Industrial Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 8, 2025

CNH Industrial N.V. is a global leader in the capital goods sector, specializing in the design, production, and sale of agricultural and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. The company is headquartered in Basildon, UK, and operates across various regions worldwide.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CNH Industrial Reports Q3 2025 Revenue Decline
Negative
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, CNH Industrial reported its third-quarter results for 2025, showing a decline in consolidated revenues to $4.4 billion, a 5% decrease from the previous year, amid decreased industry demand and channel destocking. The company experienced a significant drop in net income to $67 million, compared to $310 million in Q3 2024, and adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities fell by 69%. Despite these challenges, CNH Industrial is taking steps to navigate near-term headwinds by maintaining disciplined production levels and investing in technology, with a focus on achieving long-term strategic targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNH) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CNH Industrial stock, see the CNH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025