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CNH Industrial (CNH)
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CNH Industrial (CNH) AI Stock Analysis

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CNH

CNH Industrial

(NYSE:CNH)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
â–²(8.70% Upside)
CNH Industrial's overall stock score reflects a combination of resilient cash flow generation and operational efficiency, offset by bearish technical indicators and a cautious earnings outlook. High leverage and declining revenue growth are significant risks, while fair valuation and dividend yield provide some support.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow growth indicates CNH's ability to efficiently convert earnings into cash, supporting long-term investments and debt servicing.
Innovation and Technology
Recognition for innovation in AI and technology integration enhances CNH's competitive edge, driving future product development and market leadership.
Operational Efficiency
Significant cost reductions in quality and manufacturing processes boost operational efficiency, improving profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes or economic downturns.
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues reflect challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting long-term growth and market share.
Tariff Impact
Tariff impacts increase operational costs, pressuring margins and requiring strategic adjustments to mitigate long-term financial strain.

CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNH Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCNH Industrial is a global leader in the capital goods sector, specializing in the manufacture of agricultural and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. The company operates through various segments, including Agriculture, Construction, Commercial Vehicles, and Financial Services, offering a diverse portfolio of products such as tractors, combines, excavators, and trucks. With a presence in over 180 countries, CNH Industrial focuses on innovation and sustainability, providing advanced technologies and services to enhance productivity for its customers in the farming, construction, and transportation industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyCNH Industrial generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of its equipment and vehicles across its various segments. The Agriculture segment contributes significantly by offering a range of tractors, harvesters, and other farming machinery. The Construction segment generates income through the sale of excavators, loaders, and other heavy machinery. The Commercial Vehicles segment earns revenue from the production and sale of trucks and vans, catering to the logistics and transportation industries. Additionally, CNH Industrial has a Financial Services segment that provides financing solutions to customers, enabling them to purchase equipment and vehicles, which also contributes to the company's revenue. Key partnerships with dealers and distributors enhance its market reach, while ongoing investments in research and development drive innovation, helping to secure a competitive advantage and boost sales.

CNH Industrial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant challenges in revenue decline, particularly in North America and South America, and the impact of tariffs on costs. However, there were positive developments such as growth in the EMEA region, advancements in product quality, and innovation recognition. Despite these highlights, the substantial revenue and margin pressures, along with geopolitical and market challenges, indicate a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EMEA Sales Growth
EMEA sales were up 16%, particularly in tractors, especially in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, contributing positively to the segment despite overall global challenges.
Innovation Awards
CNH received two innovation awards, Silver Medals for corn header automation and ForageCam, highlighting advancements in AI and technology integration in agriculture.
Quality Improvements
Year-to-date, quality costs have been reduced by over $60 million, with significant improvements in product development, supply chain, and manufacturing processes.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Margin Decline
Consolidated revenues for the quarter were down 5% at $4.4 billion. The Global Ag segment sales were down 11%, and industrial adjusted EBIT was $104 million, down 69% compared to last year.
North America Market Challenges
North American market sales for the Global Ag segment were down 29%, with weak retail demand and dealer inventory destocking impacting results.
Tariff Impact and Cost Increases
The delayed impact of tariffs significantly affected the company's costs, with an expected impact of $100 million for agriculture and $40 million for construction for the year.
South America and Brazil Headwinds
Persistent geopolitical and market challenges in South America, particularly Brazil, continued to be a headwind, with increased risk costs in financial services and credit delinquencies.
Company Guidance
During the CNH 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and outlook for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026. Despite a 5% decline in consolidated revenues to $4.4 billion, CNH highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 69% year-over-year decrease in industrial adjusted EBIT to $104 million, primarily due to lower industry demand, tariffs, and geographic mix. Adjusted net income was $109 million, with an adjusted EPS of $0.08. CNH's global agriculture segment sales were down 11%, with notable regional variations: North America saw a 29% decline, while EMEA experienced a 16% increase. The company remains committed to its long-term strategy, focusing on expanding product leadership and advancing technology integration. As they look ahead, CNH expects global industry retail demand in 2026 to be flat to slightly down compared to 2025, with a continued focus on maintaining low production levels to manage inventory and improve margins amidst challenging market conditions and tariff impacts. The company’s outlook also includes an expected free cash flow range of $200 million to $500 million and an EPS forecast between $0.44 and $0.50 for the full year.

CNH Industrial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CNH Industrial shows resilience in cash flow generation and operational efficiency, with a strong free cash flow growth of 38.23%. However, challenges such as declining revenue growth, high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.59, and fluctuating profitability metrics present potential risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CNH Industrial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 4.13%, reflecting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the company maintains a decent EBIT margin of 10.65% and a net profit margin of 5.84%, indicating operational efficiency. Historical data reveals fluctuating revenue growth, with a notable decline in 2021 but recovery in subsequent years. The gross profit margin has decreased in the TTM period compared to previous years, suggesting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.59 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risk. The return on equity has decreased to 13.68% in the TTM, down from higher levels in previous years, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, but the high leverage suggests potential vulnerability to interest rate changes or economic downturns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth of 38.23% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 suggests efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, historical data shows volatility in free cash flow, with negative figures in some years, highlighting potential cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.07B19.84B24.69B23.55B19.49B14.78B
Gross Profit5.85B6.49B7.85B6.97B5.40B4.56B
EBITDA3.18B3.67B4.58B3.88B2.98B1.37B
Net Income823.00M1.25B2.27B2.03B1.72B-493.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.69B42.93B46.27B39.38B49.42B48.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.51B3.87B5.04B5.13B5.84B9.63B
Total Debt27.69B27.16B27.63B23.19B21.09B26.51B
Total Liabilities35.85B35.16B38.12B32.41B42.56B43.69B
Stockholders Equity7.71B7.65B8.03B6.93B6.78B4.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13B782.00M-288.00M-442.00M3.16B4.68B
Operating Cash Flow3.42B1.97B907.00M557.00M4.08B5.53B
Investing Cash Flow-2.46B-2.77B-3.70B-3.01B-5.00B-2.75B
Financing Cash Flow-508.00M-67.00M2.60B1.96B-1.45B659.00M

CNH Industrial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.66
Price Trends
50DMA
10.77
Negative
100DMA
11.79
Negative
200DMA
12.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
29.10
Positive
STOCH
25.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.44, below the 50-day MA of 10.77, and below the 200-day MA of 12.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.10 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNH.

CNH Industrial Risk Analysis

CNH Industrial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNH Industrial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CNH Industrial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$266.35B29.2046.30%1.04%-1.51%-9.69%
74
Outperform
$52.91B19.7214.15%4.06%-15.29%-42.93%
71
Outperform
$7.91B12.1915.42%1.59%-2.28%-0.53%
66
Neutral
$128.05B24.7621.59%1.38%-20.63%-34.82%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$7.97B21.278.69%1.42%-20.09%121.28%
56
Neutral
$13.10B15.9310.79%2.59%-21.70%-57.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNH
CNH Industrial
9.66
-0.80
-7.65%
AGCO
Agco
105.56
14.76
16.26%
CAT
Caterpillar
563.10
175.58
45.31%
DE
Deere
467.79
79.19
20.38%
OSK
Oshkosh
121.46
11.78
10.74%
PCAR
Paccar
98.28
-11.54
-10.51%

CNH Industrial Corporate Events

CNH Industrial Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 8, 2025

CNH Industrial N.V. is a global leader in the capital goods sector, specializing in the design, production, and sale of agricultural and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. The company is headquartered in Basildon, UK, and operates across various regions worldwide.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CNH Industrial Reports Q3 2025 Revenue Decline
Negative
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, CNH Industrial reported its third-quarter results for 2025, showing a decline in consolidated revenues to $4.4 billion, a 5% decrease from the previous year, amid decreased industry demand and channel destocking. The company experienced a significant drop in net income to $67 million, compared to $310 million in Q3 2024, and adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities fell by 69%. Despite these challenges, CNH Industrial is taking steps to navigate near-term headwinds by maintaining disciplined production levels and investing in technology, with a focus on achieving long-term strategic targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNH) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CNH Industrial stock, see the CNH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025