tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
CNH Industrial (CNH)
NYSE:CNH
Advertisement

CNH Industrial (CNH) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
651 Followers

Top Page

CNH

CNH Industrial

(NYSE:CNH)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(8.61% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects mixed financial performance with strong profitability but high leverage risks. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation is moderate. The earnings call highlighted strategic improvements but also significant market challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
2Q25 EPS beat with Industrial Activities top line and margins ahead of expectations.
Innovation and Product Quality
Product quality improvements and innovation put the company on track to support not only improved earnings performance but to regain its solid footing as a credible number two player for farmers across geographies.
Strategic Initiatives
Meetings bolstered conviction in CNH's ability to improve not only operating performance but the market's perception of the stock.
Negative Factors
Agricultural Equipment Downturn
The agricultural equipment downturn has caused a drop in production hours, which impacts CNH's Ag margin forecasts, indicating the cycle matters most leading into 2026.
Earnings Outlook
Estimates for industrial EBIT have been lowered due to a slightly longer destocking period and more muted price increases.
Operational Challenges
CNH has a lot on its plate – delivering another $550mn cost out program while re-investing in an uncertain backdrop such as tariffs and agricultural downturn.

CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNH Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCNH Industrial is a global leader in the capital goods sector, specializing in the manufacture of agricultural and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. The company operates through various segments, including Agriculture, Construction, Commercial Vehicles, and Financial Services, offering a diverse portfolio of products such as tractors, combines, excavators, and trucks. With a presence in over 180 countries, CNH Industrial focuses on innovation and sustainability, providing advanced technologies and services to enhance productivity for its customers in the farming, construction, and transportation industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyCNH Industrial generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of its equipment and vehicles across its various segments. The Agriculture segment contributes significantly by offering a range of tractors, harvesters, and other farming machinery. The Construction segment generates income through the sale of excavators, loaders, and other heavy machinery. The Commercial Vehicles segment earns revenue from the production and sale of trucks and vans, catering to the logistics and transportation industries. Additionally, CNH Industrial has a Financial Services segment that provides financing solutions to customers, enabling them to purchase equipment and vehicles, which also contributes to the company's revenue. Key partnerships with dealers and distributors enhance its market reach, while ongoing investments in research and development drive innovation, helping to secure a competitive advantage and boost sales.

CNH Industrial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, particularly in the North American market and financial performance. However, there were strategic advancements and operational improvements that provided some positive aspects. The sentiment is mixed with an emphasis on strategic actions and long-term planning amidst current market headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Inventory Reduction Success
Achieved a $200 million reduction in agricultural dealer inventory during the quarter, aligning with the goal to achieve target levels by year-end.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Q2 free cash flow from Industrial Activities was $451 million, significantly better compared to Q2 of 2024.
Positive Reception of New Strategic Plan
The new strategic business plan presented at the Investor Day 2025 received positive feedback, with a focus on operational excellence and technology integration.
Starlink Collaboration
Announced an agreement to offer Starlink's satellite-based connectivity, providing enhanced connectivity options for farmers in remote areas.
Cost Management and Quality Improvement
Ongoing efforts to improve the cost base and quality, with lower R&D and SG&A expenses year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Revenues
Consolidated revenues for the quarter were down 14% at $4.7 billion, with the Agriculture segment sales down 17%.
Weak North American Market
Ag North America sales were down 36%, with industry retail demand down 37% for high horsepower tractors and 23% for combines.
Industrial Production Decline
Industrial adjusted EBIT was $224 million, down 55% compared to last year.
Tariff Impact Uncertainty
Uncertainty around the impact of U.S. tariffs and potential retaliations on future quarters.
Brazilian Financial Services Challenges
Higher risk costs in Brazil affected Financial Services net income, with a noted increase in delinquencies.
Company Guidance
During the CNH 2025 Second Quarter Results Conference Call, CEO Gerrit Marx and CFO Jim Nickolas provided guidance on the company's performance and strategic direction. CNH reported consolidated revenues of $4.7 billion, marking a 14% decline year-over-year, with the Agricultural segment experiencing a 17% decrease in sales. The adjusted EBIT margin for agriculture was noted at 8.1%, an improvement from the previous quarter. Despite the challenging market conditions, CNH focused on reducing its dealer inventories, achieving a $200 million reduction in ag inventory during the quarter. Production hours were down 12% year-over-year, reflecting CNH's strategy to align production with retail demand. The company also highlighted its strategic collaboration with Starlink to enhance connectivity for farmers, and reaffirmed its commitment to operational excellence and strategic sourcing to mitigate the impacts of tariffs, which are projected to have a significant effect on the second half of 2025. CNH's full-year pricing is expected to remain positive, and the company is on track to meet its inventory and production alignment targets by year-end.

CNH Industrial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CNH demonstrates solid profitability with strong margins and effective equity utilization. However, high leverage and fluctuating cash flows pose potential risks. The company needs to focus on stabilizing revenue and cash flow growth while managing leverage more effectively.
Income Statement
76
Positive
CNH's income statement shows robust gross profit and EBIT margins, with the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin at approximately 32.5% and EBIT margin at 18.9%. However, the company experienced a decline in revenue and net income compared to the previous annual report, indicating a need for growth stabilization.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 3.35, indicating leverage concerns. However, the company's return on equity (ROE) is strong at around 13.3%, suggesting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is low at about 18.6%, highlighting potential risks related to financial structure.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow of $1.78 billion in the TTM, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of about 2.9. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, with significant swings year-over-year, indicating stability concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.07B19.84B24.69B23.55B19.49B26.04B
Gross Profit3.07B6.49B7.85B6.97B5.40B4.56B
EBITDA2.87B3.67B4.58B3.88B2.98B1.37B
Net Income1.05B1.25B2.27B2.03B1.72B-493.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.69B42.93B46.27B39.38B49.42B48.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.51B3.19B4.32B5.13B5.84B9.63B
Total Debt0.0027.16B27.63B23.19B21.09B26.51B
Total Liabilities35.85B35.16B38.12B32.41B42.56B43.69B
Stockholders Equity7.83B7.65B8.03B6.93B6.78B4.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.46B782.00M-288.00M-442.00M3.16B3.68B
Operating Cash Flow3.42B1.97B907.00M557.00M4.08B5.53B
Investing Cash Flow-2.46B-2.77B-3.70B-3.01B-5.00B-2.75B
Financing Cash Flow-508.00M-67.00M2.60B1.96B-1.45B659.00M

CNH Industrial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.43
Price Trends
50DMA
12.93
Negative
100DMA
12.48
Negative
200DMA
12.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
41.11
Neutral
STOCH
15.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.86, below the 50-day MA of 12.93, and above the 200-day MA of 12.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNH.

CNH Industrial Risk Analysis

CNH Industrial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNH Industrial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CNH Industrial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$51.11B16.6816.77%4.07%-11.92%-38.21%
80
Outperform
$8.60B13.4815.52%1.44%0.41%-3.90%
77
Outperform
$195.13B21.1852.73%1.38%-4.87%-10.47%
70
Outperform
$138.22B24.6924.07%1.24%-22.26%-37.83%
69
Neutral
$8.18B82.392.42%1.06%-24.27%-76.31%
66
Neutral
$15.55B18.9110.79%2.01%-21.70%-57.68%
66
Neutral
£2.68B12.783.50%3.22%2.47%-24.22%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNH
CNH Industrial
12.43
3.15
33.94%
AGCO
Agco
109.60
25.66
30.57%
CAT
Caterpillar
416.52
85.73
25.92%
DE
Deere
510.37
170.15
50.01%
OSK
Oshkosh
134.36
36.47
37.26%
PCAR
Paccar
97.34
8.84
9.99%

CNH Industrial Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CNH Industrial Reports Q2 2025 Revenue Decline
Negative
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, CNH Industrial reported its second quarter results for 2025, revealing a decline in consolidated revenues to $4.7 billion, a 14% drop compared to the same period in 2024, due to lower industry demand and dealer destocking. Despite these challenges, the company managed to execute cost-saving initiatives, returning $0.3 billion to shareholders through dividends, and reaffirmed its full-year guidance, highlighting its strategic focus on operational improvements and investments in product and technology development.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNH) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CNH Industrial stock, see the CNH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CNH Industrial Holds Annual General Meeting
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, CNH Industrial held its annual general meeting where shareholders approved key resolutions, including the appointment of executive and non-executive directors, the 2024 financial statements, a $0.25 dividend per share, and amendments to the Equity Incentive Plan. Additionally, the company published its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting strategic priorities and achievements, further solidifying its commitment to sustainability and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNH) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CNH Industrial stock, see the CNH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025