tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Oshkosh (OSK)
NYSE:OSK
Advertisement

Oshkosh (OSK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
747 Followers

Top Page

OSK

Oshkosh

(NYSE:OSK)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$138.00
â–²(6.62% Upside)
Oshkosh's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and reasonable valuation, offset by bearish technical indicators and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's robust profitability and cash flow metrics provide stability, while the valuation suggests it is attractively priced. However, technical analysis indicates weak momentum, and the earnings call highlights some operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong free cash flow growth indicates effective cash management and liquidity, enabling Oshkosh to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Innovative Product Launches
Introducing innovative products helps Oshkosh expand its market offerings and meet evolving customer needs, supporting long-term revenue growth and competitive positioning.
Vocational Segment Growth
Growth in the Vocational segment, driven by improved throughput and airport product demand, strengthens Oshkosh's market position and supports future profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline in Access Segment
A significant decline in Access segment sales due to weaker market conditions may impact overall revenue growth and necessitate strategic adjustments.
Tariff Impact
Tariff impacts increase costs and pressure margins, potentially affecting Oshkosh's pricing strategies and profitability in the long term.
NGDV Production Challenges
Production challenges in NGDV may delay revenue realization and affect Oshkosh's ability to meet demand, impacting future growth prospects.

Oshkosh (OSK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oshkosh Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets specialty vehicles and vehicle bodies worldwide. The company's Access Equipment segment provides aerial work platforms and telehandlers for use in various construction, industrial, institutional, and general maintenance applications. This segment also offers rental fleet loans and leases, and floor plan and retail financing through third-party funding arrangements; towing and recovery equipment; carriers and wreckers; equipment installation services; and chassis and service parts sales. Its Defense segment provides heavy, medium, and light tactical wheeled vehicles and related services for the department of defense. The company's Fire & Emergency segment offers custom and commercial firefighting vehicles and equipment; and commercial fire apparatus and emergency vehicles, such as pumpers, aerial platform, ladder and tiller trucks, tankers, rescue vehicles, wild land rough terrain response vehicles, mobile command and control centers, bomb squad vehicles, hazardous materials control vehicles, and other emergency response vehicles. This segment also provides aircraft rescue and firefighting, snow removal, and broadcast vehicles, as well as command trucks, and military simulator shelters and trailers. Its Commercial segment offers front-and rear-discharge concrete mixers for the concrete ready-mix industry; refuse collection vehicles and related components to commercial and municipal waste haulers; and field service vehicles and truck-mounted cranes for the construction, equipment dealer, building supply, utility, tire service, railroad, and mining industries. Oshkosh Corporation provides its products through direct sales representatives, dealers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Oshkosh Truck Corporation and changed its name to Oshkosh Corporation in February 2008. Oshkosh Corporation was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyOshkosh generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling specialty vehicles and equipment to government and commercial customers. The Defense segment is a significant revenue driver, as the company manufactures tactical wheeled vehicles for military applications, benefiting from government contracts and defense budgets. The Access Equipment segment contributes through the sale of aerial work platforms, which are used in construction and maintenance industries. Additionally, the Commercial segment focuses on producing vehicles for municipal and industrial applications, such as refuse collection and concrete mixing. Oshkosh also earns revenue through aftermarket parts and services, providing ongoing support for its products. Strategic partnerships with government entities, construction firms, and municipalities enhance its market reach and contribute to consistent revenue growth.

Oshkosh Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While there were notable achievements in operating margin performance and vocational segment growth, challenges such as revenue declines in the Access segment, tariff impacts, and production issues in NGDV highlighted areas of concern. The revised EPS guidance suggests caution moving forward, but strong community engagement and innovative product launches offer positive outlooks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Operating Margin
Oshkosh delivered an adjusted operating margin of 10.2% on revenue of $2.7 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.20, an increase of 9.2% over the prior year.
Vocational Segment Growth
The Vocational segment achieved an adjusted operating income margin of 15.6% on $968 million in sales, a growth of 19% from last year, driven by improved throughput and robust growth in airport products.
Innovative Product Launches
Oshkosh introduced new products including the AG619 mid-sized ag telehandler and the LiftPod in Europe, aimed at enhancing market offerings and supporting demand.
Successful Community Engagement
Oshkosh continued its community engagement efforts with events such as the Feed the Body, Feed the Soul event and the 9/11 Memorial Stair Climb, highlighting its commitment to social responsibility.
Increased Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the quarter was strong at $464 million, compared to $272 million in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting positive working capital changes.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Access Segment
Access segment sales were $254 million, nearly 19% lower than last year, due to weaker market conditions in North America and higher discounts.
Revised Full-Year EPS Guidance
The full-year adjusted EPS guidance was revised to a range of $10.50 to $11 due to lower revenue expectations in Access and Transport segments.
Tariff Impact
The company faces a $30 million to $40 million impact from tariffs for the full year, mostly affecting the fourth quarter, with expectations for further impacts in 2026.
NGDV Production Challenges
Challenges in ramping up NGDV production resulted in lower-than-expected delivery vehicle revenue, with ongoing efforts to reach full production capacity.
Warranty Costs in Defense Segment
Higher warranty costs were noted in the Transport segment, particularly due to issues with core defense products built during supply chain shortages.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Oshkosh Corporation reported an adjusted operating margin of 10.2% on revenue of $2.7 billion, resulting in an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.20, marking a 9.2% increase from the previous year. Despite a 2% decrease in consolidated sales, primarily due to lower sales volume in the Access segment, Oshkosh maintained strong performance across its segments. The company revised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $10.50 to $11, reflecting slightly lower revenue expectations in the Access and Transport segments. Oshkosh's third-quarter results were also marked by a free cash flow of $464 million, an increase from $272 million in the prior year. The Access segment achieved an adjusted operating income margin of 11% on sales of $1.1 billion, while the Vocational segment recorded a 15.6% margin on $968 million in sales. The Transport segment's operating income margin improved to 6.2%, driven by factors including a one-time intellectual property license agreement. Despite these challenges, Oshkosh remains focused on its long-term growth objectives, aiming to double its adjusted EPS to a range of $18 to $22 by 2028.

Oshkosh Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oshkosh exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the company maintains solid margins and a conservative leverage position, supporting its stability and potential for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Oshkosh's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 17.83% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is stable at 6.45% TTM, reflecting consistent profitability. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 0.51% TTM, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.47% and 11.59% TTM, respectively, suggesting robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 TTM, indicating a conservative leverage position. The return on equity stands at 15.34% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the overall asset base appears solid, supporting financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights a significant free cash flow growth rate of 32.62% TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.19 TTM, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65 TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion and solid liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.33B10.73B9.66B8.28B7.74B6.86B
Gross Profit1.84B1.97B1.68B1.05B1.27B1.12B
EBITDA1.20B1.22B1.03B436.60M697.50M598.70M
Net Income666.30M681.40M598.00M173.90M508.90M321.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.84B9.42B9.13B7.73B6.85B5.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments211.80M204.90M125.40M805.90M995.70M582.90M
Total Debt1.21B961.80M772.50M604.70M819.00M823.10M
Total Liabilities5.30B5.27B5.42B4.54B3.65B2.97B
Stockholders Equity4.54B4.15B3.71B3.19B3.20B2.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow781.00M269.10M274.30M331.80M1.11B197.10M
Operating Cash Flow974.10M550.10M599.60M601.30M1.22B327.30M
Investing Cash Flow-215.50M-388.80M-1.29B-300.40M-245.60M-77.60M
Financing Cash Flow-712.40M-75.10M3.40M-485.00M-180.40M-115.50M

Oshkosh Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price129.43
Price Trends
50DMA
128.39
Positive
100DMA
131.49
Negative
200DMA
115.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
54.78
Neutral
STOCH
87.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 129.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 124.91, above the 50-day MA of 128.39, and above the 200-day MA of 115.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OSK.

Oshkosh Risk Analysis

Oshkosh disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oshkosh reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oshkosh Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$8.19B12.6215.42%1.58%-2.28%-0.53%
70
Outperform
$1.26B17.5314.61%1.23%11.41%13.05%
70
Neutral
$3.27B21.137.85%1.36%4.60%-65.73%
67
Neutral
$2.00B17.0910.82%0.73%-2.73%-2.91%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$7.85B20.978.69%1.10%-20.09%121.28%
55
Neutral
$11.77B19.797.77%2.65%-18.10%-65.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OSK
Oshkosh
129.43
26.70
25.99%
AGCO
Agco
105.26
6.71
6.81%
ALG
Alamo Group
164.86
-29.44
-15.15%
CNH
CNH Industrial
9.44
-2.40
-20.27%
LNN
Lindsay
118.88
-9.86
-7.66%
TEX
Terex
49.83
-1.92
-3.71%

Oshkosh Corporate Events

Oshkosh Corporation Reports Steady Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 30, 2025

Oshkosh Corporation, a Wisconsin-based company, specializes in manufacturing purpose-built vehicles and equipment for various sectors, including defense, fire and emergency, and access equipment. In its third-quarter earnings report for 2025, Oshkosh Corporation announced sales of $2.69 billion and earnings per share of $3.04, with adjusted earnings per share at $3.20. The company also updated its 2025 earnings outlook, projecting adjusted earnings per share between $10.50 and $11.00.

Oshkosh Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Growth
Oct 30, 2025

Oshkosh Corporation’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment among stakeholders. The company celebrated significant achievements such as improved operating margins and growth in its vocational segment. However, challenges like revenue declines in the Access segment, tariff impacts, and production issues with the Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) were highlighted as areas of concern. Despite these hurdles, the company remains optimistic due to strong community engagement and innovative product launches.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025