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Terex (TEX)
NYSE:TEX

Terex (TEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TEX

Terex

(NYSE:TEX)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
â–¼(-3.50% Downside)
TEX scores in the upper-middle range primarily due to solid financial performance driven by strong and improving cash flow and better leverage. The score is tempered by pressured margins/ROE, mixed near-term technical momentum, and a valuation that is not clearly cheap relative to a modest dividend. Merger-related guidance and completed deal execution provide an additional, but secondary, positive tailwind alongside some integration and transaction-risk considerations.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF growth and a high FCF-to-net income ratio indicate durable cash generation. This underpins reinvestment in products, funds merger integration and synergies, supports debt reduction or shareholder returns, and raises resilience to cyclical revenue swings over the medium term.
Improved leverage profile
A materially improved debt position increases financial flexibility, lowering interest burden and raising capacity to fund capex, M&A, or the REV integration. Stronger leverage metrics reduce refinancing risk and support execution of multi-year operational and strategic plans.
Merger creates scale and diversification
Closing the REV transaction structurally reshapes the business into a larger, more diversified specialty equipment platform. Scale can unlock at least $75M of run-rate synergies, broaden end‑market exposure, and improve pricing and aftermarket opportunities, strengthening medium-term earnings potential.
Negative Factors
Pressure on margins and return on equity
Declining gross, EBIT and EBITDA margins alongside lower ROE point to weakening profitability quality. Structural margin compression reduces reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns, making it harder to fund growth, hit targeted adjusted‑EBITDA levels, and sustain long‑term return targets.
Merger litigation and integration execution risk
Active litigation and the need to supplement disclosures create execution risk: potential delays, higher legal and integration costs, and management distraction. These factors can slow Aerial divestiture, compress expected synergy timing, and increase uncertainty around realizing projected benefits.
Exposure to cyclical end markets
A heavy footprint in construction, infrastructure and mining embeds cyclicality into revenue and utilization. Even with diversification from the REV deal, persistent downturns in these sectors can materially reduce equipment demand, aftermarket sales and margin stability over multiple quarters.

Terex (TEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Terex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTerex Corporation manufactures and sells aerial work platforms and materials processing machinery worldwide. It operates in two segments, Aerial Work Platforms (AWP) and Materials Processing (MP). The AWP segment designs, manufactures, services, and markets aerial work platform equipment, utility equipment, and telehandlers under the Terex and Genie brands. Its products include portable material lifts, portable aerial work platforms, trailer-mounted articulating booms, self-propelled articulating and telescopic booms, scissor lifts, utility equipment, and telehandlers, as well as related components and replacement parts for construction and maintenance of industrial, commercial, institutional, and residential buildings and facilities, utility and telecommunication lines, construction and foundation drilling applications, and other commercial operations, as well as in tree trimming and various infrastructure projects. The MP segment's materials processing and specialty equipment includes crushers, washing systems, screens, trommels, apron feeders, material handlers, pick and carry cranes, rough terrain cranes, tower cranes, wood processing, biomass and recycling equipment, concrete mixer trucks and concrete pavers, conveyors, and related components and replacement parts under the Terex, Powerscreen, Fuchs, EvoQuip, Canica, Cedarapids, CBI, Simplicity, Franna, Terex Ecotec, Finlay, Terex Washing Systems, Terex MPS, Terex Jaques, Terex Advance, ProStack, Terex Bid-Well, MDS, and Terex Recycling Systems brands and business lines. Its products are used in construction, infrastructure, and recycling projects; quarrying and mining, and material handling applications; maintenance applications to lift equipment or material; and landscaping and biomass production industries. The company offers financing solutions to assist customers in the rental, leasing, and acquisition of its products. Terex Corporation was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Norwalk, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyTerex generates revenue through the sale of its equipment and machinery, including both new and used products. Key revenue streams include direct sales to customers in construction, mining, and other industries, as well as rental services through a network of dealers and distributors. Additionally, the company earns income from aftermarket services, including parts sales and maintenance contracts, which provide recurring revenue over the life cycle of the equipment. Terex also engages in strategic partnerships with other manufacturers and suppliers, enhancing its product offerings and market reach, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Terex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely focused on the transformative merger between Terex and REV Group, highlighting solid financial performance, strategic growth opportunities, and potential synergies. However, the decision to exit the Aerial segment and concerns about the timing of this sale presented some challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Third Quarter Performance
Terex delivered $1.50 of EPS on sales of $1.4 billion with a cash conversion of 200%, maintaining their full-year outlook.
Transformative Merger Announcement
Terex and REV Group plan to merge to create a large-scale specialty equipment manufacturer, expected to unlock $75 million in annual synergies.
Strong Financial Position Post-Merger
The combined company will have a strong balance sheet with approximately 2.5x leverage on a pro forma basis.
High Growth Potential in Resilient Markets
The combined company is expected to benefit from growth in infrastructure, utility, and recycling sectors, with a focus on less cyclical end markets.
Negative Updates
Exit of Aerial Segment
Terex plans to exit its Aerial segment, which may be seen as a move away from a cyclical business with potential future upside.
Challenges in Timing for Aerial Segment Sale
Concerns were raised about the timing of the Aerial segment sale, given its current market conditions and potential future growth.
Company Guidance
During the Terex and REV Group merger call, key guidance metrics were discussed including Terex's delivery of $1.50 of EPS on sales of $1.4 billion with a cash conversion of 200% for the third quarter of 2025, maintaining their full-year outlook. The merger will result in Terex shareholders owning 58% and REV shareholders 42% of the combined company, with REV shareholders also receiving $425 million in cash consideration. The companies expect to achieve at least $75 million in annual synergies, with half realized within the first 12 months post-merger. The merged entity aims for a mid-teens adjusted EBITDA margin in fiscal 2025, with a pro forma revenue of $5.8 billion and approximately 2.5x leverage, further benefiting from the planned exit of Terex's Aerial segment. The combined company is expected to have EBITDA margins of about 14% and an 85% cash conversion rate.

Terex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid, led by strong cash generation (free cash flow up 18.22% TTM and healthy cash conversion). Leverage has improved via a better debt-to-equity profile, but profitability quality is mixed with declining gross/EBIT/EBITDA margins and lower ROE (8.15%).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Terex has shown consistent revenue growth, with a 3.39% increase in TTM. However, margins have declined compared to previous years, with the TTM gross profit margin at 18.71% and net profit margin at 2.92%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, indicating pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 8.15%, suggesting reduced profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Terex has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth of 18.22% in the TTM, with a solid free cash flow to net income ratio of 67.72%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.34B5.13B5.15B4.42B3.89B3.08B
Gross Profit1.00B1.07B1.18B871.00M757.40M539.30M
EBITDA719.00M579.00M699.00M463.00M365.50M126.60M
Net Income156.00M335.00M518.00M300.00M220.90M-10.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.17B5.73B3.62B3.12B2.86B3.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments509.00M388.00M371.00M304.10M266.90M665.00M
Total Debt2.59B2.72B743.00M864.60M767.40M1.28B
Total Liabilities4.15B3.90B1.94B1.94B1.75B2.11B
Stockholders Equity2.02B1.83B1.67B1.18B1.11B921.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow279.00M189.00M332.10M151.60M233.70M160.90M
Operating Cash Flow412.00M326.00M459.30M261.20M293.40M225.40M
Investing Cash Flow-2.09B-2.13B-114.40M-154.10M-102.20M-38.50M
Financing Cash Flow1.83B1.84B-287.80M-54.90M-580.10M-82.80M

Terex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price64.25
Price Trends
50DMA
54.77
Positive
100DMA
52.72
Positive
200DMA
49.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.67
Negative
RSI
67.51
Neutral
STOCH
75.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.02, above the 50-day MA of 54.77, and above the 200-day MA of 49.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEX.

Terex Risk Analysis

Terex disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Terex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Terex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$323.76B37.3743.54%0.98%-1.51%-9.69%
73
Outperform
$10.56B15.9014.90%1.56%-2.28%-0.53%
67
Neutral
$7.33B26.797.85%1.24%4.60%-65.73%
66
Neutral
$153.77B29.4620.61%1.34%-11.66%-27.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$9.08B23.218.69%1.10%-20.09%121.28%
55
Neutral
$14.91B23.527.77%2.67%-18.10%-65.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEX
Terex
64.25
18.43
40.22%
AGCO
Agco
121.68
24.68
25.45%
CAT
Caterpillar
691.82
331.33
91.91%
CNH
CNH Industrial
11.96
0.00
0.00%
DE
Deere
567.26
106.97
23.24%
OSK
Oshkosh
166.91
56.84
51.64%

Terex Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Terex Completes REV Group Merger, Expands Board Governance
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Terex completed its previously announced merger with REV Group, issuing Terex stock and cash as consideration for REV shares, converting REV equity awards into Terex awards and restricted cash, and resulting in REV shares being delisted from the New York Stock Exchange as the combined business continues under the Terex ticker. The transaction creates a larger, more diversified specialty equipment manufacturer that management says will benefit from $75 million of run-rate synergies by 2028 and a stronger free cash flow and leverage profile; it also reshapes Terex’s board, expanding it to 12 members, with two long-serving directors resigning (one moving to a director emeritus role) and five former REV directors joining as independent directors on key committees, signaling an integration that brings REV’s leadership directly into Terex’s governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEX) stock is a Hold with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Terex stock, see the TEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Terex Shareholders Overwhelmingly Approve Merger With REV
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Terex and REV Group reported that their respective stockholders had overwhelmingly approved the merger between the two companies at special meetings held the same day, with more than 95% of Terex votes cast backing the stock issuance needed for the deal and over 80% of REV’s outstanding shares voting in favor of the merger. With all required shareholder approvals now secured and a strong mandate from investors, the companies said they expect to close the transaction in the first week of February 2026, positioning the combined business as a more diversified specialty equipment and vehicle manufacturer with a broader portfolio, enhanced financial flexibility, and anticipated synergies that management believes will create long-term value for shareholders, employees and customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEX) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Terex stock, see the TEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Terex Schedules Call to Review 2025 Year-End Results
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Terex Corporation announced it would host a conference call on February 11, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to review its fourth quarter and year-end 2025 financial results, with President and CEO Simon Meester and CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello leading the discussion. The company said it would release the financial results earlier that morning and make both the live webcast and a replay publicly accessible, signaling continued transparency and ongoing engagement with investors and other stakeholders around its financial performance and strategic progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEX) stock is a Hold with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Terex stock, see the TEX Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Terex, REV Group supplement proxy amid merger litigation
Negative
Jan 20, 2026

On October 29, 2025, Terex Corporation entered into a merger agreement with REV Group that envisions an all-stock combination following the divestiture of Terex’s Aerials business, with Terex shareholders to own 61.5% and REV shareholders 38.5% of the combined company and Terex CEO John L. Garrison Jr.’s successor Simon Meester slated to lead the enlarged group. Since Terex filed its definitive joint proxy statement/prospectus on December 23, 2025 for a January 28, 2026 virtual special meeting to approve, among other matters, the Terex stock issuance for the transaction, several shareholder lawsuits and demand letters have challenged the adequacy of the deal disclosures and sought to delay or block the mergers, prompting Terex and REV, while denying any wrongdoing, to voluntarily supplement their proxy materials with additional detail on deal negotiations, valuation work by Barclays and J.P. Morgan, expected synergies and standalone financial projections, without changing the agreed consideration or meeting timetable, in an effort to reduce litigation risk and keep the transaction on track for completion.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEX) stock is a Buy with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Terex stock, see the TEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 02, 2026