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Terex Corporation (TEX)
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Terex (TEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TEX

Terex

(NYSE:TEX)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(14.87% Upside)
Terex's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive corporate events, such as cost-cutting measures and share buybacks. Technical indicators support a positive trend, though valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced. Earnings call insights highlight both strengths and challenges, with a positive outlook for future performance.
Positive Factors
Market Performance
Upgrading to Outperform. TEX stock has lagged for over two years as earnings have cyclically reset following the post-COVID demand peak; there is a path to EPS bottoming in 2025 which in turn should catalyze normal multiple expansion driving the stock in the $60-$75 range.
Operating Margin
Management expects cost absorption-related margin headwind in Aerials to dissipate due to a seasonal pickup in volumes, leading to operating margin improvement.
Revenue Growth
Orders increased over 40% in 1Q25, marking the first quarter in nearly three years above flattish, and will likely continue growing off a low base.
Negative Factors
Interest Rates
MP comprises a collection of different product categories that have been impacted by high interest rates and dealer destocking.
Price Target
The TEX target price has been lowered to reflect lower multiples across the coverage.
Residential Construction
Residential construction spending is moderating and recession fears persist, raising questions around the credibility of the company’s extended backlog.

Terex (TEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Terex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTerex Corporation (TEX) is a global manufacturer of lifting and material handling solutions, primarily serving the construction, infrastructure, and mining sectors. The company operates through several segments, including Aerial Work Platforms, Material Handling & Port Solutions, and Construction. Terex offers a diverse range of products, including cranes, aerial work platforms, and material processing equipment, known for their durability and innovation.
How the Company Makes MoneyTerex generates revenue primarily through the sale of equipment and machinery across its various segments. The company’s key revenue streams include the direct sale of new equipment, aftermarket sales of parts and services, and rental services. Aftermarket services, which include maintenance, repair, and replacement parts, are particularly significant as they provide recurring revenue. Additionally, Terex has established partnerships with distributors and dealers worldwide, enhancing its market reach and sales opportunities. Factors contributing to its earnings include demand for construction and infrastructure development, advancements in technology that improve equipment efficiency, and strategic acquisitions that expand its product offerings and market presence.

Terex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Terex showed a strong financial performance with significant achievements in the Environmental Solutions segment and good liquidity management. However, challenges in the Aerials segment and tariff-related pressures, along with a weak European market, present significant headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Terex delivered earnings per share of $1.49 on sales of $1.5 billion with an operating margin of 11%. Free cash flow increased significantly to $78 million, representing a cash conversion of 108%.
Environmental Solutions Success
Environmental Solutions segment achieved strong performance, delivering $430 million in sales with a 19.1% operating margin, representing a 230 basis point improvement compared to last year.
Data-driven Synergies
The integration of ESG's 3rd Eye digital platform into other segments like Advance Mixer and Terex Utilities is ahead of schedule, creating new digital revenue streams and improving operational efficiency.
Strong Liquidity Position
Terex ended the second quarter with $1.2 billion of liquidity and announced a new $150 million share buyback program.
Negative Updates
Aerials Segment Challenges
Aerials segment faced headwinds with sales at $607 million, affected by an unfavorable customer mix and high interest rates impacting smaller projects.
Tariff and Inflation Pressures
Tariff-related inflation on materials is estimated to have a net impact of roughly $0.50 for the full year, with tariffs on steel and other materials affecting costs.
Weak European Market
The European market remains weak, although there are signs of recovery, impacting the Materials Processing segment.
Company Guidance
During the Terex Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported earnings per share of $1.49 on sales of $1.5 billion, with an operating margin of 11%. Free cash flow reached $78 million, representing a cash conversion of 108%. The full-year EPS outlook remains at $4.70 to $5.10, with anticipated stronger performance in Environmental Solutions (ES) due to operational momentum and synergies. The segment experienced 12.9% year-over-year sales growth and a 19.1% operating margin. Materials Processing (MP) showed strong sequential growth, with a 12.7% operating margin. The full-year sales guidance is between $5.3 billion and $5.5 billion, with a segment operating margin of approximately 12%. The company is managing tariff impacts, estimating a $0.50 effect for 2025, and expects the fourth quarter EPS to be higher than the third due to mitigation actions and improved MP margins.

Terex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Terex's financial performance is strong with increasing revenues and robust operational efficiency. Despite slight profitability pressures, improved financial leverage and stable capital structure contribute positively.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Terex has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory, with total revenue increasing from $3.88 billion in 2021 to $5.17 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is healthy, though it has seen a slight decline, indicating increased cost pressures. The net profit margin has decreased from previous years, reflecting reduced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, underscoring operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows improved equity with stockholders' equity increasing over time, which enhances financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly due to reduced total debt, indicating lower financial leverage. Return on equity has decreased, reflecting lower profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a consistent capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has grown over the periods, supporting sufficient cash generation from core operations. The free cash flow has shown volatility but remains positive, indicating good cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash earnings conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting sound financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.17B5.13B5.15B4.42B3.89B3.08B
Gross Profit964.00M1.07B1.18B871.00M757.40M539.30M
EBITDA490.00M579.00M699.00M463.00M365.50M126.60M
Net Income179.00M335.00M518.00M300.00M220.90M-10.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.15B5.73B3.62B3.12B2.86B3.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.00M388.00M370.70M304.10M266.90M665.00M
Total Debt2.59B2.58B623.20M775.50M674.10M1.17B
Total Liabilities4.19B3.90B1.94B1.94B1.75B2.11B
Stockholders Equity1.97B1.83B1.67B1.18B1.11B921.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow236.60M189.00M332.10M151.60M233.70M160.90M
Operating Cash Flow374.40M326.00M459.30M261.20M293.40M225.40M
Investing Cash Flow-2.11B-2.13B-114.40M-154.10M-102.20M-38.50M
Financing Cash Flow1.78B1.84B-287.80M-54.90M-580.10M-82.80M

Terex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.49
Price Trends
50DMA
49.06
Positive
100DMA
44.48
Positive
200DMA
45.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
54.43
Neutral
STOCH
59.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.24, above the 50-day MA of 49.06, and above the 200-day MA of 45.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEX.

Terex Risk Analysis

Terex disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Terex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Terex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.30B18.749.45%1.35%-0.35%-63.44%
78
Outperform
$8.87B13.9115.52%1.42%0.41%-3.90%
71
Outperform
$1.03B22.627.02%1.15%1.17%
69
Neutral
$191.04B20.7452.73%1.39%-4.87%-10.47%
68
Neutral
$8.38B84.382.42%1.34%-24.27%-76.31%
63
Neutral
$10.71B16.256.57%2.09%2.65%-16.21%
56
Neutral
$15.25B18.5510.79%2.05%-21.70%-57.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEX
Terex
50.49
-2.46
-4.65%
AGCO
Agco
113.18
25.44
28.99%
ASTE
Astec
45.08
13.15
41.18%
CAT
Caterpillar
412.64
74.69
22.10%
CNH
CNH Industrial
12.23
2.62
27.26%
OSK
Oshkosh
138.96
39.31
39.45%

Terex Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Terex Announces Refinancing Agreement to Cut Costs
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Terex Corporation announced a refinancing agreement that re-prices its term loan, reducing the interest rate spread by 25 basis points, which is expected to save approximately $3 million annually in cash interest costs. This move is part of Terex’s strategy to enhance its capital structure efficiency, reflecting positively on its financial operations and potentially benefiting stakeholders by improving financial stability and operational cost-effectiveness.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Terex Announces Q2 2025 Financial Results and Share Buyback
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Terex Corporation announced its second quarter 2025 financial results, reporting sales of $1.5 billion and an operating margin of 8.7%, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.49. The company authorized a new $150 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth strategy. Despite challenges in the Aerials segment, strong performance in Environmental Solutions and Terex Utilities helped offset these issues. The company’s bookings grew by 19% year-over-year, and it maintained its full-year adjusted EPS outlook. Terex also reported strong liquidity with a cash conversion rate of 108% and returned $75 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Financial Disclosures
Terex Schedules Q2 Financial Results Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Terex Corporation announced it will host a conference call on July 31, 2025, to discuss its second quarter financial results. The call will be led by CEO Simon Meester and CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello, with the financial results being released prior to the call. This event indicates Terex’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting investor relations and market perception.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025