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Alamo Group (ALG)
NYSE:ALG
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Alamo Group (ALG) AI Stock Analysis

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ALG

Alamo Group

(NYSE:ALG)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$248.00
▲(13.32% Upside)
Alamo Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The appointment of a new CEO adds a positive strategic outlook. However, valuation concerns and technical indicators suggest caution, balancing the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Recent cost reduction initiatives are expected to boost earnings expectations into 2026.
Demand and Market Conditions
Demand stabilization in utility/small tractors along with tangible dealer destocking and a rebound in Hay/Alfalfa prices are helping the Vegetation segment.
Growth Strategy
The company could deploy over $600 million in mergers and acquisitions, which is seen as a key component for long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Earnings Risk
There is a risk of flat or declining earnings for two years, partly due to potential future impacts from tariffs or material cost increases.
Future Demand
Orders and backlog have decreased year over year, suggesting weaker future demand.
Profitability
The company's operating margin fell short of expectations, indicating pressure on profitability.

Alamo Group (ALG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alamo Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlamo Group Inc. (ALG) is a leading manufacturer of equipment for infrastructure maintenance and agricultural applications. The company operates in two main segments: the Industrial Division and the Agricultural Division. Alamo Group produces a wide range of products, including street sweepers, mowing equipment, and other specialty equipment used by governmental and commercial entities. Its products are crucial for maintaining public infrastructure and supporting agricultural productivity, making Alamo a key player in these sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlamo Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its equipment and related services. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of machinery to municipal and agricultural customers, as well as parts and service offerings that support their products. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with government entities, which provide a stable income base. Additionally, Alamo Group's strategic acquisitions of complementary businesses enhance its product offerings and market reach, further driving revenue growth. Partnerships with distributors and dealers across various regions also contribute to sales and enhance market penetration.

Alamo Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong performance in the Industrial Equipment division, with record sales and a significant reduction in debt. However, challenges remain in the Vegetation Management division with declining sales and order cancellations in forestry. The overall sentiment is slightly positive due to strong growth and financial stability, though tempered by specific challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Industrial Equipment Division Record Performance
Industrial Equipment division net sales reached a record $240.7 million, representing a 17.6% organic growth compared to the second quarter of 2024. Operating income was also a record $34.3 million or 14.3% of net sales, with a 100 basis point improvement compared to the same period last year.
Strong Financial Position
Total debt reduced to $213.1 million with debt net of cash at $11.3 million, an improvement of $163.8 million or 93.5% compared to the second quarter in 2024, driven by strategic debt reduction and strong cash generation.
Increase in Net Income
Net income for the second quarter was $31.1 million or $2.57 per diluted share, compared to $28.3 million or $2.35 per diluted share last year at the same time, indicating an almost 10% increase.
Order Backlog and Strong Bookings
The order backlog in the Industrial Equipment division remained strong at nearly $510 million. Second quarter order bookings in this division were up nearly 21% compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Vegetation Management Revenue
Vegetation Management division reported net sales of $178.4 million, a 15.7% reduction compared to the second quarter of 2024.
Forestry and Tree Care Sales Challenges
Sales in the Forestry and Tree Care group declined relative to the second quarter of 2024, with continued order cancellations impacting performance.
Impact of Foreign Currency Fluctuations
Earnings per share were impacted by $0.21 per share due to foreign exchange headwinds from the U.S. dollar revaluation in Canadian operations.
Company Guidance
During the Alamo Group, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, management provided guidance indicating a robust outlook for the remainder of the year. The company reported second-quarter revenue of $419.1 million, a slight increase from the previous year, with a gross profit margin of 25.8%. Operating income rose to $47.1 million, reflecting an 11.2% operating margin, an 83 basis points improvement from the prior year, and net income increased by nearly 10% to $31.1 million. The Industrial Equipment division saw a record net sales of $240.7 million, representing a 17.6% organic growth, with an order backlog of nearly $510 million, providing visibility into early 2026. Meanwhile, the Vegetation Management division reported net sales of $178.4 million, a 15.7% year-over-year decrease but a sequential improvement of 8.8%. The company maintained a strong financial position with total assets of $1.558 billion and reduced debt levels, resulting in a debt net of cash of $11.3 million. Management expressed optimism for continued growth, supported by operational efficiencies, strategic acquisitions like Ring-O-Matic, and a focus on long-term shareholder value.

Alamo Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alamo Group demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability and cash generation capabilities. The balance sheet is robust with favorable debt levels, though revenue growth challenges need attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alamo Group's income statement shows solid profitability with a stable gross profit margin. However, revenue has seen a slight decline in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year, which affects the revenue growth rate adversely. The net profit margin remains healthy but slightly decreased. Overall, the company's income statement reflects strong profitability but with a need to address revenue growth challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet displays strong equity levels with a favorable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity has slightly decreased, pointing to potential efficiency improvements in generating profit from equity. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates excellent financial stability with manageable leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth, driven by strong operating cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting effective cash management. Overall, cash flow metrics are strong, supporting operational and financial resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.60B1.63B1.69B1.51B1.33B1.16B
Gross Profit403.81M412.49M453.64M376.52M334.51M292.11M
EBITDA222.89M223.26M249.19M195.28M161.42M143.43M
Net Income118.39M115.93M136.16M101.93M80.25M57.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.56B1.45B1.41B1.31B1.21B1.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments201.82M197.27M51.92M47.02M42.12M50.20M
Total Debt213.12M226.93M251.88M301.95M269.55M285.39M
Total Liabilities442.25M432.02M476.62M523.15M500.08M483.69M
Stockholders Equity1.12B1.02B932.76M785.36M705.66M625.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow185.24M184.78M93.41M-16.77M24.36M166.46M
Operating Cash Flow212.37M209.78M131.15M14.53M49.67M184.33M
Investing Cash Flow-41.65M-22.18M-52.62M-31.74M-33.44M-14.17M
Financing Cash Flow-94.26M-31.97M-76.88M24.45M-23.00M-164.24M

Alamo Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price218.85
Price Trends
50DMA
220.19
Negative
100DMA
202.69
Positive
200DMA
194.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
48.30
Neutral
STOCH
31.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 218.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 221.79, below the 50-day MA of 220.19, and above the 200-day MA of 194.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ALG.

Alamo Group Risk Analysis

Alamo Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alamo Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alamo Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.38B19.239.45%1.32%-0.35%-63.44%
77
Outperform
$2.55B28.0534.41%0.43%-9.50%-54.36%
75
Outperform
$1.52B20.5515.06%1.01%9.46%5.91%
74
Outperform
$2.65B22.5511.30%0.53%-4.91%-7.08%
71
Outperform
$1.05B23.037.02%1.13%1.17%
64
Neutral
$10.82B16.318.86%2.03%2.58%-16.43%
58
Neutral
$691.86M31.334.39%3.61%-7.11%-87.41%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALG
Alamo Group
218.85
34.70
18.84%
ASTE
Astec
46.03
11.92
34.95%
LNN
Lindsay
139.83
18.25
15.01%
TEX
Terex
51.14
-4.39
-7.91%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
39.27
-21.33
-35.20%
REVG
REV Group
53.69
23.31
76.73%

Alamo Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alamo Group Appoints Robert Hureau as New CEO
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Alamo Group‘s Board of Directors approved the appointment of Robert P. Hureau as the new President and CEO, effective September 2, 2025. Hureau, with a strong background in the industrial and life science sectors, succeeds Jeffery A. Leonard, who will retire on September 1, 2025. The transition is part of a strategic succession plan aimed at continuing the company’s growth trajectory. Hureau’s appointment is expected to bring additional growth and profitability, leveraging his experience in scaling businesses and executing successful mergers and acquisitions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025