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Alamo Group (ALG)
NYSE:ALG

Alamo Group (ALG) AI Stock Analysis

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ALG

Alamo Group

(NYSE:ALG)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$210.00
▲(0.82% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (especially balance sheet strength) and generally positive technical momentum. Offsetting factors include cash flow volatility, mixed earnings-call fundamentals (margin pressure and division weakness), and only moderate valuation support with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet and declining leverage
A declining debt-to-equity ratio and robust equity ratio indicate durable financial flexibility. This supports capital allocation for acquisitions, R&D, and downturn resilience without stressing liquidity, enabling sustained investment in product lines and distribution over the medium term.
Industrial Equipment division consistent double-digit growth
Sustained double-digit growth in the Industrial Equipment division signals durable end-market demand and competitive product fit. As a repeatable revenue engine, it strengthens recurring aftermarket sales and supports operating leverage, helping stabilize overall company performance over 2–6 months.
Strategic acquisition expanding product portfolio
Closing Petersen adds specialized grapple loader products and municipal/industrial market access, expanding aftermarket parts and service revenue. A strategic, accretive acquisition can bolster scale, cross-sell opportunities, and long-term margin improvement if integration executes as planned.
Negative Factors
Vegetation Management division weakness
A 9% sales decline in Vegetation Management reflects structural exposure to weak tree care and agriculture end markets and production consolidation headwinds. Persistent demand softness or execution gaps in this division can meaningfully drag consolidated growth and margin recovery.
Gross margin pressure from inefficiencies and tariffs
A 90-basis-point margin hit from production inefficiencies and tariffs suggests structural cost challenges. If tariffs persist or manufacturing consolidation lingers, margin recovery will require sustained price realization or permanent cost restructuring, pressuring long-term profitability.
Volatile free cash flow and weaker FCF conversion
Declining and inconsistent free cash flow reduces financial optionality for capex, acquisitions, and shareholder returns. Even with positive operating cash flow, weaker FCF conversion raises funding risk and constrains the company's ability to reliably finance strategic initiatives without raising leverage.

Alamo Group (ALG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alamo Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlamo Group Inc. designs, manufactures, distributes, and services vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance equipment for governmental, industrial, and agricultural uses worldwide. Its Vegetation Management Division segment offers hydraulically-powered and tractor-mounted mowers, other cutters and replacement parts for heavy-duty and intensive uses and heavy duty applications, tractor- and truck-mounted mowing and vegetation maintenance equipment, and replacement parts. This segment also provides rotary and finishing mowers, flail and disc mowers, front-end loaders, backhoes, rotary tillers, posthole diggers, scraper blades and replacement parts, zero turn radius mowers, cutting parts, plain and hard-faced replacement tillage tools, disc blades, and fertilizer application components; aftermarket agricultural parts, heavy-duty mechanical rotary mowers, snow blowers, rock removal equipment, replacement parts, tractor attachments, agricultural implements, hydraulic and boom-mounted hedge and grass cutters, tractor attachments and implements, hedgerow cutters, industrial grass mowers, agricultural seedbed preparation cultivators, self-propelled sprayers and multi-drive load-carrying vehicles, cutting blades, and hydraulic and mechanical boom mowers. The company's Industrial Equipment Division segment offers truck-mounted air vacuum, mechanical broom, and regenerative air sweepers, pothole patchers, leaf collection equipment and replacement brooms, parking lot and street sweepers, excavators, catch basin cleaners, and roadway debris vacuum systems, as well as truck-mounted vacuum machines, combination sewer cleaners, and hydro excavators. This segment also offers ice control products, snowplows and heavy duty snow removal equipment, hitches, attachments, and graders; and public works and runway maintenance products, parts, and services, and high pressure cleaning systems and trenchers. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Seguin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlamo Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its manufactured products, which include road maintenance equipment, agricultural machinery, and various attachments. Key revenue streams include direct sales to municipalities for road maintenance and to agricultural businesses for land management. The company also benefits from aftermarket sales, including parts and services for the equipment it sells, which provides a recurring revenue source. Additionally, Alamo Group may engage in strategic partnerships or collaborations with other manufacturers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and operational efficiency. Factors contributing to its earnings include strong demand in the municipal and agricultural sectors, a focus on product innovation, and a growing need for infrastructure maintenance and development.

Alamo Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While the Industrial Equipment division showed strong growth and the company's financial position remained healthy, the Vegetation Management division faced significant challenges. Gross margin decline and adjusted net income decrease further dampened the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Industrial Equipment Division Growth
Net sales in the Industrial Equipment division were $247 million, representing an increase of 17% compared to the third quarter of 2024. This marks the seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year double-digit net sales growth.
Healthy Financial Position
As of September 30, 2025, Alamo Group maintained a strong financial position with total assets of $1.595 billion, up $113.6 million from the third quarter of 2024, driven by higher cash and cash equivalents.
Order Pattern Improvement in Vegetation Management
Net orders in the Vegetation Management division for the third quarter of 2025 increased double digits on a percentage basis compared to the same quarter in 2024, with a solid book-to-bill ratio of one.
Improved Cash Flow
Cash provided by operating activity for the 9 months ended September 30, 2025, was $102.4 million, a healthy conversion of 116% of net income.
Negative Updates
Vegetation Management Division Weakness
Net sales in the Vegetation Management division were $173.1 million, a decrease of 9% compared to the third quarter of 2024. This was due to persistent weakness in tree care and agriculture end markets and production challenges.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin for the third quarter of 2025 was 24.2%, down 90 basis points from the third quarter of 2024, primarily due to unforeseen production inefficiencies and tariff costs.
Adjusted Net Income Decrease
Adjusted net income for the third quarter of 2025 was $28.2 million, down 3% compared to adjusted net income of $29 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Tariff Impact
Tariff costs affected both divisions, contributing to a gross margin decline. The company raised prices to mitigate impact but did not fully cover tariff costs in the third quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Alamo Group's third-quarter 2025 conference call, management provided guidance highlighting mixed results across divisions and shared future strategic focuses. The Industrial Equipment division demonstrated robust performance, with net sales increasing by 17% year-over-year, driven by strong sales across all groups and contributions from the Ring-O-Matic acquisition. In contrast, the Vegetation Management division saw a 9% decline in net sales, attributed to persistent market weaknesses and production challenges from consolidating manufacturing facilities. The company's net sales rose to $420 million, a 4.7% increase from the previous year, while adjusted net income slightly decreased to $28 million, down 3%. Adjusted EBITDA remained stable at $55 million, representing 13% of net sales. The management expressed optimism for future growth, emphasizing strategic pillars such as operational and commercial excellence, people and culture, and a focus on acquisitions to drive long-term shareholder value.

Alamo Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals supported by a strong balance sheet (declining leverage, solid ROE) and stable profitability trends, but tempered by weaker cash flow consistency and a notable TTM free cash flow decline.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alamo Group shows a stable income statement with consistent revenue growth over the years, although the TTM data indicates a slight decline. The gross profit margin is healthy, and the net profit margin has improved over time, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased in the TTM period, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong financial position with a declining debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reduced leverage and financial risk. The return on equity remains solid, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is robust, highlighting a strong capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability and prudent management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While operating cash flow remains positive, the free cash flow has experienced fluctuations, with a notable decline in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential challenges in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.62B1.63B1.69B1.51B1.33B1.16B
Gross Profit404.60M412.49M453.64M376.52M334.51M293.73M
EBITDA221.74M223.26M249.19M195.36M164.51M139.43M
Net Income116.37M115.93M136.16M101.93M80.25M57.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.59B1.45B1.41B1.31B1.21B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments244.81M197.27M51.92M47.02M42.12M50.20M
Total Debt209.43M226.93M240.57M306.64M274.21M289.07M
Total Liabilities462.37M432.02M476.62M523.15M500.08M486.86M
Stockholders Equity1.13B1.02B932.76M785.36M705.66M635.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.92M184.78M93.41M-16.77M24.36M166.46M
Operating Cash Flow181.56M209.78M131.15M14.53M49.67M184.33M
Investing Cash Flow-48.02M-22.18M-52.62M-31.74M-33.44M-14.17M
Financing Cash Flow-30.15M-31.97M-76.88M24.45M-23.00M-164.24M

Alamo Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price208.30
Price Trends
50DMA
182.82
Positive
100DMA
180.71
Positive
200DMA
194.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.14
Negative
RSI
78.11
Negative
STOCH
89.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 208.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 196.78, above the 50-day MA of 182.82, and above the 200-day MA of 194.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.11 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALG.

Alamo Group Risk Analysis

Alamo Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alamo Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alamo Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.53B21.6910.82%0.69%-2.73%-2.91%
70
Outperform
$1.41B19.9414.61%1.24%11.41%13.05%
67
Neutral
$7.48B19.7011.26%1.24%4.60%-65.73%
66
Neutral
$1.31B27.477.37%1.14%6.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$609.13M102.690.44%1.59%-2.36%-73.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALG
Alamo Group
209.20
25.84
14.09%
ASTE
Astec
57.24
24.65
75.64%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
21.20
1.00
4.96%
LNN
Lindsay
134.67
2.73
2.07%
TEX
Terex
65.61
20.78
46.34%

Alamo Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Alamo Group Completes Strategic Acquisition of Petersen Industries
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Alamo Group Inc. completed its previously announced acquisition of Petersen Industries, a manufacturer of specialized truck-mounted grapple loader equipment serving municipal and industrial customers, for approximately $166.5 million on a cash-free, debt-free basis, following the signing of a definitive purchase agreement on December 10, 2025. The deal is intended to reinforce Petersen’s market-leading position and broaden its sales reach by leveraging Alamo’s established distribution channels, signaling a strategic expansion of Alamo’s product portfolio in infrastructure and waste-handling equipment and underscoring its focus on long-term value creation for customers and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALG) stock is a Buy with a $210.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamo Group stock, see the ALG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Alamo Group Announces Acquisition of Petersen Industries
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Alamo Group Inc. announced its plan to acquire Petersen Industries, a leader in truck-mounted grapple loader equipment, for approximately $166.5 million. This strategic acquisition, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, aims to integrate Petersen into Alamo’s Industrial Equipment Division, enhancing its product offerings and market reach. The acquisition is anticipated to be accretive to Alamo Group’s growth and margins, providing solid recurring revenue from aftermarket parts and services, while unlocking significant cost savings and revenue growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALG) stock is a Hold with a $176.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamo Group stock, see the ALG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Alamo Group Approves New Deferred Compensation Plan
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Alamo Group Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a new Nonqualified Deferred Compensation Plan effective January 1, 2026. This plan allows eligible employees to receive discretionary contributions up to 6% of their base salary and bonus, with full vesting after three years of service. The plan replaces the Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan for new participants, with initial contributions for certain executives based on the present value of their previous plan accounts.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALG) stock is a Hold with a $190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamo Group stock, see the ALG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026