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REV Group (REVG)
:REVG

REV Group (REVG) AI Stock Analysis

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REV Group

(NYSE:REVG)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
REV Group's strong earnings call performance, supported by solid financials and a strategic focus on specialty vehicles, significantly boosts its stock score. Technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, while valuation metrics indicate fair pricing with moderate income potential.
Positive Factors
Earnings
REV Group's F2Q25 earnings beat expectations and raised FY25 Adjusted EBITDA outlook at the midpoint, suggesting strong company performance.
Financial Performance
The company's Specialty Vehicles segment showed strength and continued growth, reinforcing confidence in its future performance.
Negative Factors
Financial Forecast
There is a reduction in the FY25 Adj. EBITDA estimate from $204M to $202M.
Financial Risk
There is potential financial risk to REVG from tariffs, particularly given the fixed nature of contracts that historically made it difficult for the company to pass through costs real time.

REV Group (REVG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

REV Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionREV Group, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes specialty vehicles, and related aftermarket parts and services in the United States, Canada, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Fire & Emergency, Commercial, and Recreation. The Fire & Emergency segment provides fire apparatus equipment under the Emergency One, Kovatch Mobile Equipment, Ferrara, Spartan Emergency Response, Smeal, and Ladder Tower brands; and ambulances under the American Emergency Vehicles, Horton Emergency Vehicles, Leader Emergency Vehicles, Road Rescue, and Wheeled Coach brands. The Commercial segment offers transit buses, type A school buses, sweepers, and terminal trucks under the Collins Bus, Capacity, ENC, and Lay-Mor brands. The Recreation segment offers motorized and towable RV models under the American Coach, Fleetwood RV, Holiday Rambler, Renegade, Midwest, and Lance brands; and produces a range of custom molded fiberglass products for the heavy-duty truck, RV, and broader industrial markets. The company sells its products to municipalities, government agencies, private contractors, consumers, and industrial and commercial end users through its direct sales force or dealer network. The company was formerly known as Allied Specialty Vehicles, Inc. and changed its name to REV Group, Inc. in November 2015. REV Group, Inc. is based in Brookfield, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyREV Group generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of specialty vehicles across multiple segments. Key revenue streams include the sale of emergency vehicles like ambulances and fire trucks, commercial vehicles such as buses and vans, and recreational vehicles like motorhomes. The company also earns from aftermarket parts and service offerings, providing maintenance and repair services for its vehicles. Significant partnerships with government agencies, municipalities, and commercial enterprises bolster its sales, while its diverse product lineup helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single sector.

REV Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. The company reported strong financial performance, particularly in the specialty vehicles segment, and executed a significant share repurchase program. However, challenges such as tariff impacts and a decrease in recreational vehicle segment sales were noted. The decision to exit the Lance Camper business also highlighted some strategic adjustments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Second Quarter Performance
The company reported strong second quarter performance, with consolidated net sales of $629.1 million, up from $616.9 million in the same period last year, reflecting a 7.7% increase excluding divested businesses.
Specialty Vehicles Segment Growth
Specialty vehicles segment sales increased by 12.2% year-over-year, driven by higher unit production of fire apparatus units and favorable mix of higher content ambulance units.
Significant Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA increased by 63.6% year-over-year, reaching $50 million compared to $37.5 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Fire Apparatus and Ambulance Group Achievements
The fire group achieved significant manufacturing throughput increases, contributing to top-line growth, while the ambulance group celebrated 50 years of innovation and growth.
Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares for $88 million, reflecting a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impacts
The company expects a $5 million tariff impact within the recreational segment related to Class B luxury van chassis imported from Europe, and a $10 million impact on material spend in the specialty vehicle segment due to tariffs.
Recreational Vehicle Segment Challenges
Recreational vehicle segment sales decreased by 2.4% year-over-year, impacted by soft end-market demand, leading to a 9.9% decrease in adjusted EBITDA.
Non-Motorized Travel Trailer and Truck Camper Exit
The company decided to exit the Lance Camper business due to geographic and operational challenges, resulting in a non-cash loss of $30 million, partially offset by a $16.6 million income tax benefit.
Company Guidance
During the Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, REV Group, Inc. provided updated financial guidance for fiscal 2025, reflecting strong year-to-date performance and expectations for managing tariff impacts. The company raised its consolidated revenue guidance to $2.35 billion to $2.45 billion, an increase of $50 million from the prior outlook, translating to an 8% rise from fiscal 2024's pro forma net sales. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also updated to $200 million to $220 million from the previous range of $190 million to $220 million, driven largely by increased throughput in the specialty vehicle segment, despite anticipated $10 million tariff impacts. Net income guidance was revised to $88 million to $107 million, accounting for a $30 million non-cash loss on Lance Camper assets held for sale. Capital expenditure guidance was increased to $45 million to $50 million, reflecting investments to boost production efficiency. Additionally, the company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares for $88 million under its $250 million authorization, reflecting a balanced approach to capital allocation while maintaining a strong balance sheet with ample liquidity.

REV Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash flow generation and efficient equity utilization support a solid financial position. Despite a decrease in net profit margin, low leverage and a healthy return on equity indicate financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a stable gross profit margin of 13.1% for TTM, with a notable improvement in EBIT margin to 5.1% and EBITDA margin to 7.2%. However, the net profit margin decreased to 4.0% from the previous annual 10.8%, indicating some challenges in maintaining profitability at net income level. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, showing a decline in the most recent period.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, suggesting low leverage risk. The equity ratio has dipped slightly to 34.5% from the previous year, indicating a moderate reliance on liabilities. Return on equity for TTM is at a healthy 21.7%, demonstrating efficient equity utilization, but the decreasing equity trend could pose future risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate with a significant increase in free cash flow for TTM. Operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.18, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95 suggests that most profits are being converted into cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.32B2.38B2.64B2.33B2.38B2.28B
Gross Profit
303.60M297.30M316.10M247.50M291.00M228.10M
EBIT
119.20M79.60M88.60M36.80M83.80M4.10M
EBITDA
173.00M394.30M113.00M69.00M120.10M19.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
93.10M257.60M45.30M15.20M44.40M-30.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
31.60M24.60M21.30M20.40M13.30M11.40M
Total Assets
1.24B1.21B1.41B1.34B1.24B1.31B
Total Debt
171.40M118.00M187.40M250.30M234.90M367.50M
Net Debt
139.80M93.40M166.10M229.90M221.60M356.10M
Total Liabilities
813.30M777.90M912.40M888.30M719.50M840.00M
Stockholders Equity
428.80M435.10M498.00M456.30M518.80M472.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
88.00M25.80M93.70M66.80M133.60M38.90M
Operating Cash Flow
110.00M53.40M126.50M91.60M158.30M55.70M
Investing Cash Flow
46.00M348.50M-29.90M-14.80M-10.20M1.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-212.30M-398.60M-95.70M-69.70M-146.20M-49.30M

REV Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.23
Price Trends
50DMA
35.84
Positive
100DMA
33.98
Positive
200DMA
31.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.62
Negative
RSI
70.47
Negative
STOCH
86.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.32, above the 50-day MA of 35.84, and above the 200-day MA of 31.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REVG.

REV Group Risk Analysis

REV Group disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. REV Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

REV Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OSOSK
77
Outperform
$7.13B11.8415.24%1.83%5.95%-10.59%
HYHY
74
Outperform
$728.57M7.0121.56%3.50%-0.32%-35.10%
73
Outperform
$2.20B23.7234.41%0.53%-9.50%-54.36%
68
Neutral
$924.05M61.442.33%1.29%1.99%-39.02%
66
Neutral
$431.67M955.810.18%1.64%-4.08%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
WNWNC
47
Neutral
$433.36M-15.01%3.09%-25.44%-135.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REVG
REV Group
44.23
17.15
63.33%
ASTE
Astec
40.05
9.96
33.10%
OSK
Oshkosh
110.98
6.74
6.47%
SHYF
Shyft Group
11.87
-0.08
-0.67%
WNC
Wabash National
10.36
-10.49
-50.31%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
39.39
-31.17
-44.18%

REV Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
REV Group Reports Strong 2024 Results and 2025 Outlook
Positive
Dec 11, 2024

REV Group, Inc. has announced its robust fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter and full-year results, highlighting a net income increase and strong overall performance despite a decrease in consolidated net sales. The company is optimistic about fiscal 2025 with new financial targets, a $250 million share repurchase authorization, and a 20% increase in quarterly cash dividends, showcasing its commitment to returning value to shareholders and maintaining financial health.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.