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Wabash National Corp (WNC)
NYSE:WNC

Wabash National (WNC) AI Stock Analysis

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WNC

Wabash National

(NYSE:WNC)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(12.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash flow (negative free cash flow) and cautious near-term guidance with negative margins and expected Q1 losses. Offsetting these are strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages with a positive MACD) and an extremely low P/E with a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring Parts & Services
A growing Parts & Services business provides durable, higher‑margin recurring revenue that is less cyclical than new equipment sales. Management expects this segment to trend toward high‑teens EBITDA, which would sustainably bolster margins, cash conversion and resilience across freight cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow and weak cash conversion constrain the firm's ability to invest, reduce debt, and return capital. In a cyclical manufacturing business, persistent FCF deficits raise liquidity risk and limit room for strategic investments or cushioning through prolonged demand troughs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring Parts & Services
A growing Parts & Services business provides durable, higher‑margin recurring revenue that is less cyclical than new equipment sales. Management expects this segment to trend toward high‑teens EBITDA, which would sustainably bolster margins, cash conversion and resilience across freight cycles.
Read all positive factors

Wabash National (WNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wabash National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Wabash National Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes engineered solutions for the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries primarily in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Transportation Soluti...
How the Company Makes Money
Wabash National makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling transportation equipment to fleets, dealers, and other commercial customers. Its core revenue streams are the sale of new trailers (including dry vans and refrigerated units), the ...

Wabash National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call described significant near‑term challenges: negative margins, an adjusted net loss in Q4, plant idlings with noncash charges, negative free cash flow and a cautious Q1 2026 outlook. Offsetting strengths include resilient and fast‑growing Parts & Services (33% YoY), expanding upfit volumes and network footprint, preserved liquidity ($235M), and targeted cost actions expected to yield ~$10M in annualized savings. Management remains cautious but positions the company to scale when the freight recovery materializes and expects 2026 to be an improvement over 2025, though timing is uncertain.
Positive Updates
Parts & Services Strong Growth and Profitability
Parts & Services revenue of $64.5M in Q4; segment grew 33% year-over-year and ~6% sequentially; generated operating income of $5.1M (7.9% of sales). Management expects the business to trend toward high‑teens EBITDA over time and to provide durable, higher‑margin recurring revenue through the cycle.
Negative Updates
Weak Q4 Profitability and Losses
Consolidated Q4 revenue of $321M, but adjusted gross margin of -1.1% and adjusted operating margin of -13%. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $26.2M (negative 8.1% of sales) and adjusted net loss attributable to common stockholders was -$37.8M (‑$0.93 per diluted share).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Parts & Services Strong Growth and Profitability
Parts & Services revenue of $64.5M in Q4; segment grew 33% year-over-year and ~6% sequentially; generated operating income of $5.1M (7.9% of sales). Management expects the business to trend toward high‑teens EBITDA over time and to provide durable, higher‑margin recurring revenue through the cycle.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Wabash provided quarterly-only guidance for Q1 2026, forecasting revenue of $310–$330 million, adjusted EPS of negative $0.95 to negative $1.05, and an operating‑margin midpoint of about negative 15% (noting Q1 is expected to be the weakest quarter of the year); the company declined to give full‑year 2026 guidance but said full‑year revenue and operating margin are likely to be higher than 2025. Management reiterated that recent plant idlings produced roughly $16 million of noncash charges in Q4 and they expect an additional $4–$5 million of charges in 2026 (about $1–$2 million of which will be cash), with these actions targeting approximately $10 million of ongoing annualized cost savings. On capital and liquidity, they reported $235 million of liquidity at December 31, plan maintenance CapEx roughly in line with 2025 (~$25–$26 million) with no near‑term TAS investments, and continue to prioritize preserving liquidity and paying down the $45 million ABL draw while leaning on parts & services (Q4 parts revenue $64.5M, +33% YoY, margins to recover after Q1) as a more durable revenue stream.

Wabash National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM earnings rebounded after a large 2024 loss, but gross margin is very thin (~4.5%) and cash conversion is weak: operating cash flow is low (~$11.7M) and free cash flow is negative (~-$13.0M). Leverage improved versus 2024 (debt-to-equity ~1.21x), yet the profile remains cyclical and sensitive to operating swings.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.54B1.95B2.54B2.50B1.80B
Gross Profit58.73M265.07M498.19M322.69M196.47M
EBITDA363.21M-299.77M359.86M214.25M73.26M
Net Income211.45M-284.07M231.25M112.26M1.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.17B1.41B1.36B1.20B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.92M115.48M179.27M58.24M71.78M
Total Debt442.85M433.56M428.68M418.82M439.75M
Total Liabilities802.70M1.22B812.72M805.40M802.21M
Stockholders Equity367.36M188.83M549.50M397.61M325.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.04M45.08M221.51M67.00M-56.58M
Operating Cash Flow11.67M117.27M319.61M124.08M-7.47M
Investing Cash Flow-92.68M-94.79M-106.04M-55.30M-27.08M
Financing Cash Flow-2.54M-86.27M-92.54M-82.31M-111.35M

Wabash National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.41
Price Trends
50DMA
10.03
Negative
100DMA
9.38
Negative
200DMA
9.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
48.12
Neutral
STOCH
93.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WNC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.88, below the 50-day MA of 10.03, and below the 200-day MA of 9.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WNC.

Wabash National Risk Analysis

Wabash National disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wabash National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wabash National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$214.30M13.807.25%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$411.85M58.981.06%-0.83%
59
Neutral
$576.92M-2.510.51%4.61%-8.30%-98.18%
58
Neutral
$340.07M1.7053.71%3.59%-22.95%
52
Neutral
$404.36M20.660.66%1.59%-2.36%-73.77%
45
Neutral
$435.36M-2.23-11.61%-2.75%22.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WNC
Wabash National
8.41
-2.28
-21.35%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
14.07
-2.68
-15.97%
GENC
Gencor
14.62
2.06
16.40%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
11.61
2.72
30.60%
TWI
Titan International
6.80
-1.78
-20.75%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
32.23
-7.98
-19.85%

Wabash National Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Wabash National Announces Plant Idling and Restructuring Plan
Negative
Jan 5, 2026
On January 5, 2026, Wabash National Corporation announced and initiated a plan to idle its facilities in Little Falls, Minnesota, and Goshen, Indiana, leading to job reductions of approximately 3 salaried and 53 hourly workers in Little Falls and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026